CVS Long Swing 1H Conservative Trend TradeConservative Trend Trade
+ long balance
+ support level
+ 1/2 correction
+ ICE level
+ volumed 2Sp-
+ volumed bullish bars
+ unvolumed bearish bars
Calculated affordable stop limit
25% 1 to 2 R/R
25% 1/2 of the daily range
25% Daily T1 level
25% Monthly 1/2
Daily context
"+ long impulse
+ T2 level
+ support level
+ 1/2 correction
+ exhaustion volume below"
Monthly context
"- short impulse
- unvolumed T1
+ support level
+ biggest volume manipulation"
Supportandresistancezones
ICP/USDT Trading ScenarioAmid the negative news about Bitcoin, the price of ICP significantly declined, falling from a local high of $20.937 to $5.837, a drop of over 71%. The asset's price chart has fallen below the 0.75 Fibonacci level, which is often interpreted as a favorable buying zone.
From the perspective of volume profile, the area of interest for market participants is significantly higher, in the range of $13.041.
Currently, there is a positive reaction from buyers at the $5.837 mark, as evidenced by the formation of a daily pin bar. This signal could indicate a potential trend reversal and the beginning of an upward movement, as a pin bar typically signifies a change in market sentiment.
TM Daytrade M5 Long Aggressive CounterTrend TradeAggressive CounterTrend Trade
- short impulse
+ volumed transition extremum / T1
+ support level
+ volumed manipulation
- no trading signal (last M5 of the day)
Calculated affordable stop limit
Take profit $205.59
Hourly context:
"- short impulse
- unvolumed transitory extremum / T1
+ support level
+ volumed manipulation"
Daily context:
"+ long impulse
- biggest volume on top
+ T2 level
+ support level
+ volumed manipulation
- 1/2 correction?"
Monthly context:
" + long impulse
+ SOS level
+ 1/2 correction
+ support level
+ weak approach
+ volumed manipulation"
OCO 4A: Sell Shares of TM Limit at $205.99 (Good 'til Canceled)
OCO 4B: Sell Shares of TM Stop at $201.58 Limit at $201.70 (Good 'til Canceled)
Trade idea - EURNZD Long4H
Market was moving in Bull Flag formation.
3rd touch of trend line was aligning perfectly with the -68 Fibonacci.
Missed the early entry on this trade.
New opportunity now to get involved.
Bullish impulse: indication .
Pattern within pattern: confirmation.
Inverse Head & Shoulders, Bullish M.
Clear support & resistance zone is there.
1% risk
Gbp/Usd (Wedge) Intraday Analysis The GBP/USD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential selling opportunity due to a recent downward breakout from a well-defined Wedge pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming Hours.
Key Points:
Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position around the current price of 1.2806, positioned close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 1.2763
2nd Support – 1.2735
Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order above 1.2850. This helps limit potential losses if the price unexpectedly reverses and breaks back upwards.
Thank you.
Meta Platforms - Flying under the radar...NASDAQ:META just rallied +500% without any correction and might create a top formation soon.
Sometimes the trading gods are sending us gifts from heaven. We received such a gift back in 2022 when Meta Platforms - out of nowhere - corrected -70% and perfectly retested the lower support of the reverse triangle formation. After the +500% rally from there, it is quite likely that we will see a short term retracement. But the overall trend is still clearly towards the upside!
Levels to watch: $530
Keep your long term vision,
Philip - BasicTrading
MSFT: Potential Top SignalThe daily chart of MSFT highlights a potential top signal characterized by a bearish candlestick pattern following a strong uptrend. This signal indicates a possible reversal or at least a significant pullback. The bearish candlestick pattern near the top suggests that sellers are gaining control after a strong bullish run.
A key level to watch on the daily chart is the bullish rejection support line at $458.97, which is the low of the previous bullish candlestick. The 21-day EMA is another critical support level that can provide additional confirmation of the trend direction.
The hourly chart provides a more granular view of the recent price action, showing a bearish pivot point around $464.47. This level marks the point where the price has shown a significant rejection, forming a lower high and a subsequent lower low, indicating a bearish trend in the short term. The red arrows on the chart highlight the direction of the recent downward movement, suggesting continued bearish pressure.
The potential top signal on the daily chart and the bearish pivot point on the hourly chart indicate a possible continuation of the downward movement. If the price breaks below the $458.97 support line with increased volume, the 21 EMA (D) will be its next technical target.
If the price manages to hold above the $458.97 support line and shows signs of reversal, such as bullish candlestick patterns, it could indicate a resumption of the uptrend. It all depends on how it’ll react now that it is approaching its key support level.
In summary, MSFT is showing potential bearish signals with a top signal on the daily chart and a bearish pivot point on the hourly chart. However, key support levels need to be monitored for any signs of reversal.
For more detailed technical analyses and insights like this, be sure to follow my account. Your support helps me continue providing valuable content to help you make informed trading decisions.
Remember, real trading is reactive, not predictive, so let's stay focused on the key points described above and only trade when there is confirmation.
“To anticipate the market is to gamble. To be patient and react only when the market gives the signal is to speculate.” — Jesse Lauriston Livermore
All the best,
Nathan.
NZD/JPY H1 Channel BreakoutThe NZD/JPY pair on the H1 timeframe presents a potential selling opportunity due to a recent downward breakout from a well-defined Bearish Channel pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming Hours.
Key Points:
Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position around the current price of 98.50, positioned close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 98.03
2nd Support – 97.80
Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order above 98.90. This helps limit potential losses if the price unexpectedly reverses and breaks back upwards.
Thank you
Tesla - Finally exiting consolidation...NASDAQ:TSLA has been consolidating for four years and is ready for a (bullish) breakout.
We have a beautiful repetition of cycles on Tesla: Long term consolidation followed by a qiuck and agressive move higher followed once again by a long term consolidation. Tesla entered such a consolidation about four years ago and is now simply ready for another bullish breakout and an agressive move higher. It is just a matter of time until the triangle pattern breaks...
Levels to watch: $120, $220
Keep your long term vision,
Philip - BasicTrading
NVDA: Critical Inflection Point!The daily chart of NVDA shows a complex technical scenario, highlighted by the presence of a potential Head and Shoulders (H&S) pattern frustration point. The H&S pattern is a bearish reversal pattern, but the price action suggests that it may not have completed, leading to the current consolidation phase. This frustration point is marked by the resistance line at $128.12, which NVDA has struggled to break through consistently.
The daily chart also shows a trendline support, which has been respected multiple times, providing a strong upward momentum. The 21-day EMA serves as an additional support level. The recent price action indicates a consolidation phase between $128 resistance and the trendline support, creating a tight trading range. Traders should watch for a breakout to determine the next significant move.
On the weekly chart, NVDA has been in a strong uptrend, with the 21-week EMA providing support. The main support level is identified at $118.04, a crucial level that has been tested and held in recent weeks. This level coincides with the neckline of the potential H&S pattern seen on the daily chart, making it a critical support zone.
In summary, NVDA is at a critical juncture with consolidation between key levels. Traders should monitor the $128 resistance and the main support levels closely for breakout or breakdown signals to determine the next major move. The overall trend remains bullish, but caution is warranted given the potential bearish H&S pattern and the current consolidation phase.
For more detailed technical analyses and insights like this, be sure to follow my account. Your support helps me continue providing valuable content to help you make informed trading decisions.
Remember, real trading is reactive, not predictive, so let's stay focused on the key points described above and only trade when there is confirmation.
“To anticipate the market is to gamble. To be patient and react only when the market gives the signal is to speculate.” — Jesse Lauriston Livermore
All the best,
Nathan.
QQQ: Approaches Psychological Resistance! (D&W charts)In the daily chart of the QQQ, the price is steadily climbing within a well-defined uptrend, supported by the 21-day EMA and an ascending trend line. The ETF is approaching a critical psychological resistance level at $500, marked by the red line. This level is significant as it often acts as a barrier due to its round-number nature, where traders tend to set sell orders. A decisive close above this level would signal a continuation of the uptrend, potentially leading to further gains.
The daily chart also shows a recent breakout above the previous resistance at 486.86, which now serves as a support level. This breakout, accompanied by higher lows, reinforces the bullish sentiment. If you are looking for entry points, then you might consider buying on pullbacks to the 21-day EMA or on a breakout above the psychological resistance at $500, confirming bullish momentum.
On the weekly chart, QQQ is displaying strong bullish characteristics with consistent higher highs and higher lows. The 21-week EMA has been a reliable support, indicating the overall trend remains bullish. The recent bullish candle indicates strong buying interest, suggesting that any pullback might be limited and serve as a buying opportunity.
Integrating both the daily and weekly charts, QQQ is showing robust bullish momentum. The key level to watch is the psychological resistance at $500. A successful close above this level would open the door for further gains. Conversely, failure to break above this resistance could lead to a minor pullback to the support levels around 486.86 or the 21-day EMA. For now, we should monitor these levels closely to determine the strength of the uptrend and make informed trading decisions.
For more detailed technical analyses and insights like this, be sure to follow my account. Your support helps me continue providing valuable content to help you make informed trading decisions.
Remember, real trading is reactive, not predictive, so let's stay focused on the key points described above and only trade when there is confirmation.
“To anticipate the market is to gamble. To be patient and react only when the market gives the signal is to speculate.” — Jesse Lauriston Livermore
All the best,
Nathan.
TGT Swing 1H Long Conservative TradeConservative Trade
+ long impulse
+ Daily 1/2 correction
+ T2 level
+ support level
+ 2Sp+
+ weak test
+ first bullish bar closed entry
Calculated affordable stop limit
1 to 2 R/R take profit
Daily context:
"- short impulse
+ biggest volume T1
+ support level
+ volumed 2Sp+
+ weak test
+ 1/2 correction"
Monthly context:
"+ long impulse
+ SOS level
+ support level
+ close to 1/2 correction"
TGT @NYSE Bought Market, Day
Profit Taker Sell Limit 150.02, GTC
Profit Taker Sell Stop 144.77 LMT 146.70, GTC
Is LTC approaching a trend reversal?I invite you to check the situation of LTC in pair with USDT on a one-weekend basis.
We see on the chart that the price is at the intersection of two lines, an upward trend line and a downward trend line. These are the two main trend lines that have currently formed a triangle from which the price will choose the direction of movement.
Locally, we can see a sideways trend channel with smaller and smaller lows.
The RSI indicator shows that we have approached the place where we could previously observe price rebounds, the STOCH indicator looks similar, but here we can see a movement at the lower limit, which may translate into an upward movement.
Moreover, the chart shows how the price remains in a strong support zone, which may also influence the upcoming rebound towards the designated resistances.
Fourth Straight Weekly Loss for BTC/USD; Support in PlayBTC/USD remains entrenched in a corrective slide, bolstered by the Fed minutes emphasising reluctance to ease policy until confidence in the disinflation process is observed.
Early Downtrend Signalled, But…
Down for a fourth consecutive week and shedding -6.3%, the major crypto pairing is now displaying early signs of a longer-term downtrend on the weekly timeframe, given the fresh lower low formed last week at $53,412 – its lowest value since late February.
The weekly timeframe’s structure, nevertheless, points to a potential rebound. Support at $56,796 and channel support, taken from the low of $60,717, recently welcomed price action. Should bears take a back seat here and bulls make a show, we could still be looking at a possible bullish flag formation (drawn from the above low at $60,717 and the crypto’s all-time high of $73,845). However, considering recent downside momentum, the risk of further declines remains and could unmask possible follow-through selling towards another layer of support coming in at $51,948.
Daily Support
Thursday witnessed the break of trendline support, extended from the low of $26,665 (a bearish signal). Of note, price action has also made its way south of the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) at $64,758, yet we have not seen the unit cross below the 200-day SMA at $51,698. Despite the bearish cues, Friday shook hands with a 100% projection ratio at $54,678 (an AB=CD bullish pattern), complemented by a 38.2% Fibonacci retracement ratio from $55,151. South of here, a decision point area calls for attention at $50,601-$53,015, followed by another layer of support at $48,007.
Price Direction This Week?
This week, on the side of sellers, we have an early downtrend present depicted through price structure (the lower low on the weekly), and the trendline support and the 50-day SMA breach on the daily. However, sellers must contend with heavyweight support on the weekly and daily timeframes ($56,796 and $54,678, respectively). It should also be noted that should these levels cede ground, the daily decision point area at $50,601-$53,015 awaits nearby, which houses the next layer of weekly support mentioned above at $51,948 and the 200-day SMA at $51,698. Therefore, sellers will likely be reluctant to commit until at least current support is consumed, which may trigger a rebound higher this week.
Shilpa medicare on a Huge yearly Breakout !!Shilpa Medicare has given Multiyear Breakout !!
Stock has been consolidating from 2015
It's been almost 8-9 years stock has given No Returns
Stock has made Symmetrical Triangle pattern on a monthly timeframe
Pattern is showing targets of 1200-1300 in coming months
Thank you !!
Well This Isn't A Good Look For BitcoinIt's been a hard couple of weeks in the crypto markets, and it is not looking much better when you zoom out to the weekly timeframe. The Logical Trading Indicator is flashing a sell signal on this week's candle which means that we have some serious downward momentum hitting the Bitcoin market.
For you new guys, this means that there is way more selling pressure coming into the market than buying pressure. Trading is nothing but a game of supply and demand. My thought is that the Bitcoin ETF news event earlier in the year caused us to go into an early cycle that broke all time highs WAY too soon. Now we are paying the price for that, literally...
Now that the big boys of Wall Street are manipulating the price, there is no telling what is going to happen. As retail traders, we just need to be able to catch and ride the waves because we don't have enough capital to move the price on our own anymore.
What I see happening is that if this weekly candle closes with this sell signal, that will drive the price of Bitcoin down closer to the next somewhat level of market structure, which is around $50k. After that, the next solid level is around $37K-$40K. Not saying it's going to happen, we all want to be optimistic about the price, but we have to face reality that Wall Street wants cheaper Bitcoin so they are going to short futures until they get it to the price they want to buy it at. Once they get their fill, then we could see some real fire works when it comes to a pump in price, but we just have to be patient and ride their wake for a while until it happens.
It's very important to not get caught up in the noise on social media and focus on the data in the charts. Fundamentally, Bitcoin is not making any changes. The only news is about regulations and on and off ramps, but nothing about the actual blockchain or it's mechanics. So based on that, BTC traders can really just focus on price movements for now. Don't let a small price pump fool you either, Wall Street wants cheaper Bitcoin, and they will get what they want.
Now on the flip side of this, if we hold this level as support, which honestly is not looking like the case as of this post, but if buyers do hold this level, we look at this dump as a shake out and may start the next leg up. So again, we have to be ready for anything. This is really why I just let the Logical Trading Indicator tell me when it's time to pay attention and when to trade.
Are you bears ready for another ride down? Or are you bulls gearing up for a moonshot?
Be careful out there in these volatile markets and trade logically!
Buy XAUUSD Channel BreakoutThe XAU/USD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential Buying opportunity due to a recent downward breakout from a well-defined channel pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the Upside in the coming Hours.
Key Points:
Buy Entry: Consider entering a Long position around the current price of 2326, positioned close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum.
Target Levels :
1st Support – 2351
2nd Support – 2365
Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order below 2316.50 This helps limit potential losses if the price unexpectedly reverses and breaks back upwards.
Thank you.
Ethereum - Is everything already over?CRYPTO:ETHUSD is struggling to break above the previous all time high and might correct soon.
Please don't look at headlines and news regarding cryptocurrencies. Overall these messages are just preventing you from objectively looking at the chart. Ethereum is creating higher highs and higher lows, meaning that Ethereum is trading in an uptrend. Even if Ethereum is not able to break above the previous all time high, market structure still remains decently bullish.
Levels to watch: $4.000, $2.200
Keep your long term vision,
Philip - BasicTrading
Gold (Xau/Usd) Triangle in H1The XAU/USD pair on the H1 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent breakout from a Triangle Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming hours.
Possible Long Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position Above The Broken Trendline Of The Triangle After Confirmation. Ideally, This Would Be Around 2331
Target Levels:
1st Resistance – 2358
2nd Resistance – 2378
Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order below 2317.50. This helps limit potential losses if the price falls back unexpectedly.
Thank you