GOLD - Simple Trend Line Analysis (Part II)This monthly gold chart demonstrates the beauty of using simple trend line for accurate technical analysis in long term chart, as the old sayings go "Simple is the best, Less is more."
Gold looks like it has had a nice breakout of the bullish flag formation (the descedning broadening wedge) in Feb 2022, doesn't it ? Monthly MACD indicates that a cross-over can happen soon.
March's monthly close shall confirm the breakout move if it turns out to be a green candle later. Otherwise, it could be a fake breakout.
What do you think about gold's next move based on this chart ?
Swingmaster
GOLD - V-Bottom Hints Upside ReversalGold has seemed to form a V-Bottom pattern on the daily chart at roughly 1780 area.
Note that gold has almost touched the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of the swing from 1680 to 1880 and rebounded.
Furthermore, it seems to hold the uptrend line from 1680 low at August while RSI indicator also shows the bulls are trying to hold the uptrend remained intact.
As long as gold can hold above its swing low at 1759, uptrend still remains valid.
All of this could indicate an upside reversal in the coming days and week. Once gold breaks 1800 level, it will fly very quickly to 1825-1835 resistance level. Its final target should be at 1855-1865 level where the downtrend line remains.
It is good to buy around 1775-1785 with a strict stop loss under 1759.
Targets should be 1830 then 1860.
GOLD - Break Out Is Under WayGold seems to be ready to break out and go to our target 1820-1830.
First, it breaks downtrendline. Secondy, it breaks the neckline of the inverted head & shoulders pattern.
1740-1750 is buy zone if gold backtracks there.
1820-1830 is our target for this month.
All are invalid under 1720.
GOLD - Above 1815 Leads To 1915Gold is now at critical point 1810-1815. This area proves to be a strong resistance area where the downtrend line coincides with the 200-day MA.
Gold needs a few daily sessions close above 200-day MA at roughly 1810 to gain fresh bullish momentum. Otherwise it could fail hard again.
Above 1815, gold will test 1835. Yet looking ahead the path is quite clear to reach 1915 once gold is above 1835.
RSI momentum tends to fail when it reaches 60 on daily time frame (it happened two times before this). This proves gold is in a sideways consolidation in short term.
Can gold get above 1815 ? It might be a good idea to short with strict stop loss.
GOLD - Our Analysis Shows Probability Of 1500 GOLDGold's monthly chart shows a break down of the uptrend line since 2018-2019 is in progress. RSI14 indicator also confirms a break down in progress.
Gold bulls are in big trouble if gold cannot reverse and close this month above 1780-1800 a.k.a the pivot area.
Thus, bears have upper hands as long as gold stays under the pivot area 1780-1800 and will try to drive gold toward the next monthly support level at 1500-1560 area.
GOLD - Our Analysis Shows Gold At Major Turning PointOur analysis indicates gold is at the very important support area 1750-1760. The support area 1750-1760 is a major support because it is the last swing low, and it is also coincides with the uptrend line support. This proves to be a major turning point for gold in medium and long term ahead.
If gold is able to hold 1750, gold can bounce back to 1790-1795 resistance area. If not, gold's bull market since 2019 might be in danger.
Gold - Swing Model Shows 1720 A Possible TargetOur swing model indicates that the swing may have turned bearish from bullish given the case that gold has failed to close above 1825 for a couple of sessions with lower highs.
Now gold might head to 1750-1770 support are with a probability of some extension to 1720, if gold's major support 1790 is broken.
GOLD - Swing Model Shows Invalid Bulls Under 17901790-1797 could provide good opportunity to buy on dips given a few setup including: structure retest, MA(200) on 4-hour chart at 1795, a channel forming on 4-hour time frame, and a possible hidden bullish divergence.
However, our swing model indicates bullish swing may come to an end if gold breaks support at 1790. Above 1790, gold still has hope to go to 1853.
GOLD - Our Calculation Shows Two Scenarios If 1810 HoldsOur math shows two scenarios for this gold's bullish swing target. Gold can jump to 1853 with a good probability of extension to 1875.
But gold should hold support at 1810 and must not go under 1790. Consider loading up more at this level and 1790.
GOLD - Swing Models Continues To Show 1900 As Possible TargetOur mathematical swing model, which has been adjusted for market's progress, continues to show a possible target of 1896 as a possible extension of this current bullish swing. Stay tunes for any further updates.
Noted: Long posy est. at 1795 and we will continue to accumulate if gold touches the arc. All SL under 1780.