BTCBitcoin is currently experiencing a drop in value, and there is a growing concern that the uptrend may come to an end. As a result, it is expected that the price will continue to decline until it reaches the 60,000 level, where it is anticipated to gain new momentum. It is important to take advantage of this bearish correction, but also be cautious when trading against the trend. Avoid risking more than your predetermined loss limit, and good luck.
Supply Zone
USOILBased on my analysis of the USOIL market, it seems that the trend is still strong and there is a consistent demand for buying. In order to avoid losing your money, I would recommend focusing on buying deals only. You should wait for the price to return to the support level, and even if it reverses, you should still consider buying. Remember to always follow the trend and good luck with your investments.
EURCAD possible shortPotential short opportunity from this supply zone on EURCAD if price were to pullback and fulfil the imbalance it has left behind. We are in an overall downtrend on the hourly timeframe, so for me, I'm on the lookout for selling opportunities. I like this supply zone because it has created a break of market structure to the downside which tells me it is a strong high which institutions may fight to hold. If price does retrace and mitigate said supply zone, I myself will be awaiting a further confirmation before entering a sell position to the low of the leg.
EUR/USD Bearish outlook and potential sells from 1.08200My perspective on EU is to anticipate its bearish trajectory. With recent downward structure breaks and its arrival at a demand zone, I foresee potential failure to breach deeper levels or ideally a retracement to touch either of the two newly marked zones at points (A) and (B). Following this, I'll be on the lookout for a wyckoff distribution to initiate selling to sustain this trend, as my bias for this pair remains bearish.
While there's a similarity between EU and GU, EU is already within the demand zone, where I expect a bullish response, unlike GU. Therefore, I anticipate GU to rise before a drop, similar to this pair. It's worth noting that immediate buys might not be ideal, especially considering Monday's bank holiday for EUR.
Confluences for EU Sells are as follows:
- Price broke structure again on the higher time frames.
- Overall market trend is bearish so this aligns with the overall bias.
- Two new supply zones emerged near current price in which we can expect a bearish reaction to take place.
- Lots of liquidity still left to the downside that needs to be taken in the form of asian lows.
- Price might currently undergo a retracement back to an area of supply as its in a demand right now.
P.S. It wouldn't be unexpected if the price continues its ascent and reaches the 4-hour demand zone adjacent to the imbalance, a significant area I'm closely monitoring. However, I am anticipating a bearish descent from the recently established supply levels.
Have a great trading week guys!
EUR/USD Shorts from 1.09000 back downMy bias aligns closely with GU this week, focusing on selling from a comparable supply level evident on both charts. On EU, this manifests as the 4hr level around 1.09000, where I intend to sell. I'll await the current price to pull back into these zones to address the imbalance and form a redistribution pattern.
Similarly to GU, there's a minor 4hr supply below that I anticipate will fail due to the presence of the Asian high above it. Once this fails and reaches the major supply, I'll be more inclined to sell from there as it offers a premium price.
Confluences for EU Sells are as follows:
- Price broke structure the downside and left a clean 4hr supply zone.
- Imbalances that needs to b filled before tapping into the supply.
- Lots of liquidity below in the form of asian lows.
- Price is overall bearish on the higher time frame.
- I can see the dollar to rising more to the upside.
P.S. I observe the current price reacting to the existing demand. If this reaction fails, price might respond bullishly to the demand just below, potentially initiating an upward move towards the supply levels above.
Have a great trading week guys!
GBP/USD Shorts from 1.27200 back downMy bias for GU is downward, expecting a minor retracement before a continuation of the downtrend. Currently, I'm monitoring for price to rise and reach the newly identified supply levels, particularly focusing on the 20-hour supply zone for its high quality.
Observing the reaction at the first 4-hour supply, I anticipate a possible minor reaction, though I foresee it ultimately failing due to the presence of an Asian high above. Once price reaches the 20-hour supply area, I'll be watching for signs of a Wyckoff distribution pattern to form, signaling a potential opportunity to sell back down.
Confluences for GU Sells are as follows:
- Price broke structure the downside and left a clean 20hr supply zone.
- Imbalances that needs to b filled before tapping into the supply.
- Lots of liquidity below in the form of asian lows.
- Price is overall bearish on the higher time frame.
- I can see the dollar to rising more to the upside.
P.S. While I anticipate further price drops, it's improbable without addressing the imbalances and supply levels above before further downward movement occurs.
Have a great trading week!
XAU/USD Longs back up towards 2185.000 or 2200.000Gold continues to exhibit bullish behavior this week, building on the momentum from last week's significant news event that propelled it to new all-time highs. With price maintaining its bullish stance, this aligns with the broader long-term bullish outlook for gold.
Buy positions have already been initiated, with an eye on the price reaching the 2185 level. At this point, we anticipate a potential retracement or a further upward move to address the imbalance above and potentially touch 2200, where a stronger supply level awaits. However, considering the presence of an Asian high above, there's a possibility of that 4hr failing. Nonetheless, I'll be awaiting confirmation on lower timeframes before taking action.
Confluences for Gold Buys are as follows:
- Price has taken ATHs and has also take break structure to the upside.
- Price has been very bullish in terms of the candle stick anatomy.
- Price has reacted off a strong demand zone that has caused this initial rally to take place.
- Wyckoff distribution has occurred on lower time frame as well.
- Imbalances and asian highs above that need to get taken.
P.S. As price dynamics shift to the downside, the current movement might be temporary. Sellers could gain favor, leading to a potential drop to lower levels.
Have a great trading week guys!
USD CADMy analysis on USD CAD, I use limit orders so I don't need to be in front of the chart all day.
To consider this a good entry there are certain criteria to follow:
1. Clean BoS with IMB.
2. * Look for areas where liquidity has been purged.
3. * Stochastic: long trades 0-15, in short trades 85-100.
( * ) = Not optional but increases our probability.
I use Fibonacci to get these extreme points and my preferred one is 75% retracement, with a risk-reward of 1:3.
Trade carefully
This is not financial advice, DYOR.