Gold (XAUUSD) Analysis – 4-Hour TimeframeGold (XAUUSD) Analysis – 4-Hour Timeframe
Currently, the price is moving in an upward trend and approaching a key resistance area. Recent volatility suggests that buyers have shown enough strength to break through previous resistance zones and are now attempting to overcome the next significant barrier ahead.
🔴 Bullish Scenario:
If the price manages to break above the current resistance and hold above it, we can expect a continuation of the upward move toward higher zones. In this case, the bullish wave could extend toward the next resistance levels (marked in blue).
🔴 Bearish Scenario:
If the price reacts negatively to the current resistance area and fails to break above it, a corrective decline may follow. The nearest support zone below could play a crucial role in maintaining the bullish structure. However, if this support is also broken, the path could open for a deeper pullback toward lower support levels.
Support and Resistance
BITCOIN → Stopping after the rally? What next? 125K or 110K?BINANCE:BTCUSDT rose and updated its historical maximum to a new record of 118K with “kopecks” (different prices on different exchanges). Now the price has supposedly stopped and entered a consolidation phase, but it is too early to draw any conclusions based on this alone...
Fundamentally, Bitcoin rose following the SP500 and NQ100 indices. The reasons are clearly geopolitical. The correlation level is not high, but the flagship is following the stock indices, which are also updating their historical highs.
Technically, Bitcoin has emerged from a two-month consolidation and entered a realization phase. So what's next? Continuation of the phase or correction? Let's take a look.
On the daily chart, I would highlight two zones. The risk and sell zone is below 117,500. If the price closes below this zone today/tomorrow, we will most likely be able to look for signals for a possible correction. As part of the correction, we can expect a decline to 115,500, 114,300, or even to the old ATH of 112K.
The second zone is the buying zone. A closing price above 118,400–118,900 and consolidation with the gradual formation of a breakout of structure may hint at a possible continuation of growth toward psychological targets.
Resistance levels: 118,400, 118900
Support levels: 117100, 116700, 115500
In the chart above, I have highlighted the situations, levels, and zones that interest me more precisely.
Now I am waiting for Bitcoin to retest resistance or support and confirm certain levels, based on which decisions can be made. I think that in the near future, Bitcoin will show us where it is headed. Updates will be published as something interesting emerges...
Best regards, R. Linda!
20250714-XAUUSD IdeaA clear impulse–correction–impulse structure has emerged in the major timeframe. A 1:1 upward movement is anticipated, potentially reaching the upper resistance zone and completing wave 4 of a contracting triangle. Monitor whether the price retests the 3343 level and observe the completion timing of wave C within the corrective ABC structure.
It is the right time to go long after the shock and adjustmentGold opened higher at 3364 today, and after a brief surge to 3374, it entered a stage of shock and retracement. Our plan to arrange short orders near 3370 was successfully implemented, and we stopped profits in batches in the 3360-3355 range, making short-term profits. Overall, although it jumped higher due to the stimulus of news such as the increase in tariffs over the weekend, the momentum of the surge is limited, and the technical side still needs to retrace to digest the gains.
At present, the market has returned to the technical rhythm. The key support refers to the breakthrough point of 3340-3345 last Friday. Further exploration will look at the strong support of 3330. The overall rhythm is still mainly to arrange long orders near the low support, and going with the trend is the key. As long as the 3330 support is not broken, the daily line structure will still maintain a strong bullish trend. Do not blindly chase the short position. The operation of short orders against the trend needs to be particularly cautious. I will promptly remind you of the specific operation strategy according to the changes in the market. You can pay attention to the bottom notification. It is recommended that you keep paying attention and respond to the market rhythm steadily.
Reference for gold operation strategy: Go long on gold near the 3345-3355 area, target the 3365-3370 line. If it breaks above 3370, you can continue to hold and hope for further continuation.
ZENUSDT | Triangle Breakout Setup Brewing!#ZEN is currently consolidating in a symmetrical triangle pattern on the 4-hour timeframe, following a strong bearish move. The price action has shifted to a sideways range, signaling a potential trend reversal or continuation setup in the making.
What to Watch:
We’re closely monitoring a bullish breakout from the triangle or resistance zone.
A confirmed breakout with a successful retest will trigger our long entry.
As always, proper risk management is key – wait for confirmation before entering.
Trade Plan:
✅ Wait for breakout above resistance
✅ Look for volume confirmation
✅ Enter on retest with a tight stop-loss
✅ Target recent highs for a solid R:R setup
What’s your take on #ZEN? Do you see a breakout coming or more chop ahead? Drop your thoughts in the comments!
Follow me for more real-time crypto setups and chart breakdowns!
#ZEN #CryptoTrading #PriceAction #TrianglePattern #BreakoutTrade #TechnicalAnalysis #ZENUSDT #Altcoins #TradingSetup #CryptoTA #BullishBreakout #SwingTrade #4hrChart #TradingViewIdeas
GBPUSD Week 29 Swing Zone/LevelsAfter 7 straight weeks of profitable gold trading, we’re shifting gears to GBPUSD.
Why this pair? It’s offering a classic low-risk, high-reward setup that many traders appreciate:
🔒 Stop Loss: 10–15 pips
🎯 Take Profit: 50–100 pips
We’re analyzing price action using a simple but powerful concept:
Each zone is drawn based on how the high and low of one day compares with the next. For example:
Monday’s high/low vs Tuesday’s range
Tuesday’s vs Wednesday’s, and so on
This method helps spot potential continuation zones as market structure unfolds across the week.
👉 The key? Patience, and letting the levels tell the story.
As always price action determines trades
“How Other People’s Fear Becomes Our Profit”From a behavioral and technical standpoint, LEVI presents a textbook short opportunity following its post-earnings overreaction. After a strong earnings beat, the stock surged over 13% intraday, reaching a high of $22.07. However, this rally quickly pushed RSI into overbought territory, triggering natural selling pressure. Much of this sell-off can be attributed to traders who previously bought near the $21–$22 range and are now looking to exit at breakeven—a classic example of loss aversion and anchoring bias. This emotional response often leads to temporary price spikes followed by sharp corrections. We are now observing that exact pattern, with the stock fading to $21.92 in after-hours and closing at $21.95, signaling buyer exhaustion.
Technically, this marks a short-term trend reversal—from bullish earnings momentum to a developing downtrend. The price action shows rejection at key resistance, weakening volume, and emotional exit zones being triggered. Now is a clean, high-probability shorting opportunity, with potential to capture 2–7% downside in the next 1–2 sessions, especially as the broader market reacts to inflated valuations and profit-taking behavior.
EURUSD InsightHello to all our subscribers.
Please share your personal thoughts in the comments. Don't forget to like and subscribe!
Key Points
- Attacks on Fed Chair Jerome Powell are intensifying, mainly from President Trump and his close aides. Analysts say the tension between the White House and the Federal Reserve has reached a serious level.
- President Trump announced on Truth Social that starting next month, a 30% reciprocal tariff will be imposed on both the EU and Mexico.
- Canada added 83,100 jobs in June compared to the previous month, in line with market expectations. The unemployment rate came in at 6.9%, slightly below the forecast of 6.9%. The strong labor market data likely reduced the chances of a rate cut by the Bank of Canada in July.
This Week’s Key Economic Events
+ July 15: U.S. June Consumer Price Index (CPI)
+ July 16: U.K. June Consumer Price Index, U.S. June Producer Price Index (PPI)
+ July 17: Eurozone June Consumer Price Index
EURUSD Chart Analysis
The price has broken below the trend channel and is now forming under the 1.17000 level. The downside appears more likely than an upward move. The expected support level is around 1.15000. Whether the price bounces from this area or breaks further downward will likely determine the future direction.
NZD/JPY – 4H Technical and Fundamental AnalysisNZD/JPY – 4H Technical and Fundamental Analysis
NZD/JPY remains supported fundamentally by a hawkish stance from the Reserve Bank of New Zealand, which recently held rates at 5.50%, emphasizing ongoing caution around inflation. This tone continues to favor NZD strength in the short to medium term.
Adding to that, seasonal trends also support bullish momentum July and August have historically been weak for the Japanese yen and relatively strong for the New Zealand dollar, aligning with the current upside bias.
On our Technical Side
NZD/JPY recently broke above a minor key resistance at 87.900, following a multi-week period of consolidation. This breakout signaled renewed buyer interest and a potential shift into a bullish continuation phase.
After the breakout, price entered a clear accumulation zone, where early buyers positioned themselves just above support. However, smart money triggered a stop-loss hunt below 87.900, targeting liquidity trapped beneath that key level.
This liquidity grab formed a Clear liquidity within the liquidity zone, creating a cleaner setup for long opportunities. Price is now heading back toward the previous resistance now flipped into a key support level.
📍 Buy Limit Setup:
Buy Limit Entry: 88.030
Stop Loss: 87.570 (below liquidity zone)
Take Profit: 89.250 (next minor resistance zone)
📌 Disclaimer:
This is not financial advice. Always wait for proper confirmation before executing trades. Manage risk wisely and trade what you see—not what you feel.
EUR/USD 4H Technical and Fundamental AnalysisEUR/USD 4H Technical and Fundamental Analysis
EUR/USD has dropped approximately –0.7% over the past week following a sharp risk-off move driven by geopolitical and economic tensions. The major catalyst was President Trump’s announcement of a 30% tariff on EU goods effective August 1, which triggered a strong rally in the U.S. dollar and put the euro under heavy pressure. Broader market concerns also intensified as traders braced for further tariffs targeting sectors like copper and pharmaceuticals, compounding bearish sentiment. On our Technical Side EUR/USD recently broke below a major support zone at 1.1700, confirming a Change of Character (CHoCH) and signaling that sellers are now in control. After the break, the pair entered a phase of bearish accumulation, suggesting institutional positioning ahead of a deeper move. A liquidity grab was observed above the previous short-term high, forming a potential stop-loss hunt a common smart money tactic before a major drop. The market now appears poised for another liquidity sweep before triggering our area of interest.
A clear break and close below 1.16870 would likely confirm continuation toward the next minor support at 1.16270, aligning with bearish momentum.
📌 Sell Setup:
Entry: Sell stop at 1.16870
Stop Loss: 1.17140 (above liquidity zone)
Take Profit: 1.16270 (next key support zone)
These developments are reinforcing downside pressure on the euro, while the U.S. dollar remains well-supported by risk aversion and safe-haven flows.
📌 Disclaimer:
This is not financial advice. Always wait for proper confirmation before executing trades. Manage risk wisely and trade what you see—not what you feel.
Crypto 2021-22 Rerun?Crypto ex-BTC looks like an identical setup with high, divergent higher high, dead cat bounce, with the same level of resistance in play (both double top and 'right shoulders')
Shitcoins and crypto are much less popular among retail this time around, which has me thinking a FOMO surge to new highs is off the table this time.
I think there's a short setup here, but posting before a break confirmation has occurred anyway (so technically still neutral today). I dont trade crypto, but follow the trends and this just stood out to me enough to share.
US Small Caps: Evening star pattern flags reversal riskThe U.S. Small Cap contract often generates reliable reversal signals, meaning the three-candle evening star pattern completed Friday should be of interest to traders, especially with bullish price momentum also showing signs of rolling over.
Should the price push back towards Monday’s opening level, shorts could be established beneath the level with a stop above for protection. 2192 looms as an initial target, having acted as both support and resistance in the recent past, although the 200-day moving average found at 2176.7 screens as a more appealing target given its importance for longer-term directional moves in the past.
If the price were to close beneath the 200DMA, it may act as a catalyst to spark a deeper unwind towards 2133 or 2075.
Good luck!
DS
Gold trend forecast for next week, continue to go longAfter the gold broke through on Friday, we started to turn long, and gold rose strongly. Gold finally rose as expected, and the gold bulls are still strong. If there is no major change in the news over the weekend, the decline next week will not be large, and we can continue to buy. The gold 1-hour moving average continues to cross upward and the bulls are arranged and diverge. The strength of gold bulls is still there, and the gold moving average support has also moved up to around 3330. After gold broke through 3330 yesterday, gold fell back to 3330 and stabilized and rose twice. The short-term gold 3330 has formed a strong support. Gold will continue to buy on dips when it falls back to 3330 next week.
DXY SHORT?
## 📉 **DXY Bearish Setup for 2025 – Fed Cuts, Fiscal Strain, Technical Breakdown**
### 🧠 Thesis
The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) is poised to remain under pressure through the rest of 2025 due to macro, policy, and technical headwinds. With the Fed preparing for multiple rate cuts, rising fiscal imbalances, and a strong global diversification away from USD, the broader trend points **downward**.
---
### 🔍 Fundamentals Driving USD Weakness
* **Federal Reserve Pivot**: 2–3 rate cuts expected in 2025 → erodes USD yield advantage.
* **Surging U.S. Deficits**: Debt-to-GDP nearing 130%, undermining investor confidence.
* **De-dollarization Trend**: Central banks diversifying reserves (yuan, gold, euro).
* **Political Noise**: Tariff risk + weak-dollar narrative from Trump camp adds pressure.
---
### 📊 Technical Outlook (1D/1W Charts)
* DXY is trading below **9/20/50 EMA**.
* RSI \~43 with hidden bearish divergence.
* Clear **descending channel** since mid-2024.
* Key **support zone: 97.90 – 96.40**.
* Below 97.90 opens path toward 96.00–95.00.
---
### 🛠️ Trade Setup
| Type | Short (swing/position) |
| -------- | ---------------------- |
| Entry | Break below 98.00 |
| Target 1 | 96.40 |
| Target 2 | 95.00 |
| SL | Above 99.50 |
| R\:R | \~2.5:1 |
---
### ⚠️ Risks
* Surprise inflation → Fed pauses cuts
* Safe haven bid from geopolitical shocks
* Strong upside breakout >101.00 = trend invalidation
---
### 💬 Final Note
As long as DXY remains below 99.50, rallies are selling opportunities. Watch the 97.90–98.00 level — a confirmed breakdown could mark a fresh leg lower toward 95.00 by year-end.
---
### 🏷️ Tags
`#DXY` `#USD` `#DollarIndex` `#Forex` `#Macro` `#Bearish` `#TradingSetup` `#ShortUSD`
---
GBP/AUD: Familiar support holds as global growth fears biteThe bearish unwind in GBP/AUD stalled in familiar territory, bouncing from 2.0500 in Asian trade, continuing the pattern seen since April when Donald Trump first unveiled reciprocal tariff rates on U.S. trading partners. Now, like then, the bounce likely reflects concern about the outlook for the global economy following the unveiling of 30% tariff rates on E.U. imports entering the United States from August 1. The headline-driven nature of the move overrides the deeply bearish message coming from momentum indicators like RSI (14) and MACD.
If the pair were to move towards 2.0500 again, it would create a decent long setup where positions could be established above the level with a stop beneath for protection. 2.0600 and 2.0700 screen as possible targets, although the most appealing target would be 2.0800 from a risk-reward perspective—that level has seen plenty of work either side of it over recent months and has the 50-day moving average located just above.
If the pair were to reverse back through 2.0500 and close there, the bullish setup would be invalidated, opening the door for bearish trades to be set targeting support at 2.0300.
Good luck!
DS
ETH – $7k Target in Sight
7k incoming on CRYPTOCAP:ETH —timing is up in the air, but the chart looks stellar.
A decisive break above $3,500 should kick off aggressive expansion.
Meanwhile, ETHBTC has been rallying hard off its lows; I’m eyeing a 50% gain against BTC over the next 2–3 months.
Holding through this strength makes sense—it’s been a long time since we’ve seen these setups.
The impact of tariffs continues, shorting is expected to retrace📰 News information:
1. Focus on tomorrow's CPI data
2. Bowman's speech at the Federal Reserve
3. Tariff information outflows and countries' responses to tariff issues
📈 Technical Analysis:
During the weekend, the Trump administration's tariff information continued to come out, causing a large amount of funds to flow into the safe-haven market, triggering an escalation of market risk aversion. Although the collapse in the previous tariff remarks did hit the market's buying enthusiasm to a certain extent, the strong rise on Friday also stimulated the market's buying enthusiasm again. This, whether it is on the way down or on the way up, has attracted retail investors to a certain extent. As we judged on gold on Friday and the weekend, short-term bulls are undoubtedly strong. However, I think it is very dangerous to continue to chase long positions at high levels. Therefore, I tend to short-term and then consider continuing to chase long positions after the market retreats to the support level.
First of all, the CPI data will be released tomorrow. With inflation in the United States currently heating up, the Federal Reserve is undoubtedly resisting a rate cut in July. This has, to some extent, dampened the enthusiasm of bulls. Secondly, it is necessary to pay attention to the response of Europe and Japan to the tariff issue. Due to the timeliness, the current market expectations are undoubtedly limited.
In the short term, the RSI indicator is already seriously overbought. For today's operation arrangement, it is recommended to short at the rebound of 3365-3375. If the gold price continues to maintain a strong trend in the short term and breaks through this resistance area, it is time to stop loss. First of all, we should pay attention to whether 3355-3345 can be broken. Once it falls below the support of 3355-3345, we will need to see the 3330 line below, and it may even fall below 3300. Therefore, we also need to take precautions and follow up.
🎯 Trading Points:
SELL 3365-3375
TP 3355-3345
In addition to investment, life also includes poetry, distant places, and Allen. Facing the market is actually facing yourself, correcting your shortcomings, facing your mistakes, and exercising strict self-discipline. I share free trading strategies and analysis ideas every day for reference by brothers. I hope my analysis can help you.
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