Wyckoff Re-Accumulation (Phase 2) – BTC Market Structure AnalysiThis is an updated outlook on BTC’s current price structure based on Wyckoff methodology.
🔹 Structure Overview:
BTC has broken out above its previous resistance and reached a new ATH. Based on current price action and volume behavior, I believe we are at the Sign of Strength (SOS) phase in a Wyckoff Re-Accumulation Phase 2.
Key Wyckoff Labels in this structure:
PSY – Preliminary Supply
BC – Buying Climax
AR – Automatic Rally
ST – Secondary Test
UT – Upthrust
LPS – Last Point of Support
SOS – Sign of Strength
(For those unfamiliar with the terms, I suggest looking up the Wyckoff Method for detailed definitions.)
The breakout is happening with volume support, and we’ll need to observe how sustained the demand is.
🔹 RSI Observation:
In June, RSI pivoted at 64, and has now reached 73
Both price and RSI are printing higher highs
Daily RSI has not yet reached overbought territory (80+)
If RSI crosses above 80 and then rolls over, it could signal a bearish divergence → followed by a retracement
🔹 Possible Scenarios (3 Outcomes I’m Watching):
📈 Another Re-Accumulation Phase forms after this move
🧊 Market tops out at ATH and enters a Distribution Phase
🚀 A parabolic move (Blow-off Top) happens, followed by a sharp crash and Distribution
🔹 My Personal Trading Plan:
As price enters the next phase, I’ll be watching closely for signs of PSY and BC (Preliminary Supply & Buying Climax). If bearish divergence aligns with these, it may indicate an upcoming retracement.
Once BC forms, I expect an AR (Automatic Reaction) to follow
I’ll look for short entries during the retracement
A Trading Range could form between the BC (resistance) and AR (support)
⚠️ Be cautious of fakeouts, especially during breakout attempts at the range boundaries.
🔹 Price Projection (Fibonacci Extension – For Reference Only):
Using Fibonacci Extension based on the following price coordinates:
Point A: 49,577
Point B: 109,356
Point C: 74,434
🎯 Target Zones:
0.786 extension → 121,420
1.000 extension → 134,213
Again, these are not predictions — just reference points based on market structure.
🔹 Final Note:
This analysis reflects my personal interpretation of the current market structure. Price action can change rapidly based on macro and technical factors. Patterns and phase transitions may take days or even weeks to fully develop.
Feel free to share your thoughts, criticisms, or alternate views — I’m open to feedback from fellow traders.
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