BTC in 17 April 2025Potential Major Move on Thursday, April 17, 2025 📍
📊 Based on an analysis of historical Bitcoin chart averages and similar patterns, there is a likelihood of a significant price movement on this date.
This analysis is conducted using technical analysis and a detailed examination of Bitcoin’s movement averages. It suggests that approximately every 150 days after the start of a neutral trend, we can expect a sharp upward or downward move that sets the stage for the main trend in the future.
📅 As of the current date, March 29, 2025, there are about 18 days left until this significant event.
You can follow the results of this analysis and the conducted review on TradingView on the specified date.
Support and Resistance
#BITCOIN: Another drop and then Swing Bounce $125,000The current market sentiment is bearish, indicating a potential further decline towards the 65k price point. However, we anticipate a rebound towards the 125k region. As we approach the 65k threshold, we expect a substantial price increase.
To make informed investment decisions, it is crucial to observe a strong bullish trend before considering any bullish entries.
For more insights and market analysis, please like and comment.🚀❤️
Team Setupsfx_
TradeCityPro | ATOMUSDT Restarting Daily Analyses!👋 Welcome to TradeCityPro Channel!
Let's get back to our daily analysis routine starting today! From now on, I’ll be sharing daily altcoin analyses again. Today, we’re focusing on one of my favorite coins for futures trading: ATOM.
🌐 Overview Bitcoin
Before starting the analysis, I want to remind you again that we moved the Bitcoin analysis section from the analysis section to a separate analysis at your request, so that we can discuss the status of Bitcoin in more detail every day and analyze its charts and dominances together.
This is the general analysis of Bitcoin dominance, which we promised you in the analysis to analyze separately and analyze it for you in longer time frames.
📊 Weekly Time Frame
ATOM is currently neither in a great position nor in a terrible one. Unlike some altcoins like BNB, SOL, and SUI that have moved towards their highs, ATOM hasn’t made a significant move towards $44 yet. However, it also hasn’t lost its major lows.
The strong green candle from the past two weeks bounced off the $3.728 support level, confirming that this level remains significant and won’t be easily lost. But this alone is not a reason to buy. After the candle closed, the price did not make a significant move.
If you are holding ATOM (like me, as I have staked ATOM in my wallet), I would exit below $3.728 because there is a high probability of a sharp drop toward $1.824.
For buying opportunities, setting a stop-buy order above $5.088 could be an option. We’ll discuss this more in the daily time frame section.
📉 Daily Time Frame
After bouncing off the $3.58 support, we started a bullish move but couldn’t reach $14.184. Instead, after getting rejected at $10.434, we formed a lower high and continued the price correction.
Following this rejection, we continued forming lower highs and lower lows based on Dow Theory. After breaking $5.665, which was an important support, we experienced a sharp drop, reaching the $3.585 support level. After bouncing, a V Pattern was formed.
$4.948 is an important level to watch as it triggers both the V Pattern activation and the trendline breakout.
I will only open short positions below $4.337, but I will not sell my coins unless $3.585 is broken, in which case I will exit my holdings.
⏳ 4H Time Frame
After getting rejected at $4.948, the price dropped to the $4.424 support level. Since it’s Saturday and the market is relatively slow, we might see range-bound movement around this level.
🔴 Short Position:
If $4.424 breaks and RSI enters the oversold zone with increased volume, we could see a short opportunity targeting $4.020.
🟢 Long Position:
I am currently waiting and prefer to open a long position on MKR instead. I don't want to waste the $4.948 trigger, so I will wait for a confirmed breakout before entering a position.
✍️ Final Thoughts
Stay level headed, trade with precision, and let’s capitalize on the market’s top opportunities!
This is our analysis, not financial advice always do your own research.
What do you think? Share your ideas below and pass this along to friends! ❤️
MEWUSDT → False breakout of resistance after distributionBINANCE:MEWUSDT.P in the distribution phase is testing a strong resistance and liquidity zone against which it makes a false breakout.
Regarding the current situation, we should pay attention to several key levels - support and upper resistance. A retest of 0.00300 - 0.00312 is possible, the target of which could be another liquidity zone, before MEW continues its fall according to the current local and global trend, which have a common direction on the background of weak bitcoin and weak cryptocurrency market.
Resistance levels: 0.002793, 0.003, 0.00312
Support levels: 0.002696
The key support area plays the role of 0.002696, which are trying to contain the market. Below this line is a free zone and there are no levels that can prevent the movement. Thus, the breakdown and consolidation of the price under 0.026969 can provoke a strong impulse towards the zones of interest 0.00222, 0.002
Regards R. Linda!
LAYERUSDT → Far retest of key resistance at 1.400BINANCE:LAYERUSDT.P is forming a realization within the uptrend. The coin is stronger than the market, but the initial reaction to the strong resistance at 1.400 may be in the form of a false breakout and a pullback to 1.275 or 0.5 fibo
Since the opening of the session, LAYERUSDT has passed the daily ATR, but after reaching the resistance, the coin may not have the potential to continue rising. Liquidity above the 1.400 level may hold this area and prevent the coin from breaking through this zone the first time around.
Bitcoin is testing trend resistance at this time and could likely form a rebound or a continuation of the decline, which could affect altcoins accordingly!
Resistance levels: 1.400
Support levels: 1.2932, 1.2747, 0.5 fibo
BUT ! Everything depends on the price reaction at 1.400. A sharp and distributive approach with 90% probability will end in a false breakout and correction to the mentioned targets.
But, if LAYER starts to slow down and consolidate in front of the level, an attempt of breakout and struggle above 1.400 is possible and further movement will depend on it.
Regards R. Linda!
A new ATH is waiting for Bitcoin (2D)This analysis is an update of the analysis you see in the "Related publications" section
This analysis is still valid.
When everyone is discouraged and caught up in emotions, the BehDark team relies on the chart to publish analyses.
We have also added a new target to the chart. Based on recent candles in the multi-timeframe, there is a possibility of reaching 120K.
We are still waiting for the green zone and looking for buy/long positions within it.
A daily candle closing below the invalidation level will invalidate this analysis.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
When we reach the first target, save some profit and then change the stop to entry
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
Potential outside week and bearish potential for CAREntry conditions:
(i) lower share price for ASX:CAR below the level of the potential outside week noted on 28th March (i.e.: $32.16).
Stop loss for the trade would be:
(i) above the swing high of 26th March (i.e.: above $34.05), should the trade activate.
Potential outside week and bullish potential for AUCEntry conditions:
(i) higher share price for ASX:AUC above the level of the potential outside week noted on 28th March (i.e.: above the level of $0.56).
Stop loss for the trade would be:
(i) below the low of the outside week on 26th March (i.e.: below $0.515), should the trade activate.
DXY 1H – Potential Sweep Before Uptrend ContinuationThe Dollar Index recently closed above a previous lower high, signaling a possible bullish trend continuation. However, the recent drop has only seen wicks covering the higher low, suggesting this may just be a liquidity sweep rather than a true bearish reversal.
📊 Key Observations:
✔ Higher Low Sweep: Current price action suggests liquidity is being grabbed before a potential move higher.
✔ Daily Structure: This move aligns with a possible sweep on the D1 timeframe, meaning a bullish reaction could be imminent.
🔎 Next Steps: Watching for bullish confirmation before taking long positions. If price reclaims support, a continuation toward higher levels is likely.
XAUUSD 15M Analysis – Key Resistance & Potential Short SetupGold is currently testing a strong resistance zone marked by multiple wicks, indicating potential rejection. A minor Break of Structure (BoS) has occurred, and price is struggling to break higher. If price closes below the marked BoS level with a solid candle body, it confirms bearish momentum.
🔻 Trade Idea: If price breaks below this level, I'll look for a short entry from the Supply Zone (SZ) to the Demand Zone (DZ) for a potential move lower.
📉 Bearish Confirmation: A strong close below support would signal further downside. Watching for price action confirmation before entering a trade.
Will Ethereum Survive This Critical Level?Ethereum (ETH/USDT) on the 12-hour timeframe is currently displaying a strong downtrend structure, highlighted by a well-defined rounded top pattern and a descending arc acting as dynamic resistance. Since reaching its peak above $4,000, ETH has consistently printed lower highs and lower lows, respecting this curved resistance line.
The price is currently trading around $1,887, testing a significant horizontal support zone near $1,880–$1,900. This level has held multiple times in the past and now serves as a crucial line in the sand for bulls. If this support fails to hold, Ethereum could see further downside toward the next demand zones around $1,700 or even $1,600.
The RSI indicator stands at 36.11, which suggests that momentum is weak and the asset is nearing oversold territory. While this can often lead to short-term relief bounces, the overall trend remains bearish unless ETH breaks above the descending arc and reclaims key resistance levels near $2,050. A bullish scenario would require strong buying volume and a structure shift to higher highs
Bajaj Finserv: Preempting a Major Breakout! 🚀 Bajaj Finserv: Preempting a Major Breakout! 🚀
📈 CMP: ₹2007 | SL: ₹1733 | Target: ₹2503
🔹 Breakout Above ₹2029 = All-Time High!
🔹 All-Time High Monthly Close Achieved
Why Bajaj Finserv Looks Strong?
✅ Technical Breakout: Rounding bottom pattern nearing completion
✅ Sector Strength: RBI's liquidity measures favor NBFC growth
✅ Finnifty Outperformance: Financial stocks showing resilience with strong weekly & monthly closes
💡 Strategy & Risk Management:
🔒 Stop Loss: ₹1733 to limit downside risk
📈 Staggered Entry: Phased accumulation to navigate volatility
⚠️ Caution: Market has rallied—adjust position sizing accordingly.
💬 Do you see financials leading the next rally? Share your views!
#BajajFinserv #BreakoutTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #NBFC #StockMarket #SwingTrading
📉 Disclaimer: Not SEBI-registered. Conduct independent research or consult a professional before investing.
My market direction guide with extended-hour. Work best for >+1 day till expiration contract. (SWING)
Personal Interpretation of Indicator:
5MA=yellow(scalp trend)
20MA=orange(pullback of a larger timeframe’s 5MA trend)
I read how previous candles are behaving around 1hr 20MA and use pullback test rejection for direction signal. (Trade Planning, knowing the MA are align with larger timeframes like 4hr or day)
Then, I use 15min 20MA pullback test with wick rejection to find cheaper price entry.
CADCHF Short Bias ! The pair attempted to break above the 0.6200 resistance zone but failed, forming a rejection. This suggests potential bearish momentum ahead.
Market Structure: Still bearish overall, despite a short-term ascending channel.
Bearish Scenario: If price respects the 0.6200 resistance and breaks below the ascending channel, it could head towards 0.6000 as the next major support.
Confirmation Factors:
Price rejection at resistance.
Moving averages acting as resistance.
Possible breakdown of the ascending channel.
USDCHF Short Bias ! The pair is in a clear downtrend, trading below the moving averages and facing strong resistance around 0.8859. The price attempted to break this level but failed, reinforcing the likelihood of continued downside movement.
Expected Scenario: Further bearish continuation after this rejection, targeting 0.8660 as a potential support zone.
Bearish Confirmation Factors:
Price staying below key resistance.
Moving averages acting as dynamic resistance.
Overall bearish market structure.
XRP - Choppy Market, Will We See $1.5 Again?After finishing the 5-wave structure in early 2025, XRP had a rough patch, trading between $3 and $2 and offering some pretty neat swing trade opportunities. Now, two months later, the big question is: will this range continue, or is a breakout on the horizon? Let’s break down the key levels and high-probability setups.
Short Trade Setup
Resistance Zone:
The weekly level and the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement are both around $2.5763 to $2.5792, aligning nicely with each other.
The anchored VWAP from the all-time high at $3.4 adds extra resistance at about $2.63.
Setup Details:
A low-risk short trade can be considered at the weekly level, with a stop-loss set above both the anchored VWAP and the swing high.
Target: The monthly open, aiming for an R:R of about 4:1.
Support Backup:
Additional support in this range comes from the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement (from a low at $1.9 to a high at $2.59), the weekly 21 SMA at $2.28, and a weekly level at $2.0942 just below the monthly open.
This support between the weekly level at $2.0942 and the monthly open is crucial for maintaining bullish momentum. If it holds, the bearish short setup stands; if it breaks, things could get tricky.
Long Trade Setup
When to Consider a Long:
If the support zone mentioned above fails, look for a long trade opportunity at the swing low around $1.77.
Support Confluence:
Primary Support: The swing low at $1.77, with lots of liquidity around that area.
Additional Layers:
The monthly level at $1.5988.
The weekly level at $1.5605 sits just below the monthly.
The 0.618 Fibonacci retracement from the 5-wave structure at $1.5351.
Anchored VWAP from the low at $0.3823, aligning with the weekly level.
And don’t forget the psychological level at $1.5.
Setup Details:
This long trade setup would offer an attractive R:R of roughly 6:1, targeting back to the monthly open for an approximate 33% gain, with a stop-loss placed below the $1.5 mark.
XRP's current trading range has provided some good short and long trade setups, a long opportunity at the swing low ($1.77-$1.5) could be the next big play. Whether you lean towards short or long, finding these confluence zones helps in making more informed, high-probability trade decisions.
If you found it helpful, please leave a like and a comment. Happy trading!
Meta Short: Wave 4 then Wave 5 (Price Taget: $549.50)Update on Meta Elliott Wave counts. While I was right on the last wave up move last time in Feb, I was early by one week for the peak. I left the previous short targets (SL and TP) as a reference and reminder to my mistake in making an early call.
What I expect is that price will range for a short while in wave 4 before coming down as wave 5 on a price target between $549.18 (a historical support price) and $549.83 (old target). The mid point is $549.50 and thus the final price target.
Bullish potential detected for NHFEntry conditions:
(i) higher share price for ASX:NHF along with swing up of indicators such as DMI/RSI.
Stop loss for the trade would be:
(i) below the support level from the open of 17th March (i.e.: below $6.41), or
(ii) below the support level from the open of 24th February (i.e.: below $6.30), depending on risk tolerance.
MSFT Short to Neutral: Last Wave 5 of 3 (Target: $364)A video update to Elliott Wave Counts and Price target for MSFT (and Nasdaq).
A summary:
1. Intermediate wave 3 of 3 has ended.
2. Intermediate wave 4 of 3 has ended in a double combination.
3. We are in Minor wave 3 of Intermediate wave 5 of Primary wave 3.
4. Using Fibonacci Extension from Minor wave 1 of against overall Intermediate wave 5 gives us a target of $364, which is within a support zone. This is the Primary Wave 3 completion target.
5. Using Nasdaq, we also noted that we still have a little bit more to our final target.
TIA: 40% Crash in Sight – What's Next?TIA recently lost its strong $4 support, and that level is now acting as resistance. For the past two months, the price hasn’t been able to climb back above $4, leaving us with one burning question: Is more blood on the table?
Broken Support: TIA has given up its $4 support, which now serves as resistance.
Looking at November 2024: The low from November 2024 was around $1.9. Revisiting that level could provide us with a high-probability long trade.
Trade Setup Opportunity
Entry Point: Set an alarm for the $1.9 low. A successful bounce here would signal a potential long trade opportunity.
Target & Reward: With the goal of targeting the $3 level, this trade could offer a risk-to-reward ratio of at least 5:1.
Implication: If the $1.9 level is revisited and holds, we could be looking at a scenario with roughly 40% more downside in the current trend—but also a setup for a low-risk long if the bounce holds.
Potential key reversal bottom detected for JHXAwait signals for entry such as DMI/ADX and/or RSI swing to the bullish direction.
Stop loss for the trade involving ASX:JHX (and indication that this trade is an absolute 'no-go') is any trade below the low of the signal day of 21st March (i.e.: any trade below $45.52).