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WheatUSD Oanda Buying Breakout Trend ContinuesRealising my folly from my previous trade, I recognised my faults. Recap - 1st - I traded with the Higher Time Frame and Entry Time Frame Trends, but I am actually entering on a opposing trend against the Lower Time Frame, and that is why the price never move in my intended direction after hours. The opposing trend movement is also a sign that price is tanking, and that the Big Boys might not be into this product anymore. 2nd - Trade Breakout Trends was my thang. But I subconsciously/consciously shifted my setups to Trend Following which is to buy high and sell higher. Low winrate, needs to gather a ton of trades before the results show, stressful way to trade. I recognised my fault and now I shifted myself back to Breakout Trends. I would like to add on also that, I would see this as a price game instead of a time frame game. But I also recognise that 50/60MA on the 15Minutes Time Frame is very powerful, and I called it Duck Hunting and I would be hunting ducks again, on the 15 Minutes Time Frame. Would I trade on the 4H Time Frame or the Hourly? It's a price game so as long as the price is right, and it aligns with my point 1 and 2, I would. 2019SGT 22052024
OANDA:WHEATUSDLong
by ProfessionalDuckHunter
Riding the Trend on CH20CHFBought as I recognised the strong moving trend of CH20CHF trending on the 6EMA discounted price zone. Despite multiple small "sellers" selling, price continued to trend upwards, and strongly. Currently the buyers want the CH20CHF, so I bought some too, in hopes of selling to the next Big Boy Buyer. Both TP at 1R. It isn't exactly 1R for me in terms of dollars(SGD), its more of like 1R = 28$ +- SGD, and it is fine. 1418SGT 21052024
OANDA:CH20CHFLong
by ProfessionalDuckHunter
1
Buying HK33HKD Oanda On An Up TrendRising demand for HK33HKD over several days on the Daily Time Frame based on the 6EMA. I bought HK33HKD on both my FTMO 10K Challenge Phase One and on my Oanda Main Account. Discount offered by seller at 6EMA on 4H Time Frame. Initial SL set is wide, because I want to give myself more time if I am losing, to decide if I want to exit for a small loss or win instead of having it as a full blown 1R loss. By setting my SL wide initially, my risk per pip becomes significantly smaller. Besides, I am risking about 10% per trade(based on my previous account size). If all is well, I will start trading 50$ SGD per trade next month. All is well = My account size reach 1k SGD(currently sitting on 906$ SGD) and that it is a new month. 0950SGT 20052024 Feeling groggy. Add : Now, instead of analysing the Daily Time Frame, first. I analysis the entry time frame first. Why? Because over the years I realised that i missed out on alot of opportunities that are better than the ones I am waiting for, because I analyse my watch list selections on the Daily Time Frame first. By doing a top down analysis, I miss out on strong trends that are not visible on the Daily Time Frame, because price could be in a range on the Daily, but it has yet to reach the Daily's Major S&R levels. And so, the trend on the entry time frame is tradable, but I missed it because I have already eliminated it during my selection phase. TLDR So, I am doing a bottoms up analysis from now on because I am missing out on trending opportunities on the lower time frame that is not visible on the higher time frame. 0954SGT 20052024
OANDA:HK33HKDLong
by ProfessionalDuckHunter
ETC Long - Wave 3 has potentially started. ETC is one of ur favourite tokens. Although it has so far underperformed against other alts, it respects technical analysis to a tee, allowing us to trade it profitably and hold it with clear invalidation points and targets. We believe we have completed a wave 2 retracement to the 618 where the major 23$ support lies. Now we're looking for a wave 3 expansion which will be confirmed by taking out the 40$ high. We are inclined to believe that this expansion will outperform and reach the 2.618 as opposed to the 1.272 or 1.618. Moreover, this looks to be a major wave count that could truly bring ETC well OVER 100$ potentially to the 786 high to low and maybe even to ATH. However, if you know us then you know we play it level by level and that's what we are doing here also. First target 40-45$, invalidation point would be the break of the 23$ support which in our opinion is the most important level on the chart.
Long
by SynergyTradingSetups
One last Bitcoin Swing Trade before bears takeoverBitcoin (BTCUSD) Weekly Forecast: May 11th - May 13th Overview: As we step into the week ahead, Bitcoin continues to exhibit signs of a bearish flag formation on the weekly chart, indicating potential downside momentum. The analysis considers a series of wave counts (a through e) within this pattern, with stochastic indicators showing a hooking pattern, suggesting a possible bearish turn in the short to mid-term. Market Analysis: Bitcoin, often viewed as a risk-on currency, shows correlation with the S&P 500 market. Notably, the S&P 500 displayed a bullish harami pattern two weeks ago, hinting at further bullish momentum. This suggests a possible upward movement in the S&P 500 towards the 5600 level. However, specific levels are not set in stone, and future rate cuts expected by Q3/Q4 might push it towards the psychological level of 6000. Bitcoin Forecast: In the current scenario, the outlook for Bitcoin is bearish on intermediate and long-term time frames. There's a likelihood of a double top formation around the 73,000 to 74,000 range. While there's a slim chance of surpassing the 80,000 resistance, the more probable scenario is a correction around the 73,000 level before a larger systemic risk-on crash. Long-term Projection: Bitcoin is expected to reach 72,000 to 75,000 (plus or minus 1-2k) before a significant downturn. A systemic risk-on crash could drive Bitcoin prices down to the high 30,000s or lower by early 2025. Conclusion: Given the bearish flag formation, hooking stochastics, and the anticipated performance of the S&P 500, Bitcoin's outlook for the coming week is leaning towards a bearish sentiment, with a potential double top formation around 73,000 to 74,000. However, the overall trajectory suggests Bitcoin's correction might be a prelude to a larger systemic downturn in late 2024 or early 2025. Traders are advised to proceed with caution and closely monitor key levels for potential entry and exit points.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by candlestickninja
$SLI Descending Broadening Wedge Formation Swing TradeHello, traders! Today, we’re diving into an interesting setup on AMEX:SLI (Standard Lithium Ltd), which has formed a Descending Broadening Wedge. This pattern is typically considered bullish and suggests a potential reversal from the current downtrend. Given the broader context and AMEX:SLI 's fundamentals, this could be the start of a significant long-term swing trade. Chart Analysis: Pattern: Descending Broadening Wedge Current Price: Volume: Look for increasing volume on the breakout as a confirmation of trend reversal. Key Observations: The Descending Broadening Wedge has been forming over the past few months, indicating volatility and uncertainty, but with a bullish bias for a breakout. A solid breakout above the upper trendline could confirm the reversal and set the stage for progressive price climbs. Trading Strategy and Targets: First Target (TP1): The first significant take-profit area is between $3-$4, aligning with key resistance levels and a minor Fibonacci retracement. Second Target (TP2): At $6, corresponding to a stronger historical resistance and a more substantial Fibonacci level. Third Target (TP3): Aiming for $12, where we anticipate hitting pre-established highs and possibly entering a phase of price discovery. Long-Term Target: Should AMEX:SLI break past $12 with strong fundamentals and market support, a speculative long-term price discovery target ranges from $25-$50. Trade Setup: Entry Point: Look for a breakout above the upper boundary of the wedge with high volume as a bullish entry signal. Stop-Loss: Set a stop-loss just below the most recent low within the wedge to minimize potential downside. Take-Profit: Adjust your take-profit levels to the Fibonacci retracements and psychological price points as outlined. Risk Management: This setup, while promising, carries risks typical of volatile stocks. Manage your investment size according to your risk tolerance, and consider using a trailing stop to protect gains as the stock price increases. Conclusion: AMEX:SLI presents an exciting opportunity for those looking for long-term growth in the commodities sector. As always, ensure you do your due diligence and keep an eye on sector-specific news that could impact price movements. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and is not financial advice. Always perform your own research and consult with a professional before making any investment decisions. Happy trading!
AMEX:SLILong
by STP_MrNodeItAll
2
Fundamental & Technical Analysis on NDQ100Fundamental : COT report shows a rise in shorts positions continuing the past 3-4 week while simultaneously showing a decrease in longs positions held the past 4 weeks. Net positions also show a large change from 7.8K down to 535, a -88.71% change. Open interest is split between both longs and shorts with neither showing an advantage, over all OI has decreased a little COT Report : cot-reports.com Technical : From a technical prospective price action is underneath the EMAs, were getting the 3 EMA cross down the 10 EMA while Momentum is negative, and the Stochastic is underneath 50% TP/SL : Target around recent lows with a stop above highs
NShort
by Iateyourcroissant
Polkadot Tealeaf AugurSwing trade This is a loose plan, trend following with some target levels . I now believe it's almost impossible to predict exact movements like I used to try to in some of my older calls based on classical patterns, waves, Wyckoff etc. The mind kind of sees what it wants to. If it works great, but I've had my biases really distort what's actually on the chart too many times now. I am biased on the long side because of the sector's bullishness overall. There's also an upcoming Polkadot 2.0 upgrade early 2024 that should move prices. Polkadot has somewhat underperformed compared to other alts and that gives us a better risk reward ratio and more room for growth. The pattern playing out looks very similar to what Theta/USDT did recently so this trade could be over rather quickly. I've been accumulating since Oct Nov under $6 without a trading plan, got blindsided by the retracement that started after Christmas and now moved my stop loss to breakeven. Here's how I'm trading this going forward: Strategy / Trading Plan Looking for entries using the 4 hour, look for a pull back to baseline or below using half of your position and using an oscillator to time on a lower time frame. If the direction proves correct start pyramid into pullbacks around the baseline of the Keltner Channel 2,1 ratio or skyscraper in for a more aggressive approach. Risk Management The stop loss is just below the recent double bottom (~7.22), adjust to your risk tolerance, some other places to consider are just below either 7.78 or 8.34. Move stop to break even as soon as it makes sense and adjust a trailing stop loss to taste as the price moves in your favor. Goodluck and happy trading. -Hexxi
by Hexxi
3
Galxe (GAL): Will we see a rebound to $5.85?Looking on BINANCE:GALUSDT , we are currently witnessing an interesting scenario. Following a prolonged accumulation phase within a specific trading range, there was a significant sell-off that led to a breakout downwards, entering what is often referred to as the "Manipulation Area" and specifically into Wave (4), just below the 50% retracement level. The most significant volume node, where the bulk of trading has occurred, is around $3.35. This is precisely where we have positioned our entry. Although our last attempt to re-enter the old range was unsuccessful, we are optimistic about re-entering the range this time and at least reaching the upper end of the range. Ideally, we would surpass the range high to fully complete Wave (5), aiming to revisit the previous high of $5.85 from Wave (3). This setup could potentially offer us an appealing swing trade opportunity,
GLong
by freeguy_by_wmc
1