ASML Elliot ABC Correction Wave I think ASML will decline with the Elliot correction wave after today's financials.
I think this correction could be up to $680-820 levels.
There is a gap around $ 780, at least I think this gap will be filled.
Every upward reaction in ASML above around $900 is an opportunity for a short position. As long as ASML remains below $1050, I plan to increase my short position on any upward price reaction above $900.
Supportandresitance
Applying Fan's Principle on XCHANGING!Fan Pattern in NSE:XCHANGING !
3rd Fan Line Breakout in XCHANGING!
XCHANGING SOLUTION Analysis on a Monthly Time Frame!
Analysis:
Hello all, as you can see I have applied the Fan Principle on XCHANGING SOLUTION, It is a type of Multi time frame analysis, Where we can draw multiple trendlines from an All-Time High price point. As per the Fan's Principle, there is a trend reversal When the price breaks the 3rd Fan Line.
Disclaimer = Consider my analysis for Educational Purposes only.
Before entering into any trade -
1) Educate Yourself
2) Do your research and analysis
3) Define your Risk to Reward ratio
4) Don't trade with full capital
KENDU on ETH Support and ResistanceThis is the follow up from my recent post about KENDU on ethereum.
Resistance 1 : 0.0001
Resistance 2 : 0.00015
Resistance 3 : 0.0002 - ATH (+-0 0,00027)
---------------------------
Support 1 : 0.00006 - 0.0005
Support 2 : 0.000025 - 0.00002
Support 3 : 0.00001
For time being.. i keep an eye how the price action react when approaching the downtrend (yellow line) and the trendline since march 2024 (white line).
GL !
GOLD Breakout Imminent? Key Levels & Patterns to Watch Now!Technical Breakdown of XAUUSD
Overview
The chart depicts the price movement of Gold Spot (XAUUSD) against the US Dollar on the 1-hour timeframe, highlighting key technical patterns and support/resistance levels. The analysis aims to provide insights into potential price actions based on historical movements and current market conditions.
Key Patterns and Levels
Descending Channel:
The price has been moving within a descending channel, characterized by lower highs (LH) and lower lows (LL). The channel is defined by two parallel trendlines (in white) that indicate a downtrend.
The descending channel suggests bearish momentum as the price continues to make lower highs and lower lows.
Support/Resistance Levels:
Support/Resistance Inside Channel: A notable level within the channel where the price has repeatedly found support or resistance, marked by dashed horizontal lines.
4HR LQZ (Liquidity Zones): Two critical liquidity zones at 2447.5 and 2432.4, acting as major support and resistance levels. These zones are crucial as they represent areas where significant buying or selling activity has occurred.
Highs and Lows:
Higher High (HH): The highest point reached before the price entered the descending channel, indicating a peak in bullish momentum.
Lower High (LH): The lower high within the descending channel, showing the continuation of the bearish trend.
Daily Bull Flag:
The price is approaching the upper boundary of a daily bull flag pattern (marked in yellow), suggesting a potential bullish breakout if the price can sustain above this level.
Current Market Conditions:
Support/Resistance Retest: The price recently tested the resistance level at 2474.9 within the 4HR LQZ and pulled back slightly, indicating the presence of sellers at this level.
Potential Breakout: The price is attempting to break above the descending channel and the 4HR LQZ, which could signal a reversal of the downtrend if confirmed by sustained buying pressure.
Additional Insights:
Dollar Interaction: The inset chart shows the US Dollar index coming into a support/resistance level within its own channel, providing additional context to the gold movement.
Market Sentiment: The overall market sentiment and external factors such as economic data releases and geopolitical events can also influence the price movement of gold.
Conclusion:
The XAUUSD is currently at a critical juncture, testing key resistance levels within a descending channel. A successful breakout above the 4HR LQZ and the descending channel could signal a bullish reversal, while failure to break these levels may result in continued bearish pressure.
This Simple Error Cost Me Big on XAUUSD! Learn From My Mistakes!Key Levels and Zones
Highs and Lows:
HH (Higher High) and LH (Lower High) are marked on the chart.
The chart shows a recent HH and LH indicating a bullish trend with a potential pullback.
Liquidity Zones (LQZ):
4HR LQZ at 2474.891: This zone might act as a significant resistance level.
4HR LQZ at 2432.126 - 2432.046: This zone was previously a resistance level that may now act as support.
4HR LQZ at 2348.453: Another support zone lower on the chart.
Daily Bull Flag:
A daily bull flag is drawn, suggesting a potential continuation of the bullish trend if the price breaks out upwards.
Trading Plan
Identify Key Zones:
Mark key support and resistance levels on your trading platform.
Wait for Confirmation:
Look for confirmation signals (candlestick patterns, volume spikes) before entering a trade.
Set Alerts:
Use trading alerts to get notified when the price reaches key levels.
Risk Management:
Always use a stop loss to protect your capital.
Ensure your risk-reward ratio is at least 1:2.
Review and Adjust:
Regularly review your trades and adjust your strategy based on market conditions.
NAS100USD (THE PRICE BETWEEN TWO TURNING LEVEL ) ( 1D )NAS100USD
HELLO TRADERS
Tendency , the price inside two turning level around 19,058 & 18,371 .
TURNING LEVEL (1) : the price of this level at 19,058 , so if the price breaking this level reach a resistance level (1) .
TURNING LEVEL (2) : the price of this level at 18,371 , so if the price breaking this level reach a support level (1) .
RESISTANCE LEVEL (1) : this level around 19,848 , for reach this resistance level the price need breaking a turning level (1) .
RESISTANCE LEVEL (2) : around 20,688 , for reach this level it will be breaking by open 4h or 1h candle above resistance level (1)
SUPPORT LEVEL (1) : this level around 17,047 , for reach this support level the price need breaking a turning level (2) .
SUPPORT LEVEL (2) : support level at 15,811 , for reach this level will be breaking by open 4h candle below support level (1) .
CORRECTIVE LEVEL : currently price 19,044 , have two scenario , first corrective turning level (1), before dropping to touch a turning level (2) , then breaking this level reach a support level (1), second corrective turning level (2) , to reach a turning level (1) , then breaking this level reach a resistance level (1).
TARGET LEVEL :
RESISTANCE LEVEL : 19,848 , 20,688 .
SUPPORT LEVEL : 17,047 , 15,811.
Gold at Crossroads: Breakout or Breakdown? Dont Miss It!Technical Breakdown for XAUUSD
Impulsive Move and Correction:
The price made an impulsive move upwards, indicating strong bullish momentum initially.
After reaching the peak, the price began to form a correction pattern, which typically suggests that the trend might continue in the same direction after the correction is complete.
Descending Channel:
Within the correction, a descending channel formed. This pattern often indicates that once the correction is over, the price may break out in the direction of the original move (downwards in this case).
Liquidity Zones (LQZ):
1HR LQZ / Reversal: The current price is around the 1-hour Liquidity Zone, a critical area where buyers or sellers are likely to step in, potentially causing a reversal or significant price movement.
4HR LQZ: A longer-term liquidity zone that acts as a strong support level, where price may react and change direction.
Daily LQZ: Another significant support level on a daily timeframe that can influence long-term price movements.
Key Observations:
Lower High (LH): The chart shows a lower high, suggesting a potential bearish trend continuation.
Correction Pattern: The price forming a correction pattern within the descending channel indicates that traders should watch for a potential breakout, likely to continue the downtrend.
Trading Insights:
Trend Continuation:
The correction pattern within the descending channel suggests a possible continuation of the downtrend. Traders might look for breakout signals below the channel to confirm this move.
Reversal Potential:
If the price holds at the 1HR LQZ or breaks above the descending channel, it could signal a bullish reversal, providing an opportunity for upward trades.
Key Levels to Monitor:
1HR LQZ: Watch for price reactions around this level for potential short-term trading opportunities.
4HR and Daily LQZ: These levels are crucial for identifying long-term support and resistance, offering potential entry and exit points based on how the price interacts with them.
Summary
Understanding impulsive moves, correction patterns, and liquidity zones can significantly enhance your trading strategy. By observing how price reacts at these key levels and patterns, you can make more informed trading decisions. Watch for breakout signals from the correction pattern and monitor the liquidity zones for significant price reactions to identify potential trading opportunities.
SHIB/USDT Trading ScenarioAmid the overall negativity in the cryptocurrency market, SHIB has significantly dropped in price, falling from a local high of $0.00004605 to $0.00001272. This decline amounts to more than 70%. The asset's price has nearly reached a range of global interest among participants, as confirmed by the volume profile. Currently, there is an attempt to recover the price and consolidate below the downward-sloping resistance level.
We can anticipate a breakout of the downward-sloping resistance level, followed by consolidation above it and further price growth. The resistance level may be at $0.00002963.
However, the possibility of continued price decline should not be ruled out, with a potential drop to the Point of Control (POC) at $0.00001032 and a subsequent bounce from that level.
USDCHF: Multiple Rejections, Strong Bullish Leg ExpectedPrice has recently rejected support on multiple occasions, and a double bottom pattern appears to be emerging on the daily (D) timeframe. Additionally, multiple rejections on the 4-hour (4H) timeframe further strengthen our bullish bias. I expect the price to continue in a strong upward trajectory.
**Rationale:**
~ Breakout of Descending Channel (D)
~ Retest of Support (D)
~ Break of Uptrend line (D)
~ Double Bottom Pattern (D)
~ Retest of Support (4H)
~ Rejection Candlesticks (4H)
**Disclaimer:**
My trading ideas are market predictions and therefore should be viewed as such. As an intraday trader (scalper), I use my observations to identify potential trade opportunities on the higher time frames. I then aim to pinpoint key entry points on the lower time frames. Entries should always be verified by additional confirmations.
---
#scalping
#intraday
Bullish Divergence + Pinbar in TLTI'll start with the weekly RSI bullish divergence off the 2022 and 2023 yearly lows. In addition to that, there is also a nice bullish pinbar on the 4M chart. This also hints to a possible bottom/bullish reversal. Price is now pushing against the trendline resistance (from Mar 23' to Jul 24'). Once price is able to break and hold this area it could really start moving. There is some overhead resistance that the market will need to overcome and I expect plenty of volatility, so safest play may be to have a stop just below the 23' lows and then stay hands off and give it room to run.
GBPUSD & DXY Forex Update: Key Triggers and Market Insights📅 Today, we're diving into the Forex market, specifically analyzing the GBPUSD pair. Previously, we examined this pair on the weekly time frame, and now I’ll provide an update with new entry points marked on the chart.
🔄 Weekly Time Frame Analysis
In our previous analysis, we identified 1.28019 as the first long trigger on the weekly chart. The price has since stabilized above this level and even activated the 59.01 trigger on the RSI. As mentioned before, the next target is 1.31921, and with a 230-pip distance, this level can offer a significant profit to those who entered long positions following the breakout.
🧲 Curved Trend Line
We also have a curved trend line in this area, which can inject substantial momentum into the market and push the price upwards. If this trend line breaks, we can expect a trend reversal and a potential downward move.
📊 Trend Health Check
Checking the health of the trend, we notice that each successive bullish wave has weakened while the red candles remain powerful. However, the RSI shows no signs of trend weakness or divergence, and the price has managed to create a higher high. Thus, despite the weakened upward trend, the price has managed to start a robust new trend and cover its previous weaknesses.
📈 Target and Rest Period
Upon reaching 1.31921, the price will likely take a rest before creating new market structures, allowing us to find new triggers for decisions. If this area breaks, the next target on the weekly chart is 1.36736.
📉 Bearish Scenario
If the price reverses the entire recent upward move and breaks the curved trend line, activating the 1.26262 trigger, we can expect a downward movement. The main trigger is 1.23585, with targets at 1.20909 and 1.18253.
📅 Daily Time Frame Analysis
Let's examine the daily time frame to observe price behavior in more detail. After multiple tests of the 1.28019 resistance, the price finally stabilized above it, driven significantly by the recent US CPI news which weakened the US dollar, causing pairs against the dollar to rise.
📰 US CPI Impact
The US CPI report showed a decrease in inflation, causing the DXY to drop. Lower inflation reduces investment appeal in the country, leading to a weaker currency. As the dollar weakens, pairs like GBPUSD rise.
💣 RSI and Momentum
The RSI has entered the overbought (OB) zone, indicating strong bullish momentum in the market. The price hasn't taken a break, showing only one red candle in the last 12 and forming no structures for a clear trigger.
🎈 SMA99
As previously mentioned, the SMA99 acts like a black hole, pulling prices towards it if they move too far away. Currently, the price isn't too far from the SMA99, suggesting more upward movement potential. However, if it moves too far, the SMA99's "black hole" effect could come into play.
📈 Long Position Strategy
For a long position in this time frame, we should wait for the price to form a new structure. We could also look at lower time frames like 4-hour or 1-hour charts to find suitable long triggers. In this time frame, patience is key before opening a long position.
📉 Short Position Strategy
The short position trigger remains the same as on the weekly chart. We need to wait for the curved trend line to break and activate the 1.26262 or 1.23585 triggers.
🔍 DXY Chart Analysis
The DXY chart on the daily time frame shows a large ascending triangle, with a previous false breakout and a move back up from the 100.883 support. The recent upward move failed to reach the 107.017 resistance and turned back from 106.338, a strong supply area making it difficult for the price to stabilize above this range.
🔫 Short-Term DXY View
On a smaller scale, the DXY has a ranging box between 104.039 and 106.338. The recent upward move couldn’t reach the box ceiling, and with the main ceiling at 107.017, this confirms significant upward trend weakness.
🪓 RSI Confirmation
A drop below 38.71 in the RSI confirms the entry of bearish momentum into the market. If the price breaks the ascending trend line and stabilizes below 104.039, downward momentum will drive the market.
📰 Fundamental Weakness in USD
As highlighted in the GBPUSD analysis, the USD is weakening fundamentally, adding another layer of confirmation for a potential DXY decline.
🎯 DXY Targets
The initial target for a DXY drop is 102.688, with a second target at 100.883. Upon reaching these targets, the price will likely range for an extended period, forming a new structure for either a drop or a rise.
🧠💼 Always remember that trading futures involves inherent risks, and improper risk management can lead to margin calls. Stick to your capital management principles and use stop-loss orders, aiming for an initial risk-to-reward ratio of 2.
🫶 If you found this analysis helpful and want to support me, please like and share this analysis. Feel free to leave your comments or suggest a coin you'd like me to analyze next.
Bitcoin: Exploring Long-Term and Short-Term Scenarios📅 Let's dive into today's analysis, focusing on Bitcoin in the 1D time frame to examine both long-term and short-term scenarios.
🔍 Daily Time Frame Analysis
Bitcoin has experienced a decline after breaking the support at 60303, producing a large, high-volume candle and also breaking the 58429 level. However, it has not yet managed to stabilize below this area and is currently in a resting phase.
⌛️ Recent Market Behavior
Not much time has passed since the last analysis, and as predicted, after the selloff candle, the market entered a ranging phase with reduced volatility. This has indeed occurred, with volume decreasing during the ranging market. The long upper shadows on recent candles indicate that sellers have the upper hand and bearish momentum is present.
🧲 SMA25 Analysis
The SMA25 indicator had moved away from the candles, contributing to the market's ranging and pullback behavior. One of the properties of moving averages is that they attract the price towards themselves like a black hole, or the price ranges until the moving average reaches it. As the SMA25 approaches the candles, we can expect new bearish momentum to enter the market. If the price stabilizes above this moving average, the trend could potentially become bullish again. Confirmation of this breakout would be with a candle stabilizing above 60303.
📊 Volume Analysis
The volume is strongly confirming the trend. During declines, the volume increases, and during upward corrections, the volume decreases. This indicates that the volume is converging with the Medium Wave Cycle (MWC) trend and could also influence the High Wave Cycle (HWC) trend.
📈 Bullish Confirmation
Relying solely on SMA for bullish confirmation is not very reliable due to its high error rate. From a price action perspective, if we want to confirm a bullish market, we can expect the price to move upwards with stabilization above the 63018 area. The target for this move could be the next resistance at 71607. Breaking 45.39 in the RSI can also confirm this upward breakout.
📉 Bearish Scenarios
In case of further market decline, there is a significant support around the 55k area, which is more visible in the 4-hour time frame and coincides with the 0.5 Fibonacci level. If this area is broken, we can expect the price to move at least to the 0.618 area, which is a logical target from a price action perspective and lies between 50k and 53k. This is a very important area that can prevent further price decline. The last support is at 46969, and if the price stabilizes below this support, the HWC trend in Bitcoin will change from bullish to bearish.
🛒 Buying Strategy in Spot
For buying Bitcoin in the spot market, it is better to wait until buying volume enters the market and the price stabilizes above 63471. This assumes the price moves upwards without creating a ranging box for buying. If the price ranges in the current area, we can buy upon breaking the range ceiling. If the price starts to decline, we can buy spot with confirmation from candles in the 50k or 46k areas. Be sure to manage your capital and set stop-losses to limit potential losses if the market declines further.
🧠💼 Always remember that trading futures involves inherent risks, and improper risk management can lead to margin calls. Stick to your capital management principles and use stop-loss orders, aiming for an initial risk-to-reward ratio of 2.
🫶 If you found this analysis helpful and want to support me, please like and share this analysis. Feel free to leave your comments or suggest a coin you'd like me to analyze next.
Well This Isn't A Good Look For BitcoinIt's been a hard couple of weeks in the crypto markets, and it is not looking much better when you zoom out to the weekly timeframe. The Logical Trading Indicator is flashing a sell signal on this week's candle which means that we have some serious downward momentum hitting the Bitcoin market.
For you new guys, this means that there is way more selling pressure coming into the market than buying pressure. Trading is nothing but a game of supply and demand. My thought is that the Bitcoin ETF news event earlier in the year caused us to go into an early cycle that broke all time highs WAY too soon. Now we are paying the price for that, literally...
Now that the big boys of Wall Street are manipulating the price, there is no telling what is going to happen. As retail traders, we just need to be able to catch and ride the waves because we don't have enough capital to move the price on our own anymore.
What I see happening is that if this weekly candle closes with this sell signal, that will drive the price of Bitcoin down closer to the next somewhat level of market structure, which is around $50k. After that, the next solid level is around $37K-$40K. Not saying it's going to happen, we all want to be optimistic about the price, but we have to face reality that Wall Street wants cheaper Bitcoin so they are going to short futures until they get it to the price they want to buy it at. Once they get their fill, then we could see some real fire works when it comes to a pump in price, but we just have to be patient and ride their wake for a while until it happens.
It's very important to not get caught up in the noise on social media and focus on the data in the charts. Fundamentally, Bitcoin is not making any changes. The only news is about regulations and on and off ramps, but nothing about the actual blockchain or it's mechanics. So based on that, BTC traders can really just focus on price movements for now. Don't let a small price pump fool you either, Wall Street wants cheaper Bitcoin, and they will get what they want.
Now on the flip side of this, if we hold this level as support, which honestly is not looking like the case as of this post, but if buyers do hold this level, we look at this dump as a shake out and may start the next leg up. So again, we have to be ready for anything. This is really why I just let the Logical Trading Indicator tell me when it's time to pay attention and when to trade.
Are you bears ready for another ride down? Or are you bulls gearing up for a moonshot?
Be careful out there in these volatile markets and trade logically!
EURO - Price can bounce down from resistance line to $1.0740Hi guys, this is my overview for EURUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
A few moments ago price declined to support line and at once bounced and in a short time rose to resistance line.
After this, EUR turned around and made downward impulse to support line, breaking $1.0840 level again.
Then price rose to resistance line again, after which fell to support level, and some time traded between it.
Later Euro started to grow inside rising channel, where it made a gap, after which continued to move up.
At the moment, price trades near resistance line, so, I think that EUR can bounce down from this line to $1.0740
If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
SWING IDEA - PUNJABCHEMStock has been on Lower High Lower Low Pattern since mid 2021.
New Higher High and Higher Low Pattern seems to be in play since May 2023.
Could the stock be following the new Trendline and go further upward?
If all is well, the stock could visit until the next Support/Resistance zone.
XrpUsd - Rally back to previous resistance (+100%)?BITSTAMP:XRPUSD is one of the most interesting cryptocurrencies for potential setups in the near future.
For a couple of years now, XrpUsd has been trading in a symmetrical triangle trading pattern. Always when XrpUsd retested support in the past, we simply saw a very nice rejection away towards the upside. And as we are speaking, XrpUsd is once again retesting such a confluence of support from which we could see a rally towards the upside. Target is the previous resistance of the triangle pattern.
Levels to watch: $0.491, $0.911
Keep your long term vision,
Philip - BasicTrading
USDCHF: Key Level Rejection, Fibonacci Retracement ExpectedPrice recently broke out of the daily (D) descending channel. It then pushed up to meet the daily (D) 50% Fibonacci retracement level, converging with resistance. Price then rejected this level and pushed down to retest support before breaking out of the four-hour (4H) downtrend line, suggesting strong bullish momentum. Price then pushed up and reached the daily (D) key level and converged with yet another 50% Fibonacci level. Price has proceeded to reject this level, highlighting temporary reversal and suggesting a possible retracement. I expect price to temporarily retrace to around the 38.2% level before continuing to the upside.
**Rationale:**
**Rationale:**
~ (L1): Breakout of channel (D)
~ (L2): Retest of support (D)
~ (L3): Break of trendline (4H)
~ (L4): Retest of support
~ (L5): Fib retracement convergence + Rejection
~ (F1): 38.3% Fib retracement
**Disclaimer:**
My trading ideas are market predictions and therefore should be viewed as such. As an intraday trader (scalper), I use my observations to identify potential trade opportunities on the higher time frames. I then aim to pinpoint key entry points on the lower time frames. Entries should always be verified by additional confirmations.
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#scalping
#intraday
Psychological Levels and Round Numbers in Technical Analysis
When traders analyze the key levels, quite often then neglect the psychological levels in trading.
In this article, we will discuss what are the psychological levels and how to identify them .
What is Psychological Level?
Let's start with the definition.
Psychological level is a price level on a chart that has a strong significance for the market participants due to the round numbers.
By the round numbers, I imply the whole numbers that are multiples of 5, 10, 100, etc.
These levels act as strong supports and resistances and the points of interest of the market participants.
Take a look at 2 important psychological levels on EURGBP: 0.95 and 0.82. As the market approached these levels, we saw a strong reaction of the price to them.
Why Psychological Levels Work?
And here is why the psychological levels work:
Research in behavioral finance has shown that individuals exhibit a tendency to anchor their judgments and decisions to round numbers.
Such a decision-making can be attributed to the cognitive biases.
Quite often, these levels act as reference points for the market participants for setting entry, exit points and placing stop-loss orders.
Bad Psychological Levels?
However, one should remember that not all price levels based on round numbers are significant.
When one is looking for an important psychological level, he should take into consideration the historical price action.
Here are the round number based levels that I identified on AUDUSD on a weekly time frame.
After all such levels are underlined, check the historical price action and make sure that the market reacted to that at least one time in the recent past.
With the circles, I highlighted the recent reaction to the underlined levels. Such ones we will keep on the chart, while others should be removed.
Here are the psychological levels and proved their significance with a recent historical price action.
From these levels, we will look for trading opportunities.
Market Reaction to Psychological Levels
Please, note that psychological levels may trigger various reactions of the market participants.
For instance, a price approaching a round number may trigger feelings of greed, leading to increased selling pressure as traders seek to lock in profits.
Alternatively, a breakout above/below a psychological level can trigger buying/selling activity as traders anticipate further price momentum.
For that reason, it is very important to monitor the price action around such levels and look for confirmations .
Learn to identify psychological levels. They are very powerful and for you, they can become a source of tremendous profits.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️