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Suppyanddemand

NGAS Upside Risk on Supply-Demand DynamicsNatural Gas prices have been dropping over the past four months due to progress on renewable energy and hot weather being among the drivers. However, market could become tighter this year, with slower supply growth and an acceleration in demand, while key US drillers have slashed their 2024 outlook. Further Middle East hostilities after the Iranian hit on Israel, could affect traffic and push prices higher. On the technical front, the rejection of the EMA200 (black line) 23.6% Fibonacci of the 2024 high/low slump, make it vulnerable to new multi-year lows (1.523-13). Improving supply-demand dynamics though, can support a recovery towards the 38.2%, to what is a difficult technical path. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (trading as “FXCM” or “FXCM EU”), previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763). Please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this video are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interests arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed via FXCM`s website: Stratos Markets Limited clients please see: www.fxcm.com Stratos Europe Ltd clients please see: www.fxcm.com Stratos Trading Pty. Limited clients please see: www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC clients please see: www.fxcm.com Past Performance is not an indicator of future results.
FX:NGASLong
by FXCM
1
Identify & understand key supply and demand areas $SPYUnderstanding supply and demand is essential. Here’s a quick intro to how we can benefit as traders by using AMEX:SPY as an example. 1. Identifying Potential Entry and Exit Points: Supply zones represent areas where selling pressure exceeds buying pressure, potentially causing price to reverse. Demand zones, on the other hand, indicate areas where buying pressure exceeds selling pressure, potentially leading to price bouncing. Traders can use these zones to identify optimal entry and exit points for their trades. 2. Risk Management: By incorporating supply and demand zones into our analysis, traders can effectively manage risk. Placing stop-loss orders just beyond key supply and demand zones can help protect capital by minimizing losses if price moves against our positions. 3. Confirmation of Trading Signals: Supply and demand zones can act as confirmation for other trading signals, such as candlestick patterns or technical indicators. When these signals align with key supply or demand zones, it increases the probability of a successful trade. 4. Understanding Market Sentiment: Monitoring supply and demand zones can provide insights into market sentiment. For example, a strong demand zone being consistently respected may indicate bullish sentiment, while repeated failures to break above a supply zone may signal bearish sentiment. Understanding institutional & hedge funds impact 1. Liquidity Impact: Institutional buyers and “whales” often execute large orders that can significantly impact liquidity in the market. Their trades can absorb available liquidity, causing rapid price movements in the direction of their trades. 2. Price Manipulation: Institutional buyers and whales have the financial resources to manipulate prices in their favor. They may strategically place large orders to create artificial supply or demand zones, inducing retail traders to buy or sell, only to reverse the market direction once their positions are filled. 3. Market Direction Influence: Institutional traders and whales often have access to extensive research, data analysis, and insider information. Their trading activities can signal market trends and influence the direction of price movements, prompting retail traders to follow suit. 4. Impact on Support and Resistance Levels: The trading activities of institutional buyers and whales can lead to the formation of significant support and resistance levels. These levels often coincide with key supply and demand zones, making them important areas for traders to monitor. Understanding the behavior of institutional buyers and whales is essential because it provides insights into market dynamics and helps anticipate potential price movements. In conclusion, mastering the concepts of supply and demand zones can significantly enhance your trading prowess, especially when applied to instruments like $SPY. These zones serve as crucial indicators of market sentiment, providing valuable insights into potential price reversals and continuations. By incorporating supply and demand analysis into your trading strategy, you can identify optimal entry and exit points, manage risk effectively, and increase the probability of successful trades. Furthermore, understanding the influence of institutional buyers and whales adds another layer of depth to your trading analysis. Their substantial trading activities often shape market dynamics, influencing price movements and the formation of key support and resistance levels. By closely monitoring their actions alongside supply and demand zones, traders can gain a clearer understanding of market trends and make more informed decisions. Remember, trading is both an art and a science, requiring continuous learning and adaptation. Happy trading!
AMEX:SPY
by LegitElijaah
BTCUSD AnalysisBitcoin on weekly supply zone resistance, after rejecting from it the first time, obviously bitcoin is at the zone the second time, seeing the momentum weekly candle, Bitcoin might retrace 50% of the momentum candle. the possibility for bitcoin to take out the weekly supply zone(sell zone) is 50% compare to possibility for Bitcoin to retrace 50% of the momentum candle is 75%. the best location to trade Bitcoin is at the 50% of the momentum candle to go Bullish in to the weekly supply zone. Also note that the weekly bias for Bitcoin is bullish (on ascending trend line)
BITFINEX:BTCUSD
by ExtraOrdy
IDFC First Bank - Price Action AnalysisThe trend started from jun 2022 still continuing with the bullish price action in Weekly TF. Although Its visible that price soon enters into supply zone and also generated Bearish Cypher Harmonic Pattern with level of .786 at price 60.70. Levels are already mentioned in to the chart. Any rejection on upper side leads price to 50- 52. so do accordingly. If you have other opinion, please share your comment below and like & follow for upcoming great analysis. Safe Trading ;)
NSE:IDFCFIRSTBLong
by vraj8597
MARUTI - Price Action Analysis Weekly TFThe bull run of NSE:MARUTI has reached at the same levels where it was rejected earlier in Jan 2018. The same we can get using bearish harmonic shark pattern with level of .887 at the price of 9400 in weekly TF. So we can calculate Supply zone in-between the range of 9400- 9700. There will be higher chance of correction from here. BUY : Buying opportunity only comes either price will give breakout above 9700 and sustain with good momentum and volume. then next target will be 10500 which derived from the harmonic level of 1.131 SELL : Short opportunity only comes if price will start making LH-LL in daily TF with rejection confirmation candle that leads price again with level of 7700-8000 . So who carried from the long time can start to book their profit and new buyer and seller can wait for the either side of the confirmation. My view still at the bearish side because Auto sector has already given a good rally and now compare to negative global cues and all, some correction may happen over here. so do accordingly. If you have other opinion, please share your comment below and like & follow for upcoming great analysis. Safe Trading ;)
NSE:MARUTIShort
by vraj8597
2
Brent oil - Price Action Analysis Due to Ukraine-Russian war, CAPITALCOM:OIL_BRENT price was sharply accelerated But from Jun 2022 , price was making lower lows after unable to close the high and defeated. So how far it can go, for that we need to understand price action in higher time frame. Weekly TF (higher Timeframe) : After Pandemic deep , Price clearly making higher- highs and also bounced from taking support of dynamic trend line. At the end of the week , Price may get support from the same dynamic line but still we didn't get confirmation whether it will continue the trend or it is a reversal? That visibility is available in daily TF. Daily TF : After knowing from the higher TF (Weekly), we get a initial idea how's the price was reacted from dynamic trend line and also it is making falling wedge with structure of LH -LL. There are two possibility we can get over here : 1. Either this bounced from the trend line will sustains and price will break this wedge structure and makes Higher - highs. (P -1) 2. Price will again reject from the mention levels and following the trend. (P -2) In Conclusion , My observation still at the down side because there is no clear direction of structure breakout or change in price-action that supports any bullish price action. Buyers can wait till price comes at demand zone or you can follow the price action. Sellers can get opportunity when price reject from above mention levels and clear confirmation in terms of the volume and momentum. If you have a different opinion, please share your thoughts in the comment section. If you like my ideas, please show some appreciation with a like and follow me for more such trade ideas. Happy and safe trading! :)
CAPITALCOM:OIL_BRENTShort
by vraj8597
$PYPL Is [Paypal -40%] a Great Buy NOW?!By "The Motley Fool"! I will be talking about PayPal NASDAQ:PYPL and why it might actually be a great stock to pick up during this recent market crash. While being down 40% from its all-time highs, PayPal's business is doing extremely well. You can find the video below, but here are some highlights. 1. Last quarter, the company reported revenue of $6.18 billion, up 13% year over year (YOY), and EPS of $1.11, up 4% YOY. 2. Venmo ended the third quarter with more than 80 million users. 3. PayPal added 13.3 million net new active accounts (NNAs) and ended the quarter with 416 million active accounts. 4. The company announced a partnership with Amazon that will allow its customers in the U.S. to pay through Venmo starting in 2022. 5. PayPal CEO Daniel Schulman recently said that on Black Friday, the volume of buy-now-pay-later transactions was up almost 400% year over year, to around 750,000 transactions in that one day. 6. PayPal ended the quarter with free cash flow of $1.29 billion, up 20%. Over the past four quarters, it generated over $24 billion in revenue, and it is trading at a trailing-12-month revenue multiple of 8.6. 7. The company expects revenue will grow approximately 18%, in the range of $25.3 billion to $25.4 billion, and that it will end the year with more than 430 million active accounts. 8. Price is technically testing a broken wedge that's been extended since Jan 18 and has bounced about 4% so far. Follow for more similar serious opportunities... #AHMEDMESBAH
NASDAQ:PYPLLong
by AhmedMesbah
PYPL Key Levels and Thesis PYPL has traded back down to its consolidation zone from August-October 2020. In theory the stock could re-auction in a similar zone of 174-203 as the market gets hit. However, if PYPL continues to trade lower a test of the gap up from 138 would be the next stop. PYPL has done well in expanding their business model with integration into crypto and buy now pay later systems through their acquisition of Paidy in September. This acquisition and miss on revenues could explain the near term shift in the stock. That being said, the costs of crypto integration and acquisitions are only a near term issue. The past few months, strength from value stocks and a recovering dollar has pressured growth stocks such as PYPL. Despite this, the stock is poised to recover swiftly when a second tech rally plays out. Some topside levels to watch are 216 where the stock could see some overhead supply after a gap down. Another level to watch is 251. A close above this level would give me confidence for the stock pushing into ATH’s.
NASDAQ:PYPLLong
by crawfordpaul
XAUUSD : WEEKLY TRADE PLAN recap: Gold, in my opinion, has been going sideways for about 20 weeks now. After 3 attempts to break the monthly pole support , the attempt failed. Gold is unstoppable following rejection at 1760.920, finishing the week with a good bull candle at 1817.56. So any pullback in the area demand zone this week is a chance to ride the trend. If the triple top breaks out, it'll be a big deal. Gold could push the monthly pole resistance. My trading strategy isn't intended to be used as a signal service. It's a process of gaining knowledge of market structure and improving my trading abilities. Like and subscribe and happy trading to all
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by mytw0cents
ETHUSDT 4HR BreakdownReasons I am Optimistic About Breaking this Resistance: - Low Volume - October is Coming (Q4) - Cryptocurrency Fear And Greed Index: 26 (We've Been Stuck at Fear for the past week) - Bullish News Coming Lately, and Possibly more is Coming in the Upcoming Days/Week - This Resistance and Trendline has been tested enough times to have a breakout Wait For Confirmations!!! Personally, I am looking for Pin-Bar Candles, and Momentum. Also, having a reliable strategy such as DBD or UBD for Bearish and UBU or DBU for Bullish is necessarry. Not Financial Advice and Do Your Own Research! Take Care, and Happy Trading!
by LazarthFX