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Support and Resistance

GJ Potentially BearishHi there, We take another look at GJ. I see an ascending channel pattern with GBP/JPY trading within parallel trendlines. The pair respected both the upper and lower boundaries of this bullish channel, with the current price action showing consolidation near the upper resistance around 198.20 levels. 🎙️ **Key Support and Resistance Levels** We have critical levels at the time of this writing as following: - **Immediate Support**: 197.30 (61.8% Fibonacci retracement level) and 196.434 (38.2% Fibonacci retracement) - **Major Support**: 194.0 37 representing the main channel support - **Resistance**: 198.80 acting as the primary obstacle. - **Extended Target**: 199.55 as the next potential bullish objective **Wave Structure Analysis** We have ABC wave pattern, with the pair seeming to have completed a Wave (C) bullish rally and now forming a temporary retracement. The current consolidation suggests the pair is "catching its breath" before a breakout. ## 🎲 Some Fundamental Highlights Appealing to Bullish Bias: **1. Bank of England's Cautious Easing Stance** BoE Governor Bailey has signaled a "gradual and careful" approach to monetary policy, pointing to sticky inflation concerns while acknowledging a softening labor market with over 100,000 fewer payrolled workers in May. This measured approach is keeping the British Pound supported near year-to-date highs. **2. Bank of Japan's Divided Policy Response** The BoJ remains cautious despite rising inflationary pressures, with Governor Ueda maintaining a data-dependent approach. While hawkish board member Naoki Tamura suggests "decisive" rate hikes may be needed, the central bank's measured pace at just 0.5% rates keeps the Yen defensive against stronger currencies. **3. Inflation Dynamics Favoring GBP** Japan's Consumer Price Index has surged due to higher food and energy costs, yet the BoJ's hesitant response contrasts with the BoE's more proactive stance on inflation management. This divergence in central bank responses to inflation is supporting GBP strength against the Yen. **4. Upcoming Japanese Economic Data Releases** Key Japanese economic indicators are scheduled for release, including June Tokyo CPI, May Unemployment Rate, and Retail Trade data. These releases could provide clarity on the BoJ's future policy direction and potentially impact the Yen's performance against the Pound. Happy Trading, K. Not trading advice.
Short
by Khiwe
PIVXUSDT Holding Key Support Within Falling WedgePIVXUSDT continues its descent within a falling wedge structure, currently stabilizing above a key support zone. Price is now poised to retest the Immediate Internal Resistance Level. A breakout above this level could trigger a reversal, while rejection may lead to a new low toward the strong accumulation zone a potential high-probability buy area. Targets toward the projected final upside are highlighted on the chart. Monitor closely for confirmation at the resistance level to define the next move recommended.
by weslad
Sol searching, for an entry. If you find this information inspiring/helpful, please consider a boost and follow! Any questions or comments, please leave a comment! The Elliottician’s Paradox: 12-12 or Zigzag? Bias Is the Key Ever stare at a chart and ask, “Is that a 12-12 or a classic zigzag?” Yeah… welcome to the paradox we Elliotticians live in. Pattern recognition’s a blessing and a curse because context is everything, but confidence can get you wrecked. This one’s got me on the edge. What’s Happening Here We’re currently watching a move that could be either: - A corrective zigzag (5-3-5), or - A 1-2, 1-2 setup, gearing up for a blastoff That’s the core dilemma — two valid options, both technically legal. So what tips the scales? Bias. The Line in the Sand: 152 Here’s what I’m watching for: Key Level: 152 - That’s the bull/bear line for me. - A strong impulsive reclaim above 152 flips the script. I’d reconsider the bearish view if price surges with intent. - But if we return to 152 in a sluggish, corrective way? I’ll be eyeing continuation lower, aligned with a more traditional zigzag structure. Elliott View This is where the paradox plays out: If we’re looking at a 1-2, 1-2 setup, expect: - A powerful Wave 3 soon (should not be shy) If it’s a Zigzag ABC: - Then we should expect a corrective internal retracement and continuation to the down side, at minimum past the origin of the initial move. The chart will speak loudest. But structure and strength of this next leg will confirm the story. Final Thoughts Trading isn’t about being right. It’s about managing scenarios — and this one’s a classic fork-in-the-road moment. I’ve got a plan for both directions. 152 is my trigger. Stay below it and fade the rally. Break above it impulsively, and I’ll flip my bias with it. The Elliottician’s paradox isn’t a trap — it’s an invitation to stay sharp. Your Turn How are you reading this structure? Do you favor the zigzag or the 1-2 setup? Drop a comment and let me know. Trade safe, trade clarity!
COINBASE:SOLUSDShort
by CryptoKnee
U.S. dollar index DXY analysis- daily time frame ✅ U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) Analysis — Daily Timeframe 👤 A TVC:DXY trader’s perspective: When I look at this chart, several key points immediately stand out: 1️⃣ Long-Term Trend On the weekly and daily timeframe, the major trend has turned bearish after peaking around 114. We see a clear series of lower highs and lower lows confirming the downtrend. The sharp rally from 89 to 114 in the past was a strong impulsive move, which is now undergoing a deep correction. Currently, price is hovering around a major historical support near 96. 2️⃣ Key Support Zone The current price near 96.7 is sitting right at a significant support area that has triggered considerable buying interest in the past. If this support decisively breaks, the green zone marked as DD (around 93–95) represents a strong long-term demand zone and will likely be the next liquidity target for buyers. 3️⃣ Resistance (Supply Zones) The four red-marked 4HR zones between 97 and 101.9 clearly show significant supply zones where sellers have stepped in on lower timeframes. Should the price attempt a bounce from current levels, these resistance areas may act as a strong barrier to further upside. 4️⃣ Price Structure and Liquidity Looking more closely, the market seems to be moving from a consolidation phase toward lower support liquidity. That means there is a high probability of a liquidity grab toward the 93–95 area before a potential fresh bullish leg. At higher levels, unless the price can break and hold above 98 and then 100, we cannot confirm a trend reversal. 🔹 Summary ✅ Overall downtrend remains dominant ✅ 96–97 is a critical support zone ✅ A break below this support targets 93–95 ✅ Trend reversal only possible with a confirmed break and hold above 98, and then 100–101 ✅ The 4HR resistance zones (97–101) are strong hurdles for any bullish retracement ✅ As long as price remains below 98, any rally is likely just a corrective move ⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell. All trading decisions are solely your own responsibility.
TVC:DXY
by AliSMA25
Gold may collapse again, don't get buried in it!In the past two trading days, gold began to rebound from a low of around 3245, and has now rebounded to around 3358, with a rebound of up to $113. Moreover, there has been no significant retracement during this rebound, indicating that gold has little intention to fall, and may even continue to rise. But for me, gold rebounded from 3245. Even if a double bottom structure with 3275 as the secondary low was constructed on the technical level, it should not be enough for gold to rebound more than $113 in just two days as it fell below many supports in the early stage and bullish confidence suffered a serious blow. Moreover, it happened before the uncertain news of the NFP market. So I have to consider that the market did it deliberately, and its primary purpose was to kill a large number of short chips in the market and lure more attracted long chips; secondly, the sharp rise before the NFP market may be to reserve room for the NFP market to fall in advance; in addition, I have to consider that the US dollar has fallen to a three-year low. If it continues to fall, there may be a global crisis of confidence in the US dollar, and the oversold rebound demand for the US dollar will also suppress gold. Therefore, I still will not advocate chasing the rise of gold for the time being; on the contrary, I will actively seek opportunities to short gold in the 3350-3370 area; and once gold turns to a downward trend again, it may at least test the 3325-3315-3305 area downward in the short term.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Trading_Steffen
1
AUDUSD InsightHello to all our subscribers, Please feel free to share your personal opinions in the comments. Don't forget to like and subscribe. Key Points - According to the U.S. Department of Labor’s Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS), job openings in May increased by 374,000 from the previous month to 7.769 million, significantly exceeding market expectations of 7.3 million. - U.S. President Trump has indicated that he has no intention of further extending the reciprocal tariff exemption set to expire on the 9th, warning that tariffs of 30% to 35% could be imposed on Japan. - Trump's tax cut proposal has dramatically passed the Senate and is now awaiting passage in the House. President Trump aims to sign the bill into law before July 4th. - Australia's May CPI rose 2.1% year-on-year, falling short of market expectations. Some analysts now expect the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) to cut interest rates in July. Key Economic Events This Week + July 2: U.S. June ADP Non-Farm Employment Change + July 3: U.S. June Non-Farm Payrolls, U.S. June Unemployment Rate AUDUSD Chart Analysis The pair has been steadily rising and recently reached the 0.66000 level. In the longer term, a rise toward the 0.69000 level seems likely. However, expectations of a rate cut by the Reserve Bank of Australia have introduced new uncertainty. There is also minor resistance near the 0.67000 level, which could lead to a potential reversal if market conditions align. While maintaining a bullish outlook, we will closely monitor the price action around the 0.67000 level.
Long
by shawntime_academy
Nikkei 225 Wave Analysis – 1 July 2025 - Nikkei 225 reversed from resistance zone - Likely to fall to support level 39000.00 Nikkei 225 index recently reversed down with the Evening Star from the resistance zone between the resistance levels 40000.00 and 40550.00 (former multi month high from January). This resistance zone was strengthened by the upper daily Bollinger Band and by the resistance trendline of the daily up channel from May. Given the strength of the aforementioned resistance zone and the overbought daily Stochastic, Nikkei 225 index can be expected to fall to the next support level 39000.00.
PEPPERSTONE:JPN225Short
by FxProGlobal
Bank of America Wave Analysis – 1 July 2025 - Bank of America reached resistance level 48.00 - Likely to fall to support level 46.00 Bank of America recently reached the powerful multi-month resistance level 48.00, which has been reversing the price from last November. The resistance zone near the resistance level 48.00 is strengthened by the upper daily Bollinger Band. Given the strength of the resistance level 48.00 and the overbought daily Stochastic, Bank of America can be expected to fall to the next support level 46.00.
NYSE:BACShort
by FxProGlobal
MVST - Bearish Head & Shoulders Breakdown Targeting $2.25–$2.75A classic Head and Shoulders pattern has formed on MVST's daily chart, with a clear neckline break to the downside. This technical setup suggests bearish momentum in the short term, with a likely price target between $2.25 and $2.75. This zone also aligns with a prior consolidation area and dynamic support. I expect the stock to potentially find a bottom in this area. If MVST can deliver strong Q2 earnings in August, a bullish reversal from that demand zone could follow.
NASDAQ:MVSTShort
by Kujik
1
NZDUSD to continue in the upward move?NZDUSD - 24h expiry There is no clear indication that the upward move is coming to an end. Although we remain bullish overall, a correction is possible with plenty of room to move lower without impacting the trend higher. Risk/Reward would be poor to call a buy from current levels. A move through 0.6100 will confirm the bullish momentum. The measured move target is 0.6130. We look to Buy at 0.6075 (stop at 0.6050) Our profit targets will be 0.6125 and 0.6130 Resistance: 0.6100 / 0.6125 / 0.6130 Support: 0.6075 / 0.6060 / 0.6050 Risk Disclaimer The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit. You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy. Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
Long
by OANDA
Dow Jones Wave Analysis – 1 July 2025 - Dow Jones broke the resistance zone - Likely to rise to resistance level 45000.00 Dow Jones index recently broke the resistance zone located at the intersection of the resistance level 44000.00 (former top of wave iv from March) and the resistance trendline of the daily up channel from May. The breakout of this resistance zone accelerated the active impulse wave (3) – which is part of the multi-month upward ABC correction 2 from April. Dow Jones index can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 45000.00 (target price for the completion of the active impulse wave (C)).
DJ:DJILong
by FxProGlobal
Trip Wave Analysis – 1 July 2025- Trip broke daily down channel - Likely to rise to resistance level 14.50 Trip recently broke the resistance trendline of the daily down channel from the start of May (inside which the price has been falling in the last few weeks). The breakout of this down channel accelerated the active short-term corrective wave (ii) – which is part of the downward impulse wave C from last month. Trip can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 14.50 (which reversed the previous waves ii and (2) at the start of June).
NASDAQ:TRIPLong
by FxProGlobal
I hold on to my short position and wait patiently.Currently, gold continues to rebound to around 3358, and there has been no decent retracement during the rebound, so during the trading period, apart from chasing the rise, there are almost no opportunities to go long on gold; so is the steady rise in gold during the day brewing a bigger rally? I think there are three reasons for the continued rise of gold: 1. The continued weakness of the US dollar provides support for the strong rise of gold; 2. The trapped long chips have recently shown self-rescue behavior, and strong buying funds have driven gold up; 3. The market intends to eliminate and kill a large number of shorts in recent times; Based on the above reasons, I think it is not a wise decision to chase gold at present; on the contrary, I still prefer to short gold in the short term, and I still hold a short position now; the following are the reasons to support my insistence on shorting gold: 1. The US dollar has a technical rebound demand after a sharp drop, which will limit the rebound space of gold and suppress gold; 2. After the recent trapped long chips successfully rescue themselves, they may cash out in large quantities, thereby stimulating gold to fall again; 3. While killing the shorts, the market has also lured a large number of long funds to a certain extent. Based on the above reasons, I currently still hold short positions near 3345 and 3355, and hope that gold can retreat to the 3335-3325 area.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Trading_Steffen
3
NZDCAD Selling Trading IdeaHello Traders In This Chart nzdcad HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET today NZDCAD analysis 👆 🟢This Chart includes_ (NZDCAD market update) 🟢What is The Next Opportunity on NZDCAD Market 🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
Short
by ForexMasters2000
KHC | Reversal Breakout in Motion – Triggered with Target $31📍 Ticker: NASDAQ:KHC (The Kraft Heinz Company) 📆 Timeframe: 1D (Daily) 📉 Price: $26.61 📈 Pattern: Falling wedge breakout + horizontal support reclaim 📊 Breakout Probability: ~68% upward 🔍 Technical Setup: KHC has just broken above a descending wedge, paired with a clear reclaim of horizontal structure (~$26.00). Volume surged on the breakout candle, confirming participation. ✅ Falling wedge → bullish breakout confirmed 📈 RSI crossed 50 with strong upside momentum 📉 Prior resistance at $28.45 and $30.70 now set as key swing targets 🧠 Trade Plan: 📥 Entry Zone: $26.40–$26.70 (confirmed breakout) ⛔ Stop-Loss: Below $24.80 (beneath last major support & wedge base) 📐 Pattern Breakout Probability: ~68% bullish 🎯 Upside Targets & ROIC (from $26.61): Target Price Return 🎯 Target 1 $28.48 +7.04% 🎯 Target 2 $30.70 +15.4% ⚠️ Key Observations: Classic falling wedge structure → statistically strong setup High-volume breakout = institutional confirmation RSI breakout supports momentum Risk is tightly defined, reward is clearly measurable 💬 KHC is triggering a textbook breakout from a falling wedge pattern with strong volume confirmation. Backed by historical performance metrics, this setup carries a 68% probability of success. #KHC #BreakoutSetup #FallingWedge #TechnicalAnalysis #BulkowskiPatterns #TargetTraders
NASDAQ:KHCLong
by TargetTraders
Gold is in the Bearish DirectionHello Traders In This Chart GOLD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET today Gold analysis 👆 🟢This Chart includes_ (GOLD market update) 🟢What is The Next Opportunity on GOLD Market 🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by ForexMasters2000
Short gold, it may retreat again after reaching 3340-3350Although the rebound in gold has exceeded my expectations to a certain extent, it is obviously not a good time to chase the rise in gold. The gold rebound mainly benefits from Trump's repeated requests for the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates, which has led to the continued weakness of the US dollar. In fact, we can clearly see that the gold rebound is not supported by trading volume, and the rebound without volume may face the risk of collapse again at any time. So I don't advocate chasing long gold at present. Currently, gold has rebounded to around 3339, almost recovering most of the losses in the previous downward wave (the starting point of the previous wave was 3350), but gold is still under pressure in the 3340-3350-3355 area. In the absence of volume support, gold may fall again after touching this resistance area. Therefore, shorting gold is still the first choice for short-term trading at present; at least make sure not to chase high! You can consider shorting gold with the 3340-3350-3355 area as resistance, and look at the target: 3320-3310-3300
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Trading_Steffen
2
#BCHBTC #1W (Binance) Big falling wedge breakoutCRYPTOCAP:BCH just regained 50MA weekly support in sats, performing better than CRYPTOCAP:BTC Seems likely to continue bullish towards 200MA resistance, probably after a pull-back. ⚡️⚡️ #BCH/BTC ⚡️⚡️ Exchanges: Binance Signal Type: Regular (Long) Amount: 7.0% Current Price: 0.004885 Entry Targets: 1) 0.004657 Take-Profit Targets: 1) 0.006329 Stop Targets: 1) 0.003987 Published By: @Zblaba CRYPTOCAP:BCH BINANCE:BCHBTC #BitcoinCash #PoW bitcoincash.org Risk/Reward= 1:2.5 Expected Profit= +35.9% Possible Loss= -14.4% Estimated Gaintime= 4-7 months
Long
by TradingOn
1
#GBPUSD: Detailed View Of Next Possible Price Move! GBPUSD exhibited a favourable movement after rejecting a pivotal level previously identified. We anticipate a smooth upward trajectory, potentially reaching approximately 1.45. Conversely, the US Dollar is on the brink of collapse around 90, which will directly propel the price into our take-profit range. During GBPUSD trading, it is imperative to adhere to precise risk management principles. Significant news is scheduled to be released later this week. We kindly request your support by liking, commenting, and sharing this idea. Team Setupsfx_
Long
by Setupsfx_
14
STZ | Reversal Setup – 35-Year Channel Support + Falling WedgeTicker: NYSE:STZ (Constellation Brands Inc.) 📆 Timeframe: 1W (Weekly) 📉 Price: $166.74 📈 Pattern: Descending wedge + long-term parallel channel from 1989 📊 Pattern Breakout Probability: ~69% in favor of bullish reversal 🔍 Technical Setup: STZ is currently testing the lower bound of a macro rising channel going back to 1989 — a level historically associated with major market bottoms. At the same time, price is compressing inside a descending wedge, a high-probability bullish reversal structure. 📊 According to historical chart pattern statistics, falling wedges break upward ~68% of the time, especially when accompanied by rising volume and multi-decade support. 🧠 Trade Thesis: 📥 Buy Zone: $160–$170 ⛔ Stop-Loss: $150.79 (below wedge support, could be an increasing trailing stop) 📐 Probability of Upward Breakout: ~69%, based on classical pattern statistics 🎯 Upside Targets & ROIC (from $166.74): Target Price Return 🎯 Target 1 $218 +31.2% 🎯 Target 2 $257 +54.2% 🎯 Target 3 $273 +63.8% ⚠️ Why This Setup Is Exceptional: ✅ 35-year rising channel support — rarely tested ✅ Descending wedge compression = bullish tension ✅ Volume spike and price rejection = signs of bottoming ✅ Statistically supported pattern → ~7 in 10 chance of breakout 💬 STZ combines deep technical structure with statistically supported probabilities. This is the kind of trade setup where structure, price, and probabilities align. #STZ #FallingWedge #ChartPatterns #SwingSetup #TechnicalBreakout #TargetTraders
NYSE:STZLong
by TargetTraders