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Support and Resistance

Skeptic | GBP/USD Update: Triggers Fired Up!Hey everyone, it’s Skeptic! ;) yesterday, the support at 1.35672 saw a fake breakout and snapped back into the 4-hour box we’ve been tracking. But bearish momentum is still strong, so here’s the play: ✔️ If you opened a short already , With the fake breakout signaling potential momentum shift, consider taking profits or closing if price consolidates above 1.36089. Why? The fakeout increases the chance of a momentum change. ✨ For new short positions , the 1.35672 break remains a valid trigger. If it breaks again, it could kickstart a major bearish leg, targeting lower supports at 1.35000 and 1.34227 —both strong reaction zones. 📊 The HWC is uptrend, so shorts need extra caution—reduce risk or take profits early. 📉 For longs , wait for a break and consolidation above 1.36406 . This level saw a strong rejection, signaling it’s a key resistance the market respects. A break here, liquidating short positions (which means buying), could spark a solid uptrend leg with great R/R potential. 🔔 Confirmation : Use RSI entering oversold for shorts or overbought for longs. The HWC uptrend means shorts carry higher risk, so tighten your risk management—stick to 1%–2% risk per trade. 🔼 Key Takeaway: Short at 1.35672 if it breaks again, long at 1.36406 with confirmation. Stay sharp for momentum shifts and keep stops tight. I’ll update if the market structure flips! 💬 Let’s Talk! Which GBP/USD trigger are you locked on? Hit the comments, and let’s crush it together! 😊 If this update lit your fire, smash that boost—it fuels my mission! :)))
by SkepticLab
1
Gold Bulls Are Back – Eyes on 3450 GOLD – Bulls Regain Control After Defending 3280 🟡 Last week was a dynamic one for Gold traders. The week began with signs of an upside reversal, followed by a drop to test the 3280 support. That dip held—and from there, we saw a strong push higher, ending the week right at the top of the range. 📌 Friday’s close left behind a continuation Pin Bar on the weekly chart – a strong signal in favor of the bulls. - This week started with a new local high at 3375,but we’re now seeing a pullback in the 3355 area at the time of writing. What’s next? Given last week’s price action, bulls seem to have won the battle and appear ready to challenge the 3400 level. My plan for this week: I’m looking to buy dips, and as long as nothing changes, my target is the 3450 zone. Disclosure: I am part of TradeNation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
TRADENATION:XAUUSDLong
by Mihai_Iacob
26
EUR/CAD: Quant-Verified ReversalThe fundamental catalyst has been triggered. The anticipated strong Canadian CPI data was released as expected, confirming the primary driver for this trade thesis. Now, the focus shifts to the technical structure, where price is showing clear exhaustion at a generational resistance wall. 🧱 Our core thesis is that the confirmed fundamental strength of the CAD will now fuel the technically-indicated bearish reversal from this critical price ceiling. The Data-Driven Case 📊 This trade is supported by a confluence of technical, fundamental, and quantitative data points. Primary Technical Structure: The pair is being aggressively rejected from a multi-year resistance zone (1.6000 - 1.6100). This price action is supported by a clear bearish divergence on the 4H chart's Relative Strength Index (RSI), a classic signal that indicates buying momentum is fading despite higher prices. Internal Momentum Models: Our internal trend and momentum models have flagged a definitive bearish shift. Specifically, the MACD indicator has crossed below its signal line into negative territory, confirming that short-term momentum is now bearish. This is layered with a crossover in our moving average module, where the short-term SMA has fallen below the long-term SMA, indicating the prevailing trend structure is now downward. Quantitative Probability & Volatility Analysis: To quantify the potential outcome of this setup, we ran a Monte Carlo simulation projecting several thousand potential price paths. The simulation returned a 79.13% probability of the trade reaching our Take Profit target before hitting the Stop Loss. Furthermore, our GARCH volatility model forecasts that the expected price fluctuations are well-contained within our defined risk parameters, reinforcing the asymmetric risk-reward profile of this trade. The Execution Plan ✅ Based on the synthesis of all data, here is the actionable trade plan: 📉 Trade: Sell (Short) EUR/CAD 👉 Entry: 1.6030 ⛔️ Stop Loss: 1.6125 🎯 Take Profit: 1.5850 The data has spoken, and the setup is active. Trade with discipline.
Short
by MaxellAguiran
Big Week for Markets: U.S. CPI Tomorrow – What It Means for GoldThis week is packed with news, but the main focus is the U.S. CPI report dropping tomorrow. 🗓 Key Event: U.S. CPI Report 📍 July 15, 2025 | 12:30 p.m. UTC The CPI report measures inflation and heavily influences the Fed’s rate decisions. Last month’s CPI came in at 2.4% vs. 2.5% expected, following 2.3% vs. 2.4% in April. While it seems inflation is rising, the bigger picture shows stable annual inflation in the 2.3%–3.0% range, keeping things under control—likely the reason Trump is pressuring Powell to cut rates. Market expects June CPI to be 2.7%. 🤔 Possible Scenarios: 1️⃣ CPI > 2.7%: Bullish for DXY 📈. The stronger the print, the bigger the spike, but I see this scenario as less probable. 2️⃣ CPI < 2.7%: Bearish for DXY 📉. We may see a USD dump, though likely shallow since CPI could still be higher than previous months. ✨ What About Gold? I don’t expect a major reaction in gold: ✅ Higher CPI? Gold often benefits as an inflation hedge. ✅ Lower CPI? Also supportive for gold as it weighs on the USD. 🔍 Technical Outlook: Gold has been trading within a triangle since April 22, forming lower highs and higher lows. We may currently be in Wave D (Elliott Wave), aiming toward the triangle’s upper boundary slightly above $3,400 resistance. After that, Wave E may develop – but that’s a story for another post.
FX:XAUUSDShort
by ProfessorSingapore
Gold rises strongly, aiming for a new high!Last Friday, gold continued to rise strongly, breaking through 3320 in the Asia-Europe session and accelerating its rise. The European session broke through the 3340 mark continuously. The US session broke through 3369 and then fell back. The daily line closed with a big positive line. It broke through the high for three consecutive days and returned to above 3360. The unilateral bullish pattern was re-established. Today, the gold price jumped high and broke through 3370 and then fluctuated at a high level. Although it rushed up, the strength was limited. It must be adjusted after a short-term retracement before it can continue to rise. Therefore, in terms of operation, we continue to maintain the main idea of ​​retreating and multiplying. Pay attention to the 3340-3345 area for short-term support during the day, and look at the 3330 line for strong support. If it does not break, it will continue to be a good opportunity to buy low and do more. Taking advantage of the trend is still the current main tone. As long as the daily level does not break 3330, the bullish structure will not be destroyed. 🔹Support focus: 3340-3345, key support level 3330 🔹Resistance focus: 3380-3393 area 1️⃣ If the price falls back to 3340-3350, a light long position will be intervened, with the target of 3365-3370. A strong breakthrough can see a new high; 2️⃣ If the price rises to 3380-3393 and is under pressure, a short-term short position adjustment can be tried, with a short-term target of around 3360. The specific real-time points and position arrangements will be updated at the bottom. Interested friends are advised to pay attention to my strategy tips in a timely manner and seize every opportunity reasonably.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Trade-Daniel
2
AUDUSD: Short Setup Ahead of Key Data OANDA:AUDUSD AUDUSD is hovering near a rising trendline, with price action compressing and signaling a potential downside break in the coming sessions. Just above, the 0.65900 resistance zone has capped recent rallies, and the pair’s failure to clear this level strengthens the case for a reversal. Later today, we will see Westpac Consumer Confidence data for Australia, which could act as a catalyst for a sharp move. A weaker-than-expected print would likely pressure the Aussie further. 📋 Entry Checklist: ✅ Testing rising trendline, signaling potential breakdown ✅ Strong resistance at 0.65900 holding rallies ✅ Key consumer sentiment data could trigger volatility 📈 Trade Plan: 🔻 Sell Entry: 0.65600 ❌ Stop Loss: 0.66200 ✅ Take Profit: 0.65000 (Tap 👉 Trade Now 👈 on mobile to copy SL & TP easily) 📰 Fundamental Snapshot: The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) surprised markets by holding rates steady at 3.85%, diverging from expectations of a potential cut. The RBA remains cautious amid persistent inflation risks driven by high labor costs and weak productivity, suggesting rates may stay restrictive longer. Governor Michele Bullock highlighted that inflation could remain above forecasts, while Deputy Governor Andrew Hauser emphasized monitoring global uncertainties, including U.S. tariff developments, reflecting the RBA’s sensitivity to external headwinds impacting growth and trade.
Short
by ProfessorSingapore
1
Gold still has room to pull back, be brave and short gold!Gold continued to rebound today, and we also successfully gained 150pips profit in long gold trading. However, although gold is currently maintaining its upward trend, the rebound strength of gold is not strong during the European session, and it has repeatedly touched 3375 and then fell back, proving that there is still some resistance above. In my previous trading point of view, I also emphasized that gold is under pressure near 3380 in the short term. In addition, from a technical perspective, today's intraday high is limited to 3395. So in order to dump the bullish momentum so that it can break through 3380 more smoothly, or even continue to above 3340, gold will inevitably have a retracement in the short term. So when most people in the market are still waiting for a retracement to go long on gold, I will definitely not waste the opportunity of gold retracement in vain. So for short-term trading, I will consider shorting gold appropriately in the 3375-3395 area, with the target looking at 3360-3350. After gold falls back as expected, we might as well consider going long on gold at a low level.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Trading_Steffen
2
The market is bullish, but I am bearish. Don't regret it.📰 News information： 1. Focus on tomorrow's CPI data 2. Bowman's speech at the Federal Reserve 3. Tariff information outflows and countries' responses to tariff issues 📈 Technical Analysis： This week, the US CPI data, consumer index, tariff issues and geopolitical situation are all key points to pay attention to. In the morning, both our long and short positions had good gains, making a good start to the week. The best way is to follow the trend and grab limited profits! In the 4H cycle, the current trend shows a Zhendan upward pattern, and bulls still occupy the dominant low position in the short term. At the daily level, three consecutive positive days at the end of last week broke through the middle track, and the high point broke through the previous high, indicating that the short-term adjustment is over, and the rise in the market to test 3400 will be a high probability event. At present, the MACD daily line is bullish, the Bollinger Bands are flat, and the gold price is above the middle track. The bulls are strong, but there is still a need for a correction. Intraday trading focuses on the strength of the European session. If the European session is strong, the US session will continue to rise, and if the European session is weak, the US session will bottom out again. In the short term, if it touches 3370-3375 again, you can consider shorting and look towards 3365-3355 SL 3380. 🎯 Trading Points： sell 3370-3375 tp 3365-3355-3345 In addition to investment, life also includes poetry, distant places, and Allen. Facing the market is actually facing yourself, correcting your shortcomings, facing your mistakes, and exercising strict self-discipline. I share free trading strategies and analysis ideas every day for reference by brothers. I hope my analysis can help you. FXOPEN:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD FX:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Allenbrowser-3
XAU/USD (GOLD) – Potential Bullish Continuation After ConvergenOn the 1H chart, we are currently observing a potential bullish continuation setup forming on XAU/USD. Here’s a detailed breakdown: 🔍 1. AO Bullish Convergence The Awesome Oscillator (AO) shows a clear bullish convergence, suggesting momentum is building in favor of the bulls. This typically signals a potential continuation of the uptrend, especially when paired with structural confirmations. 🌀 2. Elliott Wave Count Wave 1, 2, and 3 are already established on the chart. Price is currently retracing, potentially forming Wave 4, with Wave 5 yet to be completed. The retracement aligns with classic Fibonacci levels, with a potential bounce zone forming at the 1.618 fib extension near 3330–3327, which also acts as a strong SNR zone (support now after previous resistance). 📊 3. Break of Structure (BOS) A clear Break of Structure (3351) confirms bullish intent after wave 3. Price retracement toward the 1.618 zone could present a buying opportunity, as long as this level holds. 🧭 4. Entry Strategy ✅ Buy Bias: Watching for price to enter 3330–3327 zone (1.618 fib + SNR zone). Confirmation needed: Look for another BOS within this zone before entering long. If BOS forms inside this area, we can anticipate a continuation into Wave 5 toward the 3,375 and beyond. ❌ Invalidation: Setup will be considered invalid if price breaks and closes below the 1.618 zone (3327). This would invalidate Wave 4 support and could signal a deeper correction or trend reversal. 🎯 Target Projection: If the setup holds, potential Wave 5 target is projected toward the top zone near 3,410–3,420, based on fib extension and previous price action. 📌 Conclusion: This is a classic bullish Elliott Wave continuation setup backed by AO convergence and structural confluences. Patience is key—wait for BOS confirmation at the 1.618 zone before entering. Always manage risk, especially near fib extension zones. 📅 Published on: July 14, 2025 📍 Timeframe: 1H 💬 Feel free to share your thoughts or setups below. Trade safe!
TVC:GOLDLong
by AwesomeOscDad
Verizon May Be Rolling OverVerizon Communications has been rangebound for more than a year, and now some traders could think it’s rolling over. The first pattern on today’s chart is the May 2022 low of $45.55. VZ fell below that level in late 2022 and rebounded to it by mid-2024. The stock has been stuck below the same level since, including a rejection in March. Has old support become new resistance? Second, prices have slipped below the 50- and 200-day simple moving averages (SMAs). The two SMAs are also close to each other. Those points may reflect weakening longer-term trends. Third, the telecom stock has made lower highs since April -- even as the broader market broke out to new all-time highs. Next, VZ just had its lowest weekly close since February. The 8-day exponential moving average (EMA) is also below the 21-day EMA. Those points may suggest that bearishness is taking hold in the short term. TradeStation has, for decades, advanced the trading industry, providing access to stocks, options and futures. If you're born to trade, we could be for you. See our Overview for more. Past performance, whether actual or indicated by historical tests of strategies, is no guarantee of future performance or success. There is a possibility that you may sustain a loss equal to or greater than your entire investment regardless of which asset class you trade (equities, options or futures); therefore, you should not invest or risk money that you cannot afford to lose. Online trading is not suitable for all investors. View the document titled Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options at www.TradeStation.com . Before trading any asset class, customers must read the relevant risk disclosure statements on www.TradeStation.com . System access and trade placement and execution may be delayed or fail due to market volatility and volume, quote delays, system and software errors, Internet traffic, outages and other factors. Securities and futures trading is offered to self-directed customers by TradeStation Securities, Inc., a broker-dealer registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission and a futures commission merchant licensed with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission). TradeStation Securities is a member of the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority, the National Futures Association, and a number of exchanges. Options trading is not suitable for all investors. Your TradeStation Securities’ account application to trade options will be considered and approved or disapproved based on all relevant factors, including your trading experience. See www.TradeStation.com . Visit www.TradeStation.com for full details on the costs and fees associated with options. Margin trading involves risks, and it is important that you fully understand those risks before trading on margin. The Margin Disclosure Statement outlines many of those risks, including that you can lose more funds than you deposit in your margin account; your brokerage firm can force the sale of securities in your account; your brokerage firm can sell your securities without contacting you; and you are not entitled to an extension of time on a margin call. Review the Margin Disclosure Statement at www.TradeStation.com . TradeStation Securities, Inc. and TradeStation Technologies, Inc. are each wholly owned subsidiaries of TradeStation Group, Inc., both operating, and providing products and services, under the TradeStation brand and trademark. When applying for, or purchasing, accounts, subscriptions, products and services, it is important that you know which company you will be dealing with. Visit www.TradeStation.com for further important information explaining what this means.
NYSE:VZ
by TradeStation