Swingtrader
Is the Top in ?Bitcoin currently holding just above 21.500. Topping pattern looks like it may now be complete with a double top formation. Buyers may once again attempt to regain control at 21.500 which could result in a temporary bounce hence creating a trap for longs. Big events happening in the crypto space on Friday which could trigger a market collapse.
Break or Bounce?Price is once again creeping towards support for a 5th attempt by the sellers to push lower. Despite numerous attempts, the buyers have successfully defended the zone since December 2022. Are we going to see another bounce or have the sellers now gathered enough momentum to break out of consolidation.
Time to Dump!Double-Top confirmed with a break of neckline during New York today. A close below the neckline coupled with a strong Dollar opens doors to more potential to the downside for the next few weeks. Further interest rate hikes are expected later this month at higher rates than previously expected and today's speech by Powell may have very well put a nail in the coffin to the 'once mighty' British Pound. The September 2022 Lows look like a viable target for Swinging.
AUDUSD, Yeah! She is trendingAUDUSD just made a new lower low. Thats inviting. I'm setting myself up to take another sell on her.
I discuss the details in the video.
Today, I'm going live at 1:00 pm EST. If you can't make it be sure to catch the replay.
I'll be chatting on how to analyze your currency pair for trading success.
I hope to see you there.
-Shaquan
The Bears are Back in TownFinal Lower high set during London this morning setting off the long anticipated break to the downside we discussed recently. Are we going to revisit the September 2022 All Time Lows at 1.03595? Time will tell. All I know is we`re in a Bear market for now and my plan is to look for selling opportunities until the trend proves otherwise.
DXY Bearish Longterm.Back in May of 2002 price created an imbalance in price for Dollar Index (Monthly Chart). Price had only participated in sell-side delivery, leaving behind buy-side inefficiency. Since that time price has returned to that Monthly SIBI (Sell-side Imbalance, Buy-side Inefficiency. Fully closing the imbalance, making price completely balanced. From that strong Point of Interest, price has reacted aggressively to the downside. It is of my opinion that the Dollar Index is long-term bearish.
Short-term i'm under the opinion that the Dollar Index is Bullish, and heres why. Last month price dipped into another monthly imbalance in price...to the upside. I believe this is the first retracement leg for the overall Long-term bearish move.
I am bullish DXY until price reaches equilibrium of the most recent monthly range swing high and swing low. Primarily I would like to see price retrace to the .62 FIB for what I believe to be an Optimal Trade Entry. Perfect for Position and Swing traders.
For Day Traders/Intraday Traders, I will be anticipating price moving lower to attack sell-side liquidity, then take price all the way up to the level prior mentioned. Ultimately I will buying into the sell.
What this means for me is that I will be firstly selling Foreign Currencies paired with the Dollar (i.e. EU, GU, AU etc...) to later buy them once DXY reaches the specified Point of Interest. (.50 FIB/.62FIB or a close of the Monthly -FVG)
I hope this idea helps you with your trading. Bless.
Collapse in Progress?Is Bitcoin about to do the unthinkable ? The highlighted zone marks the 21500 zone and will play an important role in determining whether we continue to trade higher or if this is the beginning of another painful leg lower for long term investors. Perhaps an opportunity to buy at lower prices?
EURCAD: Important Breakout 🇪🇺🇨🇦
EURCAD broke and closed above a major horizontal supply cluster with a high momentum bullish candle yesterday.
1.441 - 1.446 is now turned into a demand zone.
I will expect a bullish wave from that area to 1.455 / 1.46 levels.
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Time to Short?A push to the upside ahead of BOE Gov Bailey"s Speech tomorrow. Could this be a bull trap setting up to trigger the next sell off ? If we continue to see Dollar strength in the market over the next few days this may well be the catalyst leading to a much weaker Pound over the next few weeks. A bearish monthly close for February signals bearish sentiment for March.
EURCAD: Detailed Technical Outlook🇪🇺🇨🇦
Here is the wave analysis for EURCAD.
The market is currently consolidating with a horizontal trading range on a weekly, after a strong bullish impulse.
1.46 - 1.465 is the resistance of the range,
1.423 - 1.43 is its support.
The upper boundary of the range matches perfectly with a key weekly resistance.
Depending on the reaction of the price to the boundaries of the range, I see 2 potential scenarios:
If the price breaks and closes above the resistance of the range, one more bullish wave will be expected.
While, a bearish breakout of the support of the range will most likely initiate a correctional movement.
Wait for a breakout and then follow the market.
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GBP Set for Record Breaking LowsThe Pound closed weak on Friday as the bearish sentiment continues to drive the market with what appears to be a Double Top on the Daily Timeframe
1.19000 marks what could be the neckline where buyers may attempt to regain control
A break of 1.19000 confirms Double Top and should trigger more shorts
In September 2022 the Pound dropped to 1.0350 forming a 37-year all time low
A break of this low would once again set new records
First Targets will be at the September 2022 lows
A break below could see the Pound trading as low as 0.98000 or lower over the next few months
CADJPY: Bullish Outlook Explained 🇨🇦🇯🇵
CADJPY broke and closed above a solid horizontal supply zone on a daily.
The broken structure turned into a demand zone.
Probabilities are high that a bullish wave will initiate from that.
Goal for buyers - 101.0
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EURJPY: Breakout & Bullish Outlook Explained 🇪🇺🇯🇵
So, this week, EURJPY broke a key daily structure resistance and closed above that.
We saw a positive bullish reaction from that on Friday.
Probabilities will be high that the market will keep growing next week.
Goals: 145.0 / 146.37
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BTC Bull Run 1.22-6.57% 02 14 2023If you love the spot-on analysis done so far, please boost, share, comment, and follow for more.
This strategy is also used Live by Green Lion Capital Social Trading on Zignaly.
As projected earlier, the market experienced a reversal after accumulating enough volume for liquidation. I anticipate that the market will witness another bull run to attract more volume this time since many investors believe that we are gearing up for a major bull run as we did not break the $21k-20k zone. However, this is not the case, and based on current market metrics, the ideal target is $23,500.
For this chart, the estimated entry zone roof is $22,056, and there is a potential upward movement of roughly 6% with a +/-1% tolerance. Confirmations have been made on the 5 minutes chart, 3 minutes chart, and through a private chart.
*** Disclaimer: a second non-public chart layout was used to officially confirm this oversold point.
Safe points to take profit:
T1: 1.22%
T2: 2.86%
T3: 4.82%
T4: 6.57%
Baseline Information:
The strategy used for this analysis takes into account the following factors:
Timeframe: 3min and 5 min
Symbols: BTCUSDT, ETHUSDT, BTCDOWN, and ETHDOWN
Exchange: Binance
Indicators: For obvious reasons, precise indicators names can not be provided, but this analysis makes use of VWAP, moving averages, and Fib charts.
Chart Count: 8
3min chart confirmation: white MA crossing up yellow while above lowed dotted white line.
5min chart confirmation: vwap greater than lower dotted white line while with three candle confirmations above the white ma.
Disclaimer:
The information and publications are not meant to be or constitute financial, investment, trading, or other advice or recommendations.
EURUSD: Waiting For a Breakout🇪🇺🇺🇸
On a today's live stream, we discussed EURUSD.
The pair is currently consolidating within a narrow horizontal trading range after a strong bearish movement.
1.065 - 1.068 is its support.
I am waiting for its breakout (daily candle close below) to short.
The pair will most likely drop then.
Goal will be 1.053
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