NLMK 1H Long Swing Aggressive CounterTrend TradeAggressive CounterTrend Trade
- short impulse
- unvolumed TE / T1 level
+ support level
+ biggest volume 2Sp-
+ weak test
+ first bullish bar closed entry
Calculated affordable stop limit
1 to 2 R/R take profit
Daily CounterTrend
"- short impulse
+ volumed TE / T1
+ support level
+ volumed manipulation"
Monthly CounterTrend
"+ long impulse
+ T2 level
+ support level"
Supportandresistancezones
NLMK Daytrade 5M Conservative CounterTrend TradeConservative CounterTrend Trade
+ long impulse
+ SOS level
- strong approach
+ volumed 2Sp-
+ weak test?
+ first bullish bar closed entry
Calculated affordable virtual stop limit
1 to 2 R/R take profit
Hourly CounterTrend
"- short impulse
- unvolumed TE / T1 level
+ support level
+ biggest volume 2Sp-"
Daily CounterTrend
"- short impulse
+ volumed TE / T1
+ support level
+ volumed manipulation"
Monthly Trend
"+ long impulse
+ T2 level
+ support level"
NVIDIA updateRecently, test of finding a top turned out to be a success. However, after entering into an uptrend on lower timeframes, price had a sudden drop while it was nearing all-time highs. This puts in risk the first trade of the referenced idea at risk.
The reason we get a sell signal is because: The recent raise in price action was not enough to overcome the downward movement of the correction. However, the 25 MA usually works as a key support-resistance. Therefore, it's currently being used as support, but if this support fails its likely price will return to the current lows where the 25 MA would most likely become resistance and would test price action before determining to create a new low or continue an uptrend. The best movement for technical uptrend health is a slight correction into current lows before forming a new uptrend.
This movement will also be important for the SP:SPX as NASDAQ:NVDA holds a quite large share of the index at the moment. This could be the formations of the downtrend brought by the cyclicality of uptrends and downtrends. As it was mentioned in the referenced idea.
HGINFRA - Flag & Pole patternAll details are given on chart. If you like the analyses please do share it with your friends, like and follow me for more such interesting charts.
Disc - Am not a SEBI registered analyst. Please do your own analyses before taking position. Details provided on chart is only for educational purposes and not a trading recommendation
NZD/JPY Daily setupThe NZD/JPY pair has fallen by 920 pips over the past 15 days. Such a significant and sustained decline is unlikely to continue indefinitely without a corrective pullback. Currently, the price has halted its downward momentum and is beginning to reverse near my key area of interest.
Key Confluences:
The pair is rebounding off a descending trend line that has been in place since November 2023.
It is also bouncing off an ascending trend line that has been in place since August 2023.
The price is reacting to the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level.
It is rejecting the significant psychological level of 90.000.
Market Structure
The JPY basket has reached a resistance level and is starting to decline.
These factors suggest a potential reversal or correction in the NZD/JPY pair.
NZD/JPY 4hr TF
Has currently closed on the 4 hour TF nicely I expect NZD/JPY to start having an healthy pull back.
JPY Basket weekly TF
Is currently reacting off my area of interest I expect price to start moving lower.
JPY Basket Daily TF
JPY Basket 4hr TF
Gold 4hr setup Gold is presently experiencing a bearish trend, characterized by a pattern of lower highs and lower lows since peaking at 2484.14. I anticipate that gold will encounter resistance at the temporary rejection level before declining further. Subsequently, I expect it to rebound and ascend to my target area, which is approximately between 2400 and 2402.02.
Confluences supporting this analysis include:
A downward trendline indicating a continuation of the bearish trend.
An upward trendline suggesting a potential reversal point.
A rejection zone between 2400 and 2402.02, which is a significant area of interest.
The round number of 2,400, often a psychological level in trading.
The 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level
Market structure.
Expectations of the US Dollar strengthening.
Gold Daily
Dollar Index
Silver
ETH-USDT 12HHello everyone, let's take a look at the ETH to USDT chart on the 12h time frame. As you can see, the price broke out of the falling triangle, which resulted in a strong downward price movement.
Let's start by determining the support line, but here you can see how we are first in the support zone, but if we fall lower, the next support is at $2,823 and then we have strong support at $2,626.
Looking the other way, we have visible resistance at $3,146, then strong resistance at $3,263, and then the price must overcome the strong resistance zone from $3,441 to $3,566.
US Dollar Index Daily TF DXY
None Farm Payroll outcome from 13:30 today
U.S PRIVATE NONFARM PAYROLLS (JUL) ACTUAL: 97K VS 136K PREVIOUS; EST 148K
U.S PARTICIPATION RATE (JUL) ACTUAL: 62.7% VS 62.6% PREVIOUS
U.S MANUFACTURING PAYROLLS (JUL) ACTUAL: 1K VS -8K PREVIOUS; EST -1K
U.S AVERAGE WEEKLY HOURS (JUL) ACTUAL: 34.2 VS 34.3 PREVIOUS; EST 34.3
U.S GOVERNMENT PAYROLLS (JUL) ACTUAL: 17.0K VS 70.0K PREVIOUS
looks like it is going to close below 104.018
The DXY has dropped 100 pips following the non-farm payroll results and is expected to close below 104.024, indicating a bearish trend. Consequently, EUR/USD, GBP/USD, and GOLD are likely to swing bullish. My area of interest is around 102.959, where I anticipate a rejection due to the presence of a -0.27 Fibonacci level and an order block. This should lead to a pullback before resuming the bearish trend to create new lower lows.
Gold 4hr TF
Gold is moving higher as a result of the non-farm payroll outcome. I expect this upward trend to continue until it hits my area of interest at 2,482, where I anticipate a rejection. After this pullback, I foresee gold resuming its upward movement to achieve a new all-time high (ATH).https://www.tradingview.com/x/tuk0BSO7/
TSLA: Dangerous Price Action - Next Key Points to Watch.The daily chart displays a recent challenge at the main mid-term resistance level around $233.09, where the stock has struggled to maintain upward momentum, marking this as a significant resistance zone, which was a previous support level, another example of the Principle of Polarity in Technical Analaysis.
This resistance, coupled with multiple rejections at this level, suggests a strong overhead supply that could cap further price advances in the short term. What's more, this resistance area is reinforced by the 21-day EMA. TSLA would have to break this key resistance as soon as possible to turn bullish again, otherwise, it'll seek its next support levels.
A critical gap support observed at approximately $213.23 serves as the immediate fallback level. This area could be pivotal if the stock retreats further, as gaps often act as psychological markers for traders and may offer support or trigger accelerated selling if breached.
On the weekly timeframe, support area around $205.30 (previous resistancce), supplemented by the 21-week EMA, provides a broader view of the stock's structural support. This confluence of support levels not only highlights a potential stabilization zone but also frames the downside risk if market conditions deteriorate.
Tesla's stock movement near these key technical levels—resistance at $233.09 and support at $213.23 and $205.30—offers a clear narrative of a tug-of-war between bullish aspirations and bearish pressures. The interplay between these levels should be closely monitored, as a decisive breakout or breakdown could set the tone for the stock’s direction in the coming weeks.
For more detailed technical analyses and insights like this, be sure to follow my account. Your support helps me continue providing valuable content to help you make informed trading decisions.
Remember, real trading is reactive, not predictive, so let's stay focused on the key points described above and only trade when there is confirmation.
“To anticipate the market is to gamble. To be patient and react only when the market gives the signal is to speculate.” — Jesse Lauriston Livermore
All the best,
Nathan.
SMCI: The Next Major Inflection Point! (D&W charts)On the daily chart, the stock experienced a notable downward breakout, moving sharply below a confluence of trendlines that had previously served as support. This breakout is significant as it suggests a strong bearish momentum, possibly indicating a shift in investor sentiment. The price is below the 21-day EMA, and there is no bottom signal on it yet.
In our previous public SMCI analysis, I warned you about this trend line, as a downwards breakout would frustrate any possibility of a bullish thesis, mid-term speaking. The link to our previous study, here on TradingView, is below this post.
Transitioning to the weekly chart provides a broader perspective, showing the stock's performance over a longer timeframe. Here, the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level stands out as the next significant support level following the recent declines. This specific Fibonacci level is often watched by traders for potential reversal zones and could act as a strong area of interest for buying activities if prices were to reach this point.
The weekly chart also underscores a general downtrend after failing to maintain higher levels, which aligns with the bearish sentiment observed on the daily chart. The consistency of lower highs further emphasizes the pressure on the stock.
Overall, the convergence of these technical factors across different timeframes suggests that SMCI may face continued downward pressure in the near term, with crucial support at the 61.8% Fibonacci level possibly serving as a pivotal area for the stock's next directional moves.
For more detailed technical analyses and insights like this, be sure to follow my account. Your support helps me continue providing valuable content to help you make informed trading decisions.
Remember, real trading is reactive, not predictive, so let's stay focused on the key points described above and only trade when there is confirmation.
“To anticipate the market is to gamble. To be patient and react only when the market gives the signal is to speculate.” — Jesse Lauriston Livermore
All the best,
Nathan.
Buy GBP/USD Triangle BreakoutThe GBP/USD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent breakout from a Triangle Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming hours.
Possible Long Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position Above The Broken Trendline Of The Triangle After Confirmation. Ideally, This Would Be Around 1.2850
Target Levels:
1st Resistance – 1.2905
2nd Resistance – 1.2930
Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order below 1.2814. This helps limit potential losses if the price falls back unexpectedly.
Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you.
Best Regards, KABHI FOREX TRADING
Thank you.
STLA Long Swing 1H Aggressive CounterTrend TradeAggressive CounterTrend Trade
- short impulse
- unvolumed TE / T1
+ support level
+ biggest volume Sp
Calculated affordable stop limit
1 to 2 R/R take profit
Daily CounterTrend
"- short impulse
+ volumed TE/T1 level
+ support level
- 1 bar reversal?
Monthly trend
"+ long impulse
+ T2 level
+ 1/2 correction
+ support level"
STLA @NYSE
Sell Limit 17.00, GTC
Sell Stop 16.61 LMT 16.75, GTC
I don't want to run it more than 1 to 2 R/R since 1 bar reversal on daily.
PEPE/USDT Trading ScenarioAfter hitting a new local high of $0.00001726, the price of PEPE entered a prolonged correction, dropping to $0.00000768, a decline of over 55%. In this range, the price found significant interest from market participants and nearly reached the high-volume level (Point of Control, POC), from which it bounced back and attempted to recover. Currently, the asset is in a consolidation phase, and according to the volume profile, interest in this price zone remains. The price might drop further, which could pressure new participants and provide an opportunity to buy at lower prices, closing out losing positions. A downward move and testing of the 200-day moving average appear promising for medium-term entry with the goal of setting a new local high.
Sell EUR/USD Triangle BreakoutThe EUR/USD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent breakout from a Triangle Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours.
Possible Short Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position Below the Broken Trendline Of The Triangle After Confirmation. Ideally, This Would Be Around 1.0852
Target Levels:
1st Support – 1.0816
2nd Support – 1.0801
Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order above 1.0875. This helps limit potential losses if the price falls back unexpectedly.
Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you.
Best Regards, KABHI FOREX TRADING
Thank you.
Buy GBP/JPY Symmetric TriangleThe GBP/JPY pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent breakout from a Triangle Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming hours.
Possible Long Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position Above The Broken Trendline Of The Triangle After Confirmation. Ideally, This Would Be Around 198.05
Target Levels:
1st Resistance – 200.71
2nd Resistance – 202.43
Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order below 196.20. This helps limit potential losses if the price falls back unexpectedly.
Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you.
Best Regards, KABHI FOREX TRADING
Thank you.
GEHC 1H Swing Long Aggressive Trend TradeAggressive Trend Trade
- short impulse
- unvolumed T1 level
+ biggest volume 2Sp+
+ weak test
+ first bullish bar closed entry
Calculated affordable stop limit
Take profit:
- 60% 1 to 2 R/R
- 40% daily T1
Daily context
"- short impulse
- unvolumed T1 level
+ biggest volume 2Sp+
+ weak test
+ first bullish bar closed entry"
Monthly context
"+ long impulse
+ T2 level
+ 1/2 correction
+ support level
+ volumed manipulation"
GEHC @NASDAQ.NMS
Sell Limit 83.59, GTC
Sell Stop 79.59 LMT 80.69, GTC
GEHC @NASDAQ.NMS
Sell Limit 82.85, GTC
GEHC @NASDAQ.NMS
Sell Stop 79.59 LMT 80.69, GTC