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Support and Resistance

Golden Trap: Bulls Exhausted, Bears Ready to StrikeToday, the gold market is in a stalemate between long and short positions, with the market fluctuating sideways for a long time and maintaining an overall volatile trend. Although the rebound of gold has won a respite for the bulls, the rebound of gold during the day is not enough to completely reverse the decline. I think that before the 3325-3335 area is stabilized, the bears still have spare power to dominate the market! According to the current structure, although gold rebounded again after touching 3310 during the retracement, it has retreated many times during the rebound. The candle chart is interspersed with obvious negative candle charts, indicating that the rebound strength is weak. In the short term, it is under pressure in the 3330-3340 area, and it is difficult to break through in a short time. So I think the role of the gold rebound may be to trap more buyers, so we try not to chase gold after the rebound. The area near 3310 is not a key support in the short term. 3305-3300 is the current key support area. Once the bears regain control of the situation, gold may test the 3305-3300 area again. Once it falls below the reformed area, it may test 3280 again, or even refresh the recent low to around 3270. So the downward potential of gold is not over yet. We can still look for opportunities to short gold in the 3325-3335 area and look at the target 3305-3295 area.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Trading_Steffen
SOLB | Confirmed Descending Triangle Breakout – 32% Target📍 Ticker: SOLB (Solvay SA – Euronext Brussels) 📆 Timeframe: 1D (Daily) 📉 Price: €30.14 📈 Pattern: Descending triangle breakout confirmed on daily close 📊 Breakout Probability estimation: ~73% (short-term triangle breakout upward) 🔍 Technical Setup (Updated on Daily Chart): Solvay has now confirmed the breakout on the daily timeframe, closing above both the horizontal support and the descending trendline. This marks a multi-timeframe confluence breakout, increasing confidence in the projected move toward upper resistance levels. ✅ Daily candle close above descending resistance ✅ RSI breakout above 55, building momentum 📉 Stop clearly defined under €27.90 → optimal risk profile 📊 Volume expanding, validating move 🧠 Updated Trade Plan: 📥 Entry Zone: €29.90–€30.50 (daily confirmation) ⛔ Stop-Loss: Below €27.90 🔁 Hold while structure remains above descending trendline support 🎯 Upside Targets & Potential Return (from €30.14) 🎯 Target Price Return Target 1 €33.84 +12.06% Target 2 €39.76 +32.21% 📊 Pattern Probability – Daily Structure: 📐 Pattern: Descending Triangle Breakout 🔺 Upward breakout probability: ~73% 🎯 Full measured move supports Target 2 if buyers remain active ⚠️ Technical Signals to Watch: 🔎 Retest of descending line on lower volume = strong ✅ RSI > 55 with bullish structure 📈 Rising volume → growing institutional interest 📊 Price reclaiming structure from broader daily consolidation 💬 Solvay is transitioning from a textbook 4H breakout to a multi-day continuation setup. The alignment of pattern, structure, and momentum makes this one of the cleaner swing setups on the European market right now. 🔔 Follow @TargetTraders for high-probability technical trades. #SOLB #BreakoutSetup #DescendingTriangle #TechnicalPattern #SwingTrade #Euronext #TargetTraders #VolumeBreakout #ChartAnalysis
EURONEXT:SOLBLong
by TargetTraders
More Upside in Wheaton Precious Metals? Wheaton Precious Metals has consolidated for more than a month, and some traders may think it’s poised to continue higher. The first pattern on today’s chart is the April 21 high of $87.42. The silver company stayed below that level through June 2. It then shot above it and held the same price over the following month. That could suggest old resistance has become new support. Second, WPM appears to have broken a falling trendline. Third, the 8-day exponential moving average (EMA) has stayed above the 21-day EMA. That may reflect a bullish short-term trend. Finally, Bollinger Band Width in the lower study highlights tighter movement. Will that price compression give way to price expansion? Check out TradingView's The Leap competition sponsored by TradeStation. TradeStation has, for decades, advanced the trading industry, providing access to stocks, options and futures. If you're born to trade, we could be for you. See our Overview for more. Past performance, whether actual or indicated by historical tests of strategies, is no guarantee of future performance or success. There is a possibility that you may sustain a loss equal to or greater than your entire investment regardless of which asset class you trade (equities, options or futures); therefore, you should not invest or risk money that you cannot afford to lose. Online trading is not suitable for all investors. View the document titled Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options at www.TradeStation.com . Before trading any asset class, customers must read the relevant risk disclosure statements on www.TradeStation.com . System access and trade placement and execution may be delayed or fail due to market volatility and volume, quote delays, system and software errors, Internet traffic, outages and other factors. Securities and futures trading is offered to self-directed customers by TradeStation Securities, Inc., a broker-dealer registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission and a futures commission merchant licensed with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission). TradeStation Securities is a member of the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority, the National Futures Association, and a number of exchanges. TradeStation Securities, Inc. and TradeStation Technologies, Inc. are each wholly owned subsidiaries of TradeStation Group, Inc., both operating, and providing products and services, under the TradeStation brand and trademark. When applying for, or purchasing, accounts, subscriptions, products and services, it is important that you know which company you will be dealing with. Visit www.TradeStation.com for further important information explaining what this means.
NYSE:WPM
by TradeStation
EURUAD is in the Buy direction from the Third Touch Hello Traders In This Chart EUR/AUD 4 HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET today EUR/AUD analysis 👆 🟢This Chart includes_ (EUR/AUD market update) 🟢What is The Next Opportunity on EUR/AUD Market 🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
Long
by ForexMasters2000
CADJPY is in the Up Trend Hello Traders In This Chart CADJPY HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET today CADJPY analysis 👆 🟢This Chart includes_ (CADJPY market update) 🟢What is The Next Opportunity on CADJPY Market 🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
Long
by ForexMasters2000
STNG | Inverted H&S Breakout –Target +44% at 65 Major resistance📍 Ticker: NYSE:STNG (Scorpio Tankers Inc. – NYSE) 📆 Timeframe: 1D (Daily) 📉 Price: $45.62 📈 Pattern: Inverted Head & Shoulders + Breakout from Long-Term Falling Resistance 📊 Breakout Probability (estimated): 93% breakout success, 83% to measured target 🔍 Technical Setup: STNG has completed a confirmed breakout from a textbook Inverted Head and Shoulders pattern, reinforced by a multi-month descending trendline break. This aligns with a multi-technical confluence zone, with the neckline holding as support. ✅ Classic reversal structure 📈 Strong breakout candle with volume > 2x average 🟢 RSI above 64 and no bearish divergence 📐 Measured move projection suggests two major upside targets 📏 Target Projections (from breakout at $41): 🎯 Target Price Return Target 1 $51.98 +22.5% Target 2 $65.83 +44.0% 📌 Both targets align with prior horizontal resistance and upper descending trendline intersections 🧠 Trade Plan: 📥 Entry Zone: $44.50 – $46.00 (post-breakout, wait for confirmed structure) ⛔ Stop-Loss (Trailing): Start below $40.00 → trail as price confirms above $48.00 🔁 Partial stop logic: Use under neckline, then adjust dynamically with trend support 📊 Estimated Probabilities: 📐 Pattern: Inverted Head & Shoulders 🔺 Breakout success rate: 93% 🎯 Target met probability: 83% 🔁 Throwback chance: 68% → ideal entry if price retests $41 ⚠️ Technical Signals to Monitor: 🔎 Volume remains elevated → confirms institutional interest ✅ RSI trending above 60 → bullish momentum intact 📉 Wide base and upward neckline = higher success probability 📈 Price now in upward sloping channel → bias continues up unless trendline fails 💬 STNG is delivering a clean multi-pattern breakout, backed by volume, RSI confirmation, and a textbook technical structure. If momentum holds, this setup may be one of the highest-probability mid-term swing plays on the NYSE right now. Follow @TargetTraders for high-probability technical trades #STNG #TechnicalBreakout #InvertedHeadAndShoulders #PatternTrading #ChartPatterns #NYSEStocks #VolumeBreakout #SwingSetup #BreakoutTrade #SwingTrade #TargetTraders
NYSE:STNGLong
by TargetTraders
The GBPCAD is Unstoppable due to Strong Up TrendHello Traders In This Chart GBPCAD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET today GBPCAD analysis 👆 🟢This Chart includes_ (GBPCAD market update) 🟢What is The Next Opportunity on GBPCAD Market 🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Chart
Long
by ForexMasters2000
Bitcoin dominance chart ready to dump?Bitcoin dominance aka the btc.d chart has been in these 2 rising channels now for a long long tie, after ust recently being rejected down fro the top trendline of the neon yellow channel, there seems to be an opportunity here for it to potentially head down to retest the bottom trendline of that channel as well. If this occurs this could lead to an altcoin season. Price is right now combating the 50ma(in orange) and trying to maintain it as support. If this moving average flips to solidified resistance that greatly increases the chances of price going down to retest that bottom yellow trendline. Being that both of these channels are rising channels probability favors price action eventually breaking down from them instead of up so I have arbitrarily placed the measure move break down target of the yellow channel in a random spot below roughly where price could break down from the channel were it to be rejected strongly enough here by the 50ma. It’s retested this bottom trendline multiple times in the past and has always found away to avoid the breakdown thus far though so a breakdown there is definitely not guaranteed if it does retest the trendline, but even heading back down to retest the trendline in the first place may provide enough momentum for an alt season *not financial advice*
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D
by DrDovetail
BTC: Macro Structure [Weekly Timeframe]Sharing my current view on the macro price structure of Bitcoin, outlining both main and alternative scenarios based on trend wave analysis. Macro Trend Overview and Main scenario The uptrend from the Nov ’22 bottom shows a classic 5-wave impulsive structure, closely aligning with ideal Fibonacci proportions: Wave 3 peaked within the 1.382–1.618% zone Wave 4 found support in the 1.236–1.000% area Wave 5 topped near the 2.000% / 0.618% projection (measured from the Nov’18 bottom to Nov’21 top, projected from the Nov’22 low) Wave (2) was relatively short in time and depth, but technically acceptable as complete. Given the broader technical structure, macro fundamentals, policy tailwinds, and social sentiment - I consider wave (2) to be finished. The rally from April’25 low to May’25 high looks impulsive, followed by a clean three-wave pullback into the June’25 low - a structure consistent with the start of a new uptrend, within a larger degree wave (3). If this is the case, given the fractal nature of the markets, price should Fibonacci proportions similar to the Nov’22 - Mar’24 cycle. For this bullish count to remain valid, BTC must break and hold above the 126–134K resistance zone. This would open the door to next resistance zone be tested nex: 170–190K and 200–220/250K, where I’d expect a major top to begin forming, possibly, the start of a multi-year higher low formation. Alternative Scenario If price fails to break above 126–134K and starts showing reversal patterns, then the yellow count remains valid suggesting the entire trend from Nov’22 has peaked, and BTC could be entering a deep, prolonged correction (as per the yellow count). In Summary As long as weekly closes stay above 111.9K, my base case favors continued upside into 125–135K, where the next major decision zone lies: • Either a short consolidation before breakout • Or formation of a macro top For more detailed levels and daily trend structure (including ETH, SOL, XRP, and HYPE), check out my recent video idea and Minds post. Thank you for your attention and I wish you successful trading decisions! If you found this idea helpful, I’d really appreciate a boost — and would be glad to have you as a subscriber! Thank you for your attention and I wish you successful trading decisions! * I'm keeping the same structure read from my public Mar'24 analysis:
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by artemfedorov
XAUUSD Elliot waves update: What to expect?Bullish bias is still on. Price made impulsive wave 1 of lower degree and now we should expect price to continue up to test the upper trend line. There is also a possibility that the 4th wave is still in play and a possible triangle is about to be finished, however, this does not change our current bias to the upside. I am expecting price to drop to test the extreme order flow before continuing. To take advantage of the bullish move one need to find the entry around this extreme order flow marked with a rectangle. "Trade responsibly, this is not financial advice"
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Elliotwavesglobal
EURGBP: Is This The End Of The Bulls? The GBP/USD pair has exhibited a consistent bullish trend, driven by a remarkable price momentum that is unprecedented in recent history. However, we anticipate a potential bearish reversal, as the market is witnessing a confluence of bearish indicators and increasing volume. Historically, the British pound has held a dominant position in this market, and long-term bears are likely to gain control. Therefore, it is crucial to closely monitor the incoming market volume and, most importantly, the prevailing market sentiment. Your continued support throughout this journey is greatly appreciated. If you wish to encourage us, kindly like and comment on our ideas. Team Setupsfx_ ❤️❤️🚀🚀
Short
by Setupsfx_
25
Empress Royalty – Undervalued Precious Metals Royalty🔹 Fundamental Outlook: Empress Royalty offers exposure to gold and silver through a diversified portfolio of streaming and royalty agreements, with a focus on earlier-stage producers and developers. Backed by strategic partnerships with Endeavour Financial and Terra Capital, the company leverages deep deal flow and structuring expertise, while keeping overhead lean. Cash flowing from several active royalties EV/EBITDA (TTM): ~2.3 – indicating deep value Free Cash Flow: ~$33M Float: Only ~43M shares – tightly held No major debt concerns (cash/debt ratio ~1.44) The recent appointment of Mark Ashcroft as Business Development Advisor (North America) further boosts Empress’ ability to scale its portfolio with quality assets in the region. ✅ Undervalued vs peers on cash flow and earnings ✅ Royalty model limits operational risk ✅ Exposure to gold and silver (a rare mix) ✅ Insiders and partners with long-standing mining credentials ✅ Benefiting from a rising silver sentiment and the search for non-dilutive capital by small/mid-tier miners 🔹 Risks: Operator dependency (as a royalty company) Exposure to early-stage projects with potentially higher execution risk Thin trading volume at times, which may increase volatility 📈 Conclusion: Empress Royalty is a fundamentally solid, technically bullish small-cap royalty play. With silver sentiment turning and precious metals investors rotating into high-leverage names, EMPR offers both growth potential and asymmetric reward/risk.
TSXV:EMPRLong
by dimzh
BTC/USDT Multi - time frame analysis and {4HR }BTC/USDT Multi-Timeframe SMC Analysis – July 8, 2025 1. Top-Down Analysis: Daily Timeframe (Macro Market Structure & Narrative - Inferred from chart context): The broader market structure indicates a prolonged consolidation phase, initiated around mid-June, characterized by defined support and resistance levels. The identified supply zone, ranging approximately from $108,000 to $109,500 and labeled as "Potential Supply Zone" on the chart, is a key daily-level area. Crucially, despite entering this daily supply, the strong underlying bullish order flow suggests a high probability that this supply zone may not act as an effective distribution point. The overarching narrative from higher timeframes indicates robust institutional buying pressure, implying a potential shift in the broader trend to unequivocally bullish upon a clear breach of this daily supply. 4H Timeframe (Swing Structure, Internal BOS/CHoCH): The 4H swing structure explicitly displays a very clear bullish order flow. We observe a series of consecutively confirmed CHoCH (Change of Character) and BOS (Break of Structure) to the upside (indicated by "4HR CHOCH" and "4HR BOS" annotations). This unequivocally establishes a decidedly bullish 4H swing bias. The most recent 4H BOS occurred around the $107,000 level, after which price has continued its upward trajectory. Price is currently engaging with a 4H supply zone (marked by the white box). However, given the dominant bullish order flow on the 4H, there is a high probability that this supply zone will be invalidated, allowing price to extend its bullish movement. This phenomenon often signifies an "Imbalance Fill" or "Liquidity Grab" by smart money to fuel further upside. 1H Timeframe (Entry-Level Structure & POIs): The 1H timeframe currently reflects a phase of consolidation or minor correction following the recent bullish impulse. In alignment with the decisive bullish 4H bias, any retracement observed on the 1H timeframe is to be considered a buying opportunity. The "PIVOT" marked around $105,000 serves as a potential 1H demand area, which could be a target for a deeper retracement before the continuation of the bullish move. However, considering the current market strength, price might not even reach this level and could resume its ascent from current or slightly higher levels. The current "PIVOT" at approximately $108,500 represents a temporary internal resistance. A decisive break and sustained close above this pivot would provide stronger confirmation for the continuation of the bullish trend. 2. Identification: Clean Breaks of Structure (BOS) and Changes of Character (CHoCH): 4H: Multiple clear bullish BOS and CHoCH events, indicative of strong bullish order flow. 1H: Internal structure currently shows consolidation prior to a likely bullish BOS to new highs. Valid Supply & Demand Zones (Unmitigated only): Unmitigated 4H/1H Supply Zone: Approximately $108,000 - $109,500 (marked by the white box). However, as noted, it is anticipated to be invalidated due to the overall bullish order flow. Unmitigated 4H/1H Demand Zones: Lower down, around the $105,000 PIVOT and the green-shaded regions on the chart (potential demand areas that would activate upon a deeper retracement). Internal and external liquidity pools (buy/sell-side): External Buy-side Liquidity: Above the all-time highs or previous "High" (observed at $111,900 on the prior chart). Internal Buy-side Liquidity: Above current range highs (approx. $109,500) and above recent pivots. Internal Sell-side Liquidity: Below recent 1H pivots, particularly below $107,000 and $105,000 (which could act as inducement). Inducement patterns and liquidity grabs (internal sweeps): Any minor retracement or downside fluctuation from the current supply zone could act as inducement to draw in sellers, before price resumes its bullish trajectory. Previous sweeps to the downside have served as confirmation of liquidity accumulation for prior bullish moves. Order blocks, FVGs, mitigation blocks, and imbalance zones: Given the impulsive nature of the bullish moves, bullish FVGs and OBs should be considered in retracements (e.g., around the $105,000 demand area). The current supply zone (white box) also contains OB/FVG, but as mentioned, its invalidation probability is high. Active market range and internal liquidity engineering: The active 4H market range encompasses the recent bullish move from $102,000 to current highs. Internal liquidity engineering currently involves drawing sellers into the supply zone and subsequently invalidating it for continued bullish advancement. 3. Delivery: Directional Bias with Contextual Narrative: Strongly Bullish. The 4H order flow is unequivocally bullish, with repeated confirmations of bullish BOS and CHoCH. While price is entering a supply zone, the overall bullish strength suggests it is highly probable this zone will be invalidated, leading to further upside to target new highs. The market narrative points towards a continuation of the uptrend, targeting external buy-side liquidity. Actionable Setup (Long): Asset: BTC/USDT Perpetual Futures Entry Level (POI, OB or FVG): Scenario 1 (Aggressive Entry - given market strength): Enter long within the $107,500 - $108,000 range (upon confirmation of bullish price action on the 1H or 15-minute timeframe within the supply zone, indicating its invalidation). This entry presumes the supply zone will be breached. Scenario 2 (Conservative Entry - upon retracement): Enter long within the $105,000 - $105,200 range (the pivot area and potential demand zone). This point would activate upon a deeper retracement into a discount area. Given the chart and current strength, Scenario 1 appears more probable, but price action confirmation is critical. Stop-Loss (Invalidation Structure): For Scenario 1: Place stop-loss below the last valid 1H structural low that confirms the bullish impulse, or below $106,500. For Scenario 2: Place stop-loss below the demand zone and below the $104,500 pivot, e.g., $104,000. Target Level (Minimum 3R+): Target 1 (1R): $109,500 (Break of current supply range high and liquidity grab). Target 2 (2R): $111,000 (Retest of previous "High"). Target 3 (3R+ / Primary Target): $112,500 - $113,500 (Formation of new highs and targeting fresh buy-side liquidity). R-multiple Calculation Example: If for Scenario 1, entry is $107,700 and stop is $106,500 (1200 points risk), a 3R target would be $107,700 + (3 * $1200) = $111,300, which aligns with our targets. Confluences: Multi-Timeframe Alignment: Decisive bullish 4H order flow provides strong support for a bullish bias, treating any retracement as an opportunity. Liquidity: New highs and external buy-side liquidity serve as clear targets. Supply Zone Weakness: Despite price entering a supply zone, the underlying bullish strength suggests its probable invalidation. Pivot Price Action: Repeated bullish pivots and structural breaks confirm the trend. This analysis presents a high-conviction long setup for BTC/USDT. However, close attention to price action confirmations on lower timeframes (e.g., 1H or 15-minute) within the current supply zone will be crucial for aggressive entry. Should price retrace, anticipate a bounce from lower demand zones. Disclaimer: This is a market analysis based on current price action and structure. It does not constitute a buy or sell signal. Always conduct your own research and risk assessment before taking any trades BITGET:BTCUSDT.P
by AliSMA25
DXY-Technical Analysis DAILY Timeframe 📊 DXY – Technical Analysis (1D Timeframe) 🔷 Overall Trend: The Dollar Index (DXY) has been in a strong downtrend for several months, forming multiple confirmed Breaks of Structure (BOS) to the downside. However, recent price action is showing signs of momentum loss and potential exhaustion from sellers near the current lows. 🟡 Market Structure: Price recently formed a lower low, but momentum indicators are showing bullish divergence — suggesting the downward pressure is weakening. A small bullish reversal candle has printed, indicating potential short-term buying interest. There is no confirmed bullish CHoCH yet, but structure is starting to slow down and compress — signaling a possible shift. 📉 Indicators (RSI ): RSI is rebounding from oversold territory, showing potential early reversal signals. The confirms bullish divergence and shows fading bearish momentum. Overall, sellers are showing reduced strength, increasing the chance of a corrective move to the upside. 🔹 Key Levels: Immediate resistance zones: 🔹 97.23 and 97.73 — key levels to watch for bullish continuation. Major support: 🔻 96.34 – 96.50 — current low area that if broken, will confirm further downside. ✅ Conclusion: While DXY remains structurally bearish, the recent bullish divergence, loss of selling momentum, and RSI recovery suggest the potential for a short-term correction or bounce. A confirmed CHoCH and break above 97.73 would signal a potential shift to bullish structure. If price fails to break resistance and drops below 96.34, the bearish trend is likely to continue. 🟢 Scenario Table: Scenario Trigger Implication Bullish shift Break above 97.73 with CHoCH Potential trend reversal Continuation bearish Break below 96.34 Downtrend continuation Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational and educational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any asse
TVC:DXYLong
by AliSMA25
USDCHF – Key Resistance TestUSDCHF is currently ranging after a strong downtrend, now testing the 0.79886 resistance level. Price is bouncing between this resistance and support at 0.79178, showing signs of indecision. Support at: 0.79178 🔽 Resistance at: 0.79886 🔼 🔎 Bias: 🔼 Bullish: Break and close above 0.79886 targets 0.80697 and possibly 0.81564. 🔽 Bearish: Rejection from 0.79886 and break below 0.79178 could resume the bearish trend. 📛 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Trade at your own risk.
by SPOT_FX
SP500 Bullish Momentum Amid Trade DevelopmentsThe US stock index continues to trade higher as overall market sentiment remains bullish, driven by optimism despite Donald Trump's aggressive tariff stance and ongoing global trade negotiations. Currently, the index is consolidating within a narrow range around 6260. A confirmed breakout from this zone is essential to determine the next directional move. then Upside Target will be :6,250 and 6,300 If you like this idea if you Have on Opinion about this analysis share in comments.
VANTAGE:SP500Long
by MrMartin_11
5
BTC 1 hr technical analiysis Asset: BTCUSDT.P (Bitcoin Perpetual Futures) Timeframe Provided: 1-Hour (1H) BITGET:BTCUSDT.P 1. Higher Timeframe Bias (Assumed for 1H Context): Based on the observed price action, specifically the strong impulsive bullish move around July 2nd-3rd, followed by a corrective pullback, it is reasonable to assume a bullish bias from the higher timeframes (Daily/4H). This assumption is crucial, as the 1H timeframe should ideally align with the dominant higher timeframe trend for high-probability setups. The strong push above previous resistance and the subsequent retracement suggest the potential for a continuation of an uptrend. 2. 1-Hour Structure Analysis: Initial Structure: The price was generally ranging or in a slight downtrend until around July 2nd. We observe multiple internal bearish Break of Structures (1H BOS in red). Change of Character (CHoCH): A significant bullish 1H CHoCH is observed around July 2nd, indicating a shift from a bearish to a bullish internal structure. This shift was followed by strong bullish momentum. Break of Structure (BOS): After the CHoCH, the market showed clear bullish 1H BOS, confirming the new bullish impulse. Current Structure: The market has recently pulled back significantly after the strong bullish impulse. This pullback has tested a key demand zone. We are looking for a continuation of the bullish trend from this pullback. 3. Liquidity and Inducement: Sell-Side Liquidity (SSL): Prior to the bullish CHoCH, there were clear areas of sell-side liquidity that were swept, fueling the subsequent upward move. Inducement: The current pullback, while corrective, may be acting as an inducement, drawing in early buyers or trapping sellers, before potentially continuing the upward movement. Price has swept some internal liquidity during this retracement. 4. Valid Demand/Supply Zones (1H): Primary Demand Zone: The most prominent demand zone of interest is located roughly between $107,000 and $107,300. This zone represents an unmitigated order block (or a clear area of strong institutional buying) that initiated the significant bullish impulse. It also aligns with previous resistance that was broken and is now potentially acting as support (a "flip zone"). This is our primary point of interest for a long entry. Mitigation: Price has begun to tap into this demand zone, indicating a potential mitigation phase. 5. Trade Setup Proposal (High Probability Long Setup): Considering the assumed higher timeframe bullish bias and the current 1H structure, a long setup from the identified demand zone presents a high-probability opportunity. Bias: Bullish Entry Strategy: We are looking for confirmation within the demand zone. Given the 1H chart, a refined entry could be sought on a lower timeframe (e.g., 15M or 5M) for further confirmation (e.g., an internal CHoCH, aggressive entry within the order block). However, based on the provided 1H chart: Proposed Entry Price: Around $107,150 - $107,250. This is within the heart of the unmitigated demand zone. The visual suggests an entry around $107,200. Stop Loss (SL): Slightly below the low of the demand zone/order block, and crucially, below any structural low that would invalidate the bullish short-term structure. Proposed SL Price: Around $106,750 - $106,900. The visual places the SL at approximately $106,900. This allows for some wick hunting but protects capital if the demand fails. Target (TP): We will target the high of the recent bullish impulse, and potentially higher if the higher timeframe bias confirms a sustained uptrend. Proposed TP Price: Initial target at the recent high around $110,900 - $111,000. The visual suggests $110,950. Rationale for TP: This target represents the next logical liquidity pool (buy-side liquidity) and a significant structural high that, if broken, would confirm further bullish continuation. Risk to Reward Ratio (RRR): Entry: ~$107,200 SL: ~$106,900 (Risk: $300) TP: ~$110,950 (Reward: $3750) Calculated RRR: Approximately 1:12.5. This is an exceptional RRR and highlights the potential of this setup. 6. Important Considerations & Trade Management: Confirmation: While the 1H demand zone is strong, for institutional-level entries, further confirmation on lower timeframes (e.g., a CHoCH or clear bullish momentum shift on the 5M/15M chart once price enters the demand zone) would be ideal. Market News/Events: Always be aware of upcoming high-impact economic news (e.g., CPI, FOMC minutes, NFP) that could induce high volatility and invalidate technical setups. For crypto, major exchange news, regulatory announcements, or large whale movements can also impact price. As of Saturday, July 5th, 2025, there are no immediate high-impact economic data releases on the calendar for this weekend, but traders should always check the economic calendar for the upcoming week. Partial Take Profits: Consider taking partial profits at intermediate highs or psychological levels to secure gains and reduce risk. Trailing Stop Loss: Once the trade moves significantly in profit, consider trailing your stop loss to break-even or beyond to protect capital. This detailed analysis, even with the limitation of a single timeframe, provides a clear, high-probability long setup based on advanced SMC principles. Monitor price action closely at the entry point and manage risk diligently. Disclaimer: This analysis is purely for educational and analytical purposes and does not constitute a buy or sell recommendation or financial advice. All trading decisions must be made based on individual analysis, proper risk management, and careful consideration of market conditions by the trader themselves. As an AI model, I bear no financial responsibility for the outcomes of your trades.
Long
by AliSMA25
2
EUR/USD Correction Targets March Uptrend- Support in ViewThe Euro rally exhausted into uptrend resistance into the start of the month with EUR/USD threatening to snap a two-week winning streak at fresh yearly highs. Price has fallen more than 1% from the high and the near-term threat for a larger correction remains below the weekly open at 1.1775. A break below the weekly opening-range today threatens further declines within this formation with initial support objective seen at the 1.618% extension / 2016 high at 1.1609/16 and the April high at 1.1573. Note that the April trendline converges on this threshold next week and a break / close below this slope would be needed to suggest a more significant high was registered last week / a larger reversal is underway- look for a larger reaction there IF reached. Subsequent support rests with the 23.6% retracement of the yearly range at 1.1440. Initial resistance is eyed with the 78.6% retracement of the 2021 decline at 1.1748 and is backed closely by the objective weekly / monthly open at 1.1775/87- we’ll reserve this threshold as our bearish invalidation levels with a breach above the upper parallel (currently near ~1.1830s) ultimately needed to mark uptrend resumption. Subsequent resistance eyed at the 100% extension of the 2022 advance at 1.1917 and the 1.618% extension of the January rally at 1.1990. Bottom line: A reversal off uptrend resistance into the monthly open threatens a larger correction here in EUR/USD. From a trading standpoint, losses should be limited to 1.1573 IF price is heading higher on this stretch with a close above the upper parallel needed to fuel the next major leg of the advance. -MB
by FOREXcom