Support and Resistance
Bitcoin Roadmap!!!(New ATH)Bitcoin( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) started pumping after it was almost certain that Donald Trump was the future president of the United States because Donald Trump announced his support for cryptocurrency during the last year .
In terms of Classic Technical Analysis , Bitcoin started pumping with the help of the Descending Broadening Wedge Pattern . ( Educational ).
Bitcoin has already managed to break the Heavy Resistance zone($73,900-$70,900) , but it has entered an important Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) ; we have to see how long it can continue.
According to the Elliott wave theory , Bitcoin succeeded in completing the Double Three Correction(WXY) and is currently completing wave 4 .
I expect Bitcoin to start rising again from one of the Targets I have identified on the chart and at least rise to the upper line of the ascending channel . It probably needs Bitcoin correction to create another New All-Time High(ATH) .
⚠️If Bitcoin goes below the Heavy Resistance zone($73,900-$70,900), we should expect more dumps.⚠️
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame⏰.
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How the U.S. Election Could Impact USD and EUR/USD Trading"As the U.S. presidential election approaches, it’s time to consider how it might impact our trading strategies, particularly with the U.S. dollar and EUR/USD. Political shifts bring market volatility, so let’s break down how each outcome could influence the dollar and the EUR/USD pair.
Election Outcomes and Market Impact
1. If Democrats Win: A Democratic victory could weaken the dollar, as policies may lead to lower inflation and reduced real interest rates. This scenario might push the EUR/USD pair higher, with potential targets around 1.1300–1.1850. For traders, this could mean a favorable environment to consider EUR/USD gains.
2. If Republicans Win: On the other hand, a Republican win might initially strengthen the dollar, thanks to expected trade policies and rising interest rates. However, this strength could be short-lived. Long-term factors may introduce volatility, potentially giving the euro a chance to regain ground against the dollar.
Key Levels to Watch in EUR/USD
From a technical standpoint, keep an eye on resistance levels from 1.1275 to 1.1750 for potential bullish moves, while support around 1.1000 and a critical level at 1.0900 could indicate a downturn. Combining these levels with election news can help you make informed trade adjustments.
How to Trade Before, During, and After the Election
Leading up to the election, watch for narrowing polls, as this could introduce uncertainty and increased volatility. During the election itself, expect the market to react strongly—prepare for a Trump win to potentially strengthen the dollar and a Harris victory to have the opposite effe
Alikze »» SKL | Wave 3 or rising C scenario - 1W🔍 Technical analysis: Wave 3 or rising C scenario
News:
SKALE to Participate in Sawadee Web3 Gaming in Bangkok on November 12th
- It is moving in an upward channel in the weekly time frame.
- It is currently in the Support Zone with the formation of a higher floor.
-The previous corrective wave has completed a full cycle in the Support Zone.
💎 Considering that the previous correction wave corrected the previous wave by 0.23 fibo and a higher floor was formed, if the candlestick is confirmed in the weekly time frame, it can enter the broken structure first by breaking the trigger line and then pullback. Ascending phase.
💎Therefore, if there is no stabilization below the area, the scenario of wave 3 or rising C with the specified targets will be accessible.
⚠️ In addition, if the Support Zone or Fibo 0.23 of the previous wave is broken, the bullish scenario will be invalidated. ⚠️
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BINANCE:SKLUSDT
USD/JPY Long Setup: Gap Fill in Focus
A recent price gap on the USD/JPY chart suggests potential for a long position. Given the price gap, we expect a possible gap fill scenario similar to last week, where the price moved to close the gap. This provides an opportunity to enter a long trade, anticipating upward movement with a careful stop loss.
Support Zone : 151.650 - 151.752
Stop Loss: 151.596
Take Profit : 152.878
DLTR LongWeekly resistance/support
Daily double bottom, not confirmed yet.
11/19/2024 Earning
Entry 62
Stop 59
Target 76, 102
Risk management is much more important than a good entry point.
I am not a PRO trader.
In my trading plan, the Max Risk of each short term trade should be less than 1% of an account.
GOLD → Global reversal H&S. How far do we fall? FX:XAUUSD was looking pretty steady in the Asian session until the press came out with their statements before Trump's speech. The fundamental background is weakening, but there are positive nuances from the news....
There is one last vote left, but Trump has a 99% chance of winning.
Markets believe his policies will put upward pressure on inflation, treasury yields and the US dollar, which could have an overall negative impact on the XAU
BUT, there is a possibility that in the long term, the gold price will also benefit from the new president's policies as Trump's foreign policy related to China and Europe could cause unrest and panic in the market
Sentiment around the US election will play a key role in gold price movement ahead of the US Fed policy announcement due on Thursday.
Technically, gold is giving hints of a possible reversal by forming a classic H&S pattern. The main support is at 2708
Resistance levels: 2731, 2735, 2749
Support levels: 2724, 2713, 2708, 2689
Also, H1 is starting to show a local descending channel. Before the official verdict of the vote, the price can still test these resistance areas, but later the market may turn around and start a gradual decline until the end of market-wide euphoria....
Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:XAUUSD ;)
Regards R. Linda!
USD/CAD Bearish CorrectionKey 4HR Resistance Coming up. Expecting up to a .010536 correction before pushing through 1.39500. Bear Divergency presenting itself on RSI. Expecting correction to take place. Will enter trade at break of rising wedge pattern. Will not think trade is gone if liquidity grab pushes price above the wedge.
Gold Wave Analysis 6 November 2024
- Gold broke support area
- Likely to fall to support level 2600.00
Gold recently broke the support area located at the intersection of the support level 2680.00 (former monthly high from September), support trendline of the daily up channel from September and the 61.8% Fibonacci correction of the upward impulse 1 from the start of October.
The breakout of this support area accelerated the active minor ABC correction from the end of November.
Gold can be expected to fall further to the next support level 2600.00 (which stopped the previous intermediate correction (4) in October).
USDJPY Wave Analysis 6 November 2024
- USDJPY broke resistance area
- Likely to rise to resistance level 156.00
USDJPY currency pair today broke the resistance area located between the resistance level 153.25 (which reversed the pair twice at the end of October) and the 61.8% Fibonacci correction of the sharp downward impulse from the start of July.
The breakout of this resistance area is likely to further increase the bullish pressure on this currency pair.
Given the strongly bullish US dollar sentiment that can be seen across the FX markets today, USDJPY currency pair can be expected to rise further to the next resistance level 156.00, former minor support from July.
Bullish Momentum Post-Election: Key Levels & Breakout PotentialTechnically:
The price has stabilized in the bullish zone and has moved upward significantly due to the U.S. election results, with Trump winning. This positive development has benefited stocks.
The price is now expected to reach 20550 for a retest before pushing up to 20705. A breakout above 20705 is needed to continue the bullish trend toward 20790 and 20950.
However, the current movement range is between 20550 and 20705 until a breakout occurs.
Key Levels:
Pivot Point: 20505
Resistance Levels: 20705, 20790, 20950
Support Levels: 20420, 20330, 20130
Trend:
- Bullish above 20550 and 20790
Post-Election Price Momentum: Bullish and Bearish ScenariosTechnical Analysis
Following Trump’s success in the U.S. election, the price is poised to reach new highs after breaking its previous all-time high (ATH).
Bullish Scenario: If the price maintains stability above 5891, it is likely to target 5939 initially. A 1-hour or 4-hour candle close above 5939 would further reinforce the bullish momentum, with a potential upward move toward 6002.
Bearish Scenario: Sustained stability below 5891 may trigger a downward move, with an initial target of 5863. Should a 4-hour candle close below 5863, it could confirm entry into a new bearish phase.
Key Levels:
Pivot Point: 5900
Resistance Levels: 5939, 5980, 6002
Support Levels: 5891, 5863, 5803
Trend outlook: Uptrend
PLTR heads up at $54.50: Dual Golden fibs that could cause a DipPPLTR has been flying as we all know.
Election boost ran to a major landmark.
Dual Golden fibs should be very strong.
It is PROBABLE that we "orbit" them a few times.
It is POSSIBLE that we have "topped" for a while.
It is PLAUSIBLE to "overshoot" to next landmark.
$ 54.49 - 54.60 is the resistance zone to watch.
$ 50.21 - 50.38 is the first support zone below.
$ 61.14 - 61.70 is the next resistance above.
Drag DOWN on the PRICE scale to look above.
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Ethereum vs BitcoinAfter three years of downtrend ETH/BTC ratio has arrived at long-term support at approximately 0.035.
Bitcoin is in the process of breaking out from the consolidation and Ethereum is starting to show some signs of bullishness. The current weekly candle ( not closed yet ) looks like a bullish hammer so far. Weekly RSI is oversold and Stochastic RSI is below 20 for a long time since the first week of August.
Actually, look at these indicators on higher timeframes: 2W, 3W, 1M, 2M! Stochastic RSI is below 20 and potentially ready for a cross up.
It is very early because the candle is not closed yet. We want to see it closing in a bullish way: bullish hammer, dragonfly doji etc. We then should wait for another week for confirmation. This will suggest that the downtrend is probably over and it is going to be more profitable to hold Ethereum instead of Bitcoin because Ethereum will outperform Bitcoin in the coming months.
PROTIP: smaller altcoins will outperform Ethereum!
GOLD Analysis Post-Election: Bearish Continuation with Key LevelTechnical Analysis
As we mentioned yesterday, GOLD was expected to be bearish due to the high likelihood of Trump’s success in the election.
Now that Trump has won, GOLD has dropped by about $49 as anticipated, reaching 2712 and 2700.
Currently, we remain in a bearish trend, with the price still aiming for 2712 and potentially 2695 and 2677. A retest of up to 2739 is possible.
As long as the price trades below 2731, further declines toward 2712 and 2695 are expected.
Bearish Scenario: The price may retest 2731 before resuming its downward trend toward 2706, 2695, and 2677. Stability below 2706 reinforces the bearish outlook.
Bullish Scenario: A 4-hour candle close above 2739 would indicate a potential bullish shift, with subsequent targets at 2749 and 2758.
Key Levels:
Pivot Point: 2731
Resistance Levels: 2739, 2749, 2758
Support Levels: 2706, 2695, 2677
Trend Outlook:
Under 2739: Downtrend
previous idea
AAVE getting the Trump pumpThe past 2 years
Anyone who's been following me for a while knows I have been and continue to be quite bullish on AAVE. My first large buy this cycle having been around $55 in 2022, with additional buys on the way up at $70 and $100. COINBASE:AAVEUSD has been carving out higher highs and higher lows for the good part of 2 years now. Then in July we got a nice bullish engulfing hammer setup off the $90 support level. That set the tone for continued bullishness and set up the next leg that has brought us to where we are at today, currently at $170.
Funnymentals
I am not a fundamentals guy but I think there's some points here that shouldn't be ignored if you're planning on holding this for longer than a short term trade. Aave has proven itself as the best, the largest, and the most trusted DeFi borrowing/lending platform around. As we've often seen with other tech leaders (e.g. Amazon, Google, etc), Aave which was already the largest platform by TVL and market share has only gotten larger and taken even more market share. This isn't by accident. Aave has an absolute superstar team that continues to deliver year after year, rain or shine, bull or bear. I don't see this changing anytime soon.
The Trump partnership
I'm using the term "partnership" very loosely since Aave is a money lego that anyone can build on, but it's important to note that this is the protocol the Trump team decided to build their front-end on. In addition to that, their respective communities are working together on token allocations, which is as close to a partnership as you'll find in the DeFi space.
The Trump pump
With pro-crypto candidates winning across U.S. on election night and Trump, the most pro crypto presidential candidate we've ever had, winning the presidency, this has set up a major tailwind for the crypto space and put a spotlight on Aave. It remains to be seen just how big of an impact this has in the long term, but I know I'm not going to fade it.
TA
Back to the chart technicals, as I said at the start of the post, AAVE has a nice long term bullish chart structure. The way I've been trading this is by having a core position based on the long term setup, and then trading around that core position anytime shorter term setups to present themselves. I've kept this trade simple by going from key level to key level and knowing where my invalidation levels are. The most recent being the $120 major support area. My 1st big price target which I've had marked for the last few years now, sits around around $450. That can change as we get new price action setups, but these are the parameters I'm trading with right now. In the meantime I'll continue watching the short and medium term for new setups to trade around my core position.
IWM: Cup, Handle, and a Bullish GambleAMEX:IWM
Original Chart :
Been eyeing IWM lately, and honestly, this setup has the kind of potential that could get even the most cynical trader to sit up and pay attention. We’re looking at the *beginning* of a cup-and-handle-esque pattern so pristine it belongs in a TA textbook—classic accumulation followed by consolidation, like the bulls are quietly gearing up for something big. But here’s where it gets even more interesting: with the recent US election in the rearview and a lineup of Fibonacci extensions and moving averages all pointing in the same direction, this setup is practically begging for a breakout. Let’s dive into the details.
Fibonacci Extensions and Price Targets
Let’s talk targets. I’m looking at $315 and $365 based on Fibonacci extensions, and yes, that $365 target might sound ambitious, but hear me out. Fibs are like the star charts for traders—rooted in math, mystical enough for Twitter hype, and strangely accurate. $315 is the conservative target, sitting right around the 100% extension, where we might see price take a breather. But the real spotlight is on $365, the 200% extension level, which could be where we end up if this breakout goes full send. If Fibonacci levels have taught us anything, it’s that the universe loves a good price projection.
Moving Averages and the Golden Cross
Then there’s the 50-day and 200-day moving average crossover—the infamous “golden cross,” which might sound like something out of an Indiana Jones movie, but actually just signals bullish momentum. We’ve got price hanging above both moving averages, a classic recipe for sustained upward trends. Historically, this setup has a decent track record of making bulls look smart, and right now, it’s flashing green like a big, neon sign saying, “This way to higher prices.”
Volume Profile and Key Levels between $200-$240
The Volume Profile is where things get interesting. That $200-$240 range is showing a massive amount of trading activity, acting like a gravity well for price. If IWM revisits this range and bounces around $235, that’s our green light for lift-off. This is the make-or-break level—the battleground where bulls and bears duke it out. Here’s the nuance: if price *rejects* $235 and consolidates, that’s what would actually form the handle of this cup-and-handle setup, setting the stage for a later breakout. If $235 holds, we’re looking at a more direct path upwards. If not, well… it might be time to rethink the moonshot narrative.
Mapping Out the Bullish Scenarios
So, we’re left with two paths. Path one is the steady grind up to our targets, where IWM just slowly marches its way to $315 and then potentially $365, no drama, just smooth sailing. Path two is the extended consolidation phase in the $200-$240 range through most of 2025, creating that classic “handle” structure. Think of it as the market getting in some much-needed cardio before the sprint. By end-Q1 2025, we should know which scenario is unfolding based on whether we hold above that $235 line.
Curious to see if anyone else is seeing the same potential here. The combination of a cup-and-handle formation in the works, Fib extensions, and moving averages feels like a recipe for something substantial, but I’m always down to hear different perspectives. Are you all vibing with the $365 target, or is that too much hopium?