DXY Market Outlook: Eyes on 99.392Hello Traders,
DXY found buyers at the 97.921 level we tracked last week and managed to close daily candles above this level. We can now refer to this area as a rejection block (D + RB). This week, the block was retested and encountered rejection from buyers.
With this buyer reaction, our target is the peak level of the consolidation that brought the price here (99.392).
There's a minor level to watch along the way: 98.586. However, considering the key level where the price reacted and the weekly chart showing no major obstacles ahead, we believe that targeting the peak of the consolidation that initiated the last decline (99.392) is the more suitable approach.
Taking news data into account—and more importantly, geopolitical factors and unexpected developments—we still acknowledge the possibility of the price sweeping the low again. However, we don’t expect this to invalidate the overall scenario. With news catalysts, we anticipate the price reaching the target within the week.
Until the next update, wish you many pips!
Support and Resistance
XAUUSD and USOILHesitation Geopolitical factors have led to the escalation of relations between several countries. The Middle East is in chaos. Although this is a trading market, the relationship between the two is too close. This is why the Asian market XAUUSD reached a high of 3400.
But it is not stable. Because after the news that stimulated the rise in gold prices over the weekend, there were some negative news. For example, peace talks, time differences, negotiations and other factors have eased the tense atmosphere. Then the gold price fell with the trend, reaching a low of 3347.
From the overall situation, the market still has the momentum to rise in the short term. But this depends on Iran's response. Including the impact of the Strait of Hormuz. This is the key factor in the rise or fall of oil prices. Investors with larger funds can arrange long orders in advance.
The view on XAUUSD is to buy at low levels. The impact of geopolitics is too huge. On the basis of interest rate cuts, buying is the key to profit. But everyone's financial situation is different, so when trading, remember to control the position ratio. Prevent trading errors from leading to account liquidation.
DeGRAM | GOLD bullish takeover from support📊 Technical Analysis
● The XAUUSD 4-hour chart, as shown in the upper right corner, presents a clear bullish structure within a well-defined rising channel. Price action has consistently respected both the lower and upper boundaries of this channel, with multiple bounces off support levels reinforcing the trend. Recently, the chart highlights a “bullish takeover” after a brief pullback, where price found support at 3,345.47 and quickly reclaimed ground above the channel’s median. The forecasted path, illustrated by the projected arrows, suggests a continuation toward the resistance zone at 3,431.14, with the channel’s upper boundary acting as a dynamic target. The presence of higher lows and the swift recovery from the latest dip further confirm the underlying bullish momentum.
● The technical setup is strengthened by the clear identification of support and resistance levels. The 3,293.50 area has repeatedly served as a strong base, while the 3,431.14 level is marked as the next significant resistance. The rising channel itself provides a visual framework for the ongoing uptrend, and the recent bullish engulfing pattern at support signals renewed buying interest. The chart’s structure, with its clean trendlines and labeled zones, points to a high-probability scenario for further gains as long as price remains within the channel.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● Recent fundamentals support the technical case for continued upside in gold. As of June 22-23, 2025, gold is trading near 3,364, with market sentiment buoyed by ongoing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and persistent global economic uncertainty. While Citi has revised its long-term gold forecasts downward, Bank of America maintains a bullish outlook, citing safe-haven demand amid US military actions and inflation concerns. Additionally, the latest data shows that gold remains above key moving averages, and the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is holding near neutral, suggesting room for further upside. The combination of technical resilience and supportive macro factors continues to attract buyers to gold as a hedge against volatility.
✨ Summary
● XAUUSD is poised for a move toward 3,431.14, with the rising channel and recent bullish takeover pattern supporting the case for further gains. The bullish scenario remains valid as long as price holds above 3,345.47, with 3,293.50 serving as a critical support. A sustained break above resistance could open the path to new highs, while a drop below channel support would warrant a reassessment of the trend.
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USDCAD is Nearing The Daily TrendHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring USDCAD for a selling opportunity around 1.38500 zone, USDCAD is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 1.38500 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
SILVER (XAGUSD): Waiting For BreakoutIt appears that ⚠️SILVER is gearing up for a bullish trend.
Analyzing the 4H time frame, I spotted a falling wedge pattern and a confirmed breakout above its upper boundary.
The final hurdle for buyers is the 36.11 - 36.17 neckline of a cup and handle pattern.
If the bulls manage to break and close above this level, it will serve as a significant bullish signal, likely leading to a continuation towards at least 37.00.
BTC Textbook Elliot Waves!CRYPTOCAP:BTC local analysis hasn't changed in a few weeks.
Price printed another text book Elliot motif wave, with the wave 4 triangle terminal pattern ending in the usual thrust up with a poke above all time high.
Price is also printing a textbook ABC for wave 2 with 5 waves down for A, 3 waves up for B and a strong wave C down to finish. Wave C's are always the strongest.
Pattern suggests price has one more push lower to complete this corrective wave tapping the quadruple support: S1 daily pivot, ascending daily 200EMA, major support High Volume Node (HVN) and 0.5 Fibonacci retracement at 92-94k range.
Most investors are publicly calling for buys in this area so price may be front run by the whales! The consensus often do not get what they want.
Safe trading
AAVE Standing out among the alt coins!CRYPTOCAP:AAVE is looking stronger than most for now. Local analysis has broken the bullish market structure on what appears to be a textbook Elliot Wave 1.
Price is testing quadruple support: Daily 200EMA, daily pivot, major support High Volume Node (HVN) and the 0.382-0.5 Fib retracements. This should be a tough nut to crack (as long as CRYPTOCAP:BTC doesn't dump hard).
Wave 2 retracement's are usually deep and come with a strong fear. It is where most retail investors capitulate only to find price turns around and continues bullishly without them in a aggressive wave 3.
Analysis is invalidated below $111, so quite a ways off yet.
If war escalation continue, irrational investor behaviour will likely break this technical analysis.
Safe trading.
Follow the trend and go short, and buy when the price falls backAffected by the situation in the Middle East, gold opened higher and lower again on Monday, and the trend was exactly the same as last Monday. After the opening, gold fell back to the 3352-3355 line and fluctuated. We planned to arrange long orders near 3350, but gold went up directly and did not give an entry opportunity. During the rebound, gold was blocked and under pressure at the 3366 line, and at the same time, there were signs of stagflation at high levels. Combined with the short-term adjustment needs, the strategy was to arrange short orders near 3364 and successfully stop profit at the target of 3350. Then we went long at the 3348-3350 line, which is also the preset long entry area. The current target continues to focus on the 3370-3380 area. So far, although gold opened high and went low, the overall bullish trend channel has not been broken, and the retracement to long is still the current mainstream direction.The specific points are subject to the bottom 🌐 notification.
From the current trend, the support below focuses on the 3340-3345 area. Combined with the stimulus of the Middle East situation over the weekend, the short-term upper resistance focuses on the 3380-3385 area. The expectation of breakthrough is still there, and the focus is on the suppression performance of the 3400-3415 line. The overall strategy continues to rely on the idea of buying on pullbacks. Watch more and do less in the middle position, chase orders cautiously, and wait patiently for clear signals at key points before intervening.
Gold operation strategy: Gold retracement near the 3340-3350 line to do more, the target is 3370-3380.
GOLD BUY BIASThe on going geopolitical unrest such as the isreal-iran buildup and tension in ukraine hastriggered a surge in gold demand as investors seek portfolio insulation.
Technically, I am expecting Gold to push down into our H4 Demand level around 3330 where we would be looking for our buy opportunity.
THE KOG REPORTTHE KOG REPORT:
In last week’s KOG Report we said we would be ideally be looking for the market to open, give us a high into that red box region 3455-60 and then give the reaction we wanted for the short trade. We didn’t quite hit that level falling just shy, but the move did present itself and as you can see all the bearish below red box targets were completed as well as KOG’s bias of the week targets which was bearish below 3465.
We then posted the FOMC KOG Report in which we suggested looking for price to continue the move as long as the bias level stood, which it did and we got another move downside, but again, falling just shy of the level we wanted to then attempt that swing long.
So, what can we expect in the week ahead?
As we suggested on Friday, it would be a good idea for traders to be sitting neutral on the markets with minimum to zero exposure anticipating gaps and glitches across the markets on open. This news was expected so those who played discipline should be cash in account, which is also a position in the markets.
We have key levels now 3350-55 support with extension 3340 which will need to break downside for us to go lower, while support there should take us up towards the 3385-90 level initially, which is the level to look for a potential RIP for the scalp short. This will give us the flip, red box activation 3380-75 which if held should allow us to complete the move to break through the 3400 level with red box target 3445 and above that 3451. This is based on there being a completely aggressive move from the open upside.
On the flip, break below key level here 3335 and 3320 is the first level to consider which will continue the path we wanted from last week. Ideally, not for this news and potential for this to spike upside, we would have stuck with the plan from last week. Difference now, we need more buyers higher up and a potential test on that high again.
Key Levels:
Red box defence 3375-80, needs to be broken
Red box defence 3350, needs to be broken
KOG’s bias of the week:
Bullish above 3340 with targets above 3375, 3390, 3395 and above that 3410
Bearish on break of 3340 with targets below 3330, 3320, 3310, 3306 and below that 3298
RED BOX TARGETS:
Break above 3375 for 3378, 3390, 3395, 3406, 3410 and 3419 in extension of the move
Break below 3365 for 3355, 3350, 3340, 3336, 3330 and 3323 in extension of the move
Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
DeGRAM | GOLD descending wedge📊 Technical Analysis
● Price is compressing in a descending wedge at the channel floor (3 343-3 350). Repeated long-tailed rejections hint at seller exhaustion while RSI makes higher lows, flagging hidden strength.
● A 30 min close above the wedge roof (≈ 3 357) should trigger a measured move to the intra-channel resistance band at 3 371, then the prior pivot at 3 383.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● Thursday’s softer US Philly Fed index and a slip in 2-yr real yields cooled the dollar, reviving bullion bids; meanwhile Chinese customs data show May gold imports up 18 % m/m, underscoring physical demand.
✨ Summary
Buy 3 345-3 355; wedge breakout >3 357 targets 3 371 ➜ 3 383. Long view void on a 30 min close below 3 335.
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Looking To Sell AUD/USD Into 4h Supply ZoneThe market structure on AUD/USD shifted bearish last week as it created successive lower lows ah lower highs, from the 4H timeframe, we see price headed towards an area of supply.
PLAN
1. Wait for retest of Friday's lower high with candlestick confirmation to short into supply
BTC is expected to continue its decline to 100,000BTC has encountered resistance and fallen back several times near 110,000, forming an absolute suppression in the short term. It is difficult for BTC to overcome this resistance area in the short term. As BTC has been unable to break through for a long time, some profit-taking and panic selling will cause BTC to gradually collapse. At present, BTC has fallen back to around 104,000. During the retracement, it has built a short-term resistance area of 105,500-106,000, which limits the rebound space in the short term and will further strengthen the bearish sentiment in the market. BTC will completely open up the downward space.
At present, the 103,000-102,500 area still has a certain support effect on BTC. As BTC shows a volatile downward trend, this support area will be broken again and continue to fall to the area near 100,000. Therefore, in short-term trading, we can consider shorting BTC in the 105,000-105,500 area.
BINANCE:BTCUSDT BITSTAMP:BTCUSD BINANCE:BTCUSDT COINBASE:BTCUSD
$SPX6900 heading for new lows?Despite price rallying of the March lows and almost making new highs, price rejected at the top of the range and formed a lower high which sets up the potential for a large bearish move.
I think it's likely that from here, that we at least go and test the support in the $.62 range, but I have a feeling that breaks and that we go and test the lower supports before the bull trend resumes.
Let's see how it plays out in the coming weeks.
Resistance roads with price points indication Can XRP break out?…….. Do you think XRP has a liquidity pool under its whale’s belly already?……. The foolish think it might happen but the inclination of a savvy veteran say: Where’s the location to the on-demand-liquidity? But that population must level up swiftly and efficiently because they know stagnant equals tardiness! No Resistance roads with price points indication analyzation necessary.! You either see the walls gardens or you don’t …………….. #ODL <swift
XRPUSDT Has Breakout down channel bullish strong from bullish obXRPUSDT BREAKOUT ALERT!
4H Timeframe Analysis
XRP has officially broken out of its downward channel, confirming a strong bullish reversal from the key demand zone at 2.1600, where major buy orders were stacked. Momentum is building fast! 💥
🎯 Technical Targets Ahead:
🔹 1st Target: 2.3370 – Supply Zone
🔹 2nd Target: 2.4399 – Next Supply Zone
🔹 3rd Target: 2.6000 – Major Resistance
This breakout is showing solid volume and structure — keep an eye on these zones for potential reactions or continuations. 📈
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By Livia 😜💎
#XRP #CryptoBreakout #TechnicalAnalysis #Altcoins #Bullish #CryptoSignals
USOIL Bullish breakout from symmetrical triangle pattern🚨 USOIL Breakout Alert! 🚨
1H Time Frame | Symmetrical Triangle Breakout
Crude oil (USOIL) has broken out bullishly from a symmetrical triangle pattern — confirming strong upward momentum. 📈
🎯 Entry Level: 74.20
📍 Technical Targets:
1st Resistance: 75.70
2nd Resistance: 76.80
This setup signals a potential continuation of bullish momentum. Keep an eye on volume confirmation and price action near resistance levels.
💬 Drop your thoughts in the comments!
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Trade smart
,
– Livia 😜
ETHUSD selling momentum head and shoulder 📉 ETH/USD Technical Breakdown Alert 📉
🚨 Pattern Formation: Head & Shoulders + Descending Triangle 🚨
On the 4H time frame, ETH/USD has confirmed a Head and Shoulders pattern, with a strong descending triangle breakdown from the neckline at $2,450.
🔻 Bearish Momentum Building
The market structure is signaling further downside pressure. A clean break below the neckline has triggered a strong sell signal.
🎯 Technical Target
1st Support Zone: $1,765
(Watch this level for potential bounce or further continuation)
💡 This setup aligns with classic bearish continuation patterns — risk management is key as always.
📊 Stay sharp, trade smart.
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— Livia 😜