$KAVA breaking out of its defending phase to 4$ I would like to notice as the market picks up for Monday I think this is a great risk to take here.
KAVA LONG on a .039 - .038 entry leading into a breakout above its previous drawback.
4hr chart looks depressing but MACD shows sign of health. Holding a 20x leverage position here and hoping we can see 0.04 in the next day and half.
XRP breakout already beginning.
Support and Resistance
EURGBP reached strong resistance: Likely reversal incomingPrice has been in a strong impulsive rally, pushing aggressively into a well established resistance zone. This zone is marked by a prior sharp sell-off, suggesting it could trigger selling interst again.
The current move appears overextended in the short term. The ascending channel is extremly vertical, showing momentum, but this type of movement often leads to exhaustion, especially when met with a key zone like so. Volume profile shows a lack of recent trading activity at these levels, which can exaggerate volatility once price enters this area.
Given how clean and one-sided the climb has been, a pullback is not only likely, but it would be healthy. The projected reaction toward the 0.85800 area makes sense technically: it corresponds with key Fibonacci retracement levels (between 0.5 and 0.618), adding confluence to the idea of a corrective move before any continuation or reversal.
Until there’s a clear break above the upper bound of this zone with sustained volume, this remains a high-probability area for short-term rejection or distribution.
If price starts printing long upper wicks, slowing momentum, or bearish engulfing patterns on lower timeframes, that could offer early signals of weakness and a shift in momentum.
Just sharing my thoughts on support and resistance, this isn’t financial advice . Always confirm your setups and manage your risk properly.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
NZDUSD Clear Bearish Continuation🧠 Timeframe Sentiment Overview
Weekly (W): Bullish
Daily (D): Bullish
12H, 6H, 4H: Bearish
Bias: Weak bearish retracement inside HTF bullish trend. Caution advised—likely a counter-trend play or short-term pullback trade.
📉 Market Structure Analysis
Bearish BOS recently occurred on 4H with a sharp drop.
Red arrow forecasts a continuation lower if price respects the short-term supply zone.
📊 EMA Confluence
Price is currently below both the 50 EMA (blue) and 200 EMA (red) → indicates a bearish short-term trend.
EMAs act as dynamic resistance in the supply zone.
Risk-Reward Ratio: Approximately 2:1 or better.
🔁 Strategy Notes
Since HTF is bullish (W + D), this is a counter-trend move, so confirmation (e.g. on 1H or 15m) is important.
Text on chart suggests waiting for 1H structure shift before executing the trade for better timing and lower risk.
✅ Confluences Supporting the Short
Clear 4H BOS and bearish momentum.
Bearish EMAs alignment (50 < 200).
Price entering previous support turned resistance.
Weekly AOI (target) is a high-probability demand zone.
Bearish momentum from 12H/6H/4H despite higher TF bullishness.
⚠️ Caution
Since W and D are bullish, price could bounce aggressively from the Weekly AOI.
Monitor LTF reaction closely for exit/reversal.
XRP Breakdown Ahead? Don’t Get Caught LongYello, Paradisers! Are you about to fall into a classic trap on XRP? The signs are stacking up, and if you're not careful, this move could catch a lot of traders on the wrong side of the market.
💎XRPUSDT is showing clear signs of weakness. A bearish CHoCH (Change of Character) has formed, and an inverse Cup & Handle pattern is currently playing out. On top of that, price action has decisively broken below the key support trendline. These signals together significantly increase the probability of a deeper bearish move in the coming days.
💎From the current price level, XRP is offering a 1:1 risk-to-reward setup. While this may attract more aggressive or short-term traders, the safer and more strategic approach is to wait for a proper pullback before entering. That would allow for a more favorable risk-to-reward and confirmation of the trend direction, reducing the likelihood of being caught in short-term noise.
💎It’s also crucial to watch the invalidation level. If XRP manages to break back above that zone and close a candle above it, this would invalidate the current bearish idea entirely. In such a case, it's better to stay patient and wait for clearer price action before making any decisions.
🎖Strive for consistency, not quick profits. Treat the market as a businessman, not as a gambler.
MyCryptoParadise
iFeel the success🌴
GBPJPY sitting at resistance – Is a drop to 193.360 likely?GBPJPY is sitting right at a key daily resistance zone. This is a level where it has struggled to break through and reversed strongly to the downside. So this makes it definitely one to monitor, especially if you’re eyeing potential short setups.
If we start seeing signs that the price is getting rejected here: like long wicks, strong bearish candles, it could be the early indication of another move lower. My focus is on a moderate drop toward the 193.360 area, similar to what we’ve seen in past pullbacks. Nothing too dramatic, just a simple downside play if sellers step in again.
But if we get a strong breakout? That changes everything: it would hint that bulls are taking full control. This area is pretty important and could give us a better idea of where price is headed next.
Just sharing my thoughts on support and resistance, this isn’t financial advice. Always confirm your setups and manage your risk properly.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Long trade
Trade Details
Pair: LTCUSD (Litecoin / US Dollar)
Trade Type: Long (Buyside)
Session: NY AM, Monday, June 23rd, 2025
Time: 11:00 AM
Entry & Exit
Entry: $81.74
Take Profit (TP): $92.84 (+13.58%)
Stop Loss (SL): $79.48 (-2.76%)
Risk-Reward Ratio (RR): 4.91R
Trade Setup & Rationale
Structure: Price was consolidating above its moving averages; bullish momentum was building after the pullback. Confirmation: Entry followed the break above both the EMA (86.90) and WMA (86.02), with strong upward volume.
Target Zones: Take profit set at the top of prior consolidation and gap-fill zone.
Stop: Below the key structural low.
July 7 - 1th: Sell The RIPs, Buy The DIPs! (PART 1)This is Part 1 of the FOREX futures outlook for the week of July 7 - 11th.
In this video, we will analyze the following FX markets:
USD Index, EUR, GBP, AUD, NZD, & CAD.
Last Friday was a bank holiday, so the price action is discounted. This Monday has no red folders on the calendar, so the environment is set for a day of misdirection. Be careful to take only trades that confirm your directional bias!
USD is still weak, and analyst have determined the FED will put off cutting rates until September. Tariffs wars may start up again July 9th. And Trumps Bill can add 3+ trillion to the debt.
None of this supports the USD!
Look to buy the dips xxx USD, and look to sell the rips vs USD xxx.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis.
Thank you so much!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
Trading Recommendations for BTC/USDBitcoin and Ethereum are demonstrating stable growth amid new forecasts regarding the number of interest rate cuts expected from the Federal Reserve this year. Another dovish stance from the Fed Chair and criticism from Trump over Powell's inaction triggered buying on the U.S. market, which also impacted the cryptocurrency market.
Investor enthusiasm is fueled by expectations of more accessible financial resources, which typically drive capital into riskier assets like cryptocurrencies. Bitcoin, as the flagship of the crypto market, traditionally reacts first to changes in macroeconomic conditions. However, one should not forget the inherent volatility of the crypto market. Even positive macro signals do not guarantee sustainable growth-especially as Bitcoin has been hovering near its historical highs, where buyer interest has been waning recently. It's essential to c consider technical factors, market sentiment, and regulatory risks, all of which can significantly influence price dynamics.
Meanwhile, alongside Strategy, Japanese investment company Metaplanet purchases Bitcoin for its balance sheet. Data shows the company acquired an additional 1,234 BTC for approximately $132.7 million just one day after announcing a $515 million capital raise to fund its Bitcoin treasury strategy. The Tokyo-listed firm stated that this latest purchase at around $107,557 per Bitcoin raised its total holdings to 12,345 BTC. The company holds about $1.3 billion worth of Bitcoin based on current market prices. This makes Metaplanet the seventh-largest publicly listed corporate holder of Bitcoin, surpassing Tesla, which holds 11,509 BTC.
As for intraday strategy in the cryptocurrency market, I will continue to act based on any major pullbacks in Bitcoin and Ethereum, expecting the medium-term bullish market to persist
For short-term trading, the strategy and conditions are described below.
Buy Scenario
Scenario #1: I will buy Bitcoin today if it reaches the entry point around $106,227 aiming for a rise to $ 107,042. Near $107,042 I plan to exit the long position and sell on pullback. Before buying on a pullback, ensure the 50-day moving average is below the current price and the Awesome Oscillator is above zero.
Scenario #2: If the market does not react to a breakout, Bitcoin ca also be bought from the lower boundary at $105,039 with targets at $106,221 and $106,748.
Sell Scenario
Scenario #1: I will sell Bitcoin today if it reaches the entry point around $107,695 aiming for a drop to $106,008. Near $106,008, I plan to exit the short position and buy on a bunce. Before selling on a breakout, ensure the 50-day moving average is above the current price and the Awesome Oscillator is below zero.
Scenario #2: Bitcoin can also be sold from the upper boundary at $106,753 if there is no market reaction to a breakout, targtion the $104,651 and $103,888 levels.
DOUBLE PATTERN:Cup and TriangleHello Traders,
All the eyes now on the next leg for the copper if Trump did not Finalize the Tariffs copper will go back to at least the bottom again 3.4 3.1 as every one kept loading up for the imports now the states is overloaded with loads of materials and minerals imagine what could happened if he didn't sign up this Tariffs on the mineral! they will be selling it for so cheap to cover the losses dramatically same like what happened with the oil its a commodity right !that's one scenario, the other one is every thing move as planned and the copper get back to the bottom of the triangle and shoot straight up so lets see what could happed I'm in short for now good luck, kindly support my idea if you like and make your decisions based on your research
DeGRAM | EURUSD downturn in the channel📊 Technical Analysis
● Price is capped by a confluence of the June-July down-sloping channel roof and the former median resistance line at 1.1780; the last three candles form lower highs inside a micro bear-flag.
● Intraday structure now leans on the 1.1745–1.1750 support cluster: a break beneath this shelf completes the flag and exposes the channel floor/June pivot at 1.1690.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● Pre-NFP dollar demand is rebuilding as ADP and ISM-services beat consensus, while French election uncertainty revives euro risk premium.
✨ Summary
Sell 1.1775 ± 5 pips; sustained trade below 1.1745 targets 1.1690. Short thesis void if 30-min candle closes above 1.1800.
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Gold opening market strategy analysis
💡Message Strategy
In the case of all negative non-agricultural data, gold did not fall below the support of 3300, which shows that gold bulls are still the main trend. The current daily pattern of gold is three positives, one negative and one positive. The trend of the opening next Monday is also very important. Once it continues to rise and rebound to break through the suppression, the bulls will open the door to regain the 3400 mark.
At present, the short-term pressure is still maintained at 3345-50, which is also the first point for the bulls to break through. Once the breakthrough is successful, the next target will be around 3365-3370.
📊Technical aspects
From the 4-hour analysis, the support at 3330 is concerned, and the support at 3320 is concerned. The short-term resistance at 3345-50 is concerned, and the suppression at 3365-70 is concerned. The overall low-multiple cycle participation is maintained. In the middle position, watch more and do less, and be cautious in chasing orders, and wait patiently for key points to participate. Pay attention to the specific operation strategy in time.
💰Strategy Package
Long Position:3320-3330,SL:3305,Target: 3370
DeGRAM | GBPUSD will continue to correct📊 Technical Analysis
● Price retests the broken wedge-base & channel roof ≈ 1.370 inside a confluence resistance zone (pink). Lower-highs into this cap form a bear flag pointing toward 1.360.
● Intraday rising-wedge has already cracked; projected width and the broader descending channel intersect 1.352-1.355, reinforcing downside targets.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● Softer UK PMI prices and pre-election caution keep BoE-cut probabilities elevated, while a stronger US JOLTS print plus hawkish FOMC minutes underpin the dollar, favouring renewed GBP/USD pressure.
✨ Summary
Fade rallies 1.368-1.372; slide below 1.360 unlocks 1.355 then 1.343. Bear thesis invalid on a 30 min close above 1.374.
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BTC: 650 Point Long Trade To 108,650$ (Date: Sat 05 Jul 25)High potential signal as my all signals. Don't miss this opportunity. At least open a trade in demo just to test.
Details:
Entry: Now - 108,100 $
Target Price: 108,650 $
Stop loss: 107,700 $
Trade Ideas:
There is a flag pattern here after a good down trend. So here is possibility for a small pull back till my target price.
Trade Signal:
I provide trade signals here so follow my account and you can check my previous analysis regarding BITCOIN. So don't miss trade opportunity so follow must.
BINANCE:BTCUSDT BINANCE:BTCUSDT.P BYBIT:BTCUSDT.P
BITCOIN ANALYSIS - What's Next for for BTC?🎯 KEY LEVELS DECODED
🛡️ FORTRESS SUPPORT: $102,800 - $103,200
_____________________________
NEUTRAL STRATEGY:
Buy Zone: $102,800 - $102,600
Sell Zone: $110,000 - $112,000
Stop Loss: $100,500 (range breakdown)
Target: Opposite end of range
Position Size: 3-5% of portfolio
_____________________________
🎢 SCENARIO : (Probability: 35%)
If BTC consolidates between $102K-$108K :
Range-bound trading for 2-3 weeks
Accumulation phase before next major move
Key levels: Buy $102K, Sell $110K
_________________________
🛡️ RISK MANAGEMENT 🚨 DISCLAIMER 🛡️ DYOR
BTCUSDT: Trend in 2H time frameThe color levels are very accurate levels of support and resistance in different time frames.
A strong move requires a correction to major support and we have to wait for their reaction in these areas.
So, Please pay special attention to the very accurate trend, colored levels, and you must know that SETUP is very sensitive.
BEST,
MT
Seize the correction: It’s the right time to short goldThe current rebound is only a technical adjustment rather than a trend reversal. The rebound in the falling market is a good opportunity to arrange short orders. The hourly chart shows that the moving average pressure continues to move down to around 3340-3345. This position also serves as the long-short watershed in the previous intensive trading area, forming a key resistance barrier. If the gold price rebounds and approaches the area below 3345 and a stagflation signal appears or a top structure is formed, it can be regarded as a clear short signal. It is recommended to enter the market to seize the downward space. The current market direction is clear, and the exhaustion of the rebound is the best time to enter the market. Relying on the technical pressure level, the short position can be accurately arranged.
06/30 Weekly Gamma Exposure Outlook🧠 SPX Weekly Outlook — Gamma Breakout + Short Week Setup
The bulls finally broke through after weeks of painful grinding — and they did so with force.
📈 Thursday & Friday brought a textbook gamma squeeze as SPX sliced through the long-standing 6100 call wall , triggering sharp upside acceleration.
We are now firmly in positive Net GEX territory.
🔺 Entire GEX structure has shifted higher.
🎯 New squeeze zone at 6225 , with major call resistance near 6200 .
🔍 What Just Happened?
📊 The 6060–6120 zone acted as a tough resistance range for weeks — until last week’s breakout.
💥 Put skew collapsed , suggesting downside hedges are being unwound.
📉 VIX and IV keep dropping , confirming a shift toward lower-volatility environment .
🧲 Strong Net GEX across expiries created sustained upward dealer pressure → we’re in long gamma mode .
✅ Bullish Bias — But Stay Tactical
We're in a bullish gamma regime , so dips are likely to be bought.
Key pullback zone to watch: 6125–6060 .
🛠️ Strategy Ideas:
• Wait for a 6060–6125 retest before re-entering longs
• Use shorter-DTE bull put spreads or 0DTE gamma scalps above 6130+
• Scale out or trim risk near 6200–6225
⚠️ Risks to Watch
We’re overextended short-term.
🚨 Losing 6130–6125 could spark a quick flush to 6050 .
Bearish signals to monitor:
• IV spike or renewed put buying
• Loss of 6100 = no-man’s land without confirmation
• Consider short-term debit put spreads if breakdown confirms
🗓️ Short Trading Week Note
🇺🇸 U.S. markets closed Friday, July 5 for Independence Day.
This compresses flows into 4 sessions. Expect:
📌 Early week dealer hedging
📌 Possible positioning unwind on Thursday
💡 Weekly Trade Idea — Structure in Place
💼 Setup:
• Put Butterfly below spot
• 3x Call Diagonal Spreads above spot (5pt wide)
• Slight net negative delta , 11 DTE
🎯 Why it works:
• Leverages IV backwardation
• Profits from time decay
• Favors a stable or modestly bullish week
• Takes advantage of horizontal skew (July 11 vs July 14)
💰 Profit Target: 10–20% return on ~$1,730 risk.
Take profits before time decay kills the center valley — don’t overstay. 🏃💨
📌 Final Thoughts:
The 6100 breakout was technically & gamma-structurally significant ,
but big moves often retest before continuing.
Let price breathe.
Stay aligned with gamma exposure profile. 🔄
NZDUSD to find buyers at the current market price?NZDUSD - 24h expiry
The correction lower is assessed as being complete.
We expect a reversal in this move.
Risk/Reward would be poor to call a buy from current levels.
A move through 0.6025 will confirm the bullish momentum.
The measured move target is 0.6075.
We look to Buy at 0.6000 (stop at 0.5975)
Our profit targets will be 0.6050 and 0.6075
Resistance: 0.6025 / 0.6050 / 0.6075
Support: 0.6010 / 0.6000 / 0.5975
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
GOLD Analysis – Weekly Outlook GOLD Analysis – Weekly Outlook 🟡📈
Price has just tapped into our Daily PD Array, precisely the Fair Value Gap (FVG), which was clearly marked. It also entered the discount zone, aligning with our bullish bias.
Additionally, we’ve seen a liquidity sweep, followed by a strong bullish reaction — a classic sign of smart money accumulation.
📍 Key Targets:
First Target 🎯: 3396
Second Target 🎯: 3451
As long as price holds above this zone, we expect the bullish move to continue. Let’s see how it unfolds over the coming sessions.
🔔 Follow for more weekly insights.
📊 See you next time!
#Gold #XAUUSD #TradingView #SmartMoneyConcepts #FVG #LiquiditySweep #PriceAction #MarketAnalysis
GOLD UPDATE – Market Consolidating Below Key LevelXAUUSD GOLD UPDATE – Market Consolidating Below Key Level
Gold prices are currently consolidating just below the critical range. This behavior suggests a potential downside move toward the 3300 / 3295 support levels if the price fails to hold above nearby resistance.
🔹 Technical Outlook:
If the market manages to consolidate above 3340, we can anticipate bullish momentum to potentially targeting 3365 and 3400
However, a weak reaction around 3295 could lead to another retest of the 3275 zone, but likely within a selling pressure environment.
You may see more details in the chart Ps Support with like and comments for better analysis.