SPY - support & resistant areas for today March 7, 2025The key support and resistance levels for SPY today are provided above.
Understanding these levels in trading can offer valuable insights into potential market movements. They often indicate where prices may reverse or consolidate, serving as important signals for traders considering long (buy) or short (sell) positions.
These levels are calculated using complex mathematical models and are specifically tailored for today’s trading session. They may change as market conditions evolve.
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Supportandresistancezones
Bitcoin: Mastering the Art of Resistance and SupportBitcoin recently broke below a 105‐day trading range, anchored by the critical 90K level. After the breakdown, it found support around 80K, prompting a sharp rebound back toward the previous range. This rebound, however, was short‐lived: BTC tested 95K, then quickly retraced, only to rally again toward 90K, where it trades at present.
Overview of BTC’s 105‐Day Range Break and Retest:
Yearly Open at $93,576: This is the single most important level to watch. Price currently sits below the yearly open, suggesting that, for now, bears hold the upper hand. If bulls cannot reclaim this threshold, the yearly candle remains vulnerable to turning red.
90K–95K Resistance Zone: With Bitcoin failing to sustain gains above 95K, this band becomes a natural focal point for potential short entries. Bears are expected to defend this region aggressively.
The question: Where do we go next? Let’s break down both the resistance (short setup) and an upcoming support zone (long setup), incorporating a variety of confluences—from volume profiles and trend lines to Fibonacci retracements and pitchfork alignments.
1. Resistance Analysis & Short Thesis
1.1. Double Top Target at $72,800
A double top pattern has formed, suggesting a measured‐move target near $72,800. While not a guaranteed endpoint, this target serves as an early directional clue. Price could still find support at higher levels, so we use this only as one piece of a larger puzzle.
Double Top Pattern with $72,800 Target:
1.2. The 105‐Day Trading Range & Retest
Bitcoin spent over 100 days ranging between roughly 90K and 105K. The downside break turned that prior range into a new resistance zone—specifically 90K–95K, with an even stronger cluster up to $96,418 (Point of Control from that range).
Fixed Range Volume Profile: The POC (Point of Control) from this 105‐day period lies at $96,418.05, further extending our resistance zone. Price retesting anywhere between 90K and the POC around 96K sets up potential short entries.
Fixed Range Volume Profile Showing POC at $96,418.05:
Stop Loss Guidance: Given the possibility of wicks or “stop hunts,” a safer invalidation point sits above 98K. That buffer allows the trade room to breathe without prematurely stopping out on minor spikes.
1.3. Daily & Weekly Moving Averages
In addition to the above factors, both the daily 21 EMA/SMA and the weekly 21 EMA/SMA are converging in the 90-92K region, acting as additional resistance.
1.4. Bearish Trend Line & Pitchfork Alignment
Bearish Trend Line: Connecting the all‐time high at $109,588 and the swing high at $106,457.44 yields a downward sloping line. This trend line has already acted as resistance near 100K on February 21.
Pitchfork (Modified Schiff): Anchoring from the all‐time high (109,588) to the swing low (97,777.77) and back up to 106,457.44 confirms the same bearish trajectory, aligning neatly with the trend line around 95K.
Bearish Trend Line & Pitchfork Convergence Around 95K:
1.5. Monthly Order Block & Fibonacci Confluence
Monthly Order Block: Spanning from the yearly open (93,576) up to the POC (~96,418), this monthly order block forms a substantial supply zone. Price often gravitates toward the median line of an order block, which sits near 94–95K.
Fibonacci Retracement (0.786): From the swing high at 99,475 (Feb 21) down to the low at 78,258.52, the 0.786 retracement is at 94,934.67—almost exactly the median line of the monthly order block.
Monthly Order Block, Median Line, and 0.786 Fib at ~94,934.67:
When price rallies swiftly to the 0.786 for the first time, it often presents an ideal short entry—especially under a confluence of bearish signals:
2. Short Trade Setup: Laddering In & Out
2.1. Scaling In (Entries)
We allocate $25,000 (from a $100,000 account) and ladder our entries from 89,736 up to 96,206:
Short Trade Laddered Entries:
Stop Loss: $97,560 (slightly below the higher “breathing room” area of 98K).
Max Risk: Approximately $1,028.16 (about 4.11% of the GETTEX:25K position, or 1.03% of the $100k account).
2.2. Scaling Out (Exits)
We plan to take profits in increments as price drops, aiming for an average exit around $79,822.10:
Potential Profit: Approximately $3,704.16 on a $25,000 position, which is +14.82% (or +3.70% of the $100k account).
Risk‐to‐Reward Ratio: 3.60, an attractive R:R for a swing trade.
3. Support Analysis & Long Thesis
Having addressed the downside retest and short scenario, let’s turn to potential support where Bitcoin might reverse for a long trade.
3.1. Double Top Target & 5‐Wave Structure
The double top projected target near $72,800 aligns with a broader Elliott Wave possibility, where BTC may have completed a 5‐wave structure from the low at $15,476 to the all‐time high at $109,588.
A typical Fibonacci retracement of this 5‐wave move suggests the 0.382 level at $73,637.22, which sits near a notable swing high of $73,777—coincidence?
5‐Wave Structure & 0.382 Fib Retracement at ~$73,637:
3.2. Monthly Bullish Order Block & Further Fib Confluence
Monthly Bullish Order Block: Located around $71,280, historically a place where buyers have stepped in.
Fib Retracement (49K to 109K): The 0.618 retracement lands at $72,144.62, adding further confluence around the 72–73K zone.
Taken together, we begin to see a support band forming between $73,777 and $71,280.
Monthly Bullish Order Block & 0.618 Fib ~$72,144.62:
3.3. Fib Speed Fan & Bullish Trend Line
Fib Speed Fan (0.7): On higher timeframes, the 0.7 fan lines up with the same 71–73K region if BTC dips this month.
Bullish Trend Line: Connecting the lows at 49K and 52,550 also aligns with this zone, reinforcing the idea that a cluster of support awaits if price slides that far.
Bullish Trend Line & Fib Speed Fan ~$71–73K:
3.4. Potential Long Trade Setup
Entry Range: Ladder in from 76K down to 71K (or adjust according to personal risk appetite within that 73–71K zone).
Stop Loss: Below 70K, providing sufficient buffer.
Target: At least the monthly open ($84,350), or higher if momentum supports a stronger bounce.
Risk‐to‐Reward (R:R): Aim for 2:1 or better, depending on exact entries and the final target.
4. Summary
Short Trade:
Resistance Zone: 90K–95K, extending up to $96,418 (POC) and with the daily/weekly 21 EMA/SMA acting as additional resistance in the 90-92K region, plus a stop‐hunt buffer above 98K.
Laddered Entry: GETTEX:25K allocated, averaging around $93,706, with a stop near $97,560.
Scaling Out: Average exit near $79,822, netting a +14.82% gain on the position (+3.70% on account).
R:R: 3.60—solid for a swing setup.
Long Trade:
Support Zone: Between $73,777 and $71,280, with multiple Fibonacci and structural confluences.
Laddered Entry: Potential DCA from around 76K down to 71K, with a stop under 70K.
Target: At least $84,350 (monthly open), likely offering a 2:1 or better risk‐to‐reward.
Sharp moves up or down have been the norm lately, often gravitating to the 0.786 fib retracement on each leg, so remain vigilant for sudden volatility.
Ultimately, flexibility is key. If Bitcoin reclaims the yearly open at $93,576 and pushes decisively above 95–98K, the bearish case weakens. Conversely, a significant drop below 80K brings the deeper support zone near 73–71K into sharper focus.
Always be prepared for shifts in market conditions—confirm each setup with multiple indicators and chart patterns before entering any trade. Stay up to date with evolving market dynamics and adjust your strategy accordingly.
Happy trading!
P.S. If you have any coin requests, feel free to share them in the comments. I will be selecting one or two for the next technical analysis.
GBP/JPY Bullish Channel (07.3.25)The GBP/JPY pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Channel Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming hours.
Possible Long Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Resistance – 192.46
2nd Resistance – 193.40
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Price Reversal in Play: Key Levels and Targets to WatchAfter analyzing multiple timeframes, we can see that the price started trading within a large channel from Friday, 15th March 2024. The channel’s upper boundary acted as a strong resistance on Thursday, 31st October 2024, at 2790. Both the upper and lower boundaries of the channel have consistently functioned as key support and resistance levels.
The price reached an all-time high (ATH) of 2955, where it struggled to break through the channel’s upper boundary. Given the historical respect for these channel lines, we now anticipate a potential reversal. The price has already started to turn around, and to confirm this reversal, we need to see a break below both the trendline and the support level.
Once confirmed, your targets will be:
• 1st Target: 23.60% (2867)
• 2nd Target: 38.20% (2813)
• 3rd Target: 50.00% (2770)
• 4th Target: 61.80% (2726)
Make sure to follow proper risk management.
Happy Trading! Don’t forget to follow for more updates. 🚀
BTC/USD 1D Chart ReviewHello everyone, I invite you to review the current situation on BTC. When we enter the one-day interval, we can see how the BTC price is moving in the formed downtrend channel in which we are again approaching its upper limit.
Here you can see how the current rebound has approached the resistance zone from $ 92,851 to $ 95,975, which the price cannot break through, only when we exit it upwards will the path open towards resistance at $ 99,903.
Looking the other way, we can see that in the first place we have a significant support zone from $ 93,477 to $ 79,907, which currently manages to keep the price from larger declines. However, when the zone is broken, we can see the price going down to the level of $ 75,354.
On the MACD indicator we can observe a fight to return to the upward trend in which we have a lot of room for price increases, while on the RSI indicator we are approaching the middle of the range which still gives room for growth, however, at this level we could previously see a reaction, which is something to watch out for.
QQQ - support & resistant areas for today March 6, 2025Above are the key support and resistance levels for QQQ today.
These levels can indicate where the price might reverse or consolidate and may signal potential long (buy) or short (sell) positions for traders.
These levels are calculated using mathematical models and are relevant for today’s trading session. Please note that they may change in the future.
If you find this information helpful and would like to receive these insights every morning at 9:30 AM, please support me by boosting this post and following me @OnePunchMan91.
Your engagement is greatly appreciated! If this post does not receive more than 10 boosts, I may reconsider providing these daily updates. Thank you!
Some Old charts we posted:
GBP/NZD Rounded Top (06.03.25)The GBP/NZD Pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Rounded Top Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours.
Possible Short Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 2.2362
2nd Support – 2.2266
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CHFJPY at Key Support Level - Potential Buy SetupOANDA:CHFJPY is at a significant demand zone that has consistently triggered bullish reversals in the past. This zone has previously acted as a strong support level and now as price tests this area again, it creates a potential opportunity for buyers to regain control.
I expect the price to move toward 168.60. On the other hand, a break below this support could signal further downside.
Just my take on support and resistance zones—not financial advice. Always confirm your setups and trade with solid risk management.
EURGBP at major support zone: Bullish Rebound ExpectedOANDA:EURGBP is approaching a significant support zone, highlighted by previous price reactions and strong buying interest. This area has historically acted as a key demand zone, increasing the likelihood of a bounce if buyers step in.
The current market structure suggests that if the price confirms support within this zone, we could see a bullish reversal. A successful rebound could push the pair toward the 0.83350 level, a logical target based on past price behavior and structural confluence.
Just my take on support and resistance zones—not financial advice. Always confirm your setups and trade with solid risk management.
Best of luck!
AAVE Retests Key Support – Bullish Reversal Ahead?CRYPTOCAP:AAVE is currently retesting a rising support line after breaking through a key resistance zone, which has now turned into support.
This structure suggests that the uptrend remains intact, and the recent dip could be a healthy pullback before a continuation to the upside.
DYOR, NFA
AUDJPY bullish continuation to expect
OANDA:AUDJPY trend based analysis, we are can see price is make break of zone on 11.Feb, its make strong bullish push, price is also break and CHANNEL pattern, currently price is on valid sup zone, technicals are strong bullish also. Personally here strong bullish expectations.
SUP zone: 96.200
RES zone: 98.100, 98.600
SWING IDEA - SAILSAIL Stock Technical Analysis
Steel Authority of India Limited ( NSE:SAIL ) has been consolidating around the 95 resistance level for over a year. After multiple attempts, the stock finally broke out above this level in January 2024, turning it into a strong support zone.
Following the breakout, SAIL surged to a peak of 175, marking an 85% gain. However, the stock then saw a sharp retracement, correcting by nearly 47% and revisiting the rising trendline support around the 100-105 range. This level, which previously acted as resistance, has now become a critical demand zone.
Currently, SAIL is showing signs of renewed bullish momentum, bouncing off its trendline support and forming a potential reversal. The weekly MACD crossover, observed in the chart, further reinforces a trend reversal signal. Additionally, a short-term upside target of 12% is indicated, while a long-term potential target of 76% upside is visible in the chart, aligning with the previous swing high.
The chart also highlights three take-profit targets:
Target 1: The first profit-taking zone, offering an initial opportunity to secure gains.
Target 2: A mid-level profit-taking zone, aligning with previous consolidation areas.
Target 3: The final take-profit level around 175, marking the prior high and a potential full exit point for long-term investors.
KEY OBSERVATIONS:
One-year resistance of 95 was decisively broken in January 2024
Stock surged 85% to a high of 175 before correcting 47%
100-105 level now acts as a strong rising trendline support
Weekly MACD crossover signals a bullish momentum shift
Three take-profit targets identified, with the final target at 175
Potential upside target of 76% from support levels, aligning with previous highs
RECOMMENDATION:
Based on this technical analysis, holding SAIL for the long term could be a strong strategy. The potential returns include:
12% upside in the short term
76% upside from current levels, targeting previous highs around 175
This analysis presents a compelling buying opportunity in SAIL, fueled by its breakout, support validation, and momentum reversal.
IMPORTANT NOTE:
Investors should be aware that there is a chance the stock may retest the 100-105 support level before resuming its upward trajectory. This potential pullback should be carefully monitored, and investment strategies should be adjusted accordingly.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered as financial advice. Technical indicators and historical data are not guarantees of future performance. Investors should conduct thorough research, assess risk tolerance, and consult a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
US DOLLAR: Sell Opportunity after support breakTVC:DXY has broken below a key support zone, indicating a potential shift in momentum. The price is now retesting this zone, which previously acted as support and could serve as resistance, aligning with a potential bearish continuation.
If sellers confirm resistance at this level, the price is likely to decline further toward the 105.800 target , which aligns with a major support level. Conversely, a breakout above the zone could signal further upside.
Before considering short positions, look for bearish confirmation signals such as bearish engulfing candles, strong wicks rejecting the resistance zone, or increased selling volume.
Just my take on support and resistance zones—not financial advice. Always confirm your setups and trade with solid risk management.
Best of luck!
USDJPY - at potential Buy SetupOANDA:USDJPY is nearing a significant support area that has reversed bearish trends into bullish momentum. This support level aligns with prior price reactions and represents a strong foundation for potential upward moves.
If buyers confirm their presence with bullish price action, such as long lower wicks or bullish engulfing candles, I expect the price to go toward 151,100. Also, a break below this support could signal further bearish continuation.
Just my take on support and resistance zones—not financial advice. Always confirm your setups and trade with solid risk management!
SPX500: Possible bounce from key support toward 5,980?FOREXCOM:SPX500 has reached a significant support zone, highlighted by previous price reactions and strong buying interest. This area has acted as a key demand zone, increasing the likelihood of a bullish bounce if buyers step in.
The current market structure suggests that if the price confirms support within this zone, we could see a bullish reversal. A successful rebound could push the price toward 5,980 . However, if the price breaks below this zone, the bullish outlook may be invalidated, opening the possibility for further downside.
Just my take on support and resistance zones—not financial advice. Always confirm your setups and trade with solid risk management.
Best of luck!
Major Levels – Is Sonic Ready to Pump?After reaching the daily resistance level ($0.7818), price faced strong rejection. The anchored VWAP, acting as dynamic resistance just below the daily level, provided additional confluence for a low-risk short opportunity.
Additionally, a key high at $0.7891 further reinforced this resistance zone. Following the rejection, price sharply declined -13%, retracing back into the previous trading range.
Support Confluence
Price is now approaching a well-defined support zone:
Bullish Order Block: $0.6816
Key Level Near Order Block: $0.6803
Golden Pocket (Fib 0.618 - 0.65): 0.618 at $0.6793 & 0.65 at $0.6739
Monthly Open: $0.6732
Point of Control (POC): $0.6732 (aligning with Monthly Open)
Daily 21 EMA/SMA: 21 EMA at $0.6835 & 21 SMA at $0.6790
Fib Speed Fan 0.7 (from $0.615 to $0.7818): Providing additional support in this zone
Long Trade Setup
Entry Zone: $0.6816 – $0.6732
Stop Loss: Below the Monthly Open ($0.6732)
Take Profit Zone: $0.7111 – $0.7201
Risk-to-Reward (R:R): 3:1 R:R setup, offering a high-probability trade
Take Profit Targets & Resistance Zones
Previous Swing Low: $0.7111 (untested)
Value Area Low (VAL): $0.7152
Anchored VWAP (from $0.615 low): $0.7137
Fib Retracement 0.382 (from $0.7818 high to current low): $0.7201
Price at a Crossroads: Will It Break or Drop?After a strong breakout from a falling wedge and handle pattern on Wednesday, Nov 6, 2024, price surged to an All-Time High of 109,358.01. However, a retracement followed, with the formation of a double top pattern leading to a breakdown below the neckline at 91,809.11, sending prices tumbling to 78,167.81, perfectly aligning with the golden ratio (50% Fibonacci level).
From there, buyers stepped in, pushing the price back up to the 38.2% Fibonacci level, but strong resistance led to two rejections and the formation of three consecutive doji candles, signalling market indecision.
What’s Next?
🔹 Bullish Scenario: A breakout above 38.2% could lead to a neckline retest 91,809.11.
🔹 Bearish Scenario: If rejection holds, the double top projection targets is 74,279.20, with further downside towards 61.8% or 66%, aligning with the daily trendline.
📢 Risk Management Reminder:
The market is at a critical level—manage your risk wisely! Set stop losses, use proper position sizing, and avoid over-leveraging. Patience and discipline are key!