3 categories for Strategy RulesToday we’re going to be looking at three categories for strategy rules .
This is very critical because the most important concept before we enter into a trade is to have it already pre-set in our mind where we’re going to enter and how we’re going to exit. It’s all got to be totally predetermined and you have to visualise your whole trade set-up, your trade management and your trade exit. All these three things must be very clear within you and you must already have spelled it out with clear rules so that’s its very clear in your mind. Clarity leads to conviction. Finally that gives you courage to pull through any kind of loss cluster or drawdowns.
Let’s take a look at these three categories for strategy rules. The first one is about entry rules . These tie in with what your trade set-up should look like. So when should you enter a trade? The last thing you want to do Traders is to enter a trade just out of emotional impulse. Once you’ve entered a trade by emotional impulse, when you come out of it you’ll think ‘Oh no, why did I do that?’ and that hurts so many traders. Many of the over 20,000 traders that we’ve coached so far and talked to at seminars have told us that they’ve made this mistake. One of the ways to stop that and nip that mistake in the bud is by making the rules really clear and so straight forward that you know how to follow them and can repeat them again and again.
The entry rules can be sub-categorised into pre-entry rules and post-entry rules. Pre-entry rules basically means before you enter the trade what are the criteria for you that must set-up for you to enter and then to trade that price or that instrument? If you do get stopped out, what are the rules for you to then re-enter back into that trade. Some tools that you can use to formulate your entry rules are:
Price action – be very clear on how the price action should be before you enter into a trade. For example, if you want to buy into a position has there got to be two seller bars and one buyer bar or has there got to be some kind of momentum decline which you also need to quantify so that emotional trading doesn’t come in. That’s all to do with price action.
Time frame correlation – as I have explained in other videos, if you’re an end of day trader you’ve got to correlate with a higher time frame. We usually recommend three time frames.
Indicators – there are thousands of them and you’d know about them.
Cycles and phases – you can incorporate rules about cycles and phases into your strategy.
Support and resistance rules – where you can enter into the market based on supply and demand.
News – think about how long before news comes out do you want to enter? For example, if news comes out in the next 30 minutes, do you want to enter a trade even before, say 30 or 40 minutes before news comes out?
All these things you need to include in your entry rules and as good criteria you need to at least include three or four of them. We call it degrees of freedom and you need to have at least three to four of them, ideally four, minimum three in your strategy. Of course as I’ve mentioned before in other talks, you need to choose and mix and match these rules according to the concept and objective of your strategy.
The second thing, after the entry rules, we’re looking at stop loss rules . Stop loss can be further sub-categorised into initial stop loss rules and trailing stop loss rules. Before you even enter the trade you should know where the stop loss is going to go which is the initial stop loss. Once you enter into the trade you need to then know how you’re going to manage your trade and then to trail that stop loss progressively. This is critical. You need to know this before you enter the trade.
Finally, our target rules . Where are we going to get out, what is our target? In terms of target rules we’re looking at pre-target, that is, before we enter the trade we should already know where we’re going to get out. And the intra-target as well, for example, you might be familiar with the USD and Swiss Franc – it was crazy, a price shock as we call it, a price adverse move of 5000 pips in just one day. When price adverse shocks like that happen suddenly in the market, you must have plans to get out. That’s what we call intra-target rules.
Those are the three categories that you definitely must have in your strategy rules so as to consistently execute and also to remove doubt and emotion you need to quantify those rules. That will really help towards your consistent execution.
In summary, they are entry rules, stop loss rules and target rules. The objective of writing all those rules, Traders, is so that you really get clear in your mind how the trade should look. You should have predetermined everything and you should be able to visualise how everything should be before you get into the trade, while you are in the trade and how you should get out of the trade – trade entry, trade management and trade exit.
I believe this has been very useful. Do some research on your strategies and you’ll clearly see how much clarity and conviction you’ll have in your strategy and how it will help you with your execution and strategy forms. Until the next time, as we always say, stay disciplined, follow your trading plan and keep Trading Like a Master.
Support-and-resistance
bitcoin long setup Hello Traders, here is the full analysis for this pair, let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions, the entry will be taken only if all rules of the strategies will be satisfied. I suggest you keep this pair on your watchlist and see if the rules of your strategy are satisfied. Please also refer to the Important Risk Notice linked below.
Bitcoin Analyze (Short Term, 15-minute Time Frame,31/3/2023)!!!I expect Bitcoin to reach at least the 🟢support zone (27800)🟢 again finally.
Bitcoin Analyze ( BTCUSDT ), 15-minute time frame ⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy, this is just my Idea, and I will be glad to see your ideas in this post.
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Buy TSLA in DecemberI think Tesla will be a good buy for December!
NASDAQ:TSLA has reached the lows of March 2021 ($179). The Hazel Heritage Indicator gave me my favorite signal, which is the "untested low", pointing out when price has crossed through a pivot low that has never been tested before.
This signal has a 92% success rate of creating a new pivot low. Price also has came back down to test the all-time high of $167.
Therefore I'm bullish on Tesla going into the month of December!
XAUUSD : WEEKLY TRADE PLAN There hasn't been a pullback on the weekly chart since the downtrend structural breach at 1820. I'm therefore aiming at the 1852 level of the 50% fibo retracement.
My trading strategy isn't intended to be used as a signal service. It's a process of gaining knowledge of market structure and improving my trading abilities.
Like and subscribe and happy trading to all
PROSBUSD - Double bottom pattern?What is Double Bottom Pattern?
The double bottom pattern looks like the letter "W". It indicates an trend and momentum reversal in a particular asset. It is best for analyzing the intermediate to longer-term view of a market. Double Bottom Pattern one of the most reliable reversal pattern after Head and Shoulders Pattern.
How does Double Bottom Pattern Work?
Double Bottom Pattern works in two phases:
Phase 1:
When the major trend is downtrend and forms the first down peak, then from the support the prices bounce to a new higher resistance and unable to break that resistance.
Phase 2:
When prices are not able to break the resistance it again goes to the same level and take support form similar levels forming second down peak also double bottom . Again due to demand the prices rises up to the resistance and break that resistance. Increase in volumes during breakouts further confirms the reversal move. This marks the completion of the pattern.
Above Chart Explanation:
This is the daily chart of PROSBUSD here we can see in a downtrend prices take support and forms a down peak one and took support form there and bounce back to the above resistance. But prices were not able to break it instead prices got rejection from resistance and the prices again go down forming second down peak. This is where we are NOW . What next? Well, after taking support the prices should bounce and break resistance. There usually traders enter on the breakouts and target the next resistance.
BTC "FINAL HOPE" on Nov 2ndFED FOMC Decision on Nov 2nd weighs heavy upon all markets, including crypto market. While other markets have shown high volatility in accordance with any macro related news, crypto market surprisingly moves in a calm manner despite being known for its infamous volatility, which actually scares me the most. Why? Because it means that any major macro news will release the spring that's been holding crypto market, especially Bitcoin, and will launch it with ultra volatility that can be either up or down. Knowing which movement will take place before the price action actually happens on Nov 2nd gives you total advantage on that very specific ultra volatile price action. So let's break down all the data that we can use to help us determine which direction will occur:
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
- Heikin-Ashi Candles show that we are still in a strong downtrend, you can see it clearly especially on higher time frames (weekly, monthly)
- Ichimoku Cloud is still above the price, with a huge red cloud along with other strong resistances that we've seen rejecting the price for weeks
- A huge red Ichimoku Cloud is still being projected ahead, and no sign of turning green anytime soon
- Conversion Line (yellow) is below the Base Line (blue), crossing it down
- Lagging Span (purple) is still below the cloud, which crossed down back on April (and hasn't yet crossed up), which indicates we're still in a strong downtrend since then
- 50 EMA (yellow dots) is still above the price, and far below 200 EMA (blue dots) which is still waaay up there, untouchable
- A Bearish Descending Triangle from Sept 13th local top (in blue) which has rejected the price and acts as a strong resistance
- A Strong Support Zone between $17.500 - $18.500, along with the base line of the Descending Triangle, which has proven to be a strong support area
FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS
- Macroeconomic conditions is getting worse and worse, no sign of getting better anytime soon, including wars
- All those bad things combined with actual data, give no reason for the FED to stop their hawkish stance anytime soon, in fact these give them all the reason to keep getting it tighter and tighter, I really doubt FED will pivot even if the UN and all countries in the world urge them to do so, at least not on Nov 2nd
- USD is skyrocketing
- Previous similar bullish patterns might not work, considering the macros atm (if previous similar patterns indicate a capitulation, then it will most likely be the same this time around, unless something good miraculously happens)
CONCLUSION
- Overall I'm still super bearish at the time of this writing
- I won't even consider a trend reversal from bear to bull market, let alone saying that this bear market has bottomed, unless the price crosses above the ichimoku cloud, closes there, and maintains the position there ($21K-$22K range), or even shows some strong bullish momentums. I still prefer a breakout and close above $32K though.
!!! HOWEVER, CHANCES ARE, THESE ARE BULL TRAPS. BE CAREFUL NOT TO BE SUPER BULLISH IN A BEARISH MACRO !!!
- If this time price breaks $17.5K-$18.5K strong support zone in a single move, high chance it will be a disastrous cascade down (imagine all the SLs there)
- A break and close below the previous $17.6K low, and macro pressure, will signal a prolonged downtrend (it can be a fake, a bear trap, but only for a short time)
- If a big capitulation does occur, and BTC creates a lower low, I really can't say if the true bottom is there unless FED pivots and macro conditions are getting better, BUT there will be a quick recovery movement upwards (usually until the previously broken strong support), and then ranging again until the next major events
- A bear market doesn't mean the price can't go up big time
- Coin inflow/outflow from exchanges, volume, DOMs, etc might be the work of manipulators, ride the trend, stay with macros, and don't fight the FED
- Next BTC halving might indicate bottom and the start of the next bull run, we'll need to see how our macros doing then
DISCLAIMER
This is an article, not a financial advice
Do your own research, spend your money wisely
Your money is your own responsibility, so is your action
EURUSD UPDATE ON PRICEcurrent update on eurusd as posted some days ago.. we have seen some bearish impulse on eurusd as I analysed some days back for free here. this is impulse surely ckears the doubt if where price might be heading as it's pretty clear right now.. stay tuned for more updates .. I will be posting more on here .
Reliance at critical supportReliance which amounts to 10.1% weightage in the nifty 50 index is at its critical support!
The stock is going through a long distribution phase and has touched its support multiple times to weaken it.
Any movement below this would mean a significant downfall in the stock price.
Stay alert!
BTC (Current Update)$BTC (Current Update)
Bitcoin Is Trading In A Loop Of Support & Resistance ($18300 - $19800)📊....
There's A Chance Of Testing The Support Level Again (Triple Bottom),
Then Again The Resistance....
Any Time BreakOut📈 Or BreakDown📉 Can Happen....
It Will Change The Whole Secenerios....
Stay Alert For More Upcoming Updates....
Bearish orderflow Hello Traders, here is the full analysis for this pair, let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions, the entry will be taken only if all rules of the strategies will be satisfied. I suggest you keep this pair on your watchlist and see if the rules of your strategy are satisfied
How do you spot your support and resistance?I have seen a lot of traders designing their chart with so much lines even at the lowest time frame all in the name of support and resistance.
It’s quite funny but really not so.
For me I only look for key zones or I call it strong zones. When plotting my S&R, I k my look for those zones that pushes market high to about 50pips and above as support or deep as low as 50pips and above as resistance.
And I find them at H4 or H1 TF
In this case my I have a clean chart on M15 TF where I easily fine my entries.
Dose this make sense to you?
Tell me, How do you plot your own S&R?