Swingsetup
EURCAD: Important Breakout 🇪🇺🇨🇦
EURCAD broke and closed above a major horizontal supply cluster with a high momentum bullish candle yesterday.
1.441 - 1.446 is now turned into a demand zone.
I will expect a bullish wave from that area to 1.455 / 1.46 levels.
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CADJPY: Bullish Outlook Explained 🇨🇦🇯🇵
CADJPY broke and closed above a solid horizontal supply zone on a daily.
The broken structure turned into a demand zone.
Probabilities are high that a bullish wave will initiate from that.
Goal for buyers - 101.0
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ASX 200 close to a swing low?The ASX 200 had a great start to the year, but has since seen prices pull back from tis YTD highs. Yet is we zoom out, the daily trend remains bullish overall, and prices during the recent decline appear to be corrective.
It's pullback has also found support around a cluster of support levels including the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement, 50-dy EMA, monthly pivot point and 7300 round number. And as RSI recently reached oversold and has since formed a bullish divergence with price, we see the potential for a rally towards 7500.
As US traders are set to return to their desks after the 3-day weekend, there is a reasonable chance of an 'up day' which could spill over to a positive start for the ASX tomorrow. Therefore, we're happy to enter the ASX long ahead of the close with a stop beneath this week's low, and initially target 7500.
EURJPY: Breakout & Bullish Outlook Explained 🇪🇺🇯🇵
So, this week, EURJPY broke a key daily structure resistance and closed above that.
We saw a positive bullish reaction from that on Friday.
Probabilities will be high that the market will keep growing next week.
Goals: 145.0 / 146.37
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EURUSD: Waiting For a Breakout🇪🇺🇺🇸
On a today's live stream, we discussed EURUSD.
The pair is currently consolidating within a narrow horizontal trading range after a strong bearish movement.
1.065 - 1.068 is its support.
I am waiting for its breakout (daily candle close below) to short.
The pair will most likely drop then.
Goal will be 1.053
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🔻 How To Swing Trade In A Bear Market 🔻Forex traders that decide to trade in a bear market are looking for a strategy or a way to make a profit when markets are falling. But, is it possible to swing trade in a bear market? It is. The most used strategy in bear market trading is the swing strategy. Traders that want to swing trade must first understand the swing trade meaning. Swing trade is a trading path that comes with challenges. While many traders prefer to stay profitable in a continuing bull market, many traders will choose to earn their profit by swing trading in the following bear market. Swing trading is challenging but can also be profitable in short-term intervals. A trader must know how to use the given signals from the market before starting to swing trade in a bear market.
How To Do Swing Trading
Traders often wonder how to swing trade forex, and the first thing to know is the swing trade definition first:
Swing trading is a type of trading style that focuses on profiting from changing trends in price action in short-term intervals. Swing trading is a trading strategy that involves holding a position long or short for more than one session. It can be from one day up, but not longer than several weeks.
Traders that use this strategy look to technical and fundamental analysis. They try to explore trading opportunities and analyze price trends and patterns. Considering the volatile conditions in the forex market, a swing trader tries to catch a potential price movement and make a small profit out of it. Generally, swing trading is a good strategy for beginners because they can trade with much less capital than the other trading strategies.
Is It Possible To Swing Trade In A Bear Market?
A bear market in forex means that prices fall 20% or more from recent highs, which gives the traders a negative outlook and hopelessness. A bear market is always caused by a group of developments or events such as monetary conditions, monetary policy, shifts in yield curves, and many others. The forex market is very volatile and changes very fast. It creates many opportunities to catch the momentum of price action and make a profit out of it. Swing trading is one of the trading options in a bear market.
Implementing a swing trading strategy for the bear market is one way for a forex trader to trade successfully. To swing trade profitably in a bear market, traders need to have a strategy likely to survive the changing market conditions. Swing trading in a bear market does work but usually can give the trader a tough time. Traders need to do a market analysis, research all historical data, and create a safe trading plan before going live.
What Is Swing Trading And Its Advantages?
Swing trading is a short-term trading strategy where you hold your trades for one day up to a few weeks at most. Swing traders use technical analysis, to make a trading plan, and a strategy for an entry and exit from the market. Swing trading can be divided into discretionary swing trading and systematic swing trading. From experience, traders have found systematic swing trading more efficient, as it has shown better results.
Advantages Of Swing Trading
Traders know their results quickly, from one day up to one month. They give time to work on the swing strategy and make changes on the next entry. The trader has a clear boundary because there is a specific area to observe, knowing exactly when the trade isn't working. Traders can easily limit the damage of a losing position. By entering and leaving the market in short periods, traders can identify a lot of opportunities. It allows the trader to spread the risk and minimize losses. It is important to mention that swing trading is a very good trading strategy for forex beginners and traders that are short on time.
Swing Trade Strategy For A Bear Market
Swing trading can make a trader's way much easier if they use one of the trading indicators and stick to it. The most are moving averages, Relative Strength Index (RSI), Stochastic Oscillator, and Volume. A trader has many options to create a swing trading strategy for bear market conditions. Traders also use mean reversion as the most common strategy type. In mean reversion, traders assume that the market will make some extreme moves to either side, and those moves are later corrected through a reversion to the mean. It means that the market tends to swing around its average. This strategy type, a mean reversion, is used to identify if the market is overbought or oversold. It is expected to give traders an entry signal.
A different swing trade strategy is trend following, which is the opposite of the mean reversion type. This strategy suggests following the trend of direction, which is harder to succeed with than the mean reversion type. The breakout strategy is another type of swing strategy that traders use. This strategy is similar to the trend following, and it works with a breakout level. When the currency pair breaks a level and continues above that level, it is a signal that the market is solid enough and will likely continue in the direction of the breakout. This strategy is functioning the same way as the trend-following strategy. Traders do not always buy on a breakout of a certain level. Often, traders try to include other conditions that are important in deciding whether to buy or sell.
Can Swing Traders Make Money In A Bear Market?
Not many traders choose to trade in a bear market because it signals pessimism, and it is hard to know how long it will last. In a bear market, the primary trend is to the downside, and different rules apply. Knowing the bear market trading rules can position traders to benefit from them. That gives light on the pessimism of a bear market. There are many opportunities to make money for traders that know how to use the given signals. Taking a bear short swing trade, also called short-selling, will help you to gain profit using a swing strategy during a bear market. Traders need to do pre-market research, then work up to potential trades before they make an entry position.
DAAWAT STRONG MONTHLY BREAKOUTThere is clear breakout in monthly time frame with volume. After that the stock has gone through a good consolidation for three months. Now it's time for another rally if the company posts good results this quarter. One can buy Daawat@CMP with short term targets of 133(19.50%) and 150(36.3%) and a long term target of 194.50(74%). Please let me know in the comment section about your thoughts and do follow and support this feed for more ideas. As a disclaimer before taking any positions consult your financial advisor.
Dollar Index (DXY): Key Levels to Watch 💵
Here is my latest structure analysis for Dollar Index.
Support 1: 101.0 - 101.3 area
Support 2: 99.25 - 99.95 area
Support 3: 97.25 - 98.1 area
Resistance 1: 103.4 - 103.8 area
Resistance 2: 105.15 - 105.8 area
The market is slowing down after a strong bearish wave.
We will most likely see a pullback from Support 1.
Consider the underlined structure for pullback/breakout trading.
Potential swing trade short on the DAX?Like many indices, the DAX has enjoyed a strong start to the year after a dismal ‘Santa’s rally’. But after a 9% rally this month and early signs of a potential top, perhaps it is time for the DAX to pull back from its highs.
If we look at the daily chart, the market formed a small top and daily close below 15,000. Whilst prices are back above the milestone level, upside volatility is lacking and there are now the early signs of a lower high with yesterday’s bearish outside day. Perhaps we have seen the end of a wave b, which is part of a 3-wave countertrend move.
• Futures markets point to a soft open for the cash market today
• The bias is bearish below 15,200 / yesterday’s high
• A 100% projection / wave equality is around 14,800 and 20-day EMA, making it a viable target for bears
• A break below 14,800 brings 14,700 / December high into focus
EURAUD: Classic Bullish Setup Explained 🇪🇺🇦🇺
I spotted 2 important breakouts on EURAUD:
firstly, the price has broken and closed above a resistance line of a falling wedge pattern
and then a horizontal neckline of a triple bottom formation has been broken as well.
I believe that the market will bounce soon.
Goals: 1.578 / 1.5915
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NZDCAD: Classic Trend-Following Setup 🇳🇿🇨🇦
Hey traders,
NZDCAD is trading in a bullish trend since October.
Reaching 0.88 resistance, the pair initiated a correctional movement.
The price dropped to a trend line and perfectly respected that one more time.
Yesterday, the pair broke and closed above 0.86 - 0.8625 horizontal resistance.
It is a very important bullish clue, and it signifies a dominance of buyers again.
Look for buying opportunities from the underlined blue zone:
it is based on a horizontal resistance and a trend line.
I will expect a bullish movement from that area at least to 0.88 level.
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DOLLAR INDEX (DXY) Time For Correction?! 💵
Dollar Index looks oversold to me:
the market was contracting within the boundaries of a falling wedge pattern - a classic reversal pattern.
Its resistance was broken today.
I expect a correctional movement to 102.86 resistance now.
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Back to 0.55000?After a rejection at 0.65000 on Dec the 13th, the sellers have stepped in and for the first time since October, price has started printing new lows. Thursday saw the market break a significant trendline which price has been respecting since October. Also, for the first time since October the market has closed the week with a strong bearish candle. A strong dollar could now be the remaining factor required to fuel a drive to the south and possibly revisit the October low around 0.55000 or lower
NZDJPY: The Next Bearish Wave 🇳🇿🇯🇵
Hey traders,
NZDJPY broke and closed below a major wide demand cluster on a daily.
The broken structure 83.8 - 85.0 turned into resistance now.
It looks like the pair is quite oversold at the moment.
The market will most likely retrace to the underlined area
and a bearish wave will initiate then.
Goal will be a rising trend line, matching the last higher lows.
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DOGE POTENTIAL FORECAST | TUESDAY | 20/12/2022 Doge is at a major monthly support whereby i do expect that level to hold. However, we may not be making the move to the upside as of now and am looking at some form of market structure form like a double bottom at the least before heading up. Will be DCA into longs for DOGE at this current price.
High risk high reward buys with a tight stop loss anticipating bearish structure to break. Upon confirmations of bos will be looking to stack buys up. This will be a swing trade.