Swingtrader
Pullback Trading Before Continuing Bull Run Next MonthThe GBP is nowhere near done with its bull rally.
I hope all of you were trading in favor of the GBP all this month.
I gave a heads up to some family before September 1st and I hope they enjoyed the month-long ride.
We have a morning star formation almost completely formed on the monthly.
Looking for it to finish the bull candle before October starts. Then onward and upward.
For now, let's see where this trade is going for the week.
It may run bearish briefly as a giant pullback before continuing its upward climb.
We'll find out soon enough:
BEAR TPS: after a pullback to weekly SR level:
1.65516
1.64995
1.64280
BULL TPS:
1.66012
1.66331
1.66874
1.67666
1.68932
Potential Trade Setup For Swing Trade LongHappy to be returning to the weekly trade setups!
EURCAD is showing a really beautiful setup for the long on the monthly chart. We are currently forming a hammer candle on the monthly and the RSI is at rock bottom. So I will be placing a position trade once I have full confirmation for a buy as a swing trade.
On the 4hr chart, we are sitting on a daily SR level, so this will be a critical point for a pivot this week if the bull run begins this week. I also have a potential MA 4/50 crossover forming for the bull as well on this chart.
So the run will either just setup or begin this week and I'm waiting to see if we have the full take off next month. Here are the potential TPs until there is confirmation for the swing trade bull to begin.
BEAR TPS:
1.45569
1.45103
1.44613
BULL TPS:
1.46452
1.46795
1.47072
1.47494
1.47935
EUR/USD Trade IdeaHello and welcome to my Trade Idea of the currency pair EUR/USD.
Lets start with the Top Down Analysis.
Monthly: We see on the monthly timeframe bearish momentum.
Weekly: The weekly timeframe is in a downtrend too with big bearish candles.
Daily: The daily timeframe shows a ranging market but overall the trend is bearish.
H4: We draw on the h4 timeframe the strong down trendline and wait for a confirmed bounce.
Have a nice day.
CAD/CHF Trade IdeaHello and welcome to my Trade Idea of the currency pair CAD/CHF.
Lets start with the Top Down Analysis.
Monthly: The monthly timeframe is bearish.
Weekly: We see on weekly nice up and down waves. But the overall trend is bearish.
Daily: On daily we draw the strong bearish trendline.
H4: We draw the counter trendline on the h4 timeframe and wait for a confirmed break.
Have a nice day.
USD/THB Short Trade BiasPretty self explanatory trade. We've been in a long term down trend for awhile now and recently broke the support level and closed below it on the daily chart. At this stage I'm just waiting for a pullback and some signs of entry to get short on this. I'll be looking for a long term trade on this heading towards 29.77820 level
SHORT Trade Based On Price ActionThis is a trade setup based on timeframe agreement and price action.
Looking at the relationship across the timeframes, these are some of the things to take notice of:
====DAILY CHART====
The daily chart shows good evidence of bearishness: there are lower lows and lower high; and the price was recently overbought, interacting with the upper linear regression channel.
====LOWER TIMEFRAMES====
The lower timeframes agree with what we are seeing on the daily chart, producing lower lows and lower highs.
====STOPLOSS PLACEMENT====
A conservative level for stoploss would be above the previous lower high on the daily.
====PROFIT TAKING====
A 1:1 reward-to-risk appears achievable, although the daily does indicate scope for the price to move beyond that.
CHFJPY SHORT Trade Based On Price Action VIDEOThis is a trade setup based on timeframe agreement and price action.
Looking at the relationship across the timeframes, these are some of the things to take notice of:
====DAILY CHART====
The daily chart shows good evidence of bearishness: there are lower lows and lower high; and the price was recently overbought, interacting with the upper linear regression channel.
====LOWER TIMEFRAMES====
The lower timeframes agree with what we are seeing on the daily chart, producing lower lows and lower highs.
====STOPLOSS PLACEMENT====
A conservative level for stoploss would be above the previous lower high on the daily.
====PROFIT TAKING====
A 1:1 reward-to-risk appears achievable, although the daily does indicate scope for the price to move beyond that.
AUD/NZD Short Bias IdeaRecently we've seen AUD/NZD gain a nice bull trend from its lows at 1.03549 with a 300+ pip move to the upside. Currently price is testing the 1.06950 zone with a triple top in play. Al-thought on the lower time-frames we've had a nice bullish trend, I'm still playing this trend on the short side based on the weekly trend being under the 200 EMA at this very moment and price is testing the area of the 200 EMA on the weekly. In the coming days / weeks I'll be looking for selling pressure or evidence price wants to come to the downside.
SHORT Trade Based On Price ActionThis is a trade setup based on timeframe agreement and price action.
Looking at the relationship across the timeframes, these are some of the things to take notice of:
====DAILY CHART====
The daily chart shows good evidence of bearishness: there are lower lows and lower high; and the price is overbought, interacting with the upper linear regression channel.
====LOWER TIMEFRAMES====
The H4 also shows good signs of bearishness, although there are some clear signs of recent support as discussed in the video. A more conservative trade would be waiting for that support to break and the price to pull back.
The H1 and lower timeframes show good signs of bearishness, with lower lows and lower highs.
====STOPLOSS PLACEMENT====
A good level for the stoploss is above the most recent resistance evident on the daily. This clears the previous lower high in the down trend and is also outside the liner regression channel.
====PROFIT TAKING====
Can consider taking initial profits on 1:1. However, if the price breaks the most recent lower low on the daily, there is a lot of scope for the price to potentially move lower.
See link below for the video description of this.
GBP/NZD Short Bias TradeThis pair has much better market structure than the GPB/AUD in my opinion. If i'm going to take one of them, it's this one... We can see the pair has had a nice rally to the top of the trend line now putting in a new re-test of the descending trendline. I'll be looking for short trades early in the week on this market. What tops this off is NZD is now hitting major support and we could see some strength come back into the NZD which should help push this one down more. On top of that, we're testing the 200 EMA on the weekly chart and last week closed as a nice rejection at this level. Shorts all the way back down to support in my opinion.
SHORT Trade Based On Price ActionThis is a trade setup based on timeframe agreement and price action.
Looking at the relationship across the timeframes, these are some of the things to take notice of:
====DAILY CHART====
The daily chart shows good evidence of bearishness: there are lower lows and lower high; and the price is overbought, interacting with the upper linear regression channel.
====LOWER TIMEFRAMES====
The H4 also shows good signs of bearishness, although there are some clear signs of recent support as discussed in the video. A more conservative trade would be waiting for that support to break and the price to pull back.
The H1 and lower timeframes show good signs of bearishness, with lower lows and lower highs.
====STOPLOSS PLACEMENT====
A good level for the stoploss is above the most recent resistance evident on the daily. This clears the previous lower high in the down trend and is also outside the liner regression channel.
====PROFIT TAKING====
Can consider taking initial profits on 1:1. However, if the price breaks the most recent lower low on the daily, there is a lot of scope for the price to potentially move lower.
AUDUSD SHORT Trade Based On Price Action A tasty trade setup based solely on timeframe agreement and price action.
Daily showing signs of bearishness and reasonable signs of reversal.
H4 and lower timeframe give good timeframe agreement to short.
Stoploss above Friday's candle give a decent sized position to allow for a 1:1 reward to risk or beyond.
Sorry about the mic pops in the video!
XAU/USD Long Bias I've still got my eyes set on buying Gold when I see the right opportunity to do so. At the moment I don't have any open positions on the metal however I do have a long bias back to 1600 level.
Price is in a nice uptrend and we've fallen back down to our buy zone. I'll be watching this over the next few hours to see how we react within this zone.
Is the Bull Trend Over Thanks to President Trump?Currently respected the bullish harmonic formed Friday thanks to President Trump.
GO TWITTER!!
In consolidation preparing for the next move.
If it can break the weekly 26130, and break resistance at 26438, looking to revisit 26724 or 27061 for the bull TPs.
If goes bearish after consolidation, will head down to 25080 monthly SR. Long term tp 24295.
On the daily, we're in a bearish range. So this can make a Big Boy move to the downside if this range is confirming the bull trend is over.
USD/NOK Long BiasWith price holding its steady uptrend all year I'd still be looking to go long on this pair. At the moment we can see the 4HR had a nice run up on Aug 14 with price going from 8.87136 all the way to 9.03077 where we saw selling pressure come back into the market for a pull back for us to get a possible long position. Pulling the the Fib tool from Aug 14 price at 8.87136 to the top of the pull back at 9.03077 we have a nice zone between the 61.8 and 50 % to go long.
Will see how this plays out when the markets open !
EURUSD Timeframe Agreement & Price Action For Shorts Trade setup to short based solely on timeframe agreement and price action.
DAILY
good signs of bearishness and signs that price could be oversold (based on linear regression channel)
H4
broken support which was holding up the price
HOURLY
Started to show lower lows and lower highs. Entry based on seeing reversals off of either the upper linear regression channel or the average of linear regression channel.
STOPLOSS PLACEMENT
Using the lower highs on the hourly for stoploss placement, as shown in video.
TAKE PROFIT
1:1 reward to risk seems probable if the price action pans out as described, although scope for a move beyond that.
NZD/USD Trade IdeaHello and welcome to my Trade Idea of the currency pair NZD/USD.
Let's start with the Top Down Analysis.
Monthly: Monthly is bearish.
Weekly: The weekly timeframe is in a very strong downtrend.
Daily: Daily is also bearish with as good as no retracements.
H4: On the h4 timeframe we see a trendline and a support area. I expect a break to the downside.
Have a nice day.
NZD/JPY Trade IdeaHello and welcome to my Trade Idea of the currency pair NZD/JPY.
Let's start with the Top Down Analysis.
Monthly: Monthly is in a very strong downtrend.
Weekly: In the weekly timeframe we see that the price breaks the lows and close under these. As well the last weeks had 2 big bearish candles which confirm that the trend is bearish.
Daily: The daily timeframe is bearish too.
H4: The pennant pattern is drawn in the h4 timeframe, and we wait for a breakout.
Have a nice day.
NZD/CAD Trade IdeaHello and welcome to my Trade Idea of the currency pair NZD/CAD.
Lets start with the Top Down Analysis.
Monthly: The monthly timeframe is in a strong downtrend.
Weekly: The weekly timeframe shows a nice bearish trend.
Daily: Daily is bearish too.
H4: On the H4 timeframe we draw the pennant pattern and wait for a breakout.
Have a nice day.