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Supportandresitance

Bullish Divergence + Pinbar in TLTI'll start with the weekly RSI bullish divergence off the 2022 and 2023 yearly lows. In addition to that, there is also a nice bullish pinbar on the 4M chart. This also hints to a possible bottom/bullish reversal. Price is now pushing against the trendline resistance (from Mar 23' to Jul 24'). Once price is able to break and hold this area it could really start moving. There is some overhead resistance that the market will need to overcome and I expect plenty of volatility, so safest play may be to have a stop just below the 23' lows and then stay hands off and give it room to run.
NASDAQ:TLTLong
by krugman87
1
GBPUSD & DXY Forex Update: Key Triggers and Market Insights📅 Today, we're diving into the Forex market, specifically analyzing the GBPUSD pair. Previously, we examined this pair on the weekly time frame, and now I’ll provide an update with new entry points marked on the chart. 🔄 Weekly Time Frame Analysis In our previous analysis, we identified 1.28019 as the first long trigger on the weekly chart. The price has since stabilized above this level and even activated the 59.01 trigger on the RSI. As mentioned before, the next target is 1.31921, and with a 230-pip distance, this level can offer a significant profit to those who entered long positions following the breakout. 🧲 Curved Trend Line We also have a curved trend line in this area, which can inject substantial momentum into the market and push the price upwards. If this trend line breaks, we can expect a trend reversal and a potential downward move. 📊 Trend Health Check Checking the health of the trend, we notice that each successive bullish wave has weakened while the red candles remain powerful. However, the RSI shows no signs of trend weakness or divergence, and the price has managed to create a higher high. Thus, despite the weakened upward trend, the price has managed to start a robust new trend and cover its previous weaknesses. 📈 Target and Rest Period Upon reaching 1.31921, the price will likely take a rest before creating new market structures, allowing us to find new triggers for decisions. If this area breaks, the next target on the weekly chart is 1.36736. 📉 Bearish Scenario If the price reverses the entire recent upward move and breaks the curved trend line, activating the 1.26262 trigger, we can expect a downward movement. The main trigger is 1.23585, with targets at 1.20909 and 1.18253. 📅 Daily Time Frame Analysis Let's examine the daily time frame to observe price behavior in more detail. After multiple tests of the 1.28019 resistance, the price finally stabilized above it, driven significantly by the recent US CPI news which weakened the US dollar, causing pairs against the dollar to rise. 📰 US CPI Impact The US CPI report showed a decrease in inflation, causing the DXY to drop. Lower inflation reduces investment appeal in the country, leading to a weaker currency. As the dollar weakens, pairs like GBPUSD rise. 💣 RSI and Momentum The RSI has entered the overbought (OB) zone, indicating strong bullish momentum in the market. The price hasn't taken a break, showing only one red candle in the last 12 and forming no structures for a clear trigger. 🎈 SMA99 As previously mentioned, the SMA99 acts like a black hole, pulling prices towards it if they move too far away. Currently, the price isn't too far from the SMA99, suggesting more upward movement potential. However, if it moves too far, the SMA99's "black hole" effect could come into play. 📈 Long Position Strategy For a long position in this time frame, we should wait for the price to form a new structure. We could also look at lower time frames like 4-hour or 1-hour charts to find suitable long triggers. In this time frame, patience is key before opening a long position. 📉 Short Position Strategy The short position trigger remains the same as on the weekly chart. We need to wait for the curved trend line to break and activate the 1.26262 or 1.23585 triggers. 🔍 DXY Chart Analysis The DXY chart on the daily time frame shows a large ascending triangle, with a previous false breakout and a move back up from the 100.883 support. The recent upward move failed to reach the 107.017 resistance and turned back from 106.338, a strong supply area making it difficult for the price to stabilize above this range. 🔫 Short-Term DXY View On a smaller scale, the DXY has a ranging box between 104.039 and 106.338. The recent upward move couldn’t reach the box ceiling, and with the main ceiling at 107.017, this confirms significant upward trend weakness. 🪓 RSI Confirmation A drop below 38.71 in the RSI confirms the entry of bearish momentum into the market. If the price breaks the ascending trend line and stabilizes below 104.039, downward momentum will drive the market. 📰 Fundamental Weakness in USD As highlighted in the GBPUSD analysis, the USD is weakening fundamentally, adding another layer of confirmation for a potential DXY decline. 🎯 DXY Targets The initial target for a DXY drop is 102.688, with a second target at 100.883. Upon reaching these targets, the price will likely range for an extended period, forming a new structure for either a drop or a rise. 🧠💼 Always remember that trading futures involves inherent risks, and improper risk management can lead to margin calls. Stick to your capital management principles and use stop-loss orders, aiming for an initial risk-to-reward ratio of 2. 🫶 If you found this analysis helpful and want to support me, please like and share this analysis. Feel free to leave your comments or suggest a coin you'd like me to analyze next.
Long
by itsparham96
1
Bitcoin: Exploring Long-Term and Short-Term Scenarios📅 Let's dive into today's analysis, focusing on Bitcoin in the 1D time frame to examine both long-term and short-term scenarios. 🔍 Daily Time Frame Analysis Bitcoin has experienced a decline after breaking the support at 60303, producing a large, high-volume candle and also breaking the 58429 level. However, it has not yet managed to stabilize below this area and is currently in a resting phase. ⌛️ Recent Market Behavior Not much time has passed since the last analysis, and as predicted, after the selloff candle, the market entered a ranging phase with reduced volatility. This has indeed occurred, with volume decreasing during the ranging market. The long upper shadows on recent candles indicate that sellers have the upper hand and bearish momentum is present. 🧲 SMA25 Analysis The SMA25 indicator had moved away from the candles, contributing to the market's ranging and pullback behavior. One of the properties of moving averages is that they attract the price towards themselves like a black hole, or the price ranges until the moving average reaches it. As the SMA25 approaches the candles, we can expect new bearish momentum to enter the market. If the price stabilizes above this moving average, the trend could potentially become bullish again. Confirmation of this breakout would be with a candle stabilizing above 60303. 📊 Volume Analysis The volume is strongly confirming the trend. During declines, the volume increases, and during upward corrections, the volume decreases. This indicates that the volume is converging with the Medium Wave Cycle (MWC) trend and could also influence the High Wave Cycle (HWC) trend. 📈 Bullish Confirmation Relying solely on SMA for bullish confirmation is not very reliable due to its high error rate. From a price action perspective, if we want to confirm a bullish market, we can expect the price to move upwards with stabilization above the 63018 area. The target for this move could be the next resistance at 71607. Breaking 45.39 in the RSI can also confirm this upward breakout. 📉 Bearish Scenarios In case of further market decline, there is a significant support around the 55k area, which is more visible in the 4-hour time frame and coincides with the 0.5 Fibonacci level. If this area is broken, we can expect the price to move at least to the 0.618 area, which is a logical target from a price action perspective and lies between 50k and 53k. This is a very important area that can prevent further price decline. The last support is at 46969, and if the price stabilizes below this support, the HWC trend in Bitcoin will change from bullish to bearish. 🛒 Buying Strategy in Spot For buying Bitcoin in the spot market, it is better to wait until buying volume enters the market and the price stabilizes above 63471. This assumes the price moves upwards without creating a ranging box for buying. If the price ranges in the current area, we can buy upon breaking the range ceiling. If the price starts to decline, we can buy spot with confirmation from candles in the 50k or 46k areas. Be sure to manage your capital and set stop-losses to limit potential losses if the market declines further. 🧠💼 Always remember that trading futures involves inherent risks, and improper risk management can lead to margin calls. Stick to your capital management principles and use stop-loss orders, aiming for an initial risk-to-reward ratio of 2. 🫶 If you found this analysis helpful and want to support me, please like and share this analysis. Feel free to leave your comments or suggest a coin you'd like me to analyze next.
Short
by itsparham96
Well This Isn't A Good Look For BitcoinIt's been a hard couple of weeks in the crypto markets, and it is not looking much better when you zoom out to the weekly timeframe. The Logical Trading Indicator is flashing a sell signal on this week's candle which means that we have some serious downward momentum hitting the Bitcoin market. For you new guys, this means that there is way more selling pressure coming into the market than buying pressure. Trading is nothing but a game of supply and demand. My thought is that the Bitcoin ETF news event earlier in the year caused us to go into an early cycle that broke all time highs WAY too soon. Now we are paying the price for that, literally... Now that the big boys of Wall Street are manipulating the price, there is no telling what is going to happen. As retail traders, we just need to be able to catch and ride the waves because we don't have enough capital to move the price on our own anymore. What I see happening is that if this weekly candle closes with this sell signal, that will drive the price of Bitcoin down closer to the next somewhat level of market structure, which is around $50k. After that, the next solid level is around $37K-$40K. Not saying it's going to happen, we all want to be optimistic about the price, but we have to face reality that Wall Street wants cheaper Bitcoin so they are going to short futures until they get it to the price they want to buy it at. Once they get their fill, then we could see some real fire works when it comes to a pump in price, but we just have to be patient and ride their wake for a while until it happens. It's very important to not get caught up in the noise on social media and focus on the data in the charts. Fundamentally, Bitcoin is not making any changes. The only news is about regulations and on and off ramps, but nothing about the actual blockchain or it's mechanics. So based on that, BTC traders can really just focus on price movements for now. Don't let a small price pump fool you either, Wall Street wants cheaper Bitcoin, and they will get what they want. Now on the flip side of this, if we hold this level as support, which honestly is not looking like the case as of this post, but if buyers do hold this level, we look at this dump as a shake out and may start the next leg up. So again, we have to be ready for anything. This is really why I just let the Logical Trading Indicator tell me when it's time to pay attention and when to trade. Are you bears ready for another ride down? Or are you bulls gearing up for a moonshot? Be careful out there in these volatile markets and trade logically!
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by thelogicaldude
EURO - Price can bounce down from resistance line to $1.0740Hi guys, this is my overview for EURUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊 A few moments ago price declined to support line and at once bounced and in a short time rose to resistance line. After this, EUR turned around and made downward impulse to support line, breaking $1.0840 level again. Then price rose to resistance line again, after which fell to support level, and some time traded between it. Later Euro started to grow inside rising channel, where it made a gap, after which continued to move up. At the moment, price trades near resistance line, so, I think that EUR can bounce down from this line to $1.0740 If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
Short
by WalterMoon
3
XrpUsd - Rally back to previous resistance (+100%)?BITSTAMP:XRPUSD is one of the most interesting cryptocurrencies for potential setups in the near future. For a couple of years now, XrpUsd has been trading in a symmetrical triangle trading pattern. Always when XrpUsd retested support in the past, we simply saw a very nice rejection away towards the upside. And as we are speaking, XrpUsd is once again retesting such a confluence of support from which we could see a rally towards the upside. Target is the previous resistance of the triangle pattern. Levels to watch: $0.491, $0.911 Keep your long term vision, Philip - BasicTrading
BITSTAMP:XRPUSDLong
by basictradingtv
5
USDCHF: Key Level Rejection, Fibonacci Retracement ExpectedPrice recently broke out of the daily (D) descending channel. It then pushed up to meet the daily (D) 50% Fibonacci retracement level, converging with resistance. Price then rejected this level and pushed down to retest support before breaking out of the four-hour (4H) downtrend line, suggesting strong bullish momentum. Price then pushed up and reached the daily (D) key level and converged with yet another 50% Fibonacci level. Price has proceeded to reject this level, highlighting temporary reversal and suggesting a possible retracement. I expect price to temporarily retrace to around the 38.2% level before continuing to the upside. **Rationale:** **Rationale:** ~ (L1): Breakout of channel (D) ~ (L2): Retest of support (D) ~ (L3): Break of trendline (4H) ~ (L4): Retest of support ~ (L5): Fib retracement convergence + Rejection ~ (F1): 38.3% Fib retracement **Disclaimer:** My trading ideas are market predictions and therefore should be viewed as such. As an intraday trader (scalper), I use my observations to identify potential trade opportunities on the higher time frames. I then aim to pinpoint key entry points on the lower time frames. Entries should always be verified by additional confirmations. --- #scalping #intraday
Short
by Forexity
Psychological Levels and Round Numbers in Technical Analysis When traders analyze the key levels, quite often then neglect the psychological levels in trading. In this article, we will discuss what are the psychological levels and how to identify them . What is Psychological Level? Let's start with the definition. Psychological level is a price level on a chart that has a strong significance for the market participants due to the round numbers. By the round numbers, I imply the whole numbers that are multiples of 5, 10, 100, etc. These levels act as strong supports and resistances and the points of interest of the market participants. Take a look at 2 important psychological levels on EURGBP: 0.95 and 0.82. As the market approached these levels, we saw a strong reaction of the price to them. Why Psychological Levels Work? And here is why the psychological levels work: Research in behavioral finance has shown that individuals exhibit a tendency to anchor their judgments and decisions to round numbers. Such a decision-making can be attributed to the cognitive biases. Quite often, these levels act as reference points for the market participants for setting entry, exit points and placing stop-loss orders. Bad Psychological Levels? However, one should remember that not all price levels based on round numbers are significant. When one is looking for an important psychological level, he should take into consideration the historical price action. Here are the round number based levels that I identified on AUDUSD on a weekly time frame. After all such levels are underlined, check the historical price action and make sure that the market reacted to that at least one time in the recent past. With the circles, I highlighted the recent reaction to the underlined levels. Such ones we will keep on the chart, while others should be removed. Here are the psychological levels and proved their significance with a recent historical price action. From these levels, we will look for trading opportunities. Market Reaction to Psychological Levels Please, note that psychological levels may trigger various reactions of the market participants. For instance, a price approaching a round number may trigger feelings of greed, leading to increased selling pressure as traders seek to lock in profits. Alternatively, a breakout above/below a psychological level can trigger buying/selling activity as traders anticipate further price momentum. For that reason, it is very important to monitor the price action around such levels and look for confirmations . Learn to identify psychological levels. They are very powerful and for you, they can become a source of tremendous profits. ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDEducation
by VasilyTrader
1
XAUUSD Forecast for Monday, June 24th 2024This publication offers insightful forex analysis leveraging the smart money concept, focusing on understanding market movements driven by institutional traders and major players. Through meticulous support and resistance analysis, it provides a comprehensive view of key price levels and potential market turning points. By combining these strategies, the analysis aims to uncover strategic entry and exit points, empowering traders with valuable insights into market dynamics and optimal trading decisions.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TheForexHack
AUDUSD Multiple Rejections of Support In this analysis, I'm examining a consolidation pattern. Price is showing signs of rejection, and therefore has the potential for (temporary) long positions. AUDUSD has been consolidating within a rectangle pattern (on the 4-hour chart) for some time. Price has previously rejected support on multiple occasions, suggesting it may do so again. We have observed a long-wick candlestick rejecting the key level of support and a breakout of the downtrend line. I will be closely monitoring price for a trend change confirmation, specifically looking for higher highs and higher lows. --- At Forexity: my trading ideas are market predictions and therefore should be viewed as such. As an intraday trader (scalper), I use my observations to identify potential trade opportunities on the higher time frames. I then aim to pinpoint key entry points on the lower time frames. Entries should always be verified by additional confirmations. --- #scalping #intraday #daytrading
Long
by Forexity
1
GBPUSD Retest before continuing to the downsideI anticipate price will retest (to at least) the recent ascending channel lower band breakout, before continuing to the downside. --- At Forexity: my trading ideas are market predictions and therefore should be viewed as such. As an intraday trader (scalper), I use my observations to identify potential trade opportunities on the higher time frames. I then aim to pinpoint key entry points on the lower time frames. Entries should always be verified by additional confirmations. --- #scalping #intraday #daytrading
by Forexity
XAUUSD Swing TrendXAUUSD Swing Trend Down Trend in my 3 Trends Analysis Open a Sell position when the price reaches the FVG zone and make a Reversal Pattern which is close to the Cancel Minor Trend line which is a short Stop Loss point and is also a significant line from the POC of Volume Normal Distribution above. Still looking down And the downward momentum will look better when the price drops below 2280. The target is to drop in the area of ​​2200 - 2150 which is the lower support zone. Things to be careful about: Time Cycle, the latest low was exactly 21 days, so this set of downtrends should break the Low to head down for 34 days, according to the Fibonacci proportion. Trade with faith in your beliefs and follow your own plan. C.Goii SuperTrader
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by CoachGoii_SuperTrader
Solana Targets $140 Then $116Keeping this Technical Analysis simple. We need to stay above $160 or the $140 demand zone we be more likely for a bounce. IF THE $140 LEVEL FAILS, WE CAN LOOK AT $116 NEXT FOR THE MOST LIQUIDITY FOR A BOUNCE. Calculate Your Risk/Reward so you don't lose more than 1% of your account per trade. Every day the charts provide new information. You have to adjust or get REKT. Love it or hate it, hit that thumbs up and share your thoughts below! This is not financial advice. This is for educational purposes only.
by Navitility
GBPAUD Trade Setup: Bearish ChannelGBPAUD has piqued my interest from a mid to long-term perspective. I'm looking at two potential shorting opportunities: Key Levels: - Short Entry on Resistance Retest: 1.9212 - Bearish Channel Indication: As long as this channel isn't violated, it strengthens the bearish bias. I'll be looking for shorting opportunities on both the 4-hourly and 1-hourly charts based on these indications. What's your trade plan for GBPAUD? Comment down below and share your thoughts! Happy trading!
Short
by RaynLim
AUDNZD | Short H4 | Market Exe | Trade-Related TradeTechnical Confluences for Trade: - Stochastics are in Overbought Conditions on H1 & H4 time-frame - Price action is close to a Supply Zone (Blue Area) & has Resistance Trendlines around - Aiming for the 38.2% Fibo retracement to TP Fundamental Confluences for Trade: - Nothing much can dictate the movement of this FX pair as they are heavily trade-related. Any major movement will come from supply-demand areas, monetary policies or economic data gyrations. Suggested Trade: Entry @ Area of Interest 1.0970 - 1.1010 SL @ 1.1060 TP 1 @ 1.0920 (Close Half-Position & move SL to Entry level once TP1 is achieved) TP 2 @ 1.0838 Risk-to-Reward @ Approx. 2.04 (Depending on Entry Level) ________________________________ Boosts 🚀, Follows ✌️, Shares 🙌 & Comments ✍️ are much appreciated! If you have any ideas or charts, do share them in the 'Comments' section below and we can discuss our perspectives to improve or strengthen our strategies. If you want something analyzed, do drop me a DM. :D ________________________________ Disclaimer: The above suggestion is an personal opinion in general and does not constitute as investment advice. Any decisions taken based on the above suggestion is purely your own risks. Any websites / brokers / applications suggested here are also provided as informational purpose only. ________________________________
Short
by weekendanalyst