SMCI - Bull Flag Breakout SetupSMCI formed a strong bullish impulse followed by a bull flag pattern.
A breakout above the flag structure may signal continuation if confirmed with strong price action.
Trade Plan:
• Entry: On breakout or retest
• Stop Loss: Below flag support
• TP1: Recent high
• TP2: Measured flagpole extension
This setup is worth monitoring for potential bullish continuation.
Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. For educational purposes only.
Support and Resistance
DeGRAM | GOLD forming head and shoulders📊 Technical Analysis
● A double rejection at 3 358—confluence of the May-July descending trend-line and the long-term channel roof—has carved successive lower highs; the break of the inner up-trend (circled) shifts structure bearish.
● Price is now slipping out of a contracting pennant; sustained trade beneath 3 246 (pattern base / April pivot) exposes the mid-channel magnet at 3 202, with the outer rail projecting 3 121.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● Surprise rise in NY Fed 1-yr inflation expectations and Daly’s “no urgency to cut” remarks lifted 2-yr real yields and the DXY, while ETFs saw a fifth straight day of outflows, signalling fading bullion demand.
✨ Summary
Sell 3 300–3 320; break below 3 246 targets 3 202 → 3 121. Short view void on a 4 h close above 3 358.
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DeGRAM | USDJPY fixed above the descending channel📊 Technical Analysis
● Dollar-yen has punched through the 16-month descending channel top and twice retested it as support (false-break tags), carving a rising trend line that now guides price away from 144.90.
● Inside the break zone a smaller pennant is forming; a 4 h close above 147.18 completes the pattern and activates the channel-height target at 150.80 near the November swing cap.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● US 2-yr yields pushed to a three-month high after hotter CPI core-services and Barkin’s “inflation progress has stalled”, while the BoJ July minutes flagged only “gradual” QT—widening the policy gap and reviving carry demand for yen shorts.
✨ Summary
Long 145.2-146.2; pennant break >147.18 targets 150.80. Bias void on a 4 h close below 142.80.
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DeGRAM | XRPUSD seeks to retest of the resistance line📊 Technical Analysis
● A third rebound from the rising purple support (green dots) printed a bullish engulfing that has already forced price back above the short-term grey down-trend, signalling a momentum shift.
● XRP is now coiling inside a contracting triangle capped by the purple resistance line near 2.40; the 18 ¢ consolidation width implies 2.45 on a break, while the April pivot at 2.65 lines up with the upper channel for the next objective.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● Ahead of the 23 July SEC – Ripple status hearing, HSBC’s digital-asset unit announced a pilot using XRP for cross-border settlement, lifting social volume and spot bids.
✨ Summary
Buy 2.10-2.20; confirmed close above 2.40/2.45 targets 2.60-2.65. Thesis void on a 16 h close below 1.98.
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DeGRAM | ETHUSD rebound from the support line📊 Technical Analysis
● Bounce off the purple up-trend and 2 320 support printed a bullish engulfing, maintaining the sequence of higher-lows that has guided price since April.
● Price is squeezing into an ascending triangle under 2 700-2 730, where the former wedge cap meets horizontal supply; a break projects to the 3 040 macro fib / channel roof.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● Net-staking deposits keep rising while, per FXStreet (25 Jun), whales add ETH ahead of the SEC’s spot-ETF S-1 verdict, underpinning demand.
✨ Summary
Long >2 320; triangle breakout above 2 730 targets 3 040. Thesis void on a 16 h close below 2 200.
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DeGRAM | BTCUSD once again trading above $105k📊 Technical Analysis
● Fresh bounce off the confluence of the 8-month up-sloping purple trend-line and 102-103 k green demand box prints a higher-low inside the rising wedge, keeping bulls in control despite June’s pull-back.
● Price is reclaiming the minor down-trend line from the 12 Jun high; a daily close above 106 k confirms a bear-trap and unlocks the 111.8-112.5 k supply at the wedge cap.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● Spot-ETF desks absorbed >5 400 BTC in the last three sessions while exchange reserves fell to a four-year low, signalling supply drain.
● Cooling US PCE expectations trimmed real yields, and Mt Gox repayment delays ease overhang fears—both supportive for risk assets.
✨ Summary
Long 102–104 k; hold above 106 k targets 111.8 k → 115 k. Bull thesis void on a 16 h close below 99 k.
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Short gold, the bears will still counterattack after the reboundGold rebounded to the 3305-3315 area as expected, and our gold long position successfully won 360pips profit. So after standing above 3,300 again, will gold resume its bullish trend?
I think that although gold has stood above 3300 again, it cannot be confirmed that the decline has been completely reversed for the time being. Relatively speaking, gold bears still have the upper hand. In the short term, gold is under pressure in the 3325-3335 area, so before recovering this area, gold bears still have repeated fluctuations, and may even test the 3305-3295 area again. So we can't blindly chase gold in trading.
Before gold recovers the 3325-3335 area, gold can only be regarded as a rebound, not a reversal. So gold bears may counterattack at any time, so in short-term trading, we can consider shorting gold with the 3325-3335 area as resistance after gold rebounds. The first entry area that must be paid attention to is 3320-3330.
GBPUSD InsightHello to all our subscribers!
Please feel free to share your personal thoughts in the comments. Don’t forget to hit the boost button and subscribe!
Key Points
- U.S. President Trump revealed letters sent via Truth Social to the leaders of seven countries, including the Philippines and Algeria. Notably, he warned of a 50% tariff on imports from Brazil.
- The June FOMC minutes confirmed that key Fed members are divided on the outlook for rate cuts within the year.
- The U.S. 10-year Treasury yield reversed course and fell for the first time in six sessions, following strong demand in the latest bond auction.
Major Economic Events This Week
+ July 10: Germany – June Consumer Price Index (CPI)
+ July 11: United Kingdom – May Gross Domestic Product (GDP)
GBPUSD Chart Analysis
While the pair recently faced resistance near the 1.38000 level and experienced a pullback, it appears to be regaining momentum, supported by the trendline near 1.36000.
If this support holds and the price moves as expected, a rally toward the 1.40000 level could be anticipated.
However, if the current support fails, the pair could retreat toward the 1.34000 level. Therefore, it is important to closely monitor the price action in the current zone.
AMSC eyes on $40.18: Golden Genesis fib holding up new ATHAMSC has been bobbing into a Golden Genesis fib at $40.18
Look for a Break-n-Retest to start next leg of uptrend.
Beware of a possible rejection for a high velocity dip.
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Previous Analysis that gave a PERFECT SWING trade:
Hit the BOOST and FOLLOW for more such a PRECISE and TIMELY charts.
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CMG watch $55.76: Golden fib maybe good support for Next Leg UPCMG trying to recover from loss of CEO and tariff worries.
Uptrend showing signs of strength, retesting a key support.
$55.76 a possible long entry with $54.84 fib for stop loss.
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Previous analysis that caught THE BOTTOM:
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OSK eyes on $125.42/52: Double Golden Fibs likely to Orbit a bitOSK has been rising with the market and industrials.
It is hst just hit Dual Golden fibs at $125.42-125.52
Expecting a few orbits and possible dip from here.
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This pair of Fibs called THE PREVIOUS TOP:
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The smaller Golden Sisters also called THE BOTTOM:
Hit the BOOST and FOLLOW for more such PRECISE and TIMELY charts.
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NKE Pullback-I'm Buying the DipNike (NKE) is under pressure — post-earnings volatility, macro noise, and sentiment all weighing in. But for swing traders, this looks like a textbook accumulation setup.
📌 Entry Zones I’m Targeting:
🔹 $70.00
🔹 $65.00
🔹 $60.00
Profit Targets (Taking wins before 88):
✅ $78.80
✅ $82.50
Let the market come to you — no chasing, just precision.
💬 Drop your thoughts below — are you buying NKE here or waiting for blood?
Disclaimer: This post is for informational and educational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any securities. Always do your own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Trading involves risk, and past performance is not indicative of future results
EUR/USD: A High-Probability Short Setup at 1.1829At its core, this trade is driven by a powerful and growing divergence between the US and European economies. While technicals tell us where to trade, fundamentals tell us why we're trading.
1️⃣ The Interest Rate Gap: The U.S. currently offers significantly higher interest rates (4.25% - 4.50%) compared to the Eurozone (2.15%). This makes holding the US Dollar more attractive, creating natural downward pressure on the EUR/USD.
2️⃣ Central Bank Policy: The US Federal Reserve remains hawkish, focused on strength and fighting inflation. Meanwhile, the European Central Bank is dovish, signaling a willingness to keep conditions loose to support a weaker economy.
3️⃣ Labor Market Strength: The US enjoys a robust labor market with unemployment at just 4.1%, while the Eurozone's is significantly higher at 6.3%. This points to a stronger US economy.
In simple terms, the US economy is strong, and its central bank is acting like it. The Eurozone economy is weaker, and its central bank is acting accordingly. This fundamental imbalance is the fuel for a potential significant move down in EUR/USD.
The Technical Picture: The Wall at 1.1829
As you can see on the 4H chart, the price has run into a major wall of resistance at the 52-week high of 1.1829 . After a long uptrend, the momentum has stalled, and the price is now consolidating inside a symmetrical triangle . This coiling of price action often precedes a strong breakout.
Our strategy is not to guess the breakout, but to act on a high-probability retest of resistance. We are looking to enter a short position as the price pulls back towards the upper boundary of this triangle, anticipating a failure at resistance and a subsequent break to the downside.
The Actionable Trade Plan
This setup offers an excellent risk/reward profile.
📉 Asset: EUR/USD
👉 Entry (Limit Sell): 1.1780
⛔️ Stop Loss: 1.1850
🎯 Take Profit: 1.1600
📈 Risk/Reward Ratio: ~2.57:1
Trade safe and manage your risk.
The risks of shorting at low levels have been informed!Today, I have reminded you many times not to chase short positions at low levels. Now you can see that gold has bottomed out and rebounded. We also bought gold in batches at 3285-3295, and the long positions also made perfect profits. I believe that friends who follow my articles can see that I have always emphasized not to short at low levels. It is also obvious to everyone that we bought long positions near 3295-3285. In the future, we will continue to pay attention to the suppression of the upper 3318-3325 line. If the rebound does not break, we will look for opportunities to short. I hope everyone can grasp the entry position and hold the profit. The rebound will first look at the previous break point of the 3325 line, and then short when the rebound is suppressed! If your current gold operation is not ideal, I hope I can help you avoid detours in your investment. Welcome to communicate with me!
From the current analysis of gold trend, today's upper short-term resistance focuses on the hourly top and bottom conversion position of 3318-3325. The intraday rebound relies on this position to go short once and look down. The lower short-term support focuses on 3280. The overall support relies on the 3280-3325 area to maintain the main tone of high-altitude low-multiple cycles. In the mid-line position, keep watching and do less, be cautious in chasing orders, and wait for the opportunity to enter the market after the key points are in place.
Gold operation strategy: short gold rebounds near 3318-3325, target 3305-3295.
CYBN in sideways channel, bulls need to break above 8.01Nothing changes for me between 7.11 and 8.01. Break below and I will stop out of my swing and be very patient while I reassess, break above 8.01 and we look for a lower high below 9.83. Currently, 4hr EMA12 continues to be resistance on each little bounce attempt.
If you are bullish here, you have decent entry opportunity to play off of 7.11 support with a stop loss below that - you'll certainly be in a much better position with your position than I am with mine on this stock!
GOLD (XAUUSD): Classic Breakout Trading📈GOLD has surpassed and closed above a significant intraday resistance level.
After retesting this level, the price created a small ascending triangle on the hourly chart, and we've observed a confirmed breakout of its neckline.
I plan to go long on the pair during the retest, anticipating further growth, with the next resistance target at 3327.
MNMD on the cusp of a lower volume nodeMNMD closed July 8th with the most bullish candle since May 19th, finally giving us a convining break of the daily equilibrium, and resulting in a gap up and run this morning with another solid day up over 3%. Today's high rejected from the top of the current high volume node mentioned in my weekend video (7.80), above this there isn't much resistance until the weekly resistance doubletop at 8.21. Hourly RSI is entering into typical pullback areas over the last 6 months so we will be watching the hourly uptrend for clues on pullbacks if we are seeing healthy hourly consolidation or looking for a daily consolidation.
ATAI consolidating in a 4hr channelATAI has been consolidating sideways on the daily chart for the last 5 days, in a confined channel on the 4hr chart. The channel levels are denoted by yellow dotted lines. This consolidation remains constructive above the last weekly resistance at 2.64, denoted by the solid white line. There is a LOT of volume being traded here (check it out yourself using Volume Profile) which can potentially be a bearish P-shaped volume profile, so bulls want to see a strong push upwards towards $3.00 sooner rather than later. Still, the consolidation remains constructive at this point in time while the market digests the giant gap up and breakout on the back of readout July 1st.
Bank of America Wave Analysis – 9 July 2025
- Bank of America reversed from resistance area
- Likely to fall to support level 45.00
Bank of America recently reversed down from the resistance area located between the long-term resistance level 50.00 (which started the weekly downtrend at the start of 2022) and the upper weekly Bollinger Band.
The downward reversal from this resistance area stopped the previous intermediate impulse wave (3) from the start of 2025.
Given the strength of the resistance level 50.00 and the overbought weekly Stochastic Bank of America can be expected to fall to the next support level 45.00.