USD/JPY – Yen weakness prompts warning from TokyoThe Japanese yen is down for a third straight day and has declined 1.5% this week. USD/JPY has risen 0.43% on the day and is trading at 155.35 at the time of writing. Early Thursday, the BoJ will release the Summary of Opinions from the April meeting.
Japanese officials remain mum about suspected interventions on the currency markets last week. The yen broke below the 160 line before recovering and surged 3.4% last week. However, the yen’s strength did not take long to dissipate and has dropped below the 150 level today. Previous interventions by Tokyo boosted the yen for only a short time and that appears to be the trend again.
The Bank of Japan and the Ministry of Finance (MoF) weighed into the yen crisis earlier today. BoJ Governor Ueda said the central bank could take monetary action if the yen’s depreciation has a significant effect on prices. Ueda stated his readiness to tighten policy, saying that if inflation was higher than expected, it would be appropriate to adjust interest rates. Ueda’s remarks may be an attempt to provide the yen with a boost by sending a message that further rate hikes are on the table if inflation moves higher.
Finance Minister Suzuki expressed “strong concern” over the weak yen and warned that he was ready to intervene to boost the yen. It seems questionable whether the warning will have much effect. The yen posted strong gains last week after suspected interventions but has already coughed up close to half of those gains. Barring another intervention, the yen could be on its way back to the 160 level.
USD/JPY is testing resistance at 155.35. Above, there is resistance at 155.91
There is support at 155.01 and 154.43
Suzuki
Has USDJPY gone ballistic already?It looks like USDJPY is spiraling out of control.
As government bonds 10y interest is artificially kept under a given level, and given inflation expectatios, usdjpy explodes.
BoJ is not able to stop the rise, except for some short-lived attempts. This attracts speculators for easy money, driving further up usdjpy, more inflation, more yield curve control, more printes, up usdpy, more inflation...
Despite formal statements by minister Suzuki, ot seems that nobody is able to stop this long term bull run from exploding.
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Automobile manufacturing business is sufferingMajor automobile manufacturers including Maruti Suzuki India, Hyundai, Mahindra & Mahindra, Tata Motors and Honda on Sunday reported a high double-digit decline in their sales in August as the Indian auto sector continued to reel under one of the worst slowdowns in its history.
It looks like there is no reason for the reversal yet...