PREPARING FOR SOME BUYSGBP/USD 15M - This market is showing great signs of a continuation to the upside, as you can see price has traded recently into an area of Demand and has broken structure to the upside.
We have seen that the last high that created the lowest low trading into the Zone has been broken above, suggesting enough Demand has been introduced to take this market long.
Now the market may have gone without us right now but I am expecting price to pullback to collect more Demand in order to see price continue trading us higher. I would like to see price trade up and into the Supply Zone above.
This would be an area at which we would take profit and prepare for longer term short trades, its important we are just delivered with the confirmation needed to get involved in both trades. Once price pulls-back into our zone I will be looking for entry confirmation.
Support and Resistance
THOUGHTS FOR USD/CHFUSD/CHF 30M - We have seen price trade into a higher timeframe Supply Zone above and deliver us with a break of structure to the downside, this is great news as it tells us enough Supply has been introduced to flip the balance.
We want to see price now pullback temporarily, trading us up and into a fractal area of Supply found within the impulse that broke structure initially so we can enter in on this market.
Once price trades into this Supply Zone we want to see price break down again, breaking structure to the downside, again giving us the confluence that price is no longer correcting itself and that price has gone ahead and set its lower high.
This gives us the confirmation to look to enter short in this market, so once price breaks structure again fractally after trading into that zone I will be looking to get involved in this market in some short trades.
GBP/USD continues the downtrendOn GBP/USD , it's nice to see a strong sell-off from the price of 1.26660. It's also encouraging to observe a strong volume area where a lot of contracts are accumulated.
I believe that sellers from this area will defend their short positions. When the price returns to this area, strong sellers will push the market down again.
Fair Value GAP (FVG) and Volume cluster are the main reasons for my decision to go short on this trade.
Happy trading,
Dale
GOLD| THE DAILY DECLINE WILL BEGIN BELOW BREAKOUT ZONEGold prices by the "breakaway gap" rose on Monday, helped by a weaker dollar, while a delay in finding peace in Ukraine and concerns over the U.S. tariff policy fueled safe-haven demand for the metal.
Despite this upward movement, gold remains under selling pressure and continues to trade within a strong support zone. A sharp upward movement is anticipated, potentially reaching 2,879, before a subsequent decline aimed at breaking this support zone by surpassing the 2,858 level. Should the price move below this threshold, the downward trend is expected to persist, with targets set at 2,833 and 2,810.
It is crucial to remain informed about any statements or policy decisions made by former President Trump regarding tariffs, as such developments could significantly influence gold’s trajectory, leading to heightened market volatility.
However, a breakout above 2,879 by a 4-hour candle will drive prices higher toward the 2,905 level.
Bearish target: 2858, 2833, 2810
Bullish target: 2879, 2905, 2935
Your feedback is valuable! If you agree or see something different, comment below—let’s exchange ideas!
EUR/USD - The Strongest S/R zonesThis day trading analysis will demonstrate how to utilize Volume Profile & Price Action Analysis to identify strong institutional support levels on EUR/USD.
A strong Support zone is located near 1.03760, where a notable rejection of lower prices is observed.
The Resistance zone is near 1.04760, where the first strongest volume cluster can be observed as Bitcoin moves lower.
Happy trading
Dale
Sunac China Holdings: A Distressed Developer’s Road to RecoveryThe Chinese real estate market has been in turmoil, with developers facing liquidity crises and mounting debt. Sunac China Holdings Limited (1918.HK), once a dominant player, has struggled to regain stability following severe financial distress. After defaulting on its offshore debt in 2022, Sunac embarked on an extensive restructuring process to avoid collapse.
Financial Troubles and Restructuring Efforts
In 2023, Sunac successfully completed a $9 billion offshore debt restructuring, converting part of its obligations into long-term bonds and equity. The restructuring reduced immediate repayment pressures but did not eliminate financial risks. By the end of 2024, Sunac’s total assets stood at approximately RMB 880 billion ($123 billion), while total liabilities remained elevated at RMB 972 billion ($136 billion).
Sales performance has been weak, reflecting the broader industry downturn. Sunac’s contracted sales for 2024 reached RMB 104 billion ($14.5 billion), down from RMB 523 billion ($73 billion) in 2021, highlighting the impact of regulatory crackdowns and reduced consumer demand. However, its cash balance improved slightly to RMB 38 billion ($5.3 billion), aided by asset disposals and government easing measures.
Market Conditions and Government Support
China’s property sector remains fragile, but recent government policies offer some support. Mortgage rates have been lowered, and restrictions on home purchases in key cities have eased, which could provide a demand boost. Sunac, with its extensive portfolio, stands to benefit from these policy adjustments, though recovery will be gradual.
Stock Performance and Investment Risks
Sunac’s stock has been highly volatile. Trading at HKD 1.80 in early 2025, it remains far below its peak of HKD 42 in 2020. Despite restructuring, Sunac’s high debt burden and ongoing project delays pose significant risks to investors. Credit rating agencies still classify Sunac’s bonds as distressed, with yields reflecting continued default concerns.
Investment Outlook
For high-risk investors, Sunac presents a speculative opportunity. If China’s property sector stabilizes and Sunac can improve sales, there is upside potential. However, liquidity risks remain high, and its ability to meet long-term obligations is uncertain. Investors should approach with caution, considering the ongoing financial and regulatory challenges.
Gold can make money both long and shortGood morning, bros! Today is the beginning of a new week of trading. I pray that everything goes well for us this week!
Gold is currently calm, but behind the calm there are often greater opportunities. Gold is currently trading around 2860. To be honest, when gold fell to around 2830 last week, gold has turned from strong to weak. However, gold once rebounded to above 2855 on Friday, proving that there are still a certain number of bulls who are engaged in self-rescue behavior, or are still relatively optimistic about the prospects of gold.
So gold may still have good rebound momentum during the decline, so we should not blindly chase short gold in trading. Then if gold does not fall below 2855 during the decline, gold is likely to rebound to the 2870-2880 area, or even 2890.
So for short-term trading, we have two feasible trading methods:
1. After gold retests to the 2860-2855 area, you can try to go long on gold;
2. After gold rebounds to the 2875-2885 area, we can go short on gold again
Bros, profits are the ultimate goal in trading. Accumulating profits is what changes lives and destinies. Choosing wisely is far more important than just working hard. If you want to replicate trade signals and earn stable profits, or if you want to deeply learn the correct trading logic and techniques, you can consider joining the channel at the bottom of this article!
USNAS100 – Key Levels & Breakout Watch (3 March) 📊 USNAS100 – 3 March Market Outlook
The price is expected to consolidate between 20,990 and 20,870 until a breakout occurs.
🔹 Bullish Scenario: If the price closes a 4-hour candle above 20,990, this could trigger a push toward 21,166 and higher levels.
🔹 Bearish Scenario: A close below 20,870 would confirm a move into the bearish zone, targeting 20,670.
📍 Key Levels to Watch:
Pivot Line: 20,990
Resistance: 21,160 | 21,390
Support: 20,790 | 20,670
⚡ Outlook: Price action remains neutral until a breakout. Watch for key 4-hour candle closes to confirm the next move.
ES - Day Trading Analysis With Volume ProfileOn ES , it's nice to see a strong buying reaction at the price of 5882.
There's a significant accumulation of contracts in this area, indicating strong buyer interest. I believe that buyers who entered at this level will defend their long positions. If the price returns to this area, strong buyers will likely push the market up again.
(FVG) - Fair Value GAP and high volume cluster are the main reasons for my decision to go long on this trade.
Happy trading
Dale
GOLD → Local downtrend, price under bearish pressureFX:XAUUSD has been strengthening since Friday. Standard reaction to the false break of the support at 2834. Price is still in a selling zone and heading for resistance before a possible pullback to the downside.
The $ has strengthened strongly over the past week and looks poised to continue its rise, but it all depends on the tariff war, economic risks and regulatory policy in the US.
Markets are reacting to attempts to regulate the war in eastern Europe. Ahead are Fed statements and US economic data.
On 4H, gold is trading flat 2881 - 2834. Below 2881 gold is under bearish pressure (selling zone). But, due to the liquidity created in the 2878 - 2881 area, gold may test the area of interest before returning to the downside.
Resistance levels: 2869, 2877, 2881
Support levels: 2859, 2834
At the moment consolidation is forming below 2869 (0.5 fibo) after a false breakdown. If the bears keep the price under the level, the decline may start earlier. We also have another trigger - 2859. A breakdown of this support will trigger a sell-off and liquidation, which may lead to a fall to 2834.
Regards R. Linda!
DeGRAM | EURGBP retest of the support levelEURGBP is in an ascending channel between the trend lines.
The price is moving from the lower boundary of the channel as well as the support level, which coincides with the 88.6% retracement level.
The chart is forming an ascending structure.
On the 1H Timeframe, the indicators indicate a bullish convergence formation.
We expect growth in the channel after consolidation above the support.
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The bearish trend continues! 2895 continues to be bearish!On Friday night, the gold market was like a thrilling blockbuster with ups and downs. The gold price fell rapidly, and the big negative line fell directly to the 2830 line, as if a violent plunge was about to hit. However, the market did not fall all the way, and it was obvious that the power was not enough to achieve a deep plunge at the moment. From the technical analysis, at the daily level, the K line is a series of big negative line entities, the short-selling force is dominant, and there is no strong support below, and the subsequent decline may be brewing. Therefore, continuing the high-altitude operation strategy is a wise choice at the moment.
Looking at the four-hour line again, the gold price is firmly suppressed by the moving average. Every time there is a slight sign of rebound, it is like a fragile bubble, which is ruthlessly punctured by strong shorts as soon as it emerges. The upper 2895 and 2905 lines constitute obvious resistance levels. The rebound of the K line here is just a short respite, not a trend reversal. Below these two key resistance levels, the short-selling advantage is obvious. The strong degree of this wave of big short-selling market from the high of 2955 to the 2830 line is obvious to all.
Friends who have entered my bottom article have all obtained the wrong benefits as long as they follow my trading signals. If you want to receive detailed trading signals, you can move your fingers and join my bottom article to make making money a matter of course! I am full of enthusiasm to help you, but if you are not willing to extend your hand, how can I help you!
Bearish case for S&P500The price has been ranging between support and resistance for some time. If we take a look at seasonals, we will come to know that this index faces a bearish scenario in early March, and for that, we need a couple of confluences, like the violation of the trendline, which has been intact since Oct 23. For further confirmation for our short setup we will wait till price breaks the trendline and then retest it.
USNAS100USD| FACE RESISTANCE AT 21,030 AMID TARIFF UNCERTAINTYNasdaq 100 futures recorded a 0.25% gain on Monday, reaching the resistance level of 21,030 amid ongoing uncertainty regarding former President Donald Trump’s proposed tariffs on key U.S. trading partners this week.
The price exhibited a modest increase before retreating below a critical resistance zone, which ranges between 21,385 and 21,030. This zone plays a pivotal role in determining the future price direction. At present, the price remains below this level, indicating a bearish outlook as long as it continues to trade beneath it.
Accordingly, a decline from 21,030 towards the support zone between 20,545 and 20,345 is anticipated. Moreover, if sellers exhibit strong momentum and successfully breach this support zone following a brief correction, a more pronounced and sustained decline is likely to ensue.
A breakout above the resistance zone is necessary to reinstate the bullish trend.
Bearish target: 20,545. 20,345. 20,110.
Bullish target: 21,030. 21,385. 21570.
Traders, if you find this analysis helpful or have your own insights, drop a comment below! I’d love to hear your thoughts.
BTCUSD|Bitcoin Rallies on Trump’s Crypto Reserve – What's Next?Bitcoin's price surged on Sunday following President Donald Trump's announcement of the establishment of a strategic crypto reserve for the United States, which will include Bitcoin and Ethereum.
Aside from technical chart analysis, we must remain prepared for any potential decision by Donald Trump that could significantly impact Bitcoin’s direction.
Bitcoin Price Analysis: 4H Timeframe
Currently, Bitcoin is trading within a strong support zone. The price recently touched 91.607 as a correction, from which it is expected to push upwards and stabilize above 93.666 if not long correction phase to 88.730 and below it.
If it successfully holds above this strong support zone 91.607–93.666, it could continue rising towards 96.721.
To confirm a further bullish trend, the price needs to break out of the current channel and establish stability above it with at least a 4-hour candle closure. If this occurs, the next key target will be 99.139, confirming the activation of a bullish trend above the resistance zone.
However, there is also a possibility that the price will extend its correction phase down to 88.730 before beginning an uptrend. If Bitcoin breaks below 88.730, it could fall further to 86.041.
Bearish Target: 91.607, 88.730, 86.041.
Bullish Treaget: 93.666, 96.721, 99.139.
3.3-day gold latest trend analysis and online guidanceTrump's latest tariff speech overshadowed the impact of signs of economic growth slowdown, boosted the US dollar, and caused gold prices to continue to fall. As of now, the lowest is around 2833. If tariff measures trigger a full-scale trade war, the global economy may fall into recession, and gold as a safe-haven asset will also be supported in the long term. However, as countries reach an agreement through negotiations to ease trade tensions, risk aversion may weaken, the support for gold prices will decline, and gold may fall further in the market outlook.
Today, gold opened high, reaching a high of around 2876. It is currently in a state of shock. From a technical point of view, the gold market is currently in an extremely weak state in all cycles, especially the daily cycle has now fallen below the support point of the Bollinger middle track, and the K line has a large negative state. According to this state, gold has now turned from extremely strong to extremely weak. If it continues to fall, pay attention to the low point of last week near 2832, so at the beginning of this week, we need to pay attention to the continuity of the decline in the daily cycle.
After three consecutive trading days of decline last week, the lower Bollinger band opened. Logically, this strength should continue. The current rebound is suppressed near 2880. As long as this suppression point is not broken, there is room for continued decline, but the current indicators are likely to diverge. In the short term, as long as the rebound exceeds 2880, there is still room for the Bollinger band to close. Specific operation idea: first follow the trend and finish the short position. Although it opened higher on Monday, we will prompt the short position around 2865-2875 on the weekend. There is also a 10-point profit in the morning. The current low has stopped rebounding around 2832, which shows that this position still has certain support. At the beginning of this week, you can rely on this position to see the rebound. If it does not break 2880, it is still necessary to go short first. If it does not break 2880, you still have to go short first.
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4H SOLBTC [R:r 5:1] long the pullback by March 3rd or 4thSolana is going to pullback to the 4H support line before moving up. We are extremely oversold on the daily RSI and this along with the bullish news means that once the consolidation and correction after the Trump Strategic Reserve hype dissolves, we will resume our bullish SOLBTC pattern. Keep a stop below the 3D low as a break or close below this means a continuation of the weekly bearish move.
EURGBP at Key Demand Zone - Rebound Toward 0.83000?OANDA:EURGBP has reached a critical demand zone, marked by previous price reactions and strong buying pressure. Historically, this area has acted as a significant support level, leading to bullish reversals.
If buyers step in and confirm a rejection, we could see a move toward the 0.83000 level, which represents a logical target within the current market structure. However, a break below this demand zone would invalidate the bullish outlook and open the door for further downside.
If you agree with this analysis or have additional insights, feel free to share your thoughts in the comments!
XAUUSD Intraday idea 01/03/2025Gold remains bullish overall but is pulling back due to month-end flows. Asian session attempted to break 2882 but failed.
On the 4H, we’re at a key level—break below 2856.77 could send us to 2834 before resuming bullish. Otherwise, I’ll wait for a break above 2882 for buys targeting 2908. No trades for me between 2861-2882. Staying patient for the clean setup.