Warning Signs Flashing: Dow Jones Breaks Key SupportThe Dow Jones Index has officially broken its rising trendline support, signaling a possible shift in the medium-term trend. After losing this key ascending structure, price is now hovering near the psychological support zone of 40,000, which has historically acted as both resistance and support.
This level is crucial. If it holds, we could see a temporary bounce or consolidation. However, if the 40K zone fails to provide support, the index may head toward the next major support area around 38,000, aligned with the longer-term trendline support.
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BTC Mid-Term Outlook: Key Levels & Wave StructureAs long as March lows hold, there remains a technical possibility for one more wave up toward the 130K resistance zone. However, given the corrective three-wave structure of the recovery (rather than an impulsive five-wave move), I am now leaning toward the mid-term top being in place at January highs.
If price remains below last week’s high, my operative scenario favors one more leg down to the 64K–55K–51K macro support zone. If the downside scenario unfolds, it would still be technically valid for the entire corrective wave (2) to complete within the support zone mentioned, especially considering the underlying fundamental strength of the asset.
Should price break above last week’s high in the coming weeks, the odds shift in favor of a renewed uptrend, potentially reclaiming ATH and targeting 130K.
The super-macro structure that I'm following as an operative wave count, assumes multi-decades bullish cycle, with the next long-term expansion phase expected once price establishes a firm bottom in the discussed support zone:
Wishing you successful trading & investing decisions. Thank you for your attention!
PS: The wave structure of BTC, proposed in March 2024 idea, has fulfilled itself:
XAUUSD UNEMPLOYEMENT CLAIM BREAKOUT ALERT!🚨 XAUUSD Update 🚨
🔥 Price Action: XAUUSD is locked between 3144 and 3151—breakout imminent?
📉 Bearish View: If it drops below this range, watch for targets at 3130 and 3120. Stay sharp!
📈 Bullish View: A break above 3151 could set up buying opportunities. Target 3165 and 3200.
💬 Join the Discussion: Drop your thoughts and strategies below! Let’s ride the golden wave together! 💰🚀
XAUUSD 1H Head & Shoulders Pattern and Quasimodo!This 1-hour Gold (XAU/USD) chart presents a Head and Shoulders pattern forming near the 3,124 level, indicating a potential bearish reversal. The structure consists of:
Left Shoulder – A peak followed by a retracement.
Head – The highest point in the formation.
Right Shoulder – A lower high, confirming the pattern.
Additionally, a Quasimodo pattern is forming, reinforcing bearish sentiment if price fails to sustain above 3,139. A breakdown below the neckline suggests a potential move toward the projected target zone at 3,039.
Key Levels & Trade Plan
📍 Resistance: 3,139 (Quasimodo level)
📉 Support Levels: 3,107 – 3,085 – 3,039 (Main target)
📊 Bearish Confirmation: Break below the neckline (~3,120)
🎯 Target Zone: 3,039
A clean breakdown below the neckline could accelerate bearish momentum, aligning with the projected drop of approximately 62.7 points (-2.02%). Bulls need to reclaim 3,139 for any invalidation of this bearish outlook. Keep an eye on price action confirmation before entering trades.
EUR/USD Triangle Breakout (02.04.2025)The EUR/USD Pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Triangle Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours.
Possible Short Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 1.0736
2nd Support – 1.0707
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Altseason 2025 is upon us *A different take*Welcome back dearest reader,
I've been covering some altcoins i'm bullish on, and a deeper dive into bitcoin dominance is key for their succes. Well the downfall of the dominance that is.
On the chart:
~The fibonacci extension has shown gradual weakness throughout the cycles starting at the 1.618 then the 1, now the 0.786 is inbound. I expect it to be hit soon topping at around 66% dominance. We can see what happened next ''1''
~MFI is hitting an oversold zone like never seen before on the 3 month ''2''
~Stoch RSI is hitting an oversold zone and is bound to see a cross ''3''
Load up on your favourite alts and enjoy the ride.
~Rustle
Bullish on Monthly TF.Bullish on Monthly TF.
Though HL Confirmed on Bigger TF but Important
to Cross & Sustain 730 & if this level is Crossed with
Good Volumes, we may witness 770 - 775 initially.
On the flip side, 640 - 645 may act as Immediate
Support.
It should not break 608, otherwise we may witness
more Selling Pressure towards 550 - 570.
No Bearish Divergence Yet!Bullish on Monthly TF.
Though HL Confirmed on Bigger TF but Important
to Cross & Sustain 730 & if this level is Crossed with
Good Volumes, we may witness 770 - 775 initially.
On the flip side, 640 - 645 may act as Immediate
Support.
It should not break 608, otherwise we may witness
more Selling Pressure towards 550 - 570.
Play On LevelsRetested the Breakout Level around 180 - 185 &
Closed just above a Very Important fib level around
188.
But, 188 - 195 is Very Important Resistance as of now.
If 195 is Crossed with Good Volumes, 212 - 215 can be
touched initially.
Couple of Positive Weekly Candles with comparatively good
volumes may confirm HL on Monthly basis.
On the flip side, 175 - 184 is a Support Zone & also Double
Bottom around 175 - 176, so Short Term Traders may
expect a bounce from this level.
AUDCHF time to see changes?
OANDA:AUDCHF much upsides-downsides we are not see some special moves here from start of Mart.
Today we are have RBA, AUD looks like its gather power, currently price exepcting to come in zone and break of same expecting in this week.
CHF showing self weak and with other pairs, like CAD and GBP.
SUP zone: 0.55000
RES zone: 0.56200, 0.56600
SOLANA at key support zone - Is $160 within reach?BINANCE:SOLUSDT has reached a major support level, an area where buyers have previously shown strong interest. This zone has acted as a key zone, increasing the likelihood of a bounce if buyers step in.
A bullish confirmation, such as a strong rejection pattern, bullish engulfing candles, or long lower wicks, would strengthen the case for a move higher. If buyers take control, the price could rally toward the $160 target. However, a decisive breakdown below this support would invalidate the bullish scenario and could lead to further downside.
This isn’t financial advice, just my take on how I approach support and resistance zones. Best to wait for clear confirmation, like a strong rejection or a volume spike, before making a move.
Every trader has a unique perspective. Let’s discuss this setup within the TradingView community!
CHZ/BTC about to score a goal?Welcome back dearest reader,
If you have been following me you're quite aware i'm very bullish on this project. Fundamentals aside the charts look amazing. And CHZ/BTC is no exception to this!
Deeper dive:
~Trendlines --> As you can see at trendline ''1'' chz has found support going way back to 2021, you can see what happened next. The bars pattern from 2021 has been copied and shows a strong impulsive move going into june. Trendline ''2'' just shows the downtrend we've been in in relation to BTC, i don't expect this to fall below legacy support ''1''.
~MFI --> The Money Flow Index (MFI) is a technical indicator used in financial analysis to measure the strength and momentum of money flowing in and out of a security, typically on a scale from 0 to 100. It combines price and volume data to help traders identify overbought or oversold conditions, often signaling potential reversals in the market. As we can see it's massively oversold and yearning for a reversal ''3''.
~Stochastic RSI --> The Stochastic RSI (Stoch RSI) is a momentum oscillator that combines the Stochastic indicator and the Relative Strength Index (RSI) to measure the RSI's position relative to its recent high-low range. It ranges from 0 to 1 (or 0 to 100 when scaled), helping traders spot overbought or oversold conditions and potential trend shifts with greater sensitivity than the RSI alone. For CHZ also in a massive oversold condition ''4''.
Summary:
~Trend has bottomed and could provide a strong move for CHZ
~MFI and stoch RSI are massively oversold.
Note: This is the CHZ versus BTC chart, this means that even if BTC trades sideways or bottoms CHZ could do well. This would coincide with BTC.D dropping.
Any questions? Ask.
~Rustle
EURCHF short bearish push expected
OANDA:EURCHF trend based analysis, we can see bearish trend in last period, we are have rectangle channel, which is breaked, price is start moving more bearish, its make few revers on sup zone, few touches of sup zone.
Now we can see strong bearish candle, from here now expecting this structure is confirmed and we can see now higher bearish fall.
SUP zone: 0.95500
RES zone: 0.94350
XAUUSD Breaking Records: Bull & Bear Setups for the New Month 🔥 Attention all traders!🔥
XAUUSD is on fire, breaking records with power! Here’s the latest update:
🔻 Bearish Outlook: Watch for a potential dip below the 3076-3078 range. If it falls, targets like 3050 and 3030 could be in play. Keep an eye on these support zones! 👀
🔺 Bullish Outlook: A breakout above this range could open up buying opportunities! Look for price action above 3084 with targets at 3097 and 3110. 🚀
New Month Open Candle: As we step into a new month, keep a close watch on the market open candle 📅. This could set the tone for the next move!
💡 Risk Management** is key! Always trade smart and protect your capital! 💰
Join the discussion and share your thoughts! Let's ride this golden wave together! 🌟
HBAR Bulls Nowhere in Sight – Where’s the Bottom?HBAR had an incredible bull run from November 2024 to mid-January 2025, rallying for 74 days and gaining +865%, moving from $0.0416 to a high of $0.40139. However, since then, the market has reversed, entering a 73 day downtrend and dropping -58% from its peak.
Now, the big question is: where is HBAR heading next? Let’s break down the key resistance and support levels and map out potential high-probability trade setups.
Current Market Structure – Bears in Control
HBAR is trading at $0.16765, just below a key low at $0.17721, which it must reclaim to show any bullish strength. Several critical resistance levels lie ahead:
🔴 $0.18 - $0.20 Zone: Previously strong support, now acting as resistance
🔴 Weekly Level at $0.18375 – A significant resistance zone
🔴 Monthly Open at $0.21352 – Bulls must reclaim this to regain momentum
🔴 Weekly 21 EMA at $0.20 & 21 SMA at $0.2348 – Price is trading below both, a bearish sign
🔴 200 EMA/SMA Lost – Another bearish indicator
🔴 0.618 Fibonacci Retracement at $0.17904 – This level was lost, further confirming the bearish trend
📉 Conclusion: As long as price remains under $0.18-$0.20, the trend remains bearish, and there is no sign of reversal yet.
Where Could HBAR Go Next? Finding the Next Support Levels
If HBAR fails to reclaim the key resistance levels, price could continue dropping toward the next major support zone. Here’s where the next support zone is:
🟢 0.786 Fibonacci Retracement at $0.1186 – A key potential target
🟢 Weekly Support at $0.1259 – Close to the 0.786 Fib level, adding confluence
🟢 Monthly Support at $0.1145 – Further strengthening this zone
🟢 Log Scale 0.5 Fib Retracement at $0.12923 – From the full bull run, adding another layer of support
🟢 21 Monthly EMA at $0.132 & 21 Monthly SMA at $0.1079 – These levels align perfectly with the other supports
🟢 Fib Channel Lower Support (April 4th - 9th) – If price drops to $0.12 during this time window, it aligns with the lower channel support line
📉 Conclusion: A strong support zone lies between $0.132 - $0.1079, where buyers could step in for a potential bounce.
Potential Trade Setups
📌 Long Setup (High Probability Reversal Zone)
Entry: DCA around $0.12
Stop Loss: Below $0.098
Target: $0.166
Potential Gain: +40%
R:R Ratio: 2:1 or better
🔹 If price regains $0.18-$0.20, we can look for long opportunities.
📌 Short Setup (For Those Already Shorting from Higher Levels)
Take Profit Target: Between $0.14 - $0.12
Stop Loss: Above $0.20
Market Outlook
With HBAR currently in a bearish trend, we have clearly defined key support and resistance zones and potential trade setups. The next few weeks will be crucial, as price either reclaims $0.18-$0.20 (bullish case) or drops further toward $0.12 (where a strong bounce could happen).
📢 Patience is key! Let the setup come to you and don’t force trades. Always manage risk properly.
What are your thoughts on HBAR’s next move? Leave a comment below! 🚀
#ETHUSDT is showing a reversal pattern📊 BYBIT:ETHUSDT.P is showing a reversal pattern — we expect the uptrend to continue if the breakout level holds!
🕒 Timeframe: 4H
➡️ BYBIT:ETHUSDT.P has formed a potential Double Bottom (Bottom 1 and Bottom 2) around $1,785–$1,809, indicating a possible trend reversal.
➡️ The key trading range (POC — Point of Control) is at $1,881.71, making it a major resistance level.
➡️ The price is also bouncing off the support zone, which aligns with the previous consolidation area.
➡️ Volume is increasing during the bounce, confirming buyers’ interest.
⚡️ Considering a potential long entry
⚡️ Maximum target based on the pattern — $2,522
📍 A breakout and hold above $1,849.71 will confirm the bullish scenario and attract more long liquidity.
📢 If the price drops below $1,785, the setup will be invalidated — high chance of a continued downtrend.
📢 The rise of BYBIT:ETHUSDT.P is possible due to reactions to the strong support zone and the forming Double Bottom pattern.
🕒 Timeframe: 1H
➡️ BYBIT:ETHUSDT.P has formed a Falling Wedge , which is a bullish pattern.
➡️ A second bottom ( Bottom 2 ) has formed, confirming a potential reversal.
➡️ The upper boundary of the wedge has already been broken, accompanied by a spike in volume.
➡️ A strong consolidation zone exists around $1,808–$1,820 — a retest could confirm a long entry.
⚡️ Holding above the wedge breakout is a signal for further upside.
📢 If the price falls back below $1,800 and buying momentum weakens — the scenario should be reconsidered.
📉 LONG BYBIT:ETHUSDT.P from $1851.0
🛡 Stop loss: $1835.00
🕒 Timeframe: 1H
🎯 Targets (TP):
💎 TP 1: $1860.00
💎 TP 2: $1871.00
💎 TP 3: $1882.00
💎 TP 4 (long-term target): $1890.00
🚀 BYBIT:ETHUSDT.P is maintaining a potential reversal pattern — we expect upward movement if volume confirms!
GBPAUD expecting GBP to start weakening
OANDA:GBPAUD price in channel, its make bullish push in last periods, in week before we are have BOE and some events in last day two like GBP CPI, from events looks like GBP is gather bearish power and technicals on lower TFs are strong bearish.
We are have and TRIPLE TOP apttern, on top of channel.
Here for next periods expecting bearish changes.
SUP zone: 2.06200
RES zone: 2.01500, 2.00600
Strong Confluence Zone – Is EURJPY Ready to Fly?EURJPY is currently respecting a strong ascending trendline that has acted as dynamic support for several years. Price recently rebounded from both the horizontal support zone and the rising trendline, indicating strong buying interest at this confluence area.
Now, the pair is attempting to break above a key resistance zone marked by a descending trendline. A successful breakout above this area could signal a potential continuation of the long-term bullish trend.
The RSI is also showing a bullish divergence, which adds confluence to the bullish bias. However, rejection from resistance could trigger a retest of the support zones.
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TIA: 40% Crash in Sight – What's Next?TIA recently lost its strong $4 support, and that level is now acting as resistance. For the past two months, the price hasn’t been able to climb back above $4, leaving us with one burning question: Is more blood on the table?
Broken Support: TIA has given up its $4 support, which now serves as resistance.
Looking at November 2024: The low from November 2024 was around $1.9. Revisiting that level could provide us with a high-probability long trade.
Trade Setup Opportunity
Entry Point: Set an alarm for the $1.9 low. A successful bounce here would signal a potential long trade opportunity.
Target & Reward: With the goal of targeting the $3 level, this trade could offer a risk-to-reward ratio of at least 5:1.
Implication: If the $1.9 level is revisited and holds, we could be looking at a scenario with roughly 40% more downside in the current trend—but also a setup for a low-risk long if the bounce holds.
SUI Swing: The Art of Patience in TradingSUI has been playing nice with the technicals lately, giving us some really neat swing trade opportunities. Remember that short trade we talked about—from $3 down to around $2? Well, here's why that setup was a winner.
After that initial short trade, SUI bounced off $2 and then traded in a tight range between $2.5 and $2.2 for about two weeks. Then it broke higher to test the monthly open at $2.83—and it hit that level right on the dot. That’s where all the magic happens.
Why This Short Trade Worked
Fibonacci Confluence: When you draw a Fibonacci from the high at $3 to the low at $1.9626, the 0.786 level comes in at about $2.778. This is right near the monthly open, and we know that price tends to reverse between the 0.618 and 0.786 zones.
Trading Range POC: The $2.8 area was our previous point of control, so it adds extra weight as a resistance level.
Anchored VWAP: The VWAP from the high at $3.8999 sits just above the monthly open at around $2.855, giving us another nod that this level is important.
Fib Speed Resistance Fan: Even the speed resistance fan at the 0.618 level lines up with the $2.8 zone.
All these factors lined up to form a solid resistance area. That’s why short entries between $2.778 and $2.855 made sense.
Trade Setup Recap
Short Trade:
Entry Zone: $2.778 to $2.855
Target: The bullish order block at about $2.4745, which also lines up with the 0.618 fib retracement from the low at $2.2358 and the high at $2.8309
Risk-to-Reward: This setup gave us a risk-to-reward of 4:1 or even better, depending on where you set your stop-loss.
There’s also a possible long trade at the bullish order block, but that one’s only for when you see the confirmation.
Wrapping It Up
The takeaway? Confluence is your best friend. Waiting for that high-probability setup can really pay off. Let the trade come to you, don’t force it, and stay calm and focused.
Thanks for reading this SUI analysis. If you liked it, please leave a like and drop a comment. Happy trading!
EurUsd- The "big" move is down, not upLast week, TRADENATION:EURUSD reached a high of around 1.09 and has been consolidating ever since, now for the fifth consecutive trading day. Despite some weak upward spikes, the pair remains in a range-bound phase.
From a technical perspective, multiple resistance levels lie ahead, with the psychological 1.10 mark acting as a key barrier. Given the current price action, I believe this consolidation is more likely to result in a downside breakout rather than a continuation of the uptrend.
There is a strong possibility that EUR/USD will correct the impressive rally that began in early March.
With this outlook in mind, I see more downside potential than upside and I am considering selling into rallies, targeting a move toward 1.07.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.