Boeing is ready for next leg up to $200On December 10, 2024, we had a look at the weekly chart of NYSE:BA Boeing and it was a very good opportunity to get into this stock. Since then, we made over 20% in under one month.
After consolidating for nearly three weeks, we may have another chance to get in for the next leg up to $200. The only thing to worry about are the earnings on January 28. Those could have a huge impact on the stock price, but chances are the impact will be positive. Since 2024 was a very challenging year for Boeing with lower net orders booked compared to Airbus the comparisons are much easier to beat than it is for Airbus.
Boeing experienced a decline in various metrics last year. The company recorded 569 gross orders, representing a 61% decrease compared to the previous year. Cancellations increased by 50 units, mainly due to the anticipated cancellation of 135 jets ordered by Jet Airways. Net orders fell by 71% to 377 orders, and the net order value also decreased by 71% to $33 billion. This reduction in orders is attributed to the uncertainty surrounding Boeing's production schedule, which makes it less attractive for airplane orders. Deliveries fell by 34% to 348, and the delivery value decreased by 35% to $26.1 billion due to the grounding of the Boeing 737 MAX 9 and a subsequent strike.
If we assume no further crashes or problems with Boeing aircrafts the numbers are easier to beat, and we come from a very low base. In addition, most analysts are quite conservative right now.
Looking at the technical setup we just bounced from the 0.382 fib from the current upward movement. Below the fib we have another support at around $160 as well as a resistance at $200 with an open gap. Assuming no surprises during the earnings we’re up for another leg up to $200 (15% ROI).
Target Zones
$198-200
Support Zones
$165
$160
Supportandresistancezones
GBPCAD - Potential Buy From Key Support ZoneThe GBPCAD pair is approaching a significant demand zone, highlighted by prior price reactions and a strong historical support area. The market structure suggests the potential for a reversal at this level. The overall context indicates that buyers may take control, pushing the price higher.
I anticipate that if the price shows a clear rejection from the demand zone, the market may move upward toward the 1.77372 level. This setup aligns with the idea of trend exhaustion near support.
If you have any additional insights or agree with this analysis, feel free to share your thoughts!
ADBE near Confluence Support - 33% ROI PossibleNASDAQ:ADBE is currently nearing a confluence support (an area where multiple support elements are combined) at around $410-$420. Nevertheless, opening a first position right now is already an option given the attractive valuation and the horizontal support (blue zone). In addition there are two big daily gaps (red zones) above the current price giving us some potential pulling factor towards $580. The trendline you can see is very weak and has only two real re-tests in October 2022. So, take that with a grain of salt and try to concentrate more on the horizontal support and the $410-$420 area (61.8 fib).
Looking at fundamentals (I know most of you are not really interested in such things, but they do help with swing trades) we can see a price-to-sales ratio of 9.xx suggesting upside of 50% when comparing it to the long-term average of 14.xx. ARR increased 23% YoY to $3.48B. In terms of AI, firefly generated more than 16 billion assets so far, and FY24 revenue increased by a little more than 11% to $21.51B. Current PE ratio is just short of 22.
So, adding here and more towards that $410 will give us a huge potential ROI over the next couple of months.
Support Zones
$440
$410-420
Targe Zones
$540
$580-600
Sugar Up for a Potential RallySugar prices have reached a strong demand zone around 1825–1830, a major support level. The price action suggests potential accumulation, with buyers likely stepping in. A rebound could target the 1983 level as the next resistance.
A sustained breakout above 1983 could open the door for further upside momentum, while a failure to hold 1825 may signal increased bearish activity.
Follow up for results.
MSFT – Potential Buy Opportunity at Support LevelThe MSFT stock price is approaching a key demand zone, which has served as strong support in the past. This zone has witnessed significant buyer interest during previous tests, making it a critical area to watch for a potential reversal.
The current downtrend could find support in this demand zone, leading to a bullish bounce. If the price shows clear reversal signals, such as long lower wicks or bullish engulfing candles, buyers could push the price higher. The first potential target for this move would be around the $433.25 level.
What do you think about this analysis? Feel free to share your insights or alternative perspectives in the comments!
SMLT 1D Aggressive Investment CounterTrend TradeAggressive CounterTrend Trade
- short impulse
+ biggest volume T1
+ support level
+ biggest volume 2Sp+
+ weak test
+ first bullish bar closed entry
Calculated affordable stop limit
1 to 2 R/R take profit
CounterTrend 1M
"+ short impulse
+ biggest volume TE / T1 level
+ support level
+ biggest manipulation?"
Trend 12M
"+ SOS test level
- far below 1/2 correction
+ support level
+ biggest volume manipulation?"
They say company is going to bankruptcy, but why would it concern technical analysis?!
Weekly GEX Insights: 01/13 SPX dropTotal Correction? What Can an Options Trader Do in This Situation? How Far Might We Fall This Week? We’ll tackle these questions in this week’s options newsletter!
It looks like the new president hasn’t even been sworn in yet, but the market is already reacting with fear to every statement he makes. Last week’s economic data didn’t help ease those concerns either.
SPX Weekly Analysis
Friday’s red candle set a bearish tone heading into this week. Everyone is predicting and pricing in a potential market apocalypse, and I keep getting the same question: “Greg, how far can we fall?”
My answer remains the same: we can fall indefinitely—nobody can know for certain ahead of time.
What we can do, however, is analyze our charts and use the our weekly GEX profile to identify the key levels, so we can better understand the market’s dynamics.
Examining expirations through Friday, every NETGEX profile is negative , so we can expect volatile movements this week. We’re currently trading below the HVL level, which means that market makers are likely to move in tandem with retail traders. This typically results in bigger swings.
We already saw this heightened volatility last week—just look at the size of the candles, and you can tell how quickly sentiment can shift.
Below 5965 (the HVL level), we are in a high volatility zone what lies underneath?
1st Support Range: 5780–5800
5800: Currently the strongest PUT support level on the downside. A correction may pause here due to profit-taking.
Right beneath this level is the previous gap-fill zone. Remember, these areas function as ranges rather than single lines, as I’ve highlighted down to 5780. This could easily be a take-profit target for traders playing gap fills—an approach that’s quite popular.
2nd Support Range: 5700–5650 (Very Strong)
Starting at 5700: We encounter another robust PUT support zone.
This area is reinforced by previous lows, previous highs, and the 4/8 grid boundary from our indicator.
Even if nowhere else, many expect at least a local rebound to occur within these levels.
Putting it all together, it’s clear that the weekly trading range is shaping up to be roughly between 5680 and 5965, expecting big & volatile moves.
Remember, CPI and PPI data are coming out on Tuesday and Wednesday, which could trigger additional volatility.
When looking at SPX, SPY, or /ES futures, my opinion is that the rapidly spiking implied volatility (IV) during a market drop, along with a PUT pricing skew, can present favorable opportunities for options traders. The distance to the strongest lower support zone is around 100–150 points, so you could:
Trade directionally for the short term—hoping to be either right or wrong quickly, or
Try to profit from the market situation in a more strategic way (which is what I typically do).
Personally, I prefer the second approach:
I’ll open short-term (a few days) credit put ratio spreads for a small credit, which gives me a wide breakeven range and a big “tent” on the downside.
USDCHF – Potential Bearish Continuation Toward SupportThe USDCHF pair has broken below a key ascending trendline, signaling a potential shift in momentum. This move aligns with a bearish bias, suggesting that price action may now head lower.
If the price retraces back to the broken trendline or nearby resistance levels and forms bearish confirmations—such as rejection patterns, bearish engulfing candles, or long upper wicks, it could reinforce the likelihood of further downside movement.
Should this scenario materialize, sellers may target the 0.90484 level as the next area of interest. A sustained breakdown below this support zone could pave the way for continued bearish pressure.
However, traders should remain cautious. A break back above the resistance zone or strong bullish momentum could invalidate this outlook.
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XAUUSD Insight: 📉 Locked in a fierce contest between 2700 and 2706. 🧐 Is a breakout near?
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Analyzing Key Forex Patterns and IndicatorsAnalyzing the SPX500 chart reveals several key patterns and indicators critical for forex trading
1. Support and Resistance Levels:
Resistance Zone: The blue-shaded area around the 6,071 level is a significant resistance zone where the price has struggled to break through.
Support Level: The horizontal blue line at approximately 5,840 (labeled "SMS") represents a notable support level where buying interest has emerged in the past.
2. Swing High (SH):
The red horizontal line marked "SH" around the 6,077 level highlights a failed swing high, indicating a previous peak in price.
3. Price Movements:
There is a notable decline from the resistance zone around 6,020 to a low near 5,770, followed by a recovery towards the 6,000 level.
4. Volume:
The volume, indicated as "Vol 7.14K" at the top of the chart, provides insight into the trading activity during this period.
Potential Effectiveness of this Technical Signals:
Resistance Zone: If the price breaks above this level with strong volume, it could signal a bullish trend continuation. However, failure to break through may indicate a reversal or consolidation.
Support Level: Maintaining above this support level is crucial for a bullish outlook. A break below could signal a bearish trend and further downside potential which the break has occured.
Swing High (SH): The swing high at 6,020 serves as a reference point for potential resistance. Approaching this level again will be a key area for observing either a breakout or a reversal.
These technical signals are effective in predicting market movements as they reflect historical price action and trader behavior. However, they may fail due to unexpected news, economic events, or changes in market sentiment that can cause deviations from historical patterns.
In summary, the chart offers valuable insights into support and resistance levels, swing highs, and price movements, which are essential for making informed trading decisions in the forex market.
BAL ANALYSIS📊 #BAL Analysis
✅There is a formation of Descending Channel Pattern in weekly chart. Currently #BAL is in bearish way.
After a breakout of the pattern and major resistance level we would see a bullish momentum otherwise the price will drop more 🧐
👀Current Price: $2.750
⚡️What to do ?
👀Keep an eye on #BAL price action and volume. We can trade according to the chart and make some profits⚡️⚡️
#BAL #Cryptocurrency #Breakout #TechnicalAnalysis #DYOR
CADCHF now having bearish expectations
OANDA:CADCHF in analysis on CADCHF before this one, i am have expectations price will make stronger bullish push from ASCENDING CHANNEL, price is make push around 40PIPS
and its start creating zone and in zone is created and H&S pattern, at end zone is breaked and after todays events we are not see price moving again bullish in zone (which will have bullish impact), price is start falling.
Now in new analysis on CADCHF having bearish view.
SUP zone: 0.63500
RES zone: 0.62700, 0.62450
NZDCHF new bearish?
OANDA:NZDCHF in moment we are have break of zone and strong bullish push.
At end price is come again in zome, which can have strong bearish expectations. +And CUP and HANDLE pattern is created.
Currently after yesterday and todays events dont expecting here some big changes, still bearish expectations.
NOTE: My NZDCHF idea before this one is attached, having some other informations.
SUP zone: 0.51200
RES zone: 0.50500, 0.50300
SOL as a US reserve? Trump's new idea.Hello everyone, I invite you to a review of SOL paired with USDT over a wide interval of one weekend. As we can see, the price was moving in a downtrend channel from which the top emerged and here you can see how we are staying above this channel.
We also have a visible upward trend line along which the price is currently moving to maintain the upward trend.
Going further, it is worth noting that the price again returned above the support zone from $203 to $185, and below the zone there is strong support at $165, which kept the price from falling to around $142.
Looking the other way, it can be seen that the price first has to face a very strong resistance zone from $238 to $261, only when it manages to break out of it, the path towards $300 will open.
Intraday Levels for Nasdaq 100 Futures - 01/15/20225This analysis focuses on the Nasdaq 100 Futures, aiming to identify potential support and resistance levels where the price could experience intraday bounces or trend reversals, as well as zones where the price might potentially break higher or move lower.
Considerations
The range used in this analysis serves only as a reference for broader-level insights.
For intraday operations, it is advisable to utilize a lower timeframe to refine entry and exit points more accurately.
To confirm the validity of these levels, it is essential to evaluate real-time conditions as the price approaches these zones. Factors such as pressure, trading volume, and Order Flow will play a critical role in determining whether these supports hold or are likely to be broken.
Intraday Levels for Nasdaq 100 Futures - 14/01/2024This analysis focuses on the Nasdaq 100 Futures, aiming to identify potential support and resistance levels where the price could experience intraday bounces or trend reversals, as well as zones where the price might potentially break higher or move lower.
Considerations
The range used in this analysis serves only as a reference for broader-level insights.
For intraday operations, it is advisable to utilize a lower timeframe to refine entry and exit points more accurately.
To confirm the validity of these levels, it is essential to evaluate real-time conditions as the price approaches these zones. Factors such as pressure, trading volume, and Order Flow will play a critical role in determining whether these supports hold or are likely to be broken.
Where & How to Draw Strong Support and Resistance Lines & Zones
In this article, I will teach you how to draw support and resistance.
We will discuss support and resistance lines, levels, zones.
You will learn where and how to find it properly with simply technical analysis technique that works on forex, gold or any other financial market.
First, let me note that the most reliable time frame for support and resistance analysis is the daily . The structures that you will find there will be appropriate for day trading, scalping and swing trading.
Once you open a daily time frame, you should choose a correct perspective . Because this t.f lets you see the price action even for the past couple of years.
You need to see the market movement for the last 2 months . It is more than enough to identify the recent key levels.
Above is AUDUSD on a daily. We see the price history for 2 months.
In order to identify significant supports and resistances, simply find the levels - the highs and lows that the market respected in the past and from where important movements started.
These are all such highs and lows that meet the criteria.
When I do the support/resistance analysis, I prefer to perceive it as clusters - the zones , taking into consideration the candle closes as well.
A support zone will be based on the level of the critical low and the lowest closest candle close.
A resistance zone will be based on the level of the high and
the highest closest candle close.
Following such a rule, here are the zones that I identified.
All the clusters that are identified will be applied as trading zones.
Within the supports, we look for buying opportunities.
While the resistances will be used for selling .
Depending on your trading style, and you choose a proper signal before you execute the trade.
Execute support and resistance analysis with care and attention, because it is the absolute basis of any technical analysis strategy.
With incorrect key levels identification, even the best trading strategy will fail .
I hope that the method that I showed you will help you in your trading journey.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
EURCAD BEARISH BAT PATTERN Harmonic Pattern Trading Strategy:
1. Combine patterns with 2-3 confirmations (e.g., MA, BB, RSI, Stoch) for increased accuracy.
2. Implement proper risk management.
3. Limit exposure to 3% of capital per trade.
4. Exercise caution: Not every Harmonic Pattern presents a good trading opportunity.
5. Conduct thorough diligence and analysis before trading.
Disciplined approach = Enhanced edge.
MNQ!/NQ1! Day Trade Plan for 01/14/25 (BULLISH??)MNQ!/NQ1! Day Trade Plan for 01/14/25
📈 21320
📉 20765
1/2 way mark 📈 21185 & 📉 20900
Like and share for more daily NQ levels 🤓
*These levels are derived from comprehensive backtesting and research, demonstrating over 90% accuracy. This statistical foundation suggests that price movements are likely to exceed initial estimates.*