BTC Loses Key Level — Will 100K Hold or Fold?Bitcoin has been locked in a range for the past 45 days, clinging above the critical psychological support at $100K. But cracks are starting to show…
Every bounce from the key level at $102,430 has been weakening — and now, for the first time, we’re breaking cleanly below it. Things are starting to tilt bearish.
So the question is…
⛏️ Will 100K be tested next?
🔍 Key Support Zone: $97.7K–$96.9K
Using the Fibonacci retracement from the swing low at $74.5K to the recent ATH, the 0.382 retracement lands at $97,655 — just below the $100K mark.
But there’s more…
Here’s why the zone between $97.7K and $96.9K is crucial:
0.382 Fibonacci retracement: A common pullback level in strong uptrends.
Anchored VWAP from $74.5K: Currently sitting around $96.9K, tracking cumulative volume-weighted average price — a key level.
Daily Order Block: Sits right at $96,887, aligning with the VWAP and reinforcing the area as demand-rich.
1.272 Fibonacci extension: From the previous move — providing another layer of confluence.
Fair Value Gap (FVG): The imbalance lies right in this zone. Price often fills these before continuing trend.
All of this stacks up to a high-probability long setup.
🕵️♂️ What to Do Now?
Set alerts at $100K and watch for a reaction. If price slices through, shift focus to the 0.382 Fib — monitor price action closely for signs of a reversal.
The first clean test of this zone could present a solid long — but as usual don’t trade blindly. Wait for confirmation.
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Support and Resistance
USDT DOMINANACE ANALYSIS (12H)This analysis is an update of the analysis you see in the "Related publications" section
First of all you should know that "USDT Dominance" is always moving inverse of BTCUSDT .
I correctly identified the upward movement in Tether Dominance in the previous analysis, but with the news of war in the Middle East, there are now bullish triggers for this index.
It is expected that the price will at least surge upward toward TP1.
Avoid opening impulsive and emotional positions, especially without proper risk management and setting a stop-loss | this is a dangerous market.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
When we reach the first target, save some profit and then change the stop to entry
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
BTC/USDT Technical Analysis, 2025-06-20 19:45 UTCBTC/USDT Technical Analysis, 2025-06-20 19:45 UTC
💡 Trade Setup Summary
Pattern Detected: Bullish Hammer at local bottom
Confirmed by bullish candle close above pattern high
Volume Confirmation:
Volume Flow Analysis → Increasing OBV
Current Volume = 5.17, which although lower than the short-term mean, is paired with a positive trend
Order Book & Whale Confirmation:
Whale Bids > 2 BTC detected: 1 order, 3.54 BTC
Order Book Imbalance: 36.84% favoring buyers
Technical Indicators :
✅ Oversold region confirmed (likely RSI < 30, inferred by engine)
✅ Bullish pattern with volume trend confirmation
✅ Order book imbalance > 2%
✅ Whale bid presence
✅ Market pressure shows buyer dominance
✅ OBV increasing
Entry Price: 103146.58
Target (TP): 105646.58
Stop Loss (SL): 102146.58
Risk:Reward Ratio: ~2.5:1
ETH NEW UPDATE (8H)This analysis is an update of the analysis you see in the "Related publications" section
After the pump and hitting the red zone, it got rejected.
It's better not to open a short position on Ethereum, as its dominance appears bullish | which means it might be resilient against a potential drop.
The closing of a daily candle above the invalidation level will invalidate this analysis.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
BTC MACRO PLAY - SHORT TRADE SETUP📉 BTC/USDT SHORT TRADE SETUP – WEEKLY TIMEFRAME
🔍 Trade Idea Overview:
We are seeing a bearish divergence between price and volume on the weekly chart — while price makes higher highs, volume is decreasing, signaling a potential reversal or weakening trend.
Further confluence is seen with the VMC Cipher indicator. If a red dot prints, it will confirm the short entry. If not, the trade idea should be abandoned.
📊 Trade Plan:
Entry Zone: Around $106,300–$107,000 (wait for confirmation)
TP 1 🎯: $102,000
TP 2 🎯: $97,500
TP 3 🎯: $93,000
🛑 Risk Management:
Stop-Loss: Above recent highs at $111,800 (or adjusted based on your entry)
⚠️ Disclaimer:
Once TP 1 is reached, move stop-loss to breakeven to protect capital and eliminate risk.
TP 3 may never be reached, but it remains part of the plan to capture extended downside if momentum continues.
If no red dot prints, there is no confirmation — be ready to abandon the trade.
EURUSD:Sharing of the Trading Strategy for Next WeekAll the trading signals this week have resulted in profits!!! Check it!!!👉👉👉
Fundamental Analysis:
The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has warned of stagnation risks in the eurozone economy, projecting only 0.8% growth in 2025, putting downward pressure on the euro.
The Federal Reserve kept rates unchanged in June and is expected to deliver two rate cuts later this year, which may weigh on the U.S. dollar and provide support for EUR/USD.
Technical Analysis (4-Hour Chart):
EUR/USD is in a bullish trend, with the 5-day and 20-day moving averages forming a golden cross. The MACD above the zero line shows expanding red histograms, indicating strong bullish momentum.
Overhead resistance lies at key integer levels: 1.1550 and 1.1600.
Support levels are near 1.1450 and 1.1400.
Trading Strategy:
Initial Long Position:
Enter light long at the current price of 1.15208, set stop-loss below 1.1480, target 1.1550–1.1600.
Add-on Long Position:
If price pulls back to the 1.1450–1.1480 zone and finds support, consider adding to long positions.
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GBPUSD:Sharing of the Trading Strategy for Next WeekAll the trading signals this week have resulted in profits!!! Check it!!!👉👉👉
Fundamental Analysis
The stable outlook for the UK economy, with the IMF raising its 2025 growth forecast for the UK from 1.1% to 1.2%, provides some support for the British pound.
Persistently high UK inflation has led to fluctuating market expectations for Bank of England rate cuts this year, affecting GBP trends.
U.S. economic data and policy expectations also impact GBP/USD, as markets hold divergent views on the Fed's 2025 interest rate policy.
Technical Analysis (4-Hour Chart)
The RSI near 40 indicates relatively balanced bull-bear forces. GBP/USD continues to trade below the 100-period simple moving average, suggesting short-term bearish dominance.
Key overhead resistance sits near 1.3500. A break above could open the door to further resistance at 1.3530 and 1.3580.
Support can be monitored near prior swing lows.
Trading Strategy:
Consider switching to long positions if price stabilizes above 1.3400, targeting around 1.3580.
buy@1.3400–1.3440
TP:1.3500-1.3550
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BTCUSDT: Sharing of the Latest Trading StrategyAll the trading signals this week have resulted in profits!!! Check it!!!👉👉👉
Bitcoin Technical Analysis (4-Hour Chart)
Price has shown recent volatility, with the MACD indicator hovering near the zero line, indicating balanced bull-bear forces. Resistance sits around $105,000, while price currently oscillates in the $102,000–$103,000 range after a prior pullback.
Bollinger Bands are narrowing, suggesting potential volatility expansion:
Upper band resistance: $105,000
Lower band support: $101,000
The RSI lingering near 50 reflects strong market indecision.
Trading Recommendation:
Initiate light long positions near $101,500 on pullbacks, targeting $103,500.
Trading Strategy:
buy@ 101500–102000
TP:103500-105000
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USOIL:Sharing of the Trading Strategy for Next WeekAll the trading signals this week have resulted in profits!!! Check it!!!👉👉👉
The U.S. strike on Iranian nuclear facilities Saturday may trigger an instinctive reaction in global markets upon reopening, pushing oil prices higher and sparking a safe-haven rush. Technicals show oil has broken above previous highs while holding above prior lows, forming a volatile rebound with persistent bullish momentum. The key focus next week is whether oil can sustain its upward breakout.
Overall, crude oil remains range-bound at elevated levels, with $76 resistance overhead and $72 support below.
Trading Strategy for Next Week:
Prioritize long positions on pullbacks.
buy@72-73
TP:75-76
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XAUUSD:Sharing of the Trading Strategy for Next WeekAll the trading signals this week have resulted in profits!!! Check it!!!👉👉👉
The Iran-Israel conflict continues to escalate, with Trump declaring that U.S. fighter jets struck three major Iranian nuclear facilities—Fordo, Natanz, and Isfahan. This development has ignited the Middle East "powder keg," providing additional fuel for gold's rally.
Key support lies at 3340–3345, while short-term resistance sits at 3385–3390. A breakthrough above resistance is imminent.
Gold is expected to extend its rebound trend at next week's opening.
Trading Strategy:
Continue to adopt a buy-on-pullback approach, leveraging dips as entry points.
buy@3345-3355
TP:3380-3390
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XAUUSD NEXT WEEK UPDATE The chart you provided is a technical analysis of Gold Spot (XAU/USD) on a 3-hour timeframe, showing a bearish setup with the following key features:
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🔍 Chart Analysis Summary:
Price Channel:
The price has been moving within an ascending channel (marked by two blue lines) but is now testing the lower boundary of this channel.
Breakout Direction:
A bearish breakout is projected, indicated by the large blue downward arrow. This suggests a possible trend reversal from bullish to bearish.
Entry & Target:
Current Price: ~3368.75
Target Price: ~3098.03
This matches the previous demand/support zone (yellow horizontal band near the bottom).
Stop Loss (SL):
Placed at 3528, just above recent highs to manage risk.
Risk Zone:
The red area shows the risk if price moves against the trade (stop loss zone).
The green area shows the reward zone (target profit area), highlighting a favorable risk/reward ratio.
Event Indicators:
Several economic event icons are placed near the projected move date (~June 24–26), suggesting that fundamental catalysts may support this move (e.g., FOMC, CPI, etc.).
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✅ Bearish Setup Summary:
Setup Type: Bearish channel breakout
Sell Entry: On break and close below channel support (~3368)
Stop Loss: 3528
Take Profit: 3098
R/R Ratio: Favorable
Would you like a written trade plan or a summary in table format?
USDJPY Potential DownsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring USDJPY for a selling opportunity around 146.700 zone, USDJPY is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 146.700 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
Geopolitical Tension May affect Gold's Outlook!Gold is traditionally considered a safe haven, with prices often rising during geopolitical tensions as investors seek safe security.
Will this scenario play out with the U.S. involvement in the Israel-Iran conflict? Gold is currently trading at a high of 3,368.75 and remains in a range. However, in times like this, technical analysis might take a back seat, as geopolitical developments could overshadow any technical setup.
N.B!
- XAUUSD price might not follow the drawn lines . Actual price movements may likely differ from the forecast.
- Let emotions and sentiments work for you
- ALWAYS Use Proper Risk Management In Your Trades
#gold
#xauusd
EURUSD: Important Supports & Resistances For Next Week 🇪🇺🇺🇸
Here is my latest structure analysis for EURUSD for next week.
Consider these supports and resistances for breakout/pullback trading.
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RBLX: Price Nearing Major Resistance ZonePrice is approaching a key level within the macro resistance zone (around 109). A mid-term correction may begin to unfold soon.
Key support zone to watch for continuation of the macro uptrend: 77–61.
Thank you for your attention and I wish you successful trading decisions!
Bullish potential detected for TLCEntry conditions:
(i) higher share price for ASX:TLC along with swing up of the DMI indicators and swing up of the RSI indicator, and
(ii) observation of market reaction at the support/resistance level at $5.31 (from the open of 12th May).
Stop loss for the trade would be, dependent of risk tolerance (once the trade is activated):
(i) below the support level from the open of 21st November (i.e.: below $5.05), or
(ii) below the recent swing low of 3rd June (i.e.: below $4.96).
BTC - Macro RSI analysisHello 👋
Weekly TF
Bearish divergence currently playing out.
Observing the uptrend (dotted white line) we did see a brief break below this trendline in April. Another break could result in a correction to 67.5K - 69.9K price range which is the 618 fib and an area where price found resistance on multiple occassions.
Bitcoin has found support on the Weekly RSI @ 45 (yellow dashed line). I think if we lose this level we would see BTC moving into oversold territory.
The daily RSI was also recently "overbought".
Bearish potential detected for BAPEntry conditions:
(i) lower share price for ASX:BAP along with swing of DMI indicator towards bearishness and RSI downwards, and
(ii) observing market reaction around the share price of $4.82 (close of 18th June).
Stop loss for the trade would be:
(i) above the high of the recent swing high once the trade is activated (currently $4.92 from the high of 19th June), or
(ii) above the prior resistance zone of $4.87 from 8th November 2024, depending on risk tolerance.
BTCUSD Analysis | is 100k the Next Target?🔍 Chart Breakdown:
Price previously formed a range under key resistance at $108,800.
A Triangle Pattern emerged after a sharp rejection from the resistance zone.
The recent breakdown from this pattern signals bearish momentum.
Support Level: $100,513 — Key level to watch for a potential bounce or further breakdown.
📊 Scenarios to Watch:
🔴 Bearish Case (Preferred):
Breakdown continuation below $104,000 could trigger a move toward the $100,500 support.
Clean rejection from triangle breakdown area confirms the bearish structure.
🟢 Bullish Case (Less Likely):
If BTC holds above $104,000 and breaks above the mid-range zone (~$106,500), a retest of $108,800 is possible.
Watch for fakeouts at the top of the range.
💡Trade Ideas:
Short opportunities on breakdown retest or rejection from $106,000–106,500.
Potential long only if $108,800 is broken with strong volume confirmation.
🛑 Risk Management:
Always use stop-loss. Monitor BTC dominance and macro sentiment for confluence.
💬 What do you think? Bearish breakdown or fakeout trap? Let’s discuss below!