Ethereum is outperforming BitcoinWhile BTC is hovering below 110k again, ETH is attempting a breakout on the daily timeframe. If ETH outperforms BTC, it would be a good signal for altcoins in general.
Support and Resistance
Gold shocks extreme pull, US market layout🗞News side:
1. Musk issued the "strongest" condemnation of Trump
2. Trump and Netanyahu failed to reach an agreement, and the US-Iran negotiations may be "disrupted" by Israel
📈Technical aspects:
The trading strategy we have given is still valid. The current gold price trend on the hourly chart shows a standard descending flag pattern. If this pattern continues to be effective, there is a high possibility that the gold price will fall below 3285-3280. Once it falls below this range, as we gave in the strategy this morning, it may fall to the 3260-3250 line. However, the premise for this expectation to be established is that the gold price cannot break through and stabilize on the upper track of the consolidation channel, otherwise the descending flag pattern will be invalid. Therefore, for US market operations, short positions can be arranged around the upper rail of 3325, paying attention to the suppression effect; for the lower rail, first pay attention to the support effect of 3300.
sell 3325-3330
TP 3310-3300
buy 3290-3280
TP 3310-3320
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
$BTC.D is starting to show relative weakness to AltcoinsCRYPTOCAP:BTC.D is starting to show relative weakness to Altcoins.
This could be a real liquidity rotation from Bitcoin into Altcoins.
Or just Bitcoin taking a breather before stealing the show again.
Nasdaq analysis: 29-May-2025Good morning, everyone! Today's Nasdaq analysis is designed to educate and empower. Use these insights to refine your price action trading strategy.
SP500CFD // The bowl is completed at the 6128.16 level, we can see this level as a sales opportunity and make some profit. When we sell, our take profit point is 10 exponentials.
US100 CFD // The bowl is completed at the 22.133 level, we can see this level as a sales opportunity and make some profit. When we sell, our take profit point is 10 exponentials.
XAUUSD 1-Hour Technical & Fundamental AnalysisXAUUSD 1-Hour Technical & Fundamental Analysis
Gold prices have shown clear signs of exhaustion around the $3,370 level, suggesting a potential slowdown in bullish momentum. This aligns with the improving global economic outlook, which is reducing investor demand for safe-haven assets like gold, resulting in a notable pullback in price.
On the 1-hour chart, we identified a well-formed Head & Shoulders pattern, signaling a potential trend reversal. The major key support at $3,280 has been tested multiple times, establishing its strength. Price recently broke below this level, confirming bearish intent and opening the door for potential further downside movement.
On the 15-minute timeframe, signs of accumulation appeared, followed by a retest of the previous major support (now resistance). This behavior suggests a possible liquidity hunt, where institutional players may manipulate price to trigger stop-losses before placing large sell orders.
📉 Bearish Fundamentals for Gold
Market Exhaustion:
Gold is losing bullish strength around ₹98,000 ($3,370), as improved economic conditions make investors less risk-averse, reducing gold’s appeal.
Federal Reserve's Hawkish Tone:
The Fed plans only two rate cuts in 2025, a more cautious stance than expected. This boosts the U.S. dollar’s strength, adding pressure on gold prices.
💵 Bullish News for the U.S. Dollar
Fed's Rate Policy:
The Fed's less aggressive rate-cut path strengthens the USD, making it more attractive to global investors.
U.S. Economic Resilience:
Solid U.S. data and reduced recession fears continue to fuel dollar demand, giving it an edge over gold as a safe haven.
📌 Disclaimer:
This is not financial advice. Always wait for proper confirmation before executing trades. Manage risk wisely and trade what you see—not what you feel.
AUDUSD consolidation phase bullish from supportOANDA:AUDUSD Analysis 🦘💵 | 4H Timeframe
Pair is currently consolidating, creating a solid base around 0.63400 – key support level holding strong. Entered long from support, targeting 0.65400 resistance zone.
📈 Trend bias: Bullish
🟢 Entry: 0.63400 (Support zone)
🎯 Target: 0.65400 (Key resistance)
🔐 Invalidation: Break and close below 0.63000
Also keeping eyes on the bullish Order Block at 0.59500 on higher timeframe – strong liquidity area if price revisits.
Let the market breathe, plan your trade, and trade your plan. Patience pays 💅
— Livia 😜📊
#Forex #PriceAction #AUDUSD #TradeSetup #SmartMoney #FXQueen
ETH.usd eyes on $2613/23: Major Resistance break may be VIOLENTETH up against two major fibs in tight confluence.
Break should result in a violent explosion upward.
Ether's last chance to prove its not a "has been".
$ 2613-2623 is the exact zone of concern.
$ 2463.42 is first support but probably spent
$ 2125-2133 is the strongest support below.
Rejection here could be disastrous.
===========================================
Previous Plot that caught the last TOP
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GBPUSD InsightHello to all our subscribers.
Please feel free to share your personal opinions in the comments. Don’t forget to like and subscribe!
Key Points
- NVIDIA’s Q1 earnings exceeded expectations. Despite export restrictions to China under the Trump administration, NVIDIA performed strongly, boosting risk appetite in the markets.
- The May FOMC meeting minutes confirmed that Fed officials will maintain a wait-and-see approach in conducting future monetary policy.
- A U.S. federal court ruled that the Trump administration’s “reciprocal tariffs” are invalid, stating, “The tariff order is nullified and permanently prohibited,” and ordered a cancellation of all tariffs collected thus far.
This Week’s Key Economic Events
+ May 29: U.S. Q1 GDP
+ May 30: U.S. April Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index
GBPUSD Chart Analysis
As anticipated, a peak formed around the 1.35500 level, followed by a downward trend. A mid- to short-term downtrend is likely from the current range, with the next potential low expected near the 1.32000 level.
However, if the price unexpectedly breaks above the 1.36000 level, the high could extend toward the 1.40000 level, indicating a shift toward a bullish trend.
Crude oil rebounds after encountering 60 support
📊Technical aspects
Due to concerns that global supply growth may exceed demand growth, WTI prices fell slightly and rebounded slightly after hitting the 60 mark.
From the daily chart level, the medium-term trend moving average system suppresses the rebound of oil prices, and the medium-term objective trend direction is downward. After the oil price hit the low of 55.20, the frequent alternation of long and short formed, and the embryonic form of the falling flag relay appeared from the shape. Pay attention to the strength of the oil price testing the upper edge of the flag. It is expected that after the medium-term trend fluctuates, it will still rise to the 64 position.
The short-term (1H) trend of crude oil fell and touched the key support of 60, then rose slightly. The moving average system turned to divergent upward arrangement, and the short-term objective trend direction was upward. The MACD indicator fast and slow lines crossed the zero axis, and the bullish momentum was sufficient. It is expected that the trend of crude oil will continue to rise during the day, and the probability of breaking through the 63 resistance and moving upward is relatively high.
💰 Strategy Package
Long Position: 60.5-61.5
EURUSD: Breaks Down : Is 1.11000 the Next Target?OANDA:EURUSD continues to follow its bearish trajectory after rejecting resistance within a clearly defined descending channel. At this key level, price formed a converging triangle pattern and has now broken to the downside, confirming strong selling pressure.
If sellers maintain control at this zone, we could see price fall toward 1.11000, a key support level that aligns well as a short-term target within the current bearish market structure. However, failure to break below this support could invalidate the bearish outlook and signal a potential recovery.
Traders should monitor for bearish confirmation signals, such as weak pullbacks, lower highs, or increasing sell volume before entering short positions.
If you agree with this outlook or have additional insights, feel free to share your thoughts in the comments!
Gold Pullback or Bounce? Watch This Key LevelOANDA:XAUUSD is currently undergoing a correction after being rejected from the upper boundary of its ascending channel. Price is now approaching the lower edge of the channel, which aligns with a major demand zone. The confluence of the ascending trendline and horizontal demand increases the likelihood of a bullish reaction from this area.
If buyers manage to hold control at this level, we may see a rebound toward the 3,450 level, which corresponds with the upper boundary of the channel. This would be a reasonable target within the current bullish market structure.
However, a failure to hold above this support zone could invalidate the bullish outlook and signal a continuation of the downtrend. Traders should look for confirmation signals such as rejection wicks, rising volume, or bullish engulfing candles before entering long positions.
If you agree with this analysis or have any additional insights, feel free to share your thoughts below!
Gold Holds Steady at $3,300 – Is the Rebound Just Beginning?Hello dear traders,
Today, OANDA:XAUUSD is finally showing signs of stability. The metal has successfully rejected a critical support level, an area that has historically attracted strong buying interest. This level is closely tied to the psychological $3,300 mark and continues to serve as a pivotal technical zone for market participants.
Recent price action confirms bullish interest with strong rejection candlesticks featuring long lower wicks followed by bullish follow-through. The support zone remains intact and buyers have stepped in, initiating an upward move.
Now that the price has bounced from this level, the probability of a continued bullish move increases. If momentum persists, gold could rise toward the $3,340 level, a reasonable short-term target based on past structure and minor resistance.
However, failure to hold above $3,300 or a sudden shift in market sentiment could still pose downside risks. A confirmed breakdown below the white support zone would invalidate the bullish setup and potentially open the door to deeper corrections.
Earlier on Wednesday, gold attracted dip buyers once again as it retested the $3,300 level. The overnight rebound in the U.S. dollar lost steam amid ongoing concerns about U.S. fiscal stability and rising bets on Fed rate cuts. Both of these factors tend to support non-yielding gold. Additionally, geopolitical tensions between Russia and Ukraine continue to boost safe-haven demand.
Always remember to confirm your setups and use proper risk management.
Gold price shorts stabilize, continuing to fall
💡Message Strategy
Gold prices fell into a weak consolidation pattern as the U.S. dollar continued to rebound and market risk appetite increased, suppressing safe-haven demand. Although it rebounded slightly, it failed to stand firm at $3,300, indicating that the upper resistance is still strong.
From a fundamental perspective, the recently released US durable goods orders and consumer confidence index performed better than expected, providing support for the US dollar.
Specific data showed that US durable goods orders fell 6.3% in April, better than the expected -7.9%, although far lower than the revised value of 7.6% last month; core orders (excluding transportation) recorded an increase of 0.2%. In addition, the US consumer confidence index rebounded sharply to 98 in May, the largest monthly increase in nearly four years, reflecting the improvement of economic and employment prospects.
Trump's postponement of the 50% tariff on the European Union until July 9 has strengthened risk appetite in the short term and weakened the safe-haven demand for gold. However, there are still major uncertainties in trade policy, coupled with the continued deterioration of the US fiscal situation and continued geopolitical risks, which provide some support for gold prices.
In addition, the market generally expects the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates twice in 2025, and this prospect is gradually being factored into gold prices. In particular, if the "Beauty Act" is passed, it will aggravate the fiscal deficit, which may put medium-term pressure on the US dollar and provide long-term support for non-yielding gold.
📊Technical aspects
On the technical level, gold prices fell below the short-term rising trend line on Tuesday and then fell further. It is currently testing the $3,300 level where the 200-period moving average of the 4-hour chart is located. Once the moving average is clearly broken and a valid close is formed, the short-term downward trend may be confirmed.
The initial support level below is in the $3,250-3,245 area. This range has formed a consolidation platform in the past few trading days. Once it falls below or triggers more stop-loss selling, the target will point to the $3,200 integer mark.
Therefore, for the next gold, the best way is to suppress the decline at 3320, break through 3285 (expand the range to find 3275), and successfully break through the downward switching space range of about 30-40 US dollars. If the price breaks through 3320, it will be treated as a sweep, waiting for the upper side to determine the higher resistance of 3330-3325, and then look down to 3285 (expand the range to find 3275), breaking through the switching space
💰 Strategy Package
Short Position：3320-3330,3340-3350
Waiting for the Golden Reversal!After a clean 5-wave bearish impulse, gold has finally tapped into a high-probability reversal zone! Here's what I'm seeing:
🔹 Break of structure confirmed at 3337.46
🔹 Price extended all the way to the 4.236 – 4.786 fib zone (3244–3228)
🔹 Landed perfectly in the SNR zone (3238–3231)
🔹 Bullish divergence spotted on the Awesome Oscillator (AO)
🔹 Now printing a bullish engulfing right at demand? 👀
📍 This is a textbook reversal setup.
💡 Waiting to Buy:
If price shows continued bullish intent or lower timeframe confirmation, I’m looking to enter long from the 3238–3231 area, targeting back to the Fib retracement zones and potentially the structure break at 3337.46.
🛡️ SL just below the 4.786 fib extension for safety.
🔥 Summary:
✅ Structure broken
✅ AO divergence
✅ Engulfing at SNR + fib confluence
🎯 Buy zone activated – now waiting for confirmation!
📌 Let the market come to you. No rush. Just watching for that golden reversal.
#XAUUSD #GoldReversal #FibExtension #AOdivergence #ElliottWave #BullishSetup #BuyZone #SmartTrading #ForexAnalysis
GOLD(XAUUSD): Very Bearish Pattern📉GOLD formed a notable head and shoulders pattern at a significant daily/intraday horizontal resistance.
A bearish breakout from its horizontal neckline indicates strong selling pressure.
It is likely that the price will continue to decline, potentially reaching the 3219 level.
10YR US Treasury Note Chart Fibonacci Analysis 052825Trading Idea
1) Find a FIBO slingshot
2) Check FIBO 61.80% level
3) Entry Point > 112/61.80%
Chart time frame:B
A) 15 min(1W-3M)
B) 1 hr(3M-6M)
C) 4 hr(6M-1year)
D) 1 day(1-3years)
Stock progress: A
A) Keep rising over 61.80% resistance
B) 61.80% resistance
C) 61.80% support
D) Hit the bottom
E) Hit the top
XRP Is Quiet—But This Calm Is Deceptive!Yello Paradisers—have you noticed how #XRP isn't on anyone’s radar right now? It’s not trending, no one’s hyping it, and to many, it’s just another slow mover. But here’s the thing: this type of silence often comes before the real storm, and the technical are quietly lining up.
💎#XRPUSDT is seeing now a period of consolidation The 1D bullish trend structure has been broken, and since then, price has entered into a tightening consolidation phase. While this may seem like indecision, it’s more likely a preparation for a potential high-probability upside expansion.
💎Price is now hovering just above the 0.786 Fibonacci level (~$2.25), which has started acting as a soft support. This is not a level to blindly trust, but one to monitor for reactions. If price manages to hold here, the next high-probability target lies at the short-term resistance around $2.5917, followed by major resistance at $2.9480, which aligns with a broader liquidity zone.
💎One key factor to keep in mind: the descending trendline liquidity has not been swept for a long time. That uncollected liquidity still sits just overhead, and markets usually don’t leave such inefficiencies behind forever. A spike toward that zone becomes increasingly probable the longer we range here.
💎At the same time, the MTF EMA on the daily chart is acting as a soft dynamic resistance, pushing the price down gradually. This setup increases the probability that we may see another touch of the 0.786 level. If that fails to hold decisively, the next likely area of interest will be the major support zone around $2.00.
💎Still, that major support remains unbroken and continues to act as a probability-backed structure for potential bullish defense. Until we get a clean daily candle close below $1.791 (invalidation level), this entire zone remains technically favorable for a potential reversal or liquidity sweep to the upside.
We are playing it safe right now, Paradisers. If you want to be consistently profitable, you need to be extremely patient and always wait only for the best, highest probability trading opportunities.
MyCryptoParadise
iFeel the success🌴
Gold Weekly Outlook: Bullish Breakout on DeckHello,
🪙 XAU/USD Weekly Outlook
📅 May 25 – 30, 2025
📍 Current Price: $3,355.35
📈 RSI (1D): 57.99 — Neutral to mild bullish momentum
🔮 Summary & Key Levels
Gold remains bullish, supported by USD weakness, geopolitical tension, and safe-haven demand. Without hawkish shocks, expect a test of $3,440+ this week.
Level Significance Likelihood
$3,300 – $3,355 Support zone, dip-buying likely 🔵 High
$3,355 – $3,390 Current range, mild upside grind 🟡 Moderate
$3,390 – $3,440 Key resistance test 🟢 Likely if USD weak
$3,440 – $3,500 Breakout extension zone 🟠 Conditional (Fed/dovish data needed)
< $3,280 Bearish invalidation 🔴 Unlikely barring major USD reversal
🧭 Directional Bias:
Bullish with breakout potential — driven by rising U.S. debt concerns, Fed rate cut talk, and risk aversion.
🔍 Supporting Factors
US Dollar Weakness:
USD dropped 1.4–2.3% vs majors; JPY & CHF gained as safe havens.
Moody’s downgrade of U.S. credit rating and weak Treasury auctions amplify fiscal stress.
Trump’s tariff threats revive trade war fears, pressuring USD further.
Fed & Inflation Watch:
Fed speakers mixed; Waller hinted at cuts if tariffs escalate.
May 31 Core PCE inflation data critical — softer print could ignite breakout.
Safe-Haven Rotation:
JPY & CHF strength signals risk hedging.
Global tensions, equity fragility, Middle East unrest support gold demand.
🌐 Global Macro Highlights & Gold Implications
Region Highlights Gold Impact
🇺🇸 US Fiscal strain, downgrade, mixed data 🟢 Bullish
🇪🇺 Eurozone Hawkish ECB, stable inflation 🟡 Mildly bullish
🇬🇧 UK Strong CPI, Brexit optimism ⚪ Neutral
🇯🇵 Japan Hawkish BoJ pivot, rising inflation 🟢 Safe-haven driver
🇨🇭 Switzerland CHF rally, deflation concerns 🟢 Risk-off tone
🇨🇦🇦🇺🇳🇿 Mixed data, dovish bias ⚪ Commodity FX support
📅 Key Events to Watch (May 25–30)
Date Event Impact on Gold
Daily Fed speakers (Waller, Bostic) 🟠 Dovish tone supports gold
Friday US Core PCE Inflation 🟥 Major catalyst — soft print = breakout risk
Anytime Trump tariff announcements 🟥 Volatility spike = bullish catalyst
Ongoing Risk sentiment & equity volatility 🟠 Supports safe-haven flows
✅ Bottom Line
Gold’s technical and macro setup is strong. A push above $3,390 could open a move toward $3,440–$3,470, especially if Friday’s PCE data disappoints or trade tensions escalate. Downside limited unless USD sentiment reverses sharply.
The Support and Resistance outlined in green and red are the respective support/resistance for this pair currently for 1M-1Y timeframes!
No Nonsense. Just Really Good Market Insights. Leave a Boost
TradeWithTheTrend3344
FTSE 100 Wave Analysis – 28 May 2025
- FTSE 100 index reversed from key resistance level 8800.00
- Likely to fall to support level 8650,00
The FTSE 100 index recently reversed from the key resistance level 8800.00 (which has been steadily reversing the index from the start of February).
The resistance area near the resistance level 8800.00 was strengthened by the upper daily Bollinger Band.
Given the overbought daily Stochastic, FTSE 100 index can be expected to fall to the next support level 8650,00 (former top of wave (1) from the start of May).
Silver Wave Analysis – 28 May 2025
- Silver reversed from resistance level 33.70
- Likely to fall to support level 31.70
Silver recently reversed from the resistance level 33.70 (which is the upper border of the sideways price range inside which the price has been trading from April).
The resistance area near the resistance level 33.70 was strengthened by the upper daily Bollinger Band.
Silver can be expected to fall to the next support level 31.70 (lower border of the active sideways price, which reversed the previous waves a and 2).
$ZB - 30y Treasury Futures Sell off in Equity Risk OnThe 30-Year Treasury Bond Futures (ZB) sold off notably, driven by a combination of macro headlines and technical positioning. A key catalyst was the European Union’s decision to postpone the implementation of retaliatory auto tariffs until July 9th, which temporarily eased geopolitical tensions and triggered a risk-on rotation into equities — at the expense of duration-heavy fixed income assets.
From a technical standpoint, ZB fell sharply from the upper 3 standard deviation Bollinger Band and found support near the 2 standard deviation band, where it stabilized. It then retraced roughly 50% of the move, tagging the 20-period simple moving average. Market participants are now closely watching whether the contract completes a full measured move lower to 111'19, a level that represents:
The 100% Fibonacci extension of the prior decline
A test of the lower 3 standard deviation band
A notable inefficiency zone on the hourly chart
While the MOVE Index has declined and is now tracking sideways — signaling reduced bond market volatility — traders remain focused on long-end supply, fiscal slippage, and global rate re-alignments. Until these themes settle, technical levels like 111'19 may continue to act as magnets for price discovery in long-dated Treasuries.
