#USDCAD looking to sellPrice bearish impulsive move broke Daily bullish market structure to the downside so we believe that our current trend in USDCAD is to the downside.
After forming a low price is testing a broken previous support area which now will act probably as a resistance.
For other bearish confluences we can see price is just below 4H timeframe EMA and close to 1h timeframe EMA.
Supportandresitance
#USDCAD another selling opportunityIf you remember we already took one successful short trade from the previous red arrow and although we were expecting price to move further down and create new low for higher timeframe this didn't happen.
As a result price went up and giving us another selling opportunity.
As you can see in the picture price is at important static resistance area and just below 4H and 1H EMA which both acting as resistance.
But the thing that we should be consider before taking position from the area that price currently is sitting on is the possibility that if price wants to come and take liquidity from the local top that formed earlier and since there is a lot of stop losses could be a good target for price to reach and take out liquidity.
So if you want to take position from this area keep in mind the possibility of price moving higher to take out loquidity.
What is Support & Resistance (S&R)? What Types of S&R?Support & Resistance (S&R) is one of the basic topics that we need to know in trading, whether trading forex, shares or cryptocurrency.
Support & Resistance can show the upper and lower limits of price movement in a certain time.
*) Resistance is the upper limit to limit prices from rising further.
*) Support is the lower limit to limit prices from falling further.
The market moves because of differences in demand and supply.
When demand is greater the price will rise, if the supply is greater the price will move down.
Types of Support & Resistance:
1. Classic S&R
The way to determine S&R in Classic S&R is using previous swing high and swing low as referece (picture no.1)
The advantage of using this method is we can know previous S&R and we can use that as our reference to determine target profit, or stop loss area.
The weakness of using classic S&R is when the price break S&R we don’t know the next S/R
2. Dynamic S&R
The way to determine Dynamic S&R is using moving average. We determine high point & low point when price touch moving average diagonal line. (picture no.2)
4. Harmonic S&R
Harmonic S&R Is useful to determine S&R when price in all time high.
The weakness of Classic S&R is when the price break S&R we don’t know the next S&R, because of that we use Harmonic S&R to analyze the next target profit or loss area.
We use Fibonacci methode (picture no.3) to determine S&R
How we know this is a strong S/R or not?
That is a strong S/R when the price touch the S/R area and the price have a strong movement.
Function of Support & Resistance
Support & Resistance makes us know if this area can be a price target area, so we understand if the price doesn’t always go up or down, so we must to take profit and we have to put a stop loss.
In stock market activity, support & resistance prices indicate certain psychological levels, like:
*) Support is the level where people buy shares at the lowest price and make a profit when the price rises.
*) Resistance is the level where people have bought shares at the highest price and experienced losses because the price fell.
That activity becomes a repeating pattern.
People tend to buy at the support price because they know the price will rise and when the price is almost or already in the resistance area they will sell.
In the Forex market, we can have 2 positions in the same time,
So when the price is at the support we can make a purchase, and when the price is at resistance we can sell the previous position and in the resistance area we can also look for a selling position with a profit target in the previous support area and a stop loss area above the resistance area, because if price breaks through the resistance, price will continue to rise and create a new resistance.
Notes:
1. The source of this writing comes from several ideas that I have read, heard, or experienced personally. So if those of you reading this post & feel this is your idea, Please allow me to share again, because maybe I also learn from you.
2. The topic of Fibonacci and Moving Average will be discussed at another time
Thank You.
28 Sep 2023
ETH/USDT Short-Term ReviewHello everyone, let's take a look at the ETH to USDT chart on a one hour time frame. As you can see, the price quickly came back and is currently staying just above the downtrend line.
After unfolding the trend based fib extension grid, we see that we have a strong support zone from $1,594 to $1,581, and then a second zone from $1,568 to $1,551.
Looking the other way, you can see that the price is struggling with resistance at $1,600, but we still have an important zone from $1,627 to $1,639.
Looking at the CHOP indicator, we can see that the energy in the downtrend has been used, while the STOCH indicator also shows the energy used for the price drop, which may result in another increase.
PolyDoge review (memecoin)First of all, I think it's important to point out that I don't invest in meme-coins and I don't see any value in it.
This is just an analysis with a more humorous and entertaining content, which I did in my free coffee time.
I would never put my life savings in such a place...
Asterisks aside, let's get to the analysis.
A brief introduction
PolyDoge is a memecoin token contained on the Polygon blockchain. It offers an ecosystem of NFTs, Dapps and airdrops.
Source: Polydoge website
Price analysis
Price is above a diagonal support line.
If I were to position myself on this, I would aim for a profit of at least 40% touching the diagonal resistance line.
Looking at a lower timeframe, we could place a tighter stop or target:
"There is no expensive stop, what exists is bad risk management".
Close to A Bottom in December Corn? After scoring a new contract low early in Tuesday’s trade, December corn futures managed to stage a late-session rally to close in positive territory. Moreover, the contract managed to close above trendline resistance that’s been in place dating back to June 20th.
Price action on Wednesday served as a continuation of the late-session strength, with the contract closing 6 cents higher to close at 482 ¼ - marking a second consecutive close above trendline resistance. Prices have clung to the trendline very tightly over the last 8 trading sessions, and the previous two sessions are the first instances of prices closing above trendline resistance.
So the question now becomes, are we close to a bottom in the December corn contract? Looking at price history and seasonal tendencies, we can see that the December corn contract typically bottoms out between the final week of September and into the first couple of weeks of October, before ultimately staging a moderate rally in late October.
www.seasonalgo.com
If we are indeed attempting to put in an intermediate bottom, we can expect a support/resistance flip. Meaning, that previous trendline resistance should now act as trendline support. In other words, if prices falter in the coming days, and test the trendline, we should likely see bulls come to defend the trendline.
Check out CME Group real-time data plans available on TradingView here: www.tradingview.com
Disclaimers:
CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
*Trade ideas cited above are for illustration only, as an integral part of a case study to demonstrate the fundamental concepts in risk management under the market scenarios being discussed. They shall not be construed as investment recommendations or advice. Nor are they used to promote any specific products, or services.
Futures trading involves substantial risk of loss and may not be suitable for all investors. Trading advice is based on information taken from trade and statistical services and other sources Blue Line Futures, LLC believes are reliable. We do not guarantee that such information is accurate or complete and it should not be relied upon as such. Trading advice reflects our good faith judgment at a specific time and is subject to change without notice. There is no guarantee that the advice we give will result in profitable trades. All trading decisions will be made by the account holder. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
XRP/USDT 1H Interval ReviewI invite you to review the chart of XRP paired with USDT. First of all, we will use the blue lines to mark the downward trend channel from which the price emerged at the top, which is important that the exit from the channel was based on an increase similar to the height of the downward channel itself. Currently, it can be seen that the price is moving along a local upward trend line, with three resistance points visible.
It is worth mentioning that XRP is one of the few that stays above the blue 200 moving average line, and therefore remains in an upward trend.
Going further, we can move on to marking places of support when the recovery begins to deepen. And here you can see that the price remained in the support zone from $0.51 to $0.50, but it is still worth defining a second, similar strong zone from $0.48 to $0.47.
Looking the other way, we see that the price has been rejected from the resistance zone from $0.515 to $0.53, only when we manage to break out of it, we will see an attempt to increase towards the resistance level at $0.55.
Please look at the CHOP index, which indicates that we still have a lot of energy to make a move, on RSI we are staying around the middle of the range, but adding the STOCH indicator to this, we have a visible rebound when we cross the upper limit in order to gather new energy for the move.
ETH/USDT 1HInterval Review ChartHello everyone, I invite you to review the ETH pair to USDT chart, also on a one-hour time frame. First, using the yellow line, we will mark the local upward trend from which the price broke down. At this point we can see that the break from the trend line also resulted in a drop below the EMA Cross 200, indicating a return to the downtrend.
Now let's move on to marking the support places. We will use the Trend based fib extension tool to mark supports, and as you can see, first we can mark the support zone from $1,583 to $1,560, but if we fall below this zone, we may see a drop to the strong support level of $1,530.
Looking the other way, we can similarly mark places where the price should encounter resistance on the way up. And here you can see that the price has been reduced by the resistance at the level of $1,600, when it overcomes it we have the second resistance at the level of $1,620, then we have the third resistance at the level of $1,637, and going further, it is worth defining a strong resistance zone from $1,654 to $1,677.
The CHOP Index indicates that most of the energy has been used. the RSI indicator shows an increase towards the middle of the range, which indicates that there is still room for price increases, while the STOCH indicator has exceeded the upper limit and we are currently recovering and gathering energy for a new move, which confirms that the growth on the chart has stopped.
BTC/USDT Short-Term ReviewHello everyone, let's take a look at the BTC to USDT chart on a one hour time frame. As you can see, the price is moving above the local downtrend line.
After unfolding the Fib Retracement grid, we have a visible support zone from $26,493 to $26,192, then a second strong zone from $25,891 to $25,455, and then strong support at $24,884.
Looking the other way, we have a strong resistance zone from $26,916 to $27,463, which has rejected the price increase, but when it is broken, there is still strong resistance at $28,181.
Looking at the CHOP indicator, we see that the energy has been used, and on the RSI we have a strong rebound to the lower limit, which stopped further declines.
#GBPJPY Potential upside continuation*please be sure to remember that today we have FOMC meeting and they are going to announce funds rate and their policies for coming meetings with a high possibility of a lot of movement in all pairs.
since price rejected from the long term bullish channel upper line, price formed a bearish corrective structure with the possibility of upside continuation in favor of long term price movement.
As it can be seen in the chart price struggling with supply area for the past few days and failed several times to break below this supportive area.
more importantly today after another failed attempt to break below the support price rejected and formed strong bullish hammer candlestick pattern which can potentially shows buyers strength.
Now in order to trade this pair I'm looking for price to fail to go lower than the 4H bullish hammer candle low or break above lower timeframe bearish trendline.
#EURUSD 2 interesting areas for bearish continuation*please be sure to remember that today we have FOMC meeting and they are going to announce funds rate and their policies for coming meetings with a high possibility of a lot of movement in the pairs specially USD pairs during news and while FOMC chairman speaks.
Other than that we have 2 very important area for price to turn and possible continuation of downside movement.
As you can see in the chart we have clear downtrend move in action in EURUSD pair and price been forming bullish corrective move since new low was formed.
#CHFJPY bullish continuation*please be sure to remember that today we have FOMC meeting and they are going to announce funds rate and their policies for coming meetings with a high possibility of a lot of movement in all pairs.
As you can see in the chart price broke above short-term bearish trendline with strong 4H time frame Marubozu like candlestick which revels buyers strength.
This bearish move since the completion of 4H time frame candle can be interpreted as pullback to test the broken trendline and its possible to be looking to buy in this area.
USOIL : Trade Using Band of Midas
1. Clear all drawings and indicators.
2. A horizontal resistance level, observe if price reversed at here (React Don't Predict).
3. Add BandofMidas from indicators. Use Midas factor of 9.( suitable for this chart)
4. Price fall into Midas zone and reversed. Midas signal came out on 19Sep2023. Go Short.
5. Midas trend line still in pink. Take 50% profit at midas line, keep the other 50% position waiting the trend line turn white OR hit bottom midas zone.
(Still an uptrend, this should be a profit taking area instead of going big short)
6. Plan your trade, risk reward ratio and position size.
XRP/USDT 4H Review ChartHello everyone, let's take a look at the XRP to USDT chart on a 4-hour time frame. As you can see, the price is moving above the local downtrend line.
After unfolding the trend based fib extension grid, we see that first we have a support zone from $0.49 to $0.48, and then we have a second zone from $0.46 to $0.44.
Looking the other way, we can see that the price has broken out of strong resistance and is struggling to maintain its position, while we still have resistance at $0.53, and then strong resistance at $0.58.
Looking at the CHOP indicator, we see that there is still energy to continue the movement, while the RSI shows a visible increase, but there is some room for the price to go slightly higher.
SOL/USDT 4HInterval ReviewHello everyone, I invite you to review the SOL chart in the USDT pair, like the predecessors, on a four-hour interval. First, we will use the blue lines to mark the downward trend channel from which the price went up.
Moving further after unfolding the Fib Retracement grid, we can mark a strong support zone in which, despite the increase, the price still remains from $20.22 to $16.98, but when we break out of it at the bottom, we can see the price drop to the area of strong support at 12.86 $.
Looking the other way, we see that the price on its upward path has an important zone from $23.04 to $24.78, then we have a second zone from $26.56 to $29.03, and then a strong resistance at the level of 32.20 $.
The CHOP index indicates that most of the energy was used in the upward movement, while the RSI and STOCH indicators confirm the exhaustion of energy in the movement, which allows for a current recovery and gathering energy for a new movement.
LTC/USDT Review ChartGoing further, we will check what the situation on LTC looks like, taking into account the four-hour interval. let's start by marking the downward trend channel with blue ones, from which the price went up and started moving along the local upward trend line, above which it is currently staying.
At this point, it is worth marking the first and current second attempt to return above ema cross 20o to the upward trend, which has been rejected at this time.
After unfolding the Trend Based Fib Extension tool, we can mark the first support zone from $64.86 to $62.94, then we can mark the second zone from $59.85 to $57.66, and then strong support at $54.84.
Looking the other way, we can similarly determine the resistance areas that the price must face. And here we see that currently the price has been rejected by the resistance zone from $66.70 to $69.17, only when it is broken we will see an attempt to attack the resistance at $72.30.
The CHOP index indicates that most of the energy has been used, on the RSI we approached the upper limit, to which the chart reacted with a price recovery, while the STOCH indicator indicates that currently the energy needs to recover before the price increases further.
ETH/USDT 4HInterval Review ChartHello everyone, I invite you to review the ETH pair to USDT chart, also on a four-hour time frame. First of all, we can use the blue lines to mark the downward trend channel from which we could see the exit from the top and we are currently moving above the local upward trend line.
However, it is worth noting that at this point it was not possible to break out of the moving average of 200, which indicates that the downward trend remains.
Now let's move on to marking the support places. To mark supports, we will use the trend based fib extension tool, and as you can see, first we have a support zone from $1,618 to $1,587, then we will mark the second visible zone from $1,563 to $1,537, and then the third strong zone from $1,500 to $1,454.
Looking the other way, we can similarly mark places where the price should encounter resistance on the way up. And here we have the first very strong resistance at the price of $1,652, which has currently rejected the price increase, then we have to overcome a strong resistance zone from $1,685 to $1,727, only after going higher and testing this zone will we see further increases.
Index CHOP indicates that energy has been used. On the RSI, despite room for growth, the correction on BTC also had an impact on the entire market, which resulted in a price recovery, while the STOCH indicator showed energy consumption, which resulted in a quick recovery.
BTC/USDT 4HInterval ReviewHello everyone, let's take a look at the BTC to USDT chart on a 4-hour time frame. As you can see, the price is moving above the local downtrend line.
When we unfold the Fib Retracement grid, we can determine the first support zone from $26,838 to $26,468, then we have the second support zone from $25,866 to $25,442, and then strong support at $24,899.
Looking the other way, we will check the resistance areas and here it is clearly visible that the price is trying to break through the resistance zone from $26,930 to $27,484, and then has to overcome the resistance at $28,190.
Looking at the CHOP indicator, we see that the energy has been significantly depleted, while the RSI indicator also indicates that the upper limit has been exceeded, which resulted in a slowdown in the price increase.
ETH/USDT Short-Term ReviewHello everyone, let's take a look at the ETH to USDT chart on a one hour time frame. As you can see, the price is moving above the local downtrend line.
After unfolding the Fib Retracement grid, we see that the price remains at the upper limit of the support zone from $1,625 to $1,607, then we have the second zone from $1,577 to $1,557, and then strong support at $1,530.
Looking the other way, we have to overcome a strong resistance zone from $1,640 to $1,669, and after breaking above it, we can see a strong upward movement to around $1,755.
Looking at the CHOP indicator, we see that there is little energy left for the next move, while the RSI indicator shows a return to the lower part of the range, but with room for the price to fall lower.
Strong Bullish Momentum!Despite the news, I've been bullish on the Dollar Yen and it appears the weekly chart is confirming that. It's currently on a bullish movement, having surpassed the immediate resistance level and heading higher.
For counter trend traders, I recommend waiting for further confirmation before engaging in shorting opportunities. The four hour chart is on the rise to the previous resistance, but ensure to match your time zone with your trading house broker time. There's presently a violation of the previous high on both the four hour and one hour charts, so it's not ideal to short yet.
If you're seeking a buying opportunity, keep an eye out for a pullback at 144.79. On the four hour chart, there's a trend line waiting for a retest at this level. Ensure to wait for candle close before entering trades and watch for the market respecting the trend line.
Personally, I choose to look for a buying opportunity at 147.49. My initial stop-loss will be placed at 147.15, and target 1 at 147.94.
However, please note this isn't trading advice, so be sure to conduct your own analysis and not follow blindly.
BTC Short-Term 1HInterval ReviewHello everyone, let's take a look at the BTC to USDT chart on a one hour time frame. As you can see, the price has moved higher from the local downtrend line.
After unfolding the Fib Retracement grid, we can determine a support zone from $26,422 to $26,132, then we have a second zone from $25,656 to $25,320, and then strong support at $24,885.
Looking the other way, we see that the price has turned back before the resistance zone from $26,918 to $27,461, when we overcome it, we have another very strong resistance at the price of $28,160.
Looking at the CHOP indicator, we see that the energy is running out, while the RSI indicator is back near the middle of the range, which gives room for a new increase, but it is worth waiting for the energy to regain.
NQ/ QQQ resistance breakout. Watch for reversal intraday.I already played 10% scalp on this.
But it broke + retested the resistance line. Now resistance is confirmed support:
Watch it close for a good lesson even if you're not in the trade.
Already secured +10% on the breakout. Looking to see if it reverses the downtrend completely intraday.
Also remember: MMs already ROASTED the calls. Now time to ROAST the puts. Welcome to triple witching (formerly quad witching)!