ETH is fighting in the support zoneHello everyone, I invite you to review the current situation on ETH. When we enter the one-day interval, we can see how the ETH price moved in a strong downtrend channel. What's more, we can see that the price fell below the main uptrend line.
As we can see, the price is currently fighting to break out on top in the support zone from $ 1690 to $ 1350, in a situation if this zone was broken, we could see another strong drop to the support area at $ 884 at the previous low after the bull run.
On the other hand, if ETH gets wind in its sails again, it must first pass through the resistance zone from $ 1952 to $ 2100, while further on there is a very strong zone from $ 2500 to $ 2740.
However, here, taking into account the one-day interval, the RSI indicator shows a breakout above the top of the border, which may affect the potential end of the current uptrend.
Supportandresistancezones
ALRS 1D Long Investment Aggressive CounterTrend TradeAggressive CounterTrend Trade
- short impulse
+ volumed T1
+ support level
+ biggest volume Sp
+ weak test
+ first bullish bar close entry
Calculated affordable stop limit
Take profit
1/3 - 1 to 2 R/R
1/3 - 1D T2 / 1M T2
1/3 - 1/2 of 1Y
Calculated affordable stop limit
Take profit
1/3 - 1 to 2 R/R
1/3 - 1D T2 / 1M T2
1/3 - 1/2 of 1Y
Monthly CounterTrend
"- short impulse
+ volumed TE / T1
+ support level
+ volumed Sp
+ test"
Yearly Trend
"+ long impulse
+ 1/2 correction
+ T2 level
+ support level
+ manipulation"
Will BTC emerge from the descending channel on top?Hello everyone, I invite you to review the current situation on BTC. On the one-day interval, you can see how the price is moving in the downtrend channel in which there is again a fight with the upper boundary of the channel. At this stage, you can also see how the EMA Cross 50/200, they have come very close but still indicate the maintenance of a long-term upward trend.
Here you can see how the price has currently bounced off the resistance zone from $ 86,503 to $ 87,934. Only an upper exit from this zone will open the way towards the second important zone at the levels of $ 93,959 to $ 96,142, and then we have visible strong resistance around $ 101,800.
Looking the other way, you can see that in the event of further declines, we have support at $ 80,550, then you can see an important zone that previously maintained the price decline from $ 74,340 to $ 71,380, in a situation where this zone is broken, we can see a quick decline to around $ 65,360.
The MACD indicator shows an attempt to switch to an upward trend, it is worth watching whether there is enough energy for further movement.
Quotes Dropping? Here’s How to Find Support & Gain Best DealHave you ever found yourself wondering how to make sense of fluctuating quotes?
What if I told you that the powerful key lies in understanding the power of expected range volatility?
Ready? Let me 5 min to introduce you how understanding expected range volatility can give you the edge you need to succeed.
The expected range volatility (ER) provides a framework for understanding how much the asset could move within a specific timeframe. Statistically, price movements within the expected volatility corridor have a 68% probability, based on CME market data and a Nobel Prize-winning calculation formula. This means that traders can rely on these insights as a powerful filter for making more precise entry points into trades.
Key insight: when the market is quiet, and we approach certain price levels, there’s a 68% chance that the price won’t break through those boundaries.
The ER formula is available on the CME exchange's website, and in just a few minutes, you can input the data to get incredible results. It’s truly amazing!
I remember the first time I stumbled upon the ER tool. It felt like finding a gold mine in the trading world! I was amazed that such a powerful resource was available for free, yet it remained unnoticed by 95% of traders.
At that moment, I began to explore the trading community and was shocked to see how underestimated this tool was. I couldn’t find a single author who utilized such valuable data in their analysis.
But once I began to focus on expected range volatility and the data provided by the CME, everything changed. Since that I never make intraday trades without ER data was checked.
Limitations:
• Market Dynamics: Short-term price movements can be unpredictable due to various factors like market sentiment, news, and economic events. The Expected Range provides a statistical estimate but does not guarantee outcomes.
• Assumptions: The formulas assume that price movements follow a log-normal distribution , which may not hold true in all market conditions.
So, what about you? Do you utilizing the power of expected range volatility in your trading strategy? Share your thoughts in the comments below! And if you want make deeper insights , don’t forget to subscribe us.
In the world of trading, knowledge is power.
No Valuable Data - No Edge!🚀💰
Weekly Support is around 80000.Weekly Support is around 80000.
However, 72500 - 73000 is its previous
breakout level & probably a Best Buying Rage
(if it touches) which is also a Confluence area of
Trendline Support+Important Fib. level.
Bullish Divergence on Shorter Time Frame +
Weekly Support around 80000 (if Sustained)
may push the Price up towards 87000 &
then around 95000 - 96000.
Ultimate Resistance is around 110000.
Crossing this level may open new Highs
Targeting around 136000.
On Shorter Timeframe, 85000 - 86000 is
the Immediate Resistance & Support is
around 80000.
ONDO Range Play: Breakout Confirmed, Eyes on $1.20+ONDO/USDT – 2D Chart Analysis
ONDO has broken above a falling trendline while continuing to trade within a broader sideways range. The breakout occurred near the mid S/R zone around $0.90–$0.95, which is now acting as a potential pivot level.
The price is attempting to reclaim momentum after a period of lower highs and sideways compression. A sustained move above the mid-range could open the path toward the upper resistance zone near $1.20–$1.30. However, if the breakout fails and price falls back below $0.90, it may revisit the lower range support around $0.70.
This is a key zone to watch for continuation or rejection.
DYOR, NFA
Cup & Handle Formation in process but Cup & Handle Formation in process but Yes, there is a Bearish Divergence
on Weekly Tf.
Resisted exactly from the mentioned level around 118.
Could not Sustain this level.
Now Weekly Closing above 104 - 105 is important.
Next Support lies around 96 - 97
If 118 is Crossed & Sustained, we may Target around 145 - 146.
GBP/JPY Triangle Breakout (11.04.2025)The GBP/JPY Pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Triangle Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours.
Possible Short Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 184.40
2nd Support – 182.60
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XAUUSD Alert: Critical Zones in Play — Trade Smart, Trade Safe!📊 XAUUSD Market Insight 🌍
Gold is heating up once again, currently testing a tight range between 3160 and 3174. A breakout in either direction could set the tone for the next big move.
🔻 If price breaks below, we may see a slide toward 3150 and 3130—potential areas to watch for bearish momentum.
🔺 However, a strong push above 3174 could spark bullish energy, aiming for short-term targets at 3200 and 3227.
💡 Trade Smart
The market is full of opportunity, but don’t forget: risk management is key. Use proper position sizing, set clear stop-losses, and never overexpose your capital. Stay sharp, trade safe, and let the market come to you. 🧠💼
US DOLLAR at Key Support: Will Price Rebound to 103.000TVC:DXY is currently approaching an important support zone, an area where the price has previously shown bullish reactions. This level aligns closely with the psychological $100 , which tends to have strong market attention.
The recent momentum suggests that buyers could step in and drive the price higher. A bullish confirmation, such as a strong rejection pattern, bullish engulfing candles, or long lower wicks, would increase the probability of a bounce from this level. If I'm right and buyers regain control, the price could move toward the 103.00 level.
However, a breakout below this support would invalidate the bullish outlook, potentially leading to more even more downside.
This is not financial advice!
NZDUSD bullish starting?
OANDA:NZDUSD from start of February sentiment is bullish.
In week before we are have strong events like RBA, TRUMP SPEAK, NONFARM.., we all are expect NZD and AUD domination but at end in zone we are see changes and strong fall.
After all of this now from here expecting new bullish starting.
SUP zone: 0.55200
RES zone: 0.57400, 0.58200
NEAR the Bottom? - The Crash Ends HereBack in October 2023, NEAR embarked on an incredible bull run lasting 147 days, surging from a low of $0.971 to a high of $9.01—an astounding +828% gain. Following this euphoric phase, the market sentiment shifted dramatically. Over the subsequent 392 days, NEAR retraced to around $2, marking a -78% decline. Now, with the market at a critical juncture, the question remains: when does the madness of the crash end, and can we finally see a reversal?
Harmonic Patterns & Fibonacci Confluence
Chart Pattern Analysis: The XABCD Framework
Using the XABCD pattern tool, we identify the following key points:
Point X: $0.971
Point A: $9.01
Point B: $3.076
Point C: $8.244
Point D: $1.978
Durations:
X-A: 147 Days
A-B: 143 Days
B-C: 122 Days
C-D: 126 Days
These durations show remarkable symmetry—with the up-move phases (X-A and A-B) nearly matching in time, and similarly for the correction phases (B-C and C-D). This time symmetry supports the presence of a harmonic structure, and the retracement levels help validate the potential for a reversal.
Fibonacci Implications
Fib Retracement of XA: Point B is at 0.738
Fib Retracement of AB: Point C sits at 0.871
Fib Retracement of BC: Point D lands at 0.875
Fib Extension of BC: Point D is at 1.212
While Point D’s retracement at 0.875 is slightly deeper than the classic 0.786 level expected for a Gartley Harmonic, it remains close enough to validate a harmonic correction, especially considering market noise. Additionally, the expansion of BC at 1.212 is close to the 1.27 range, lending further credence to this being a Gartley-type pattern.
Time Factor: Fibonacci Time Extensions & Exhaustion
147-day Bull Run: NEAR rose from $0.971 to $9.01 in 147 days.
392-day Bearish Correction: Since hitting $9.01, the price has retraced for 392 days.
Fibonacci Time Extensions:
1.618 multiplier: 147 × 1.618 ≈ 238 days. A Classic "golden ratio" reversal target. This period coincided with a +135% surge in November.
2.618 multiplier: 147 × 2.618 ≈ 385 days. High-probability exhaustion point. This is nearly equal to the current 392 days, suggesting that time-based exhaustion may be imminent.
The alignment of these time-based measures with the price retracement (approximately 87.5% retracement of the original move) signals a critical juncture where the bearish phase could soon be over.
Identifying the Support Zone & Long Opportunity
Based on harmonic and Fibonacci analyses, the confluence of key support levels points to a potential bottom:
Harmonic Point D: Trading near $2.
Monthly Level: $1.99 acts as a strong support benchmark.
Fibonacci Retracement (0.886): at $1.887.
These levels create a long opportunity window between $1.99 and $1.887. This confluence offers a solid entry region for long positions.
Additionally, other confluence factors include:
Fibonacci time extension at the 2.618 level (around 385 days) aligning with the current duration of the bearish phase.
The symmetry of the XABCD pattern adds to the reliability of the support structure.
High-Probability Trade Setup
Long Entry:
Entry Zone: Accumulate positions in the $1.99 to $1.887 range.
Target: Aim for the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level of the bull run, approximately $5.00, which represents a potential +150% gain from current levels.
Risk-to-Reward (R:R): With the setup targeting a substantial rebound, the risk-reward ratio is very attractive, particularly if entry is taken in the defined confluence zone.
Market Outlook:
Current Sentiment: NEAR is in a significant downtrend, evidenced by a dramatic -78% retracement after an explosive bull run.
Reversal Indicators: The harmonic pattern, Fibonacci retracements, and time exhaustion (392 days approaching the 2.618 extension) all point towards a possible bottom formation in the coming month, particularly during April.
Potential Reversal: If NEAR holds within the $1.99 to $1.887 window, a reversal back towards $5.00 appears plausible, echoing the conditions seen at previous market cycle reversals.
Key Takeaways
Historic Run & Severe Correction: NEAR surged over +828% in 147 days only to retrace -78% over the following 392 days.
Harmonic Confluence: The XABCD pattern and Fibonacci levels create a compelling argument for a turnaround.
Time & Price Alignment: Fibonacci time extension around 385 days combined with an 87.5% price retracement suggests market exhaustion.
Solid Long Entry Zone: The support between $1.99 and $1.887 offers an attractive risk entry point with the potential to target a move back up to $5.00.
After decades in the trading arena, one thing is clear—the market often cycles through periods of euphoria and despair before turning a corner. NEAR's confluence of harmonic symmetry, Fibonacci retracement, and time-based exhaustion is almost too aligned to ignore. With a defined long entry window between $1.99 and $1.887, this might be the moment to consider a high-probability long trade. As always, manage your risk diligently and wait for clear confirmation.
Wrapping it up here, happy trading =)
If you found this helpful, leave a like and comment below! Got requests for the next technical analysis? Let me know.
Tariff Pause = Crypto Pump?USDT Dominance is testing strong resistance (5.60%–5.80%) while holding a rising support line. A break below 5.40% could signal a shift to risk-on sentiment, triggering a move into Bitcoin and altcoins.
Trump’s 90-day tariff pause may further boost market confidence, reduce demand for stablecoins, and support crypto inflows. If dominance breaks down, it could spark an altcoin rally. If it holds above 5.80%, caution remains. This is a key turning point.
XAUUSD Outlook: Bull or Bear Move Ahead? Manage Risk📊 XAUUSD Market Insight 🌍
Gold is heating up once again, currently testing a tight range between 3080 and 3095. A breakout in either direction could set the tone for the next big move.
🔻 If price breaks below, we may see a slide toward 3060 and 3050—potential areas to watch for bearish momentum.
🔺 However, a strong push above 3095 could spark bullish energy, aiming for short-term targets at 3115 and 3127.
💡 Trade Smart
The market is full of opportunity, but don’t forget: risk management is key. Use proper position sizing, set clear stop-losses, and never overexpose your capital. Stay sharp, trade safe, and let the market come to you. 🧠💼