Support and Resistance
CADJPY TRADE ANALYSISOn this Pair, we are anticipating for a SELL, as the CAD is weak, also the JPY has given us a Confirmation for a shift in trend to the UPSIDE, also on the CADJPY, the Trend is BEARISH,we have price at around the Supply areas with other confluences, also on the 30mins tf price has shifted its trend to the DOWNSIDE, You can add to your watch-list if this matches with your thought.
KOGs RED BOXES - GOLDKOG’s bias for the week:
Bearish below 2744 with targets below 2720, 2714 and below that 2702
Bullish on break of 2744 with targets above 2792 and above that 2803
Red boxes:
Break above 2744 for 2753, 2765, 2780
Break below 2730 for 2715, 2705, 2695
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As always, trade safe.
KOG
XAUUSD: Bullish trendToday, gold has tested the support at the 2732-2728 range again. So far, the support remains intact, and the short-term trend is still leaning towards a bullish outlook. Based on this, the primary trading direction in the current session remains bullish.
From a technical perspective, gold is likely to continue its upward momentum in the near term. The key resistance zone to watch on the upside is between 2750 and 2758. It is worth noting that a resistance level has emerged around 2745 since the market opened yesterday.
However, given the overall trend, this resistance does not pose a strong technical barrier at the moment, and a breakout above this level is not expected to face significant difficulty.
Therefore, if gold can break above the 2745 level, there is a high likelihood of further gains towards the 2750-2758 range.
Close to Key Resistance with Strong MomentumNYSE:DELL is in a clear recovery phase after a substantial drop. Following the recent uptrend, it’s now approaching a significant resistance level near $135. This resistance level represents a prior high from June, a point where price previously struggled to hold.
Volume has increased slightly on this approach, suggesting that buyers are gaining confidence. However, if the stock fails to break above this level, it could face a pullback to test the support zone around $120.
Watch for a breakout above $135 with volume confirmation, as this could signal a continuation of the upward trend.
CF Industries Shows Signs of BottomingCF Industries has moved sideway for almost two years, but some traders may think the fertilizer stock is bottoming.
The first pattern on today’s chart is the rally between September 11 and October 4. That move established a new 52-week high. It was followed by a pullback to the September 20 weekly close of $81.61, where CF bounced.
Second, a falling trendline along the highs of March and August was broken. That old resistance apparently became new support last week.
Next, the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) recently had a “golden cross” above the 200-day SMA. That may suggest its longer-term trend has turned bullish.
Finally, prices jumped after the last two quarterly reports. Those moves could reflect improving sentiment.
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BTCUSD: Short Term Market Analysis for 11/05/24.*** This is my personal opinion and is only for educational purposes. Please consult your financial advisor before making any decision. ***
This is an update for the 15-minute BTCUSD chart. There was key resistance in the H4 timeframe, and it broke the low trend line of the pich fork. Price tested, the resistance area could drop to 68049. There is support for H4 timeframe. Price may bounce back from support 68189.0–67903.0. If it dips, then it may break yesterday low. The last green box is an order block, and it may retest.
SPY with Fib levels.**Three major drops in 2024 were roughly 5.9%, 9.7%, and 4.3%. The current drop is 3.1% so far.
** Price should’t go below $537—if it does, that would be a lower low, signaling a trend change.
** I drew Fibonacci retracement from $537 to the recent high of $586. We’ve already seen a 38% retracement at $567, with the next levels at 50% ($562) and 61% ($556).
** Price may fund support at either of these three levels - 38%, 60%, or 61% retracement.
USDCAD: Classic Bearish Reversal SetupObserve the recent price action of 📉USDCAD.
After testing a major horizontal resistance, the price began consolidating within a narrow range. It subsequently bounced and broke below both the support line of an ascending parallel channel and the horizontal range support.
This breakdown suggests a potential further decline. Key target levels to watch are 1.3874 and 1.3858.
Bitcoin’s Fate on U.S. Election Day: Predicting Market MovementsAs the world closely watches today’s U.S. presidential election, the crypto market is gearing up for a reaction that could be pivotal for Bitcoin’s future. Historically, U.S. elections have had a positive impact on cryptocurrencies, and many traders are optimistic about Bitcoin's outlook. With two contrasting candidates—one a proponent of crypto and the other leaning towards regulation—the stakes are high for Bitcoin holders and investors alike.
A Trump Win: The Fuel for a Parabolic Bull Run
If Donald Trump, a vocal supporter of cryptocurrency, secures the win, the market is likely to respond with a powerful surge. Trump’s favorable stance on digital assets could inspire confidence among crypto investors, sparking a parabolic bull run that may push Bitcoin past its previous all-time high. Many traders are poised to buy into Bitcoin if Trump’s victory is confirmed, anticipating a rush of institutional and retail investment that could propel prices to unprecedented levels.
A Kamala Win: The Calm Before the Comeback
In contrast, a win for Kamala Harris could trigger an initial wave of panic selling. Harris has shown a more cautious approach toward cryptocurrency, which may incite fear among investors and lead to a sharp pullback. However, it's important to note that strong support zones around $60,000, as indicated in the chart, are expected to buffer any drastic price drops. Despite the potential sell-off, these levels have historically provided resilience and could stabilize Bitcoin, leading to a period of consolidation.
Once the initial shock settles and investors digest the news, the market may start to regain strength. Confidence in Bitcoin’s fundamentals could draw investors back, fueling a renewed push towards the all-time high. While a Kamala win might delay the anticipated bull run, the scenario of Bitcoin falling below critical levels like $50,000 or $40,000 remains highly unlikely.
Caution: Trading Amidst Volatility
For those trading with leverage, today and the coming days present heightened risks. Apart from the election, Thursday’s FOMC meeting will bring the Fed’s Interest Rate Decision, a significant event that could add volatility to an already charged market. It’s essential to tread carefully, as both events could create sudden price swings and impact liquidity.
In conclusion, regardless of who wins, Bitcoin’s long-term outlook appears resilient. A Trump win may bring immediate bullish momentum, while a Kamala win might usher in short-term turbulence but is unlikely to derail Bitcoin’s upward trajectory entirely. Traders and investors should brace for a dynamic week, as Bitcoin prepares to navigate these significant events.
Trade safe everyone,
Cheers!
Dogecoin Huge Breakout - $1 Moonshot Ahead! DOGE Coin CRYPTOCAP:DOGE has just completed a powerful technical breakout after bouncing off strong support, surging beyond its long-standing consolidation channel. This move signals a potential start of an exciting bullish trend that traders and investors have been eagerly awaiting. The breakout has been confirmed by significant volume, adding credibility to the potential for further gains in the coming days.
The growing hype around MEME Coins is providing additional momentum for $DOGE. With widespread community enthusiasm and continued support from influential figures like Elon Musk, the coin could see rapid upward movement. The upcoming U.S. elections might also act as a catalyst, influencing CRYPTOCAP:DOGE ’s price action as broader market sentiment plays a role.
In terms of price targets, CRYPTOCAP:DOGE is currently eyeing $0.20 in the short term. For the mid-term, traders should watch for potential moves toward $0.50, while long-term expectations are set around the highly anticipated $1 mark. With such high targets, CRYPTOCAP:DOGE may see explosive gains, but as always, risk management is crucial. Setting a proper stop loss is essential to protect against volatility, ensuring you ride the wave while keeping your capital safe.
Given the strong technical breakout and current market conditions, something big seems to be on the horizon for $DOGE. Buckle up, because the next move could be massive!
Short term analysis of Ethereum chartIn the 4-hour time frame, the green box is marked, which can be a suitable range for buying, around the price of $2,300 to $2,350. This analysis is suitable for those who trade in the short term, by the way, this is an analysis and no one from the future. 100% no news.
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BIPI Buy Position1. Trend Confirmation:
Identified a Change of Character by the break of the previous high at 81, indicating a reversal in market sentiment and a new bullish trend.
2. Fair Value Gap (FVG):
On the Weekly chart, identified Fair Value Gap between 69 - 71.
3. Trade Execution
Entry Price: 74 ( Engulfing Candle on 5 Nov 24)
SL: 66 (FVG)
TP1: 110 (1.618 Fibbo)
Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR): 1:4.5
Monitoring: Check-in daily closing price
4. Outcome:
Exit Price:
Profit/Loss: pips
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Disclaimer
The analysis and content provided here are intended solely for personal journal and educational purposes. This information does not constitute financial advice, investment advice, or a recommendation to buy or sell any securities. Trading involves significant risk, and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
US30 Outlook: Bearish Below 41,970 Amid U.S. Election VolatilityUS30 Technical Analysis
Sustained stability below 41,970 will reinforce the bearish trend, potentially driving the price toward 41,750. Further stability below this level could extend the decline to 41,560.
Bearish Scenario: A firm hold below 41,970 signals a continuation of the bearish trend, with targets at 41,740 and subsequently 41,560.
Bullish Scenario: Conversely, a breakout above 42,130 would indicate a shift to a bullish trend, aiming for 42,290 and 42,450.
Key Levels:
Pivot Point: 41970
Resistance Levels: 42130, 42290, 42450
Support Levels: 41750, 41560, 41340
Trend Outlook:
- Bearish by stability below 41970
- Bullish by breaking above 42130
previous idea: