Support and Resistance
$300k+: LVDT estimated BTC ATH target this cycle.According to my old LVDT indicator, BTC should reach $300k or even higher at ATH this cycle.
The real parabolic (banana zone) run will only start when BTC touches the thick red line again.
Time to gradually DCA sell every time BTC pierces significantly above the thick red line (signaling a potential point of Blow-off-Top).
I plan to be updating this tread from time to time as the chart progresses until the absolute "Sell" signal is triggered.
NZDCHF → Pre-breakdown consolidation on a downtrendFX:NZDCHF is forming a pre-breakout consolidation amid a downtrend. Focus on support at 0.4759. Global and local trends are down...
On July 10-11, the currency pair attempted to break out of the trend. In the chart, it looks like a resistance breakout, but technically it was a short squeeze aimed at accumulating liquidity before the fall. We can see that the price quickly returned back and the market is testing the low from which the trap formation began. The risk zone for the market is 0.4759 - 0.475. In simple terms, this is a bull trap against the backdrop of a downtrend. The NZD has passed through the risk zone. At this time, the currency pair is forming a pre-breakout consolidation relative to the support level of 0.4759 with the aim of continuing its decline.
Support levels: 0.4759, 0.4753
Resistance levels: 0.477, 0.4782
A breakout of the 0.4759 level and consolidation in the sell zone could trigger a continuation of the decline within the main and local trends.
Best regards, R. Linda!
THE KOG REPORT - UpdateEnd of day update from us here at KOG:
Madness on the markets. I can honestly say, if you're less experienced in these markets, and like some of you trading with large lots and large or no SL's, you're unfortunately going to get yourself into a little bit of a pickle.
Did it go to plan today? Yes, and no! We followed the path which worked, but then we wanted support to hold at the bias level 3340 to then push us back upside. We got a small bounce for 100pips on the red box indicators but ideally we wanted this to completed the move up before coming back down. We're now at crucial support 3320 with resistance at the 3335-40 region, which, if we hold here without breaching should be a decent retracement on this move.
Other than that, I can say our plan for today wasn't as we hoped, we took an SL but then got a 100pip bounce. It is what it is
RED BOXES:
Break above 3365 for 3372, 3375, 3388 and 3406 in extension of the move
Break below 3350 for 3335✅, 3330✅, 3326✅ and 3307 in extension of the move
As always, trade safe.
KOG
TIA Double Bottomed, $4.5 PossibleBYBIT:TIAUSDT.P bottomed out at the $2.3 level. From there, its initial rally took it to the $3.4 level. If a bottom formation occurs again at its current level, another rally could push it first to the $3.8 level, and if the rally is strong, potentially up to $4.5. Strength into higher levels are critical.
SMCI going to breakout soon, targeting $200NASDAQ:SMCI hasfound support at $28, it is currently trading around the $46 level. It is attempting to test the $50-$61 range for the third time and will likely turn this level into support with a breakout.
$200 could be a good psychological target. The relative strength against the SP:SPX is about to turn positive in favor of the stock, and I expect volume to increase in the coming days.
MARA Showing Classic Wyckoff Reaccumulation SetupI’m currently observing what appears to be a Wyckoff Reaccumulation Schematic developing in MARA (Marathon Digital Holdings). After a significant decline, the price seems to have found a floor with a clear Selling Climax (SC), followed by an Automatic Rally (AR) that established the upper boundary of the trading range. The price action since then has remained largely within this range, showing multiple Secondary Tests (ST) that confirm both support and resistance levels. The structure and volume behavior suggest that MARA is likely in Phase C of the Wyckoff reaccumulation process, where we typically anticipate a spring or shakeout to test supply before the next leg higher. If the schematic continues to unfold according to the Wyckoff method, we could see signs of Phase D soon, which would involve a successful test of the spring and a rally back toward resistance with increasing demand. This would set the stage for a potential breakout, marking the beginning of Phase E. I’m closely watching price behavior near the lower range, along with volume confirmation, to validate this scenario. While the structure is still developing, the current formation is consistent with historical reaccumulation patterns seen prior to bullish continuations.
EURGBP: Bullish Move From Support Confirmed?! 🇪🇺🇬🇧
There is a high chance that EURGBP will bounce
from a key intraday horizontal support cluster.
The market looks bullish after UK CPI release this morning.
Goal - 0.8684
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Bitcoin Price in Clear Bullish TrendBTCUSDT has formed a strong support zone around 115,500, where the price recently faced rejection, signalling potential bullish momentum. This zone is acting as a solid base, and any sustained move above the current levels could trigger an aggressive upward move.
Breakout Confirmation: A 1H candle close above 118,500 would confirm bullish continuation Upside Targets: 120,150 and 123,200,
A successful breakout above 118,500 could open the path toward 120K investor needs to monitor our chart.
PS:: Support with like and comments for more better analysis Thanks.
Golden Support Holds — Bulls Poised for Another Leg Higher"If gold cannot break through the 3365-3375 area, gold will fall under pressure again, or refresh the recent low of 3341, and continue to the 3335-3325 area." Gold's performance today is completely in line with my expectations. Gold just retreated to a low of around 3320, but soon recovered above 3325, proving that there is strong buying support below.
From the current gold structure, the short-term support below is mainly concentrated in the 3320-3310 area. If gold slows down its downward momentum and its volatility converges when it approaches this area, then after the gold bearish sentiment is vented, a large amount of off-site wait-and-see funds will flow into the gold market to form strong buying support, thereby helping gold regain its bullish trend again, thereby starting a retaliatory rebound, or a technical repair rebound.
Therefore, for short-term trading, I still insist on trying to go long on gold in the 3330-3320 area, first expecting gold to recover some of its lost ground and return to the 3340-3350 area.
BUY ETHUSDT 16.7.2025Confluence order: BUY at M15
Type of order: Limit order
Reason:
- M15~FIBO 0,5-0,618 (same position)
Note:
- Management of money carefully at the price of sub key M15 (3152)
Set up entry:
- Entry buy at 3137
- SL at 3127
- TP1: 3152
- TP2: 3164
Trading Method: Price action (No indicator, only trend and candles)
BUY XAUUSD 16.7.2025Trend Resumption at H1: BUY at M15
Type of order: Limit order
Reason:
- The price brokeout the sub key of M15, confirming the uptrend into main key M15.
Note:
- Management of money carefully at the price of sub key M15 (3335)
Set up entry:
- Entry buy at 3325
- SL at 3319
- TP1: 3335
- TP2: 3347
Trading Method: Price action (No indicator, only trend and candles)
AUDUSD: Consolidation ContinuesThe AUDUSD is currently consolidating within a broad horizontal channel.
A notable bearish response to resistance has occurred, with the formation of a cup and handle pattern leading to a decline.
There is a strong likelihood that the price will soon hit the 0.6500 level.
DENTA – SMC & Breakout Structure Analysis (Jul 2025)Accumulation/Distribution: Long consolidation near ₹270–₹311
Break of Structure (BOS): Trendline breakout + recent close above prior top
Neutral toward Bullish: Awaiting volume and price action confirmation to validate trend shift
1. Defined Range Structure
Support ~₹270 (red line) holding over 4+ months
Resistance ~₹311–₹315 (blue line) tested multiple times before today
2. Possible Breakout Attempt
Price has breached the descending trend line—an early mark of bullish structure shift
Close is marginally above resistance, but lacks volume confirmation for breakout validation
3. Volume & Confirmation
No substantial volume spike yet—breakouts typically require accompanying volume
Watch for multi-session closes above ₹315 with sustained volume to support continuation
4. Pullback as an Opportunity
Retracing into ₹305–₹310 could form a higher-low
Such a move would align with healthy trend behavior, offering clearer structure and stronger validation
EURAUD Flag Forming Below 1.80 – Time to Sell the Rally?📈 The Big Picture
In mid-February, EURAUD exploded to the upside, gaining over 2000 pips in just two weeks. After peaking near 1.85, the pair corrected sharply, returning to more balanced levels around 1.72.
🕰️ What’s happened since?
The market has resumed its climb and just recently made a new local high at 1.81. On the surface, it looks like bulls are still in control – but a closer look reveals warning signs.
🔍 Key structure observations:
• The current rally appears to be a measured move, topping out near the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of the previous drop
• Price structure is overlapping, suggesting weak momentum
• A large flag pattern is developing – typically bearish in this context
• The pair still trades above the ascending trendline, but a breakdown is looming
📍 Current price: 1.7805
🎯 Swing Trade Plan
From a swing trading perspective, I’m looking to sell rallies near the 1.80 zone, with:
• Negation: if the price breaks clearly above the recent high
• Target: the recent low around 1.7250 – where the last correction ended
________________________________________
📌 Conclusion:
EURAUD may have exhausted its bullish energy. The technical picture suggests we are in the late stage of the rally, with bearish patterns stacking up. Unless bulls manage a clean breakout above 1.80, this looks like a great place to position for a medium-term reversal. 🚀
Disclosure: I am part of TradeNation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
ETH - what next??Ethereum is perfectly touching a macro uptrend (5 touches acting as Support). Price has recently rallied but is currently pausing for breath. Could the uptrend begin to act as resistance? A break above this line would invalidate this thesis. Equally there is a huge resistance zone @ 3,550 - 4,100
And then there is the ATH
So there are a few hurdles in the way of printing a new ATH.
If Ethereum fails to break above the uptrend the fib retracement tool could take price to 1,900 (.618).
The next few days/weeks will give us an indication as to which direction we are headed.
Public short selling profit, NY short-term multiple layoutInterest rate futures data showed that the results were in line with our previous expectations, with a lower rate cut this month and a higher probability of a 25 basis point cut in September. In the short term, gold may first take profits and then rebound. NY session trading has just begun. Bros can pay attention to the 3335-3330 area below. If it falls back and stabilizes, you can consider participating in long positions, defending 3325 and targeting 3355-3365.
OANDA:XAUUSD
TLT ShortTLT 1H Technical Analysis
📈 Outlook:
The current setup suggests a bearish continuation scenario:
A corrective move toward the 85.20–85.60 supply.
Rejection from this area confirms continuation of the downtrend.
Target: 83.20–83.60, where resting liquidity and untested demand reside.
This sequence follows a classic liquidity sweep + supply mitigation + continuation pattern. Unless price breaks convincingly above 85.80, the bearish outlook remains intact.
🔼 Supply Zones (Bearish Liquidity Layers):
Primary Zone: 85.20–85.60
This is the most immediate area of interest, aligning closely with the 50% equilibrium level of the last bearish impulse (~85.84). Price is likely to reject from here as it also coincides with a previously unmitigated supply block and market inefficiency.
Stacked Supply Above: 86.40–88.00
Should price break the lower supply, these zones will come into play. However, the current structure suggests strong probability of rejection before reaching these levels.
🔽 Demand Zones (Target Areas):
First Demand: 83.20–83.60
This is your marked initial downside target. It represents the next logical draw on liquidity and aligns with prior accumulation and support structure. It’s likely to act as a temporary reaction zone or the next entry point for accumulation.
Deeper Demand Zone: 82.40–82.80
Marked by your secondary border, this range offers higher time-frame confluence and could act as the final sweep zone if the 83s fail to hold.
XAUUSD 1HXAUUSD 1H Technical Analysis
📈 Expected Scenario:
Your projection implies the following:
Short-term pullback into the 3,305–3,315 demand zone.
A bullish reversal from this level, supported by price structure and prior demand imbalance.
Upside targets: First at 3,365 (minor supply), then extension toward 3,385–3,400.
This view is technically valid, as the market seems to be collecting liquidity below intermediate lows while maintaining structural integrity.
📌 Key Zones ("Your Borders"):
🔽 Demand Zone (Support)
Location: 3,305 to 3,315
Purpose: Your chart illustrates this as the primary reaccumulation zone. It aligns with a mid-structure demand zone and could serve as the launchpad for the next leg up, especially if paired with bullish order flow or volume confirmation.
Below this: A deeper, stronger demand lies around 3,285–3,295 (also marked by your 0.5 level at ≈3,286.14), which may act as a final liquidity grab zone before continuation.
🔼 Supply Zones (Resistance)
Lower Supply: 3,355–3,365
Upper Supply: 3,375–3,385
These zones represent potential profit-taking areas for any longs initiated at the demand. A breakout above 3,385 would suggest a continuation toward the 3,400–3,420 macro resistance.