Support and Resistance
Gold rebound is blocked and high-altitude strategy continuesGold continued its bullish correction yesterday, reaching 3336 in the European session, and continued to retreat in the US session, reaching a low of around 3312 before temporarily stopping, and started a second pullback correction, and finally closed around 3332. Today, it opened at 3333, rebounded to 3340, and then entered a shock consolidation. Currently, the upper side focuses on the suppression of the 3342-3350 area. If the price cannot effectively break through and stand firm in this area, gold still has room for further retracement. In terms of operation, it will continue to rely on this suppression range to maintain a high-altitude thinking during the day, and follow the trend to see a decline. The recent market trends are basically the same, bottoming out and rebounding. In terms of strategy, keep a sense of rhythm and mainly short at highs.For more specific operation points, please pay attention to the notification at the bottom🌐.
CHF/JPY 15-Minute Time Frame (15TF) Technical & Fundamental AnalCHF/JPY 15-Minute Time Frame (15TF) Technical & Fundamental Analysis
CHF/JPY 15-Minute Time Frame (15TF) Technical & Fundamental Analysis
On June 20, the Swiss National Bank (SNB) cut interest rates to 0% in an effort to weaken the Swiss franc and combat deflation. This rate cut reduces the yield appeal of CHF, increasing its downside risk in the short to medium term.
On the other side, the Japanese Yen (JPY) initially weakened due to rising oil prices, which hurt Japan’s trade balance. However, recent ceasefire agreements in the Middle East have helped ease oil prices, reducing Japan’s import strain. This shift is now mildly bullish for the yen, giving it more strength in the CHF/JPY pair.
📉 Technical Outlook
CHF/JPY has formed a double top pattern, suggesting a potential price reversal. The pair has also broken a minor key support level at 180.200, followed by accumulation of sell positions.
Price has moved into a liquidity zone, likely hunting stop-losses before initiating distribution. This behavior aligns with smart money tactics.
A limit sell setup is in place, waiting for confirmation at key levels.
📊 Trade Setup
📍 Area of Interest (AOI): 180.160 (Limit Sell Order)
🛡 Stop-Loss: 180.330 (Above recent liquidity grab)
🎯 Take Profit: 179.720 (Next minor support / ~1:2 RR)
This setup is supported by institutional price behavior—accumulation, stop-hunt, and distribution—indicating a bearish move may be underway.
📌 Disclaimer:
This is not financial advice. Always wait for proper confirmation before executing trades. Manage risk wisely and trade what you see—not what you feel.
Gold LongsBullish weekly bias for Gold.
Classic Expansion Weekly profile in play. Price opened lower first, Im treating this as the possible manipulation for the week. Tuesday swept key ssl and closed back inside the range.
Drop to a 4h and OB is confirmed. 1h CISD aligned with 4h. Execution off 4h OB with stop at OB Low / Tuesday low. If BSL is the draw, I would like to see Tuesday low be protected.
LRLR is first low hanging fruit objective. 3420 roughly, with equal highs at 3476 being final target.
$ASAN looking for a swing to range highOn the day I'm writing this, NYSE:ASAN (3b mc) just announced a new CEO after hours. His name is Dan Rogers, an SAAS veteran, previously holding executive positions of companies like ServiceNow (208b mc), NYSE:RBRK (17.5b), and LaunchDarkly (3b, private) during key growth phases.
73% of Fortune 500 companies use ASANA's services. The company I work at uses this daily and is a key part of keeping operations going. If ASANA mystically stopped working, it would be a huge fire.
Looking for a mid-long term swing near $23 and potentially beyond.
GBPNZD BREAK & RETEST OF KEY LEVEL.(DAILY) - Price is in an uptrend.
(DAILY) - Price hit Key Resistance level at (2.27722 - 2.27208) was rejected and sold off to the previous broken resistance now turned support at (2.25925 - 2.25197).
(H4) - Price formed Double bottom higher low which is a bullish pattern at (2.25925 - 2.25197).
(H4)- 50 EMA touching our Key level at (2.25925 - 2.25197) and acting as support.
Stop Loss at new higher low (2.25497)
Target at 2.27722.
Seize the rebound opportunity and prepare to short goldGold continued to rebound as expected and has now extended to above 3340. In the short term, it tends to fluctuate and rise. In the previous trading idea overnight, I emphasized that everyone should not take the risk of shorting gold near 3330. Now it seems that this reminder is completely necessary. Although gold continues to rebound, the overall performance of the bulls is still not strong, and the upper side is still under pressure in the 3350-3360-3370 area. So I still advocate that you can consider shorting gold in the 3350-3360 area after the rebound.
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Gold may continue to rebound to 3350-3360If gold can stand above 3330 today, it will stimulate long trading behavior to a certain extent, especially the self-rescue behavior of trapped longs. Gold may continue to rebound and is expected to reach the 3345-3355 area. So there is no need to risk shorting gold near 3330 for the time being; although gold may continue to rebound, it is still under pressure in the 3350-3360-3370 area; and gold is still weak overall, so we can consider shorting gold in the 3350-3360 area and look at the target area of 3325-3315.
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USDÉCAD Technical Analysis - Daily Time Frame 🔁 Market Structure:
The overall trend is bearish, with multiple Breaks of Structure (BOS) confirming sellers are in control.
Recently, price formed a Change of Character (CHoCH) at the bottom, which may indicate the beginning of a bullish correction or a temporary reversal.
The market is currently reacting from that low, showing signs of bullish pressure.
🟩 Demand Zone:
The green zone (around 1.3400 – 1.3460) marks a strong daily demand area.
This zone has shown previous bullish reactions and has not yet been fully tested in this leg.
It could serve as a high-probability long entry zone if price returns to it.
🟥 Supply Zones (Targets):
There are three red supply zones above, acting as potential take-profit levels for bulls or entry points for sellers:
TP1 (7%) – Around 1.3444
TP2 (14%) – Around 1.3790
TP3 (29%) – Around 1.4224
🎯 Trade Scenarios:
✅ Bullish Scenario (Swing Trade Toward Supply)
Item Details
Entry Zone 1.3400 – 1.3460 (daily demand zone)
Confirmation Bullish price action (e.g., engulfing candle, pin bar)
Stop Loss Below demand (e.g., under 1.3350)
Targets TP1: 1.3444 / TP2: 1.3790 / TP3: 1.4224
This setup offers a high risk-to-reward ratio if confirmed on lower timeframes.
🔴 Bearish Scenario (Continuation of Downtrend)
Item Details
Entry Zone From one of the supply areas (especially near 1.3790)
Confirmation Bearish candle (e.g., bearish engulfing, rejection wick)
Stop Loss Above the supply zone (e.g., 1.3850)
Target 1.3450 initially or lower if demand breaks
📌 Final Thoughts:
The market is currently in a correction phase.
The best long opportunity is from the demand zone around 1.3400 – 1.3460, with proper confirmation.
Targets are clearly marked based on supply zones.
Short positions should wait for confirmation near those supply levels.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell.
It reflects only my personal view of the market based on the current chart structure.
Please do your own analysis and manage your risk accordingly before making any trading decisions OANDA:USDCAD
Citigroup Wave Analysis – 25 June 2025- Citigroup rose above the resistance level 78.60
- Likely to rise to resistance level 84.65
Citigroup recently rose above the resistance level 78.60, which stopped the previous minor impulse wave 3 at the start of June.
The breakout of the resistance level 78.60 accelerated the active short-term impulse wave 5, which belongs to the sharp intermediate impulse sequence (C) from the start of April.
Citigroup can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 84.65, former multi-month high from February.
AMD Wave Analysis – 25 June 2025
- AMD rose above the resistance level 136.16
- Likely to rise to resistance level 150.00
AMD recently broke the resistance zone between the resistance level 136.16 (former strong support from 2024) and the 61.8% Fibonacci correction of the downward impulse from last October.
The breakout of this resistance zone accelerated the active short-term impulse wave 3, which belongs to the multi-month upward impulse sequence (3) from the start of April.
AMD can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 150.00, former monthly high from November and the target for the completion of the active wave (3).
EURUSD Wave Analysis – 25 June 2025
- EURUSD broke resistance level 1.1575
- Likely to rise to resistance level 1.1800
EURUSD currency pair recently broke the resistance level 1.1575 , which is the former monthly high from the middle of April.
The breakout of the resistance level 1.1575 continues the active short-term impulse wave 3 of the intermediate impulse wave (3) from the start of May.
Given the strong daily uptrend, EURUSD currency pair can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 1.1800, which intersects with the daily up channel from May.
GBPUSD Wave Analysis – 25 June 2025- GBPUSD broke resistance level 1.3590
- Likely to rise to resistance level 1.3880
GBPUSD currency pair recently broke the resistance level 1.3590, which is the upper border of the narrow sideways price range inside which the price has been moving from May.
The breakout of the resistance level 1.3590 accelerated the active intermediate impulse wave (3).
Given the clear daily uptrend and the strong US dollar sales seen today, GBPUSD currency pair can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 1.3880.
NZDCAD SHORT Market structure bearish on HTFs DH
Entry at both Weekly and Daily AOi
Weekly Rejection at AOi
Weekly EMA Retest
Daily Rejection at AOi
Daily EMA retest
Previous Structure point Daily
Around Psychological Level 0.82500
H4 EMA retest
H4 Candlestick rejection
Rejection from Previous structure
Levels 4.26
Entry 110%
REMEMBER : Trading is a Game Of Probability
: Manage Your Risk
: Be Patient
: Every Moment Is Unique
: Rinse, Wash, Repeat!
: Christ is King.
Gold consolidates Bullish momentum Towards 3375XAUUSD Gold Analysis Update – June 25
Gold initially fell below the key trigger level at 3375, extending its decline and sweeping through liquidity support around 3310. However, the break below 3310 proved to be a false breakout, with price rebounding sharply and interrupting the three-day bearish streak.
This rebound is supported by renewed weakness in the US dollar and persistent geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, both of which have helped restore safe-haven demand for gold.
You may find more details in the chart Ps Support with like and comments for more analysis.
BTC continues to short at high levels during the day📰 Impact of news:
1. Geopolitical impact
📈 Market analysis:
BTC has reached an intraday high of 108,125, just one step away from the all-time high of 112,000. With the increase in trading volume and institutional sentiment turning bullish, the momentum seems to be in the bulls' favor. In addition to institutional buying, the ceasefire agreement in the Iran-Israel war is also an important factor in Bitcoin's sharp rebound. Trump's announcement of the end of the war almost immediately triggered a surge in the cryptocurrency market. However, the overall pattern has not changed, and the range resistance has not been broken, so we still keep the idea of shorting at high levels.
🏅 Trading strategies:
SELL 108000-107500
TP 104500-103500
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
Technical Analysis of CRCL (4H Timeframe): A Test of Key SupThis 4-hour chart for CRCL illustrates a classic "impulse and correction" pattern within a powerful uptrend. After a parabolic surge to a peak near $300, the asset is now in a healthy pullback, seeking to establish a new level of support before its next potential move. The key question for traders is whether this correction is a pause or a reversal, and the chart provides critical levels to watch.
The Bullish Thesis:
A Confluence of Support
The primary area of interest is the $160 to $170 zone. This is not just a random level; it represents a powerful confluence of four distinct technical indicators, making it the most critical support zone to watch:
1. Previous Breakout Level: This zone was a clear area of prior resistance. Following the principle of "resistance becomes support," the price is now retesting this level from above, which is a classic bullish confirmation pattern.
2. Fibonacci Golden Pocket: The retracement from the recent high finds the 0.618 Fibonacci level—often called the "golden pocket" and a prime target for buying in an uptrend—located at approximately $153. The 160−170 zone sits just above this, making it the logical area for buyers to step in.
3. Ascending Trend Channel: The price action is contained within a well-defined ascending channel. The lower boundary of this channel, which has provided support throughout the uptrend, is currently intersecting with this key price zone.
4. Anchored VWAP: The light blue line, an Anchored Volume Weighted Average Price (AVWAP) starting from the beginning of the rally, is also trending directly into this support zone. Price holding above the AVWAP signifies that the average buyer from the start of the move is still in profit, which is a strong sign of underlying trend health.
The "Last Stand" Support
Should the primary support fail, the chart highlights a secondary, more significant demand zone at $110 to $120. This is identified as the Point of Control (POC) from the volume profile on the left. The POC represents the price level where the most trading volume has occurred, signifying it as an area of "fair value" and a magnet for price. A drop to this level would represent a much deeper correction but would likely be met with significant buying pressure.
Conclusion and Key Scenarios
Bullish Scenario : The most immediate bullish outcome is for the price to find a bottom within the 160−170 support zone. A strong bounce from this area, confirmed by bullish candlestick patterns and increasing volume, would signal the end of the correction and a likely continuation of the primary uptrend, with the previous high near $300 as the next logical target.
Bearish Scenario : A decisive break and close below the $160 level on the 4-hour chart would be a significant warning sign. This would invalidate the immediate bullish structure and open the door for a deeper retrace towards the Point of Control at 110−120.
In summary, CRCL is at a critical juncture. The chart is constructively poised for a continuation of its uptrend, but traders should watch the 160−170 confluence zone as the definitive line in the sand.
Disclaimer:
The information provided in this chart is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered as investment advice. Trading and investing involve substantial risk and are not suitable for every investor. You should carefully consider your financial situation and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. The creator of this chart does not guarantee any specific outcome or profit and is not responsible for any losses incurred as a result of using this information. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Use this information at your own risk. This chart has been created for my own improvement in Trading and Investment Analysis. Please do your own analysis before any investments.