Gold Will Be A Little More Tricky With It's DirectionGold will still be a tricky little sucker this week.
With a large bullish doji made last week, it could signal a strong bullish move happening this week for gold.
Want to see if gold will do a temporary pullback then shoot straight up to my monthly SR to see can it breakthrough.
But, as you notice with my analysis, I'm thinking a rejection is likely once it gets there.
We'll find out this week.
BULL TPS:
• 1527.56
• 1537.30
• 1550.55 (if can breakthrough the monthly SR)
BEAR TPS:
From the monthly SR 1537.30
• 1527.05
• 1515.56
• 1503.63
• 1492.65
Swingtrader
Possible Retracement Then ContinuationWell, this pair was an interesting one. It kept going up and didn't stop until it all the BULL TPs last week.
So I am looking for a bit of a retracement some more and then another try at the monthly SR level to see if it can breakthrough.
BULL TPS:
Starting from 0.90314
• 0.90531
• 0.90950
• 0.91285
• 0.91494
• 0.92004
BEAR TPS:
From the current position
• 0.90626
• 0.90312
• 0.89966
• 0.89485 (this one is a long shot)
Possible Bullish ContinuationWe are currently in a big range according to the weekly.
But thanks to the big boost from news week, we could possibly bust out this week -- as long as we stay bullish.
Since we had a big impulse move Friday, we should have some pullback before continuing up.
With price beginning at consolidation, we should prepare for a big impulse move again this week too.
BULL TPS:
Beginning at 1.45975
• 1.46321
• 1.46612
• 1.47072
• 1.47476
• 1.47935
BEAR TPS:
Beginning at the current position
• 1.46321
• 1.45975
• 1.45608
• 1.45251
Will This Go In Favor of The AUD?Currently in consolidation after breaking out of the bullish channel.
Waiting to see if RBA Gov Lowe will make the market go in favor of the Aussie later today.
And then we'll see if the CPI and Trimmed Mean CPI will keep the momentum going.
So prepare for some a deadly spike tonight in the US and some more spikes the later that day.
I would like to say everything will be 3 for 3 with the Aussie, but we'll see.
BEAR TPs:
• 1.61689
• 1.61427
• 1.61175
• 1.60973
BULL TPS:
• 1.62751
• 1.63330
• 1.63484
• 1.63679
CADCHF SHORT TRADESimilar situation with the previous CAD set up, here we can see the price stalled near major supply area, we might get a minor down side impulse move before continuing to the upside, therefor am taking this probability to go short. look for solid evidence such as high test or pin bars candle closed before placing short trade.
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**Disclaimer**
the content on this analysis is subject to change at any time without notice, and is provided for the sole purpose of assisting traders to make independent investment decisions.
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LamchiuFX
Pullback Coming Into Play For Bull ContinuationGBP has been a fun ride since September with its bull run.
And after this retracement takes place, it's not stopping.
Let's see how far the pullback will be respected before we continue to shoot for the stars.
BEAR TPS:
1.68932
1.66584
1.64280
BULL TPS:
1.68932
1.71170
1.75415
We're Stuck in a Ginormous RangeBeen in a ginormous range for a good while.
Had a breakout from a small wedge within it, but that doesn't guarantee we're out of the woods yet.
So enjoy the range trading for now.
And yes, I did put bear tps in case the consolidation breakout heads south.
BULL TPS:
8514.90
8818.06
when break out of the range...
9085.48
9494.51
BEAR TPS:
8222.74
7999.78
when break out of the range...
7609.41
7218.66
NZD/JPY Short Trade BiasThe trend is down, the moving averages are down, price is at resistance & the daily looks like it's going to make a nice rejection candle. What's this mean? Downtrend! And that's exactly what we're looking to play. NZD/JPY has been in a downtrend for some time now and continuing to play it to the downside seems pretty smart. Where do we enter? Well, we want to see the daily close first and if the daily can close as is or a bearish pin bar or some sort of price action signal that allows us to take this short.
SHORT Trade Based On Price ActionThis is a trade setup based on timeframe agreement and price action.
Looking at the relationship across the timeframes, these are some of the things to take notice of:
====DAILY CHART====
The daily chart shows good evidence of bearishness: there are lower lows and lower high; and the price is overbought, interacting with the upper linear regression channel.
====LOWER TIMEFRAMES====
The lower timeframes generally agree with what we are seeing on the daily chart. However the H4 is currently encountering a lot of support. A more conservative trade would be waiting for that support be broken and then retrace before entering.
====STOPLOSS PLACEMENT====
A conservative level for stoploss would be above the previous lower high on the daily.
====PROFIT TAKING====
Consider taking 1:1 profits before the daily's lowest low in the downtrend. However, scope to take profits into oversold area of linear regression channel.
EUR/CHF Short Trade BiasNeed I say more? This is a very simple set up. The trend has been down for some time now, price has pulled back to a resistance level trying to blow through before the market closed last week only to fail and put a nice wick to the upside showing a failed breakout. Further downside is expected on this pair.
EUR/USD Short BiasI really like this one on a technical side. With the EUR coming down all year the favour is to keep playing the trend to the downside. With price pulling back towards a resistance trend line and also pulling back 50-61.8 % before the daily closed as a nice rejection, I think we could see further downside. I'm not short yet especially with NFP tonight however see how it goes and I may look at shorting this early next week.
EURNZD - Short from a monthly swing perspectiveEURNZD - We are bearish on both currency pairs so this isn't a trade setup we would usually be looking for, however this is setting up nicely for a monthly swing down to the 1.70500 zone which would give us a decent 450 pip trade.
We will slowly build a position on this pair with entries around 1.74600 depending on bearish price action in this zone, and a 60 pip stop loss. First target will be at 120 pips and we will look to add positions down to the 1.70500 region if we get decent entries.
Sell: 1.74600
Stop Loss: 1.75200
First Target: 1.73400
Trade safe!
Cheers, Paul.
Will Teacup Be Further Respected to Trendline?US30 moved some but is still stalling for the next big move. Not looking for anything major to happen until later this week. When it does, we'll know which way this thing is really going to go to start October off with a bang!
For now, I THINK this teacup will remain respected all the way to market structure at 26438 at least. Or show a but-ugly range back up to the monthly. Remember, I'm practicing swing trading with this pair. So the TPs may take time to hit. Let's find out:
BEAR TPS:
26724
26544
26438
26315
26106
BULL TPS:
26408
27061
27205
Consolidating At A Very Strong Level For Possible ReversalAUDCAD tried to give one more run to the downside last week but ended up stalling out and landing into consolidation. This area has a strong history of consolidation leading to reversals for the long. Let's see if that's what we are building up to this week. If not, we'll continue down to my next daily SR level and if we break through that, I'll post new TPS.
BULL TPS:
0.89873
0.90242
0.90513
0.90522
0.91362
BEAR TPS:
0.89372
0.89025
0.88893
Will post new Bear TPs if the daily SR level becomes broken.
Will We Break Through The Trendline or Keep The Bear Run Going?We had a nice trendline rejection last week, which would've broken the bear trend if it kept going. But we still have a chance this week for that to happen.
Solid support from the monthly zone of 80.566 means we should continue for the long.
We'll just have to wait and see.
As always, the TPS are in place for whichever the market goes.
I hope it's up.
BULL TPS:
81.750
81.922
82.178
82.283
82.753
BEAR TPS:
82.523
81.526
80.640
If it breaks the 80.566 monthly SR zone...
80.221
79.636
Harmonic Will Be Respected Until...So the bearish harmonic is still being respected. A new month means new momentum is coming, so I'm still looking for this to keep ticking back up pretty soon. So I'm going to enjoy the ride until it continues on its bull run.
BEAR TPS:
132.171
130.790 (weekly SR level)
If it breaks and retests the weekly, I'll add new TPs for the short.
BULL TPS:
These TPs are from the weekly SR level
132.375
133.501
134.072
134.739
135.674