USDCHF Bullish Strong From Key Demand Zone 0.80400📉 USD/CHF Technical Outlook (4H Chart) 📈
The pair has been respecting a descending channel, recently tapping into a key demand zone around 0.80400. Bullish momentum is now building, signaling a potential reversal.
🎯 Upside Technical Targets:
1️⃣ 0.82000 – Initial Supply Zone
2️⃣ 0.83200 – Secondary Supply Zone
3️⃣ 0.84500 – Major Resistance Level
💡 Watch for bullish confirmation signals in the zone before entering. As always, manage your risk.
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Support and Resistance
Crude oil fluctuates in a narrow range, waiting for direction
💡Message Strategy
Middle East ceasefire eases supply concerns, but risk premium remains
Oil prices rose more than 1% on the day as investors weighed the status of the ceasefire between Iran and Israel. Although both sides have announced an end to hostilities, US intelligence reports show that Iran's nuclear capabilities have only been temporarily damaged. ING analysts pointed out that although immediate concerns about supply disruptions have subsided, potential risks remain, a factor that may support spot prices in the short term.
Previously, crude oil prices soared after the US military action on Iranian infrastructure, but prices have retreated as the ceasefire continues. Although the geopolitical premium has been reduced, it has not been fully digested.
API shows a sharp drop in inventories, traders await EIA report
Industry data from the American Petroleum Institute (API) showed that US crude oil inventories fell sharply by 4.23 million barrels in the week ending June 20, far higher than the expected drop of 800,000 barrels. Gasoline and distillate inventories increased by 400,000 barrels each.
Market focus now turns to the US Energy Information Administration (EIA) report scheduled for release on Wednesday. Traders were expecting a 1.2 million-barrel draw in inventories, and confirmation of that figure by the EIA, widely viewed as an industry benchmark, would reinforce expectations of tighter supply.
📊Technical aspects
From the daily chart level, crude oil fluctuates upward in the medium term and tests around 67. The K-line closes with a large real negative line, which has not yet destroyed the moving average system and is still supported. The medium-term objective upward trend remains unchanged.
However, from the perspective of momentum, the MACD indicator crosses downward above the zero axis, indicating that the bullish momentum is weakening. It is expected that the medium-term trend of crude oil will fall into a high-level oscillation pattern.
The short-term trend of crude oil (1H) is in a narrow range of consolidation, with a small fluctuation. The oil price repeatedly crosses the moving average system, and the short-term objective trend direction fluctuates. In terms of momentum, the MACD indicator fast and slow lines slowly rise below the zero axis, and the long and short positions are in a stalemate, with no obvious advantage on one side. It is expected that the trend of crude oil will maintain a consolidation pattern during the day.
💰Strategy Package
Short Position:67.00-67.20,SL:67.80,Target: 65.50-64.50
Long Position:64.00-64.20,SL:63.50,Target: 65.50-66.50
Gold Slips as Ceasefire Eases SafeHaven Demand Bearish Below3339Gold Drops on Israel-Iran Ceasefire
Gold prices declined as safe-haven demand eased following President Trump’s announcement of a ceasefire between Israel and Iran. Despite the pullback, gold remains up nearly 23% year-to-date, supported by ongoing geopolitical tensions, economic uncertainty driven by Trump’s tariffs, and robust central bank purchases.
Market Focus:
All eyes are now on U.S. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s testimony, which may offer fresh insights into potential near-term interest rate cuts.
Technical Outlook:
Gold remains under bearish pressure as long as it trades below the 3329–3339 pivot zone.
A confirmed 4H candle close below 3329, or especially 3309, would further validate downside momentum toward the support range.
Support Levels: 3302, 3281, 3256
Resistance Levels: 3364, 3393
A clear break below 3302–3281 would open the path toward deeper bearish continuation.
GBPUSD Could Highly Step to MoonGBPUSD is showing strong potential for a bullish breakout, supported by the ongoing decline in the US Dollar Index. If current momentum holds, the pair could test the 1.3820 resistance level in the coming sessions.
📉 Dollar Weakness as Key Driver
The fundamental backdrop favours the British pound as the US dollar continues to weaken, influenced by: Trade wisely best of luck Buddies.
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EURAUD to continue in the sequence of higher lows?EURAUD - 24h expiry
The primary trend remains bullish.
Short term RSI is moving lower.
Preferred trade is to buy on dips.
Risk/Reward would be poor to call a buy from current levels.
Bespoke support is located at 1.7840.
We look to Buy at 1.7840 (stop at 1.7805)
Our profit targets will be 1.7980 and 1.8000
Resistance: 1.7920 / 1.7990 / 1.8020
Support: 1.7800 / 1.7750 / 1.7710
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
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SILVER (XAGUSD): Buyers Show Strength
Silver is going to rise more, following a strong bullish sentiment this morning.
The price violated a strong falling trend line and an intraday horizontal resistance.
These 2 breakouts indicate a strong buying pressure.
The price may grow more today and reach 37.14 level.
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Learn Best Change of Character CHoCH Model in Trading with SMC
Most of the SMC traders get Change of Character CHoCH WRONG!
In this article, I will share with you Change of Character models that have a low accuracy and better to be avoided.
I will teach you the best CHoCH model for Forex Gold trading and show you how to identify it easily.
Let's start with the basic theory first and discuss what Change of Character signifies.
Change of Character in Bearish Trend
In a downtrend, Change of Character CHoCH is an important event that signifies a violation of a bearish trend.
CHoCH is confirmed when the price breaks and closes above the level of the last lower high.
Above, is a text book Change of Character model in a bearish trend.
For the newbie traders, such a price action provides a strong signal to buy while it fact it is NOT .
One crucial thing is missing in this model to confirm a bullish reversal.
According to basic trend analysis rules, we say that the market trend is bullish if the price forms a bullish impulse, retraces and sets a Higher Low HH , forms a new bullish impulse with a new Higher High HH.
Only then, we can say that the market is trading in up trend.
CHoCH model above confirms a bearish trend violation BUT it does not confirm a trend change.
Such a model may easily signify a deeper correction.
Look what happened with GBPNZD.
Though the price formed a confirmed bearish CHoCH, it was a false signal and just an extended correction.
That's a perfect bullish reversal model.
It combines CHoCH and conditions for a bullish trend.
Such a union is extremely accurate in predicting up movements.
Examine a price action on USDJPY.
Not only the price formed a confirmed CHoCH but also we see a start of a new bullish trend.
Change of Character in Bullish Trend
In an uptrend, Change of Character CHoCH is a significant event that signifies a violation of a bullish trend.
CHoCH is confirmed when the price breaks and closes below the level of the last higher low.
Above is a typical model of a bearish CHoCH.
For many traders, that is the signal to open short.
However, it is not that accurate and one important component is missing there.
According to basic price action rules, the market trend is bearish
if the price forms at least 2 bearish impulses with Lower Lows LL and a pullback between them with a Lower High LH.
Only when these 3 conditions are met, a bearish trend is confirmed .
Perfect bearish Change of Character model should include both CHoCH and a bearish trend price action. That will confirm a violation of a bullish trend and start of a new bearish trend.
EURCAD has a very strong potential to continue falling:
not only we see a valid bearish Change of Character but also
a start of a new bearish trend based on a price action.
Next time when you identify CHoCH on forex market, make sure that you check the preceding price action. It will help you to more accurate assess reversal probabilities and make a wiser trading decision.
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Dow Jones Retesting 43,020 | Bullish Bias Intact Above 42,810US30 OVERVIEW
Dow Jones Holds Bullish Momentum | Eyes on Retest and Continuation
US30 (Dow Jones) remains under bullish pressure, supported by recent macro developments and improving sentiment.
The price appears to be forming a retest toward 43,020, which could act as a springboard for further upside.
As long as the index trades above 42,810, the bullish trend remains intact, targeting 43,350, and potentially 43,765.
However, a confirmed break below 42,810 would shift the outlook to bearish in the short term.
Resistance Levels: 43,350 → 43,765
Support Levels: 43,020 → 42,810
Previous idea:
OANDA:USDJPY Buy SetupUSDJPY Buy Setup – Bullish Structure & Daily Rebound
USDJPY is showing signs of renewed bullish momentum after rejecting a significant daily low. Price action on the 1-hour timeframe has confirmed the formation of a higher low, followed by a clean break above a key daily support level—now turned support once again. This shift in market structure indicates a potential continuation of the uptrend, supported by higher highs and higher lows on the intraday chart.
Technical Highlights:
Strong rejection from a daily low zone
Bullish structure confirmed on the 1H timeframe
Price reclaiming a key support level and holding above it
Momentum suggests potential continuation toward higher targets
Trade Setup:
Entry: 145.110
Stop Loss: 144.754
Target Levels:
Take Profit 1: 145.709
Take Profit 2: 146.747
Take Profit 3: 148.014
This setup offers a favorable risk-to-reward ratio within a well-defined bullish context. Wait for a solid candle confirmation if not already entered, and always manage your risk according to your trading plan.
Drop your thoughts or questions in the comments, and if you found this valuable, hit boost and follow for more structured trade ideas. Wishing you precision and profits!
GBPUSD GBPUSD is currently exhibiting short-term bearish momentum, targeting the fresh demand zone at 1.36416.
This level aligns with a key order block that could act as a pivot for the next bullish leg.
As long as price holds above this zone, we anticipate a potential bullish reversal from 1.36416 on the 15-minute timeframe. We’ll be monitoring for confirmation and continuation to the upside from that level.
Bottom in for bonds, flight to safety trade coming soon $100+If we look at the chart of TLT, you can see that we're forming a bottoming reversal pattern.
We had a spike low down to $83 back to the middle of May and have now reclaimed the structure. I think that move marked the bottom.
I think it's very likely that bonds spike in the near future, if they can make it over the $92 resistance level, then I think price will see continuation and likely break the pattern finding the first resistance at that $101 level.
That said, I think this is the start of a larger move higher in bonds that will take us all the way up to the top resistance levels over the course of the next few years before the move is done and we start the long term trend in rates higher.
Nifty levels - Jun 26, 2025Nifty support and resistance levels are valuable tools for making informed trading decisions, specifically when combined with the analysis of 5-minute timeframe candlesticks and VWAP. By closely monitoring these levels and observing the price movements within this timeframe, traders can enhance the accuracy of their entry and exit points. It is important to bear in mind that support and resistance levels are not fixed, and they can change over time as market conditions evolve.
The dashed lines on the chart indicate the reaction levels, serving as additional points of significance to consider. Furthermore, take note of the response at the levels of the High, Low, and Close values from the day prior.
We hope you find this information beneficial in your trading endeavors.
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Wishing you success in your trading activities!
Final hurdle remains to be crossed before Nifty can fly further.One important final hurdle of 25251 remain just in front of Nifty before it can fly further. I can it a final hurdle because it is an important trendline resistance. Last 2 days Nifty has tried to climb above it but we did not get a closing above it yesterday and today as well. Today Nifty made a high of 24266 but closed at 25244. It could not hold on to the ground above 25251. The level is challenging but positive momentum built from today's display might allow it to close above the same. Only time will tell. Closing of this week will be very important.
Nifty resistances remain at: 25251, Closing above 25251 will empower Bulls to pull Nifty further upwards towards 25317, 25491 and 25660.
Nifty supports remain at: 24999, 24713, 24749 (Mother Line Support), 23875 (Father line support). (Closing below Father line support can bring Bears back into the game).
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. The Techno-Funda analysis is based on data that is more than 3 months old. Supports and Resistances are determined by historic past peaks and Valley in the chart. Many other indicators and patterns like EMA, RSI, MACD, Volumes, Fibonacci, parallel channel etc. use historic data which is 3 months or older cyclical points. There is no guarantee they will work in future as markets are highly volatile and swings in prices are also due to macro and micro factors based on actions taken by the company as well as region and global events. Equity investment is subject to risks. I or my clients or family members might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our educational posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investment in equity.
GBPUSD - Expecting Bullish Continuation In The Short TermM15 - Strong bullish momentum followed by a pullback.
No opposite signs.
Until the two Fibonacci support zones hold I expect the price to move higher further.
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Start going long on goldAlthough gold is under pressure and weak at present, gold still rebounded near 3295 under the influence of yesterday's major negative news, proving that there is still a large amount of buying funds below, limiting the retracement space of gold; and from 3295 to 3335, there is still a rebound space of $40, proving that gold is not extremely weak. Moreover, there is a gap left above, and there is a technical need to rebound to fill the gap;
In addition, yesterday gold fell sharply due to news, and there should be many longs trapped in the market. If gold is relatively stable, there may be self-rescue behavior of the trapped longs, so gold longs still have the opportunity to rebound to 3340-3350. At present, the main focus is on the short-term support area of 3315-3305, and we can moderately consider going long on gold in this area.
DeGRAM | ETHUSD rebound from the support line📊 Technical Analysis
● Bounce off the purple up-trend and 2 320 support printed a bullish engulfing, maintaining the sequence of higher-lows that has guided price since April.
● Price is squeezing into an ascending triangle under 2 700-2 730, where the former wedge cap meets horizontal supply; a break projects to the 3 040 macro fib / channel roof.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● Net-staking deposits keep rising while, per FXStreet (25 Jun), whales add ETH ahead of the SEC’s spot-ETF S-1 verdict, underpinning demand.
✨ Summary
Long >2 320; triangle breakout above 2 730 targets 3 040. Thesis void on a 16 h close below 2 200.
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CRUDE OIL (WTI): Bullish Move From Support
WTI Crude Oil may continue rising from an underlined blue support cluster.
As a confirmation, I see a quick liquidity grab below that and a consequent
bullish imbalance candle on an hourly time frame.
I expect a rise to 66.24
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Short gold after reboundGold rebounded after touching 3312, and has now rebounded to 3330, but the rebound strength is far less than the decline strength, so the overall performance of gold is still weak. Because gold fell sharply yesterday, the market bullish confidence suffered a heavy blow, and there are many resistances above after gold fell and broke, and it is under pressure at 3340-3350 in the short term, and there is a technical gap above that suppresses the 3360-3370 area.
Therefore, before gold stabilizes in the 3360-3370 area, the short-selling force still has the upper hand, so we still focus on shorting gold in trading. We can consider shorting gold with the 3340-3350 area as resistance, and look at the target area of 3320-3310.
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