USOIL / TRADING BELOW TURNING LEVEL - 4HUSOIL / 4H TIME FRAME
HELLO TRADERS
July Decline: The significant drop of 15.34% indicates a bearish trend, which could be attributed to various factors such as market corrections, economic conditions, or changes in consumer behavior.
August Recovery: The rise of 11.74% suggests a potential recovery or rebound, possibly driven by positive news, increased demand, or market adjustments. However, this increase was followed by another decline within the same month.
Second August Decline: The 18.23% drop following the initial recovery may indicate market volatility or the market's inability to sustain upward momentum. This could also signal investor uncertainty or reactions to external factors.
September Projection: The forecasted decline of 4.66% in September suggests that the overall trend remains negative. This could imply a continuing lack of confidence in the market, or it may reflect seasonal trends affecting prices.
Technical analysis:
The level at 71.51 serves as a key resistance. If the price remains below this level, a decline towards 68.80 is expected. If this level is breached, the next support could be around 67.19.
Conversely, if the price breaks above 71.51, it may indicate bullish momentum, with targets at 73.99 and then 76.10.
UPWARD TARGET : 73.99 , 76.10 .
DOWNWARD TARGET : 68.80 , 67.19.
Supportandresistancezones
Sell GBPCHF Channel BreakoutThe GBP/CHF pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential selling opportunity due to a recent downward breakout from a well-defined Bearish Channel pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming Hours.
Key Points:
Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position around the current price of 1.1304, positioned close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 1.1220
2nd Support – 1.1188
Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order above 1.1350. This helps limit potential losses if the price unexpectedly reverses and breaks back upwards.
Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you.
Best Regards, KABHI FOREX TRADING
Thank you.
Sell EUR/AUD Bearish ChannelThe EUR/AUD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential selling opportunity due to a well-defined Bearish Channel pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming Hours.
Key Points:
Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position around the current price of 1.6370, positioned close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 1.6300
2nd Support – 1.6260
Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order above 1.6400. This helps limit potential losses if the price unexpectedly reverses and breaks back upwards.
Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you.
Best Regards, KABHI FOREX TRADING
Thank you.
Trade idea - NZJPY Short4H
Bearish impulse / break of last HL: indication.
Head & Shoulders pattern: confirmation.
Clear support & resistance zone is there.
From 1H perspective: Corrective approach towards entry zone + -27 Fibonacci completion aligning with entry zone.
= Sell limit.
Bearish Fake Out flag also there as extra evidence.
Dollar Index SellAs dollar index had expierenced waterfall during new on US session and it has stopped over its weekly support and is also forming a falling wedge pattern which is a Bearish Continuation pattern now and it has also completed ABCD waves and going to complete its last E wave if everything goes inline after E Waves it will break down its weekly to daily Support and will start falling again after a reset market sentiment is also indicating that DXY will continue falling also the confluence is price is trading in down trend on daily to H4 to H1 TF and bullish in weekly and monthly TF according to my anylisis DXY will keep falling till its weekly base acting as support on 98.00
Gold Outlook Today we have experienced a new over purchase manager index PMI which has shown pretty much data that was the reason gold has moved up and USD has dropped now as the news is over and price is forming a resistance over 2630 physiological level also price is consolidating between 2615 to 2630 level which probably be making a flag pattern which is a bullish continuation pattern now we will wait for break above 2630 and break below 2615 then we will act accordingly
Thanks
EURUSD / TRADING BELOW TURNING LEVEL - 4HEURUSD / 4H TIME FRAME
HELLO TRADERS
Month-by-Month Price Movements:
June : Prices increased by 2.48%, indicating a bullish trend during this period.
July: A reversal occurred with prices decreasing by 1.48%, showing market correction or loss of momentum.
August: Prices surged again by 3.88%, suggesting renewed market strength or positive market
sentiment.
September (Forecast): A predicted decline of 1.26% could be attributed to cyclical market behavior, profit-taking, or external factors influencing the market.
Technical Analysis:
If prices drop below 1.114, further declines are anticipated, targeting 1.102 and potentially 1.094. This suggests a bearish outlook below the critical threshold of 1.114, where traders could expect more downside.
However , A break above 1.115 signals bullish momentum, with prices potentially rising to 1.120 and 1.123. This implies that breaching 1.115 could trigger buying interest, pushing prices higher.
UPWARD TARGET : 1.120 , 1.123.
DOWNWARD TARGET : 1.102 , 1.094.
“Cryptocurrencies on the Move”The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission has approved the listing and trading of options for BlackRock's IBIT. Bitcoin options trading on IBIT is expected to comply with BlackRock's standards. Following this development, the rise in cryptocurrencies has accelerated, with Bitcoin maintaining its push towards the 65,000 level.
Tecnically, if it surpasses the 65,000 resistance level, the 68,500 and then 71,675 resistance levels could be tested. On the downside, if Bitcoin breaks below the 63,300 level, a further decline toward the 60,000 and then 57,330 support levels could occur.
“The Eurozone manufacturing PMI is weak”Following the interest rate decisions by the ECB and the Fed, the EUR/USD pair has risen to the 1.12 level. Meanwhile, the dollar index is recovering its losses post-Fed, which is limiting further gains in the EUR/USD pair. Today, the manufacturing PMI figures released for the Eurozone and Germany came in below expectations. This increased the pressure on the euro currency.
From a technical perspective, if the upward trend continues and the 1.1115 resistance is broken, the next resistance levels to watch are 1.12 and 1.1275. On the downside, if pricing drops below the 1.1045 level, 1.0970 and 1.09 could act as important support levels for further declines.
BTCUSDT / BREAKOUT THE DESCENDING CHANNEL - 4HBTCUSDT / 4H TIME FRAME
HELLO TRADERS
1. August Price Movements:
- Early August: The price declined by 29.54%.
- Mid-August: The price increased by 32.55%.
2. September Price Movements:
- Early September: The price declined by 18.96%.
- Mid-September: The price increased by 14.37%.
Technical Analysis:
1. Current Market Condition:
The asset is under bullish pressure following a breakout from a channel , As long as the price remains above 60.767, the bullish momentum is expected to continue.
2. Upward Condition:
- Target 1: If the price trades above 60.767, it's expected to rise to 65.015.
- Target 2: If the price stabilizes above 65.015, the next target is 69.573.
3. Downward Condition:
- If the price falls below 60.767, it suggests a potential decline:
- Target 1: A decline to 56.154.
- Target 2: If it breaks below 56.154, further decline is expected to 52.679.
Nvidia looks pretty flat these days but it needs to MOVE ! We believed Nvidia would make the turn to validate and then break point #5, but that wasn’t the case.
Nvidia remains within the bearish sequence, but it still hasn’t been able to give us confirmation of reaching point #5. The only thing we need to consider is the structure of the bearish channel, in which the most important part of this structure is our GAP zone (blue), as that’s where most buy orders are positioned, and we can see it has respected it correctly (see green circles).
The scenario over the last few days looks very flat; Nvidia has to break the line it’s currently on to activate our point #5 or, in another scenario, retest the GAP Zone, which it has already tested and is of great importance since that's where the largest number of buy positions are concentrated.
So, if it comes back to touch our GAP Zone (Blue), you know what to do!
Best regards, and thanks for supporting my analysis.
SWING IDEA - PELNSE:PEL has completed its Lower Low Pattern last year March and has ever since being forming a new Higher High Pattern.
At the same time the Price Action and MACD also formed a good Convergence Divergence. Currently the MACD also about to cross in the coming week. This indicates a bullish pattern and chances of going up from here.
915 has formed as a good Support Level and is holding well so far. Once the crossover happens, the stock looks good at least until its Swing High levels.
SWING IDEA - LTIMStock seems to have following the Trendline as given. There has been 4 touches so far on this trendline, indicating a strong Support formation.
If the stock continues to obey the trendline, it could revisit its Swing High again.
MACD Crossover also indicates a good bullish momentum.
While there us a Support formed at 4748 level, even our Trendline intersects at the same region in the coming weeks. So if you want a better entry, you can wait for a retest at the Trendline again and then take an entry based on your Risk Management.
ETHUSDT BuyAs Ethereum has broke its Resitance and now is taking support over it and will fly high anothet confluence for going in buys is it has formed a Continuation pattern flag pattern which is completed some of my Friends taking it as a penunt over H4 and H1 accordingly but its a bullish setup also it can be categorized as a rally base rally formation till now lets see whats waiting but as today is concerned we had all bullish signs around us
XAUUSD / TRADING ABPVE ATH 2,600$ - 4HXAUUSD / 4H TIME FRAME
HELLO TRADERS
The asset is trading above its all-time high (ATH) price of $2,600.The price has risen by %1.82.
If the price closes below the ATH level of $2,600 on a 4-hour (4h) candle, further decline is expected, estimated at 1.90%.
As long as the price remains above $2,600, it suggests a bullish trend.
A 4h candle closing below $2,600 would indicate potential bearish movement, predicting a decline of around 1.90%.
Technical analysis :
If the price remains above $2,600 and breaks above $2,620, we could see an upward move towards $2,635.
A break below $2,600 may lead to a decline towards $2,575 and potentially $2,551, indicating a bearish trend.
UPWARD TARGET : 2,620$ , 2,635$ .
DOWNWARD TARGET : 2,575$ , 2,551$.
“Bitcoin is rising."Cryptocurrency markets are going through a dynamic period with significant developments. In Germany, 47 cryptocurrency exchanges were shut down by the Federal Criminal Police Office and the Internet Crime Complaint Center as part of efforts to combat money laundering activities. However, following the Fed's decision to cut interest rates by 50 basis points, there is a decline in dollar-denominated assets. This situation is supporting upward movements in Bitcoin.
From a technical perspective, if it surpasses the 63,300 resistance level, the 65,000 and then 68,500 resistance levels could be tested. On the downside, if Bitcoin breaks below the 60,000 level, a further decline toward the 57,330 and then 54,000 support levels could occur.
“USDZAR on a Downward Trend”The South African Reserve Bank has reduced the policy interest rate to 8.00%. Following this move, the reversals at the 17.40 level in the USDZAR pair have drawn attention. The Fed had unexpectedly cut rates by 50 basis points at its September meeting. This situation has led to significant losses in dollar assets, while we can observe that any increases in the USDZAR pair remain limited.
From a technical perspective, if the exchange rate surpasses the 17.70 level, rises may initially extend to 17.95 and then to the 18.20 resistance level. On the downside, if the 17.40 level is breached, we could see a decline to 17.15 and then to the 16.90 support level.
“Can USD/JPY Surpass the 144.0 Level?”The Bank of Japan (BoJ) kept its policy interest rate unchanged, holding it steady at 0.25%. The bank noted that Japan's economic recovery is continuing, and inflationary pressures have eased due to a decline in import prices. According to data released today, Japan's Consumer Price Index (CPI) for August increased by 3% year-over-year, in line with expectations. As a result, the USD/JPY pair has gained momentum, rising from the 140.85 level.
From a technical perspective, if the 144.10 level is surpassed, the pair may test the 147.30 resistance first, followed by 149.55. On the downside, if it falls below the 140.85 support level, a drop toward 138.0 and then 135.15 could occur.
“The pound gained strength”The Bank of England (BoE) maintained its policy interest rate at 5.00%, with no changes. BoE Governor Andrew Bailey stated that since they lowered the policy rate in August, inflationary pressures have continued to ease. Bailey also emphasized the importance of avoiding rate cuts that are too quick or too large. Following this development, the GBP/USD pair rose above the 1.33 level.
From a technical perspective, if the 1.3355 level is permanently surpassed, the rise could accelerate toward 1.3430, followed by the 1.35 resistance level. On the downside, if prices fall below the 1.3270 level, the decline could extend first to 1.3150 and then further to the 1.3030 support level.