US Dollar Index: Was Friday the Start of a Pullback Or Reversal?Welcome back to the Weekly Forex Forecast for the week of Aug 4 - 8th.
In this video, we will analyze the following FX market:
USD Index
The DXY had a strong week, but turned bearish Friday on weak jobs numbers. Was this just a retracement from the impulsive move up? Will price now find support for another bullish leg?
It all comes down to the +FVG, whether it holds or folds.
Look for price to continue down to discount prices early in the week... and then find it's footing on support.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
Support and Resistance
Insiders are selling Roblox ! Heres the levels you need to knowIn this video I lay out a solid plan for a move to the downside for Roblox after a 100% move to the upside since April of this year .
I demonstrate why I believe we will take a 30% retracement and provide confluent evidence to support this theory.
There are some fundamental reasons that I also did include alongside the technical analysis which is not my regular style but important given the context.
Tools used in the video 0.382 Fib , Standard Fib pull, Trend based fib and pivots .
BONKUSDT – Let the Market Come to YouIn a possible Q3 correction, BONKUSDT may retest the green box zones below.
These areas are not predictions — they’re prepared zones where I’ll be waiting, not chasing.
🟩 I don’t buy strength blindly. I buy value with structure.
All risk-on markets typically experience significant corrections in the third quarter of the year and struggle to recover from this correction until the end of the year.
🎯 My Strategy
🔔 Set alerts for the green boxes
🕐 Switch to the 1-hour timeframe when triggered
📈 Wait for upward breakout + positive CDV
🎯 Only then: take the shot — one bullet, risk-managed
“Markets reward those who wait with a plan, not those who rush with emotion.”
Let’s stay patient, structured, and consistent.
— UmutTrades 💙
📌I keep my charts clean and simple because I believe clarity leads to better decisions.
📌My approach is built on years of experience and a solid track record. I don’t claim to know it all but I’m confident in my ability to spot high-probability setups.
📌If you would like to learn how to use the heatmap, cumulative volume delta and volume footprint techniques that I use below to determine very accurate demand regions, you can send me a private message. I help anyone who wants it completely free of charge.
🔑I have a long list of my proven technique below:
🎯 ZENUSDT.P: Patience & Profitability | %230 Reaction from the Sniper Entry
🐶 DOGEUSDT.P: Next Move
🎨 RENDERUSDT.P: Opportunity of the Month
💎 ETHUSDT.P: Where to Retrace
🟢 BNBUSDT.P: Potential Surge
📊 BTC Dominance: Reaction Zone
🌊 WAVESUSDT.P: Demand Zone Potential
🟣 UNIUSDT.P: Long-Term Trade
🔵 XRPUSDT.P: Entry Zones
🔗 LINKUSDT.P: Follow The River
📈 BTCUSDT.P: Two Key Demand Zones
🟩 POLUSDT: Bullish Momentum
🌟 PENDLEUSDT.P: Where Opportunity Meets Precision
🔥 BTCUSDT.P: Liquidation of Highly Leveraged Longs
🌊 SOLUSDT.P: SOL's Dip - Your Opportunity
🐸 1000PEPEUSDT.P: Prime Bounce Zone Unlocked
🚀 ETHUSDT.P: Set to Explode - Don't Miss This Game Changer
🤖 IQUSDT: Smart Plan
⚡️ PONDUSDT: A Trade Not Taken Is Better Than a Losing One
💼 STMXUSDT: 2 Buying Areas
🐢 TURBOUSDT: Buy Zones and Buyer Presence
🌍 ICPUSDT.P: Massive Upside Potential | Check the Trade Update For Seeing Results
🟠 IDEXUSDT: Spot Buy Area | %26 Profit if You Trade with MSB
📌 USUALUSDT: Buyers Are Active + %70 Profit in Total
🌟 FORTHUSDT: Sniper Entry +%26 Reaction
🐳 QKCUSDT: Sniper Entry +%57 Reaction
📊 BTC.D: Retest of Key Area Highly Likely
📊 XNOUSDT %80 Reaction with a Simple Blue Box!
📊 BELUSDT Amazing %120 Reaction!
📊 Simple Red Box, Extraordinary Results
📊 TIAUSDT | Still No Buyers—Maintaining a Bearish Outlook
📊 OGNUSDT | One of Today’s Highest Volume Gainers – +32.44%
📊 TRXUSDT - I Do My Thing Again
📊 FLOKIUSDT - +%100 From Blue Box!
📊 SFP/USDT - Perfect Entry %80 Profit!
📊 AAVEUSDT - WE DID IT AGAIN!
I stopped adding to the list because it's kinda tiring to add 5-10 charts in every move but you can check my profile and see that it goes on..
HBARUSDT – Planning Ahead, Not Reacting Late In the event of a potential Q3 correction, I believe HBARUSDT could revisit the green box zones below.
These areas aren’t guaranteed bounce points — but they represent fair value in a market pullback scenario.
🧭 How I’m Preparing
📌 No blind orders
📌 Set alerts at the green zones
📌 When price hits, switch to 1-hour
📌 Wait for upward breakout + rising CDV
If it aligns, I take the trade — one bullet only.
"The smart investor doesn’t fear the correction — they prepare for it."
No rush. No panic. Just discipline.
Let’s stay ready.
— UmutTrades 💙
📌I keep my charts clean and simple because I believe clarity leads to better decisions.
📌My approach is built on years of experience and a solid track record. I don’t claim to know it all but I’m confident in my ability to spot high-probability setups.
📌If you would like to learn how to use the heatmap, cumulative volume delta and volume footprint techniques that I use below to determine very accurate demand regions, you can send me a private message. I help anyone who wants it completely free of charge.
🔑I have a long list of my proven technique below:
🎯 ZENUSDT.P: Patience & Profitability | %230 Reaction from the Sniper Entry
🐶 DOGEUSDT.P: Next Move
🎨 RENDERUSDT.P: Opportunity of the Month
💎 ETHUSDT.P: Where to Retrace
🟢 BNBUSDT.P: Potential Surge
📊 BTC Dominance: Reaction Zone
🌊 WAVESUSDT.P: Demand Zone Potential
🟣 UNIUSDT.P: Long-Term Trade
🔵 XRPUSDT.P: Entry Zones
🔗 LINKUSDT.P: Follow The River
📈 BTCUSDT.P: Two Key Demand Zones
🟩 POLUSDT: Bullish Momentum
🌟 PENDLEUSDT.P: Where Opportunity Meets Precision
🔥 BTCUSDT.P: Liquidation of Highly Leveraged Longs
🌊 SOLUSDT.P: SOL's Dip - Your Opportunity
🐸 1000PEPEUSDT.P: Prime Bounce Zone Unlocked
🚀 ETHUSDT.P: Set to Explode - Don't Miss This Game Changer
🤖 IQUSDT: Smart Plan
⚡️ PONDUSDT: A Trade Not Taken Is Better Than a Losing One
💼 STMXUSDT: 2 Buying Areas
🐢 TURBOUSDT: Buy Zones and Buyer Presence
🌍 ICPUSDT.P: Massive Upside Potential | Check the Trade Update For Seeing Results
🟠 IDEXUSDT: Spot Buy Area | %26 Profit if You Trade with MSB
📌 USUALUSDT: Buyers Are Active + %70 Profit in Total
🌟 FORTHUSDT: Sniper Entry +%26 Reaction
🐳 QKCUSDT: Sniper Entry +%57 Reaction
📊 BTC.D: Retest of Key Area Highly Likely
📊 XNOUSDT %80 Reaction with a Simple Blue Box!
📊 BELUSDT Amazing %120 Reaction!
📊 Simple Red Box, Extraordinary Results
📊 TIAUSDT | Still No Buyers—Maintaining a Bearish Outlook
📊 OGNUSDT | One of Today’s Highest Volume Gainers – +32.44%
📊 TRXUSDT - I Do My Thing Again
📊 FLOKIUSDT - +%100 From Blue Box!
📊 SFP/USDT - Perfect Entry %80 Profit!
📊 AAVEUSDT - WE DID IT AGAIN!
I stopped adding to the list because it's kinda tiring to add 5-10 charts in every move but you can check my profile and see that it goes on..
renderwithme | Nifty 50 Under Preasure#Current Market Snapshot
Index Value: As of July 31, 2025, the Nifty 50 closed at approximately 24,565.35 INR, down 0.82% in the past 24 hours.
Recent Performance: Weekly: Down 1.78%.
Monthly: Down 4.00%.
Yearly: Down 1.86%.
Historical Context: The index hit its all-time high of 26,277.35 INR on September 27, 2024, but has since faced downward pressure.
#Technical Analysis
Trend: The Nifty 50 is currently in a bearish phase, with a five-week losing streak, the longest in two years, as over 35 of its constituent stocks posted losses.
The index is trading within a descending channel, with support around 24,475 and resistance at 25,925. A break above 25,925 could signal upside momentum toward, while a drop below 24,400 may indicate further weakness.
Key Indicators:Moving Averages: Mixed signals—30-minute charts show a "Strong Buy," while daily charts indicate a "Strong Sell." Weekly and monthly charts lean toward "Buy."
RSI (Relative Strength Index): Likely in the neutral-to-bearish zone (exact value unavailable), suggesting no extreme overbought or oversold conditions.
Support/Resistance:
Support at 24,475; resistance at 24,925–25,900. A sustained move above 25,000 is critical for bullish sentiment.
#Fundamental Factors
Market Sentiment: Heavy foreign institutional investor (FII) outflows (₹25,000 crore over eight sessions) have pressured the index, though domestic institutional investors (DIIs) have countered with net buying (e.g., ₹6,372.71 crore on a recent session).
Sectors like pharma, textiles, auto components, and electronics faced selling pressure due to trade concerns, particularly U.S. tariff fears under President Trump.
Earnings Impact: Strong Q1 earnings from companies like Mahindra & Mahindra and Tata Steel provided some support, but weak global cues and sector-specific challenges (e.g., pharma with Sun Pharmaceutical’s 5% drop) weighed on the index.
Global Context: The U.S. Federal Reserve’s decision to hold interest rates steady, with no rate cut expected in September, adds uncertainty. Asian markets are also cautious due to trade tensions.
Sectoral PerformanceWeak Sectors: Metals, Oil & Gas, Technology, Pharma, and Textiles saw significant losses.
Resilient Stocks: Stocks like Mahindra & Mahindra and Tata Steel showed strength amid the downturn.
Nifty Constituents: The index includes blue-chip companies like HDFC Bank, ICICI Bank, Reliance Industries, and Tata Motors, which are critical to its movement.
Trading Strategy
Sell on Weakness: Sell below 24,600 with targets at 24,510, 24,380, and 24,150 (stop-loss: 24,860).
Long-Term: The current dip offers attractive valuations for quality investments. A buy-on-dips strategy is recommended if the index holds above 24,475, with potential for a rally toward 26,000 if it sustains above 25,250.
Risk Management: High volatility (India VIX noted in broader market context) and FII outflows warrant caution. Use stop-losses to mitigate risks.
Key RisksGlobal Trade Tensions: U.S. tariffs and geopolitical concerns could continue to drive FII outflows.
Volatility: Persistent sectoral pressure and global economic uncertainty may lead to further downside.
Rupee Movement: The Indian rupee’s recent gain (10 paise to 87.53) provides some stability, but currency fluctuations could impact foreign investment.
Derivatives: Nifty 50 futures and options (e.g., HDFC Bank Options, ICICI Bank Futures) are active, but high risk.
Mutual Funds: Consider funds like ICICI Prudential India Opportunities Fund or Parag Parikh Flexi Cap Fund for diversified exposure.
ConclusionThe Nifty 50 is under pressure due to FII outflows, sectoral challenges, and global uncertainties, with a bearish short-term outlook. However, domestic demand and strong earnings from select companies provide some resilience. Traders should monitor key levels (24,475 support, 25,925 resistance) and adopt a cautious approach with strict risk management. Long-term investors may find current valuations appealing for selective buying, particularly if the index stabilizes above 25,000.For real-time updates, track the Nifty 50on renderwithme page
~~ Disclaimer ~~
This analysis is based on recent technical data and market sentiment from web sources. It is for informational \ educational purposes only and not financial advice. Trading involves high risks, and past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research or consult a SEBI-registered advisor before trading.
# Boost and comment will be highly appreciated.
$XRP ENJOYERRRs see ya at $1.04-$1.20If we look at the chart of XRP, you can see that since the move in fall of 2024, we've had a massive lack of balance on the chart.
We ran up quickly without testing any levels as support.
That makes me think we're going to see the lack of balance get corrected and the same move is now going to happen in the opposite direction.
The $1.04-1.20 region looks like a good area of support to me.
Natural Grocers Stock Chart Fibonacci Analysis 080125Trading Idea
1) Find a FIBO slingshot
2) Check FIBO 61.80% level
3) Entry Point > 38/61.80%
Chart time frame:B
A) 15 min(1W-3M)
B) 1 hr(3M-6M)
C) 4 hr(6M-1year)
D) 1 day(1-3years)
Stock progress:A
A) Keep rising over 61.80% resistance
B) 61.80% resistance
C) 61.80% support
D) Hit the bottom
E) Hit the top
Stocks rise as they rise from support and fall from resistance. Our goal is to find a low support point and enter. It can be referred to as buying at the pullback point. The pullback point can be found with a Fibonacci extension of 61.80%. This is a step to find entry level. 1) Find a triangle (Fibonacci Speed Fan Line) that connects the high (resistance) and low (support) points of the stock in progress, where it is continuously expressed as a Slingshot, 2) and create a Fibonacci extension level for the first rising wave from the start point of slingshot pattern.
When the current price goes over 61.80% level , that can be a good entry point, especially if the SMA 100 and 200 curves are gathered together at 61.80%, it is a very good entry point.
As a great help, tradingview provides these Fibonacci speed fan lines and extension levels with ease. So if you use the Fibonacci fan line, the extension level, and the SMA 100/200 curve well, you can find an entry point for the stock market. At least you have to enter at this low point to avoid trading failure, and if you are skilled at entering this low point, with fibonacci6180 technique, your reading skill to chart will be greatly improved.
If you want to do day trading, please set the time frame to 5 minutes or 15 minutes, and you will see many of the low point of rising stocks.
If want to prefer long term range trading, you can set the time frame to 1 hr or 1 day.
Aurizon Holdings Ltd Quote | Chart & Forecast SummaryKey Indicators On Trade Set Up In General
1. Push Set Up
2. Range Set Up
3. Break & Retest Set Up
Notes On Session
# Aurizon Holdings Ltd Quote
- Double Formation
* #(1st. Reference)) | Subdivision 1
* #(2nd. Reference)) | Completed Survey
* 131 bars, 183d | Date Range Method - (Uptrend Argument))
- Triple Formation
* (P1)) / (P2)) & (P3)) | Subdivision 2
* Daily Time Frame | Trend Settings Condition | Subdivision 3
- (Hypothesis On Entry Bias)) | Indexed To 100
* Stop Loss Feature Varies Regarding To Main Entry And Can Occur Unevenly
- Position On A 1.5RR
* Stop Loss At 82.00 GBP
* Entry At 86.00 GBP
* Take Profit At 94.00 GBP
* (Uptrend Argument)) & No Pattern Confirmation
- Continuation Pattern | Not Valid
- Reversal Pattern | Not Valid
* Ongoing Entry & (Neutral Area))
Active Sessions On Relevant Range & Elemented Probabilities;
European-Session(Upwards) - East Coast-Session(Downwards) - Asian-Session(Ranging)
Conclusion | Trade Plan Execution & Risk Management On Demand;
Overall Consensus | Buy
SUSDT: trend in daily time frames ((((( Each of these entries can reach the main TARGET)))))
The color levels are very accurate levels of support and resistance in different time frames, and we have to wait for their reaction in these areas.
So, Please pay special attention to the very accurate trend, colored levels, and you must know that SETUP is very sensitive.
Be careful
BEST
MT
ERA : Risky but profitableHello friends🙌
Given the high that has been made and the price has returned, there is a possibility that the price will correct to the middle of the move, which is why we have provided two buying levels for you, which you can buy with risk and capital management and move towards the specified goals.
🔥Follow us for more signals🔥
*Trade safely with us*
80% drop into the abyss for Solana? - July 2025** The months ahead **
Examination of the 3-week chart for SOLANA reveals several compelling technical signals that suggest a potential bearish trend reversal. This analysis highlights crucial patterns traders and investors of Solana should consider.
1. Formation of a 3-Week Death Cross:
A notable bearish signal prints on the chart: a ‘3-week death cross’. This follows a ‘2-week death cross’ that preceded a significant downward movement, just as in early 2022. The death cross, where a shorter-term moving average crosses below a longer-term one, is a strong indicator of a shift towards a bearish trend, especially on higher timeframes like this 3-week chart.
2. Broken Market Structure:
The chart clearly indicates a “broken market structure.” This typically occurs when the price fails to create higher highs and higher lows during an uptrend, or in this case, breaks below a significant support level that had previously held. It is absolutely possible price action backtests past support for a resistance confirmation, however on looking left, such a test never occurred on the last death cross.
3. Resistance from Previous Peaks (Head and Shoulders Pattern):
Price action leading up to the recent highs resembles a potential ‘Head and Shoulders’ pattern. The three distinct peaks, with the middle peak being the highest, suggest a classic reversal pattern. A subsequent break below the ‘neckline’ (implied support level below the peaks) would confirm the bearish outlook.
4. RSI Oscillator (bottom of chart) resistance
The lower panel of the chart displays an RSI oscillator indicator, which shows a clear pattern of "resistance." following a period of support since 2023. The RSI has clearly confirmed resistance from almost 3 years of support.
5. Solana vs Bitcoin
All the bearish observations made on the SOL-USD trading pair can be observed on the same 3 week time frame for the SOLANA - BITCOIN trading pair:
6. Potential for Significant Downside Target:
Based on the measured move from the previous death cross and breakdown and Fibonacci extension, the chart illustrates a potential downside target of approximately -70% from current levels toward the $30-40 area. While this is a projected target and not guaranteed, the historical precedent following similar bearish signals provides a context for the potential severity of the downturn if the bearish momentum continues.
Conclusion:
Considering the confluence of a 3-week death cross, broken market structure, resistance from previous peaks (suggesting a potential Head and Shoulders pattern), and the confirmation of RSI resistance, the outlook for SOLANA on the 3-week timeframe appears distinctly bearish.
Is it possible price action continues upwards after a 3200% rally? Sure.
Is it probable? No
Ww
Wizz Air Holdings PLC Quote | Chart & Forecast SummaryKey Indicators On Trade Set Up In General
1. Push Set Up
2. Range Set Up
3. Break & Retest Set Up
Notes On Session
# Wizz Air Holdings PLC Quote
- Double Formation
* Stop Loss - *(Range Allocation)) | No Size Up | Subdivision 1
* (Zone Feature)) | Completed Survey
* 265 bars, 371d | Date Range
- Triple Formation
* (P1)) / (P2)) & (P3)) | Subdivision 2
* Daily Time Frame | Trend Settings Condition | Subdivision 3
- (Hypothesis On Entry Bias)) | Indexed To 100
* Stop Loss Feature Varies Regarding To Main Entry And Can Occur Unevenly
- Position On A 1.5RR
* Stop Loss At 60.00 GBP
* Entry At 53.00 GBP
* Take Profit At 44.00 GBP
* (Downtrend Argument)) & No Pattern Confirmation
- Continuation Pattern | Not Valid
- Reversal Pattern | Not Valid
* Ongoing Entry & (Neutral Area))
Active Sessions On Relevant Range & Elemented Probabilities;
European-Session(Upwards) - East Coast-Session(Downwards) - Asian-Session(Ranging)
Conclusion | Trade Plan Execution & Risk Management On Demand;
Overall Consensus | Sell
Narayana Hrudayalaya can turnaround from trendline. Narayana Hrudayalaya Ltd. engages in the provision of medical and health care services. It also provides services in the areas of cardiac surgery, cardiology, diabetes and endocrinology, gastroenterology, general surgery, neurosciences, facial surgery, nephrology, obstetrics and gynecology, orthopedics, oncology, pediatrics, transplant, urology, and vascular surgery; and other specialty services, such as dental, dermatology, emergency medicine, ears, nose, and throat, family medicine, general medicine, and genetic.
NH Closing price is 1945.50. The positive aspects of the company are Companies with Zero Promoter Pledge, Company able to generate Net Cash - Improving Net Cash Flow for last 2 years and FII / FPI or Institutions increasing their shareholding. The Negative aspects of the company are high Valuation (P.E. = 50.6), Stocks Underperforming their Industry Price Change in the Quarter, Increasing Trend in Non-Core Income, PEG greater than Industry PEG and MFs decreased their shareholding last quarter
Entry can be taken after closing above 1950 Historical Resistance in the stock will be 2015, 2063 and 2098. PEAK Historic Resistance in the stock will be 2148, 2195 and 2269. Stop loss in the stock should be maintained at Closing below 1863 or 1648 depending upon your risk taking ability.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. The Techno-Funda analysis is based on data that is more than 3 months old. Supports and Resistances are determined by historic past peaks and Valley in the chart. Many other indicators and patterns like EMA, RSI, MACD, Volumes, Fibonacci, parallel channel etc. use historic data which is 3 months or older cyclical points. There is no guarantee they will work in future as markets are highly volatile and swings in prices are also due to macro and micro factors based on actions taken by the company as well as region and global events. Equity investment is subject to risks. I or my clients or family members might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our educational posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investment in equity.
Ultratech can bounce back from Motherline support. UltraTech Cement Ltd. is a holding company, which engages in the provision of manufacture and sale of cement and cement related products.
UltraTech Cement Ltd. Closing price is 12113. The positive aspects of the company are Companies with Zero Promoter Pledge, Companies with Low Debt, FII / FPI or Institutions increasing their shareholding and MFs increased their shareholding last quarter. The Negative aspects of the company are high Valuation (P.E. = 51), Stocks Underperforming their Industry Price Change in the Quarter, RSI indicating price weakness, Increasing Trend in Non-Core Income and Declining Net Cash Flow : Companies not able to generate net cash.
Entry can be taken after closing above 12136 Historical Resistance in the stock will be 12324 and 12531. PEAK Historic Resistance in the stock will be 12725 and 13023. Stop loss in the stock should be maintained at Closing below 11798 or 11492 depending upon your risk taking ability.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. The Techno-Funda analysis is based on data that is more than 3 months old. Supports and Resistances are determined by historic past peaks and Valley in the chart. Many other indicators and patterns like EMA, RSI, MACD, Volumes, Fibonacci, parallel channel etc. use historic data which is 3 months or older cyclical points. There is no guarantee they will work in future as markets are highly volatile and swings in prices are also due to macro and micro factors based on actions taken by the company as well as region and global events. Equity investment is subject to risks. I or my clients or family members might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our educational posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investment in equity.
The trend is clear, why do I choose to be firmly bullish on goldGold Trend Analysis: Yesterday, the gold market demonstrated strong upward momentum, opening near 3290 before falling slightly to a low of 3281 before fluctuating upward. Boosted by the non-farm payroll data, the gold market surged during the US trading session, reaching a single-day gain of 2.02%, reaching a high of 3363 and closing there. The daily chart formed a long bullish candlestick with a long lower shadow, forming a Morning Star pattern, reinforcing the bullish trend. From the perspective of the cycle structure, the daily level is clearly in the 5-wave upward stage, and the upward trend of the large cycle has not changed. At the indicator level, the daily MACD momentum column (the column below the zero axis) represents the short-selling momentum. Its "gradual shortening" means that the short-selling force is weakening and the downward momentum is gradually fading. It is a potential signal of stopping the decline or rebounding. KDJ is about to form a golden cross between 20-50, which is a signal that short-term bullish power is beginning to increase, and the overall trend is bullish.
The 4-hour level shows typical bullish characteristics: the moving average system is arranged in a bullish pattern, but there is a certain deviation between the short-term price and the moving average. The technical side needs to correct the deviation rate through a callback before continuing to rise. The short-term support below is focused on the line near 3330-3335. This position is both the relay support level in the previous rise and the intersection of the 4-hour moving averages MA10 and MA20, which has strong support strength; the short-term resistance above is focused on the line near 3370-3383. This area is a pressure-intensive area near the previous high point. If it can be effectively broken through, it will further open up upward space. A successful breakout would open up further upside potential. A breakout would further open up the 3400 mark.
For gold trading, the short-term strategy is to buy on dips. If the price pulls back to the 3330-3335 support level, consider entering a long position with a target of 3355-3365. If it reaches 3370-3380, consider a short-term short position with a target of 3350-3340.
John Wood Group PLC Quote | Chart & Forecast SummaryKey Indicators On Trade Set Up In General
1. Push Set Up
2. Range Set Up
3. Break & Retest Set Up
Notes On Session
# John Wood Group PLC Quote
- Double Formation
* (100 EMA )) - *Upper Band Feature | Subdivision 1
* (Zone Feature)) | Completed Survey
- 222 bars, 312d | Date Range
- Triple Formation
* (P1)) / (P2)) & (P3)) | Subdivision 2
* Daily Time Frame | Trend Settings Condition | Subdivision 3
- (Hypothesis On Entry Bias)) | Indexed To 100
* Stop Loss Feature Varies Regarding To Main Entry And Can Occur Unevenly
- Position On A 1.5RR
* Stop Loss At 32.00 GBP
* Entry At 10.00 GBP
* Take Profit At 5.00 GBP
* (Downtrend Argument)) & No Pattern Confirmation
- Continuation Pattern | Not Valid
- Reversal Pattern | Not Valid
* Ongoing Entry & (Neutral Area))
Active Sessions On Relevant Range & Elemented Probabilities;
European-Session(Upwards) - East Coast-Session(Downwards) - Asian-Session(Ranging)
Conclusion | Trade Plan Execution & Risk Management On Demand;
Overall Consensus | Sell
Bitcoin: Expected Cool-Off or Cause for Concern?After rallying more than 25% off the June lows, Bitcoin is finally taking a breather with a much-anticipated pullback. But as expected, the fear meter is spiking, especially across CT.
Was this cool-off really a surprise? Not quite.
The signs were there: price stalling at upper extremes, responsive sellers stepping in at perceived overextensions, and inefficient zones left behind during sharp impulsive moves.
Of course, reading it in real-time is easier said than done. Emotions always complicate execution , but that’s a separate conversation.
In this post, let’s break down the current structure in detail —using volume profile, TPO charts, and market structure analysis, to give you a clearer picture of what’s unfolding. We’ll also explore a few scenarios worth watching as the next move shapes up.
Let’s dive in!
Table of Contents
➺ Volume Profile
➺ TPO
➺ Key Technical Insights
➺ Market Structure
➺ Trade Scenarios and What to Watch
➺ TLDR
⦿ Volume Profile
Currently, we’re seeing two key zones of balance : one broad range that held for over 60 days and a tighter 21-day structure that formed at higher levels. These are classic areas of value where buyers and sellers found temporary agreement, establishing balance.
The sharp move from ~111,000 to ~122,000 was largely impulsive , with little volume built along the way, suggesting initiative buying in early July. As is often the case with such thin zones, they tend to get revisited once momentum fades. That’s exactly what we’re seeing now.
As price dips into this low-volume pocket, the key question is:
Will the market accept this zone and begin building value here, or will it reject and bounce back toward higher ground?
Looking at the Volume Range Visible Profile (VRVP) since June 7th, the nearby Value Area High (VAH) sits around ~111,000 . If current support doesn’t hold, this becomes the next major volume magnet. That said, there’s also a low-volume node (LVN) just above 111,000 , which could act as a demand pocket and trigger a responsive bounce.
In simple terms:
– Acceptance into the LVN could lead to new range formation at lower levels
– A sharp bounce off ~110,000 might reestablish the prior higher balance, or create a fresh range between the two existing areas
The next few sessions will reveal whether the market is hunting for new value or just shaking out weak hands.
⦿ TPO
Zooming into the 4H TPO chart, we can clearly see the evolving monthly profiles from May through August. And as is often the case, the market found resistance right where you’d expect: at the extremes.
The upper end of July’s profile became a battleground. Buyers attempted multiple pushes above that upper balance, but each effort was consistently faded by responsive sellers , signaling growing exhaustion at the top.
Eventually, that pressure gave way to an impulsive breakdown, driven by initiative selling. Notably, price didn’t rotate gently back into the previous range, but it sliced straight into a thin zone of prior low participation.
Now, the market is sitting at the low-volume region , and the next key battle is shaping up. Additionally, The 108,000 to 110,000 area carries weight as it served as the Value Area High (VAH) for both the May and June profiles. If buyers are going to respond, this is one of the more likely places for them to step in.
⦿ Key Technical Insights
▸ Failed Acceptance Above 21-Day Balance
Repeated attempts to hold above the short-term balance were rejected, signaling buyer fatigue and a lack of conviction at higher levels.
▸ Initiative Sellers Took Control
Once demand dried up, sellers stepped in aggressively. The thin participation during the recent rally left little structural support, allowing price to drop quickly.
▸ No Value Built Below Yet
The zone currently being tested saw minimal trading earlier. If bulls want to reclaim control, they’ll need to build value here and establish a new base.
▸ Prior Balance High as Potential Support
Price is now retesting the top of the 60+ day balance area from above, a classic setup where previous resistance can become support. This area also aligns with a known demand shelf.
▸ Deviation Below the 200 MA Cloud
Price has slipped below the 200 MA cloud and is nearing a key flip zone. A test of the 110,000 level next week wouldn’t be surprising. That area could serve as a strong support zone where a new accumulation phase begins.
⦿ Market Structure
The broader market structure points to a transition in progress. After spending over two months in balance , price broke out to the upside —only to form another short-lived range at higher levels. That, too, gave way to a swift breakdown.
This kind of “failed acceptance at higher prices” is often an early signal that the market may revisit prior zones of interest, typically areas where value was last built.
All eyes now shift to the 110,000–111,000 zone , the high of the previous 60-day balance.
We’re in a classic test-retest phase, where the market is probing for conviction . These moments often set the stage for the next significant move, either continued distribution lower, or the beginning of a re-accumulation phase.
⦿ Scenarios & What to Watch
As Bitcoin pulls back into key structural zones, several scenarios are in play. Here's what to monitor in the coming sessions:
Scenario 1: Re-Acceptance into 21-Day Balance
▸ If price reclaims and holds above ~116K, we could see a rotation back toward the upper end of the short-term balance near ~120K.
▸ This would suggest the recent breakdown was a failed auction or bear trap, not the start of a broader trend reversal.
▸ Watch for initiative buying above the demand shelf with follow-through volume.
Scenario 2: Choppy Mid-Balance Activity
▸ Price remains range-bound between ~110K and ~116K, forming a new short-term balance zone.
▸ Expect slower movement and back-and-forth behavior as the market decides its next direction.
▸ Patience is key here. Watch volume and initiative behavior to gauge strength.
Scenario 3: Rejection and Continuation Lower
▸ If price fails to hold above ~110K, there’s potential for a move down to the POC near ~104K, or even deeper toward ~100K (Value Area Low).
▸ These are low-volume zones, which rarely offer strong support unless new value is built.
▸ This would signal a continuation of the current imbalance and potentially mark a structural trend shift.
I’m primarily focused on Scenario 1 and 2 , as we appear to be in a late bull phase. A deeper pullback toward 100K increases the risk of a broader trend change, making it less attractive from a risk/reward standpoint.
⦿ TLDR
▸ Buyers failed to hold the top of the 21-day balance. Clear signs of exhaustion.
▸ Price dropped into a prior low-volume zone, which now acts as potential demand.
▸ This area has never been accepted before - either buyers step in, or we go lower.
▸ Reclaiming ~116K could fuel a move back toward 120K+.
▸ Failure to hold ~110K opens the door to 104K, maybe even 100K.
What happens next week will likely set the tone for the next major move. Watch how the market responds to acceptance vs rejection zones, and let price action confirm your bias before you act.
If you found this analysis helpful, share it with someone who trades Bitcoin. 🥰
What’s your read on the current structure? Let me know in the comments! 📉
⚠️ Disclaimer
As always, this post is purely for educational purposes. I am not a financial advisor, and nothing here should be taken as financial advice. Always consult your financial advisor before making any investment or trading decisions. Or at the very least, consult your cat. 🐱
GrainCorp Ltd Quote | Chart & Forecast SummaryKey Indicators On Trade Set Up In General
1. Push Set Up
2. Range Set Up
3. Break & Retest Set Up
Notes On Session
# GrainCorp Ltd Quote
- Double Formation
* (A+ SIgnal)) | Subdivision 1
* Stop Loss - *Medium Range | No Size Up | Completed Survey
- 280 bars, 392d | Date Range
- Triple Formation
* (P1)) / (P2)) & (P3)) | Subdivision 2
* Daily Time Frame | Trend Settings Condition | Subdivision 3
- (Hypothesis On Entry Bias)) | Indexed To 100
* Stop Loss Feature Varies Regarding To Main Entry And Can Occur Unevenly
- Position On A 1.5RR
* Stop Loss At 77.00 AUD
* Entry At 81.00 AUD
* Take Profit At 88.00 AUD
* (Uptrend Argument)) & No Pattern Confirmation
- Continuation Pattern | Not Valid
- Reversal Pattern | Not Valid
* Ongoing Entry & (Neutral Area))
Active Sessions On Relevant Range & Elemented Probabilities;
European-Session(Upwards) - East Coast-Session(Downwards) - Asian-Session(Ranging)
Conclusion | Trade Plan Execution & Risk Management On Demand;
Overall Consensus | Buy
Nifty August 1st week analysisThe Nifty index looks positive for the upcoming week, despite global uncertainties and tariffs. This is a bold take, but my chart analysis supports it. The charts do not indicate a fall below 24,200 in the coming week. Three short-covering levels are marked: 24,448, 24,339, and 24,215. On the upside, a key level to watch is 24,635. If Nifty crosses and sustains above 24,635, we can expect upward momentum to continue toward 24,900–25,000. All levels are marked in the chart posted.
Reverse cup and Handle kind of structure formed in NiftyIn the short term time frame Nifty is seen to be forming reverse cup and handle kind of structure this is considered very bearish structure. However for this bear fest to manifest Nifty needs to close below 24543 or 24417. These 2 levels can save Nifty if not we will see it going into the bear grip.
Thus the most important supports for Nifty remain at 24543 and 24417. Below this level the supports for Nifty will be at 24248, 23989, 23789 and finally major support are is near 23442.
Important resistance areas for Nifty remain at 24652, 24821 (Mother Line Resistance), 24935, 25011 (Father Line Resistance), 25101 and finally 25249. Above 25249 Bulls can become very active.
Till the trade deal chess board and Tariffs do not relent or there is some other very important positive news Nifty will remain under pressure. Let us hope that 24253 or 24417 save us. Long term outlook on Nifty still remains positive. Long term investors should look at the tariff related event as a news that will slowly subside and give way to the Bullish outlook which has been prevailing in the market for decades all together.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. The Techno-Funda analysis is based on data that is more than 3 months old. Supports and Resistances are determined by historic past peaks and Valley in the chart. Many other indicators and patterns like EMA, RSI, MACD, Volumes, Fibonacci, parallel channel etc. use historic data which is 3 months or older cyclical points. There is no guarantee they will work in future as markets are highly volatile and swings in prices are also due to macro and micro factors based on actions taken by the company as well as region and global events. Equity investment is subject to risks. I or my clients or family members might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our educational posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investment in equity.
#SOL Update #7 – Aug 02, 2025#SOL Update #7 – Aug 02, 2025
Solana has broken below the low of its last impulsive move, forming a new, deeper bottom. The first area where it may find support is the $158 level. If this fails, the next support level lies at $147. At the moment, Solana is clearly in a downtrend on the 4-hour chart. For Solana to resume its upward movement and confirm a trend reversal, it needs to break above the $206 level with a strong, high-volume candle. Currently, Solana might be considered a cheap opportunity only for those looking to hold spot positions long-term. Otherwise, I don't see it as a suitable option for trading.