A little dip? Just the market testing if the game still on!Hello everyone!
Sell on news?
www.tradingview.com
**Hong Kong stocks fell 315 points or 1.4% to 23,030 in Tuesday morning trade, marking the second session of sharp losses amid broad sector falls, notably consumers and tech.Traders retreated from riskier assets after the US intensified curbs on Chinese investments and proceeded with tariffs on Canada and Mexico.**
Is this piece of sh *** news helps in trading? 🤐 🤐 🤐
#sticktoyourplan
#trustwhatyoutrust
#followyourowntradingplan
Build your own #zentradingstrategy news can be distraction to your judgements!
Look at the HSI D Chart
Look at the 4H chart
PEPPERSTONE:HK50
The last Oct Hi @ 23241 has been broken hence retracement is not a surprised!
MACD - formed deadcross and curving down as marked in yellow circle.
KDJ - at bearish zone curving down.
BB - it broke down uptrende channel trading in lower BB channel
22990 support level turned resistance level now. If it able to break and stay above this level this week then this is a healthy pull back. Let's monitor.
Today Trade Plan: 22500-23250 (~830pts)
Buy into support : 22600 -22900 (TP :22950-23130)
Sell at resistance : 23000-23100 (TP: 22900-22930)
PEPPERSTONE:HK50
1h Chart
Check MACD & KDJ - wait for the reversal confirmation before taking your swing long position.
Monitor the 1H,4H movement with confirmation using MACD & KDJ indicator.
Set your tf, have your entry and exit plan!
Pay attention to the Goldencross/DeadCross; practice makes perfect.
Let's follow our own strategy and zen with 📙 and 🍵.
Happy Trading everyone!
Reminder : start to accumulate China & HKG for the potential upside for the year! All retracement is a good entry point.
HKEX:2800 - 22.90-22.82 add position
HKEX:2823 HKEX:2801 HKEX:3067
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Support and Resistance
BITCON Stock Chart Fibonacci Analysis 022425Trading Idea
1) Find a FIBO slingshot
2) Check FIBO 61.80% level
3) Entry Point > 93100/61.80%
Chart time frame: B
A) 15 min(1W-3M)
B) 1 hr(3M-6M)
C) 4 hr(6M-1year)
D) 1 day(1-3years)
Stock progress: B
A) Keep rising over 61.80% resistance
B) 61.80% resistance
C) 61.80% support
D) Hit the bottom
E) Hit the top
Stocks rise as they rise from support and fall from resistance. Our goal is to find a low support point and enter. It can be referred to as buying at the pullback point. The pullback point can be found with a Fibonacci extension of 61.80%. This is a step to find entry level. 1) Find a triangle (Fibonacci Speed Fan Line) that connects the high (resistance) and low (support) points of the stock in progress, where it is continuously expressed as a Slingshot, 2) and create a Fibonacci extension level for the first rising wave from the start point of slingshot pattern.
When the current price goes over 61.80% level , that can be a good entry point, especially if the SMA 100 and 200 curves are gathered together at 61.80%, it is a very good entry point.
As a great help, tradingview provides these Fibonacci speed fan lines and extension levels with ease. So if you use the Fibonacci fan line, the extension level, and the SMA 100/200 curve well, you can find an entry point for the stock market. At least you have to enter at this low point to avoid trading failure, and if you are skilled at entering this low point, with fibonacci6180 technique, your reading skill to chart will be greatly improved.
If you want to do day trading, please set the time frame to 5 minutes or 15 minutes, and you will see many of the low point of rising stocks.
If want to prefer long term range trading, you can set the time frame to 1 hr or 1 day.
USDJPY InsightHello, subscribers!
Please share your personal opinions in the comments. Don’t forget to like and subscribe!
Key Points
- U.S. President Trump stated during a joint press conference with French President Macron that the tariffs deferred for Canada and Mexico until March 4 would proceed as scheduled.
- In Germany, there is growing speculation that easing the debt limit will be difficult due to populist parties securing a constitutional veto threshold.
- In Japan, Bank of Japan Policy Board Member Hajime Takata hinted at a potential rate hike, stating that if the economic outlook materializes, it will be time to shift gears.
Major Economic Events This Week
+ February 25: Germany Q4 GDP
+ February 27: U.S. Q4 GDP
+ February 28: Germany February CPI, U.S. January PCE Price Index
USDJPY Chart Analysis
After failing to break through the 155 resistance level, USDJPY fell to the expected low of 149. However, it appears to have found support at this level, suggesting a possible rebound toward the 155 level again. In the broader trend, the downward bias remains toward the 140 level, but in the short term, an upward move to 155 remains possible.
BankNifty Intraday Support & Resistance Levels for 25.02.2025Monday’s session started with a gap-down of 350 points at 48,628.80. Made day low of 48,281.90, entered the 125m Demand Zone (47,981.35 - 48,319.20), where it found support and rebounded to day high of 48,748.40. It closed at 48,651.95, losing 329 points from the previous close. The Weekly Trend (50 SMA) remains negative, while the Daily Trend (50 SMA) stays sideways.
Demand/Support Zones
Near Demand/Support Zone (125m): 47,981.35 - 48,319.20 (tested)
Far Support: 46,077.85 (Low of 4th June 2024)
Far Demand/Support Zone (Daily): 44,633.85 - 45,750.40
Supply/Resistance Zones
Near Supply/Resistance Zone (15m): 48,959.15 - 49,058.15
Far Supply/Resistance Zone (30m): 49,288.95 - 49,396.65
Far Supply/Resistance Zone (75m): 49,665.95 - 49,829.40
Far Supply/Resistance Zone (Daily): 49,703.10 - 50,641.75
Outlook
BankNifty respected 125m Demand Zone and bounced back but the gap wasn't filled. The 48,900 - 49,000 region will be crucial for further upside momentum. However, with multiple resistance levels ahead and a weak broader trend, a Sell-on-Rise approach remains favorable unless a decisive breakout is seen above 50650.
Nifty Intraday Support & Resistance Levels for 25.02.2025Monday’s session saw Nifty opening with a massive gap-down of over 185 points at 22,609.35, attempting a minor recovery to 22,668.05, but eventually slipping to a low of 22,518.80. It closed at 22,553.35, losing 242 points from the previous close. Both the Weekly (50 SMA) and Daily Trend (50 SMA) are now negative, signaling weak market sentiment.
Demand/Support Zones
Near Support: 21,281.45 (Low of 4th June 2024)
Far Demand/Support Zone (Daily): 20,769.50 - 20,950
Supply/Resistance Zones
Near Minor Supply/Resistance Zone (5m): 22,605.55 - 22,617.80
Near Supply/Resistance Zone (15m): 22,763.20 - 22,812.20
Near Supply/Resistance Zone (75m): 23,176.15 - 23,235.50
Far Supply/Resistance Zone (75m): 23,248.45 - 23,301.75
Far Supply/Resistance Zone (125m): 23,316.30 - 23,409.65
Outlook
With Nifty breaking and closing below the key 22,600 - 22,800 support zone, bulls are struggling to hold ground. This breakdown confirms a Lower High - Lower Low pattern, reinforcing a Sell-on-Rise strategy. Unless Nifty reclaims 22,800 decisively, expect further downside pressure.
QQQ Stock Chart Fibonacci Analysis 022425Trading Idea
1) Find a FIBO slingshot
2) Check FIBO 61.80% level
3) Entry Point > 527/61.80%
Chart time frame: B
A) 15 min(1W-3M)
B) 1 hr(3M-6M)
C) 4 hr(6M-1year)
D) 1 day(1-3years)
Stock progress: B
A) Keep rising over 61.80% resistance
B) 61.80% resistance
C) 61.80% support
D) Hit the bottom
E) Hit the top
Stocks rise as they rise from support and fall from resistance. Our goal is to find a low support point and enter. It can be referred to as buying at the pullback point. The pullback point can be found with a Fibonacci extension of 61.80%. This is a step to find entry level. 1) Find a triangle (Fibonacci Speed Fan Line) that connects the high (resistance) and low (support) points of the stock in progress, where it is continuously expressed as a Slingshot, 2) and create a Fibonacci extension level for the first rising wave from the start point of slingshot pattern.
When the current price goes over 61.80% level , that can be a good entry point, especially if the SMA 100 and 200 curves are gathered together at 61.80%, it is a very good entry point.
As a great help, tradingview provides these Fibonacci speed fan lines and extension levels with ease. So if you use the Fibonacci fan line, the extension level, and the SMA 100/200 curve well, you can find an entry point for the stock market. At least you have to enter at this low point to avoid trading failure, and if you are skilled at entering this low point, with fibonacci6180 technique, your reading skill to chart will be greatly improved.
If you want to do day trading, please set the time frame to 5 minutes or 15 minutes, and you will see many of the low point of rising stocks.
If want to prefer long term range trading, you can set the time frame to 1 hr or 1 day.
KOLD is petty HotKOLD (gas short 3x) seems like an nice straight forward Elliott set up, scale in you position over time, (gas can bounce before it gets started) good 100% potential gain.
GAS is volatile so Please do NOT use margined and don't bet the farm or the kids. Don't Gamble GAS should be just one average size position of the many. (use risk management)
ASX 200 futures (SPI 200) stablising around 8200The ASX 200 futures market has fallen close to 5% from its all-time high, with 5 of the 7 candles since the top being bearish. However, the daily RSI (2) reached oversold on Friday, a bullish pinbar formed on Monday and a small bullish divergence is now forming on the daily and 1-hour chart. The pinbar low also found support at a weekly VPOC (volume point of control) and weekly S1 pivot.
Given the selloff came in a relatively straight line, I cannot help but suspect at least a minor bounce is due.
The near-term bias remains bullish while prices hold above last week’s low, and bulls could seek dips towards 8200 / 8191 VPOC area. 8300 and the weekly pivot point at 8345 could make viable upside targets for bulls.
WTI crude oil shows the potential for a bounceThis is a bit of a scrappy chart, but I still see the potential for a cheeky bounce.
WTI crude oil is trying to snap a 4-week losing streak, by stalling around a 50% retracement level. Last week's candle was an inverted hammer, and the previous two weeks have both closed above the 50% level.
A bullish divergence formed on the daily RSI (2) ahead price action finding support at the 200-day SMA and 200-day EMA.
From here, the bias remains bullish while prices hold above last week's low. Bulls could seek dips towards the 200-day MAs, with a near-term upside target of $72. A break above which brings $74 into focus, near the monthly pivot point.
Matt Simpson, Market Analyst at City Index and Forex.com
AUD/JPY: Counter-trend bull flag in focusI have outlined my bearish case for AUD/JPY for the year in prior articles and videos, but today I want to look at a potential countertrend setup.
A bull flag is forming on the daily chart. Usually I'd prefer to see such patterns during a strong uptrend as a continuation pattern. But given we saw a false break of an elongated bullish pinbar and sharp reversal higher, I suspect there is at least one more leg higher brewing for AUD/JPY. And because this is counter trend to my core bearish bias, I am not seeking the usual flag projection target, and instead will be happy with a more conservative reward if successful.
Prices are holding above the 10-day ERMA and weekly pivot point, but bulls could also seek dips towards the high-volume node (HVN) at 95.11 or around the 98 handle.
Bulls could target the 97 handle, with a break above 97.20 brining the weekly R1 into focus just below 98.
Matt Simpson, Market Analyst at City Index and Forex.com
$SOL RSI Most OVERSOLD Since June 2023!Still no clear signals on CRYPTOCAP:SOL yet.
However, the RSI on the DAILY IS THE MOST OVERSOLD its been SINCE JUNE 2023.
I personally opened a long here.
Not for the faint at heart.
Could dip down to $133’ish and range between $146.
We DO NOT want to range too long in this area as you can see there has already been HEAVY consolidation.
Look for a V-Shape reversal trying to reclaim that ~$157 level for bullish confirmation.
Today analysis for Nasdaq, Oil, and GoldNasdaq
The Nasdaq closed lower following news that Microsoft is reducing its data center leasing. This week, the weekly chart suggests strong selling pressure, meaning long positions should be approached with caution.
On the daily chart, yesterday’s bearish candle confirmed the MACD sell signal, though the signal line remains above the zero line. In a broader context, a potential bounce could occur near key technical levels, including the lower Bollinger Band, 120-day moving average, and previous resistance zones.
Two days ago, a large bearish candle formed, and yesterday’s price action provided an opportunity to sell at the 3-day moving average. However, the market failed to test the 3-day MA during pre-market, leading to a false impression that the daily close was rejected at resistance. This illustrates how a daily close can sometimes be misleading, reinforcing the need to plan for alternative scenarios.
Since selling was executed at the 3-day MA yesterday, today’s key resistance level shifts to the 5-day moving average. Given the wide gap between price and the 5-day MA, a short-term rebound toward this level is possible.
On the 240-minute chart, both the MACD and signal line have moved below the zero line, confirming continued selling pressure. However, since the Nasdaq has now entered a key support zone from a previous range, a short-term bounce toward the 5-day MA is possible. Traders should be cautious with short positions and focus on range-bound strategies rather than chasing downside momentum.
Crude Oil
Crude oil gapped down but managed to close higher. Despite the ongoing MACD sell signal on the daily chart, oil held above the key $70 support level.
This week’s weekly close is critical—if oil can end the week with a bullish candle, it could set the stage for a potential reversal. Holding above $70 remains the key technical factor, as a breakdown below this level would signal further downside.
On the daily chart, if the market fails to extend lower and instead rebounds, a MACD double-bottom pattern could develop, reinforcing potential upside momentum. However, since market flows remain mixed, it is best to treat oil as range-bound until a decisive break occurs.
On the 240-minute chart, both the MACD and signal line are below the zero line, but price action is attempting a temporary rebound. While selling into rallies remains the preferred approach, traders should be cautious of event-driven volatility, as news developments could trigger sudden moves.
The $70 level remains the key downside level to monitor—if it breaks, selling pressure could intensify. Risk management is crucial when taking long positions.
Gold
Gold briefly made new highs before closing flat within its range. On the daily chart, the buy signal remains intact, but today’s session will be crucial in determining whether gold can sustain its momentum or enter a consolidation phase.
The key factor to watch is whether gold finds support at the signal line and continues higher or if a bearish crossover forms, leading to a range-bound correction.
On the 240-minute chart, a bullish MACD crossover has occurred, but for the uptrend to be confirmed, a strong breakout candle is needed. Without a significant bullish move, gold risks forming a bearish divergence, meaning that even if price breaks to new highs, the MACD may fail to confirm the move.
Since market flows remain mixed, a range-trading approach remains most effective, with a focus on buying at strong support levels and avoiding breakout trades. Traders should remain flexible and manage risk carefully, as both upside and downside scenarios remain open.
Looking at VIX futures, a strong buy signal has emerged at the zero level. Historically, VIX buy signals near zero tend to generate large price swings, suggesting that Nasdaq volatility may increase significantly. This increases the likelihood of a sharp correction, making risk management a top priority.
Stay disciplined, manage risk carefully, and wishing you a successful trading day! 🚀
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AUDUSD LONG Market structure bullish on HTFs DH
Entry at Daily AOi
Weekly Rejection at AOi
Daily Rejectiion at AOi
Previous Structure point Dally
Around Psychological Level 0.63500
H4 EMA retest
H4 Candlestick rejection
Rejection from Previous structure
Levels 5.36
Entry 90%
REMEMBER : Trading is a Game Of Probability
: Manage Your Risk
: Be Patient
: Every Moment Is Unique
: Rinse, Wash, Repeat!
: Christ is King.
USNAS100 Breakdown: Bearish Momentum Confirmed Below 21,900!USNAS100 Technical Analysis – February 24, 2025
Our previous analysis View Here highlighted the 22,150 pivot zone as a critical decision point for NAS100. The price failed to hold above this level and dropped as expected, confirming a bearish movement.
Current Market Outlook:
The price has broken below the 21,900 pivot zone, indicating bearish dominance.
As long as NAS100 trades below 21900 - 21810, the bearish trend remains active.
A further decline toward 21560 and 21390 is expected.
Key Levels to Watch:
Resistance: 21900 | 22100 | 22292
Pivot: 21800
Support: 21560 | 21390 | 21215
Directional Bias:
The bearish trend remains active as long as NAS100 trades below 21810 and 21900. A 4H close below 21560 will confirm further downside toward 21390.
🚀 Will NAS100 hold this support, or is more downside coming? Drop your thoughts! 👇🔥
US30 Bearish Momentum | Key Support Levels in FocusUS30 Analysis | February 21, 2025
The price has broken below the pivot line of 44,404, confirming a bearish momentum. Now, it is testing the support zone at 44,051, and a continued failure to reclaim the pivot will strengthen the bearish case toward 43,763 and 43,212 support zones.
For bullish confirmation, the price needs to stabilize above 44,404 and break the resistance zone of 44,500 to initiate a potential recovery toward 44,756 and 45,099.
Key Levels:
Pivot Line: 44075
Resistance Levels: 44190 – 44404 – 44650
Support Levels: 43763 – 43520 - 43212
📉 Directional Bias: As long as the price remains below 44,404, US30 remains bearish, with a high probability of testing lower support levels.
Opportunity for XAUUSD Long position - SMCPrice tapped into the outlined FVG indicated by purple box and has high potential to continue its upward trend close to 2,968. Possible re entries into FVG during early Asian session before more upward movement. Keep on eye out for new FVGs to enter into a long position and trail your SL below them
New ATH should be coming in ETHBull FLAG, Respect of Bullish Trend.
Everything else in the chart. Nothing much to glorify.
Great setup, beware of your risk appetite and manage your risk and position well.
FYI, This is an educational post and nothing else.
Do Your Own Research. This is not an financial advice.
Good Luck.
Solana - Likely to hold the 50% level at $138Solana at $139
50% level from top 2021 to bottom 2022 is at 138. Most likely this is the bottom area and we should eventually bounce form here. If it takes days or hours is hard to say. But for the bulls this is the area to hold.
For the bears you want to break below and hold below for days.
Im bullish. Total 3 going down on low volume is also a bullish sign for the market. Im buying.
Are you buying?
BITCOIN at Major Support - Will Buyers Push Toward 98,250?COINBASE:BTCUSD has reached a significant support zone, highlighted by previous price reactions and strong buying interest. This area has historically acted as a key demand zone, increasing the likelihood of a bounce if buyers step in.
The current market structure suggests that if the price confirms support within this zone, we could see a bullish reversal. A successful rebound could push the pair toward the 98,250 level, a logical target based on past price behavior and structural confluence.
Just my take on support and resistance zones—not financial advice. Always confirm your setups and trade with solid risk management.
Best of luck!