ETHUSD and Crypto Signaling Risk On?So typically for equities I use the one hour, but when it comes to crypto being that a trading day is 4x a typical day for equities, I use the 4 hour. The one thing about my momentum indicator, is that forward testing has indicated that the longer a trade survives, the more likely it is to win! This one looks like we have a double bottom in the works as it approaches the neckline. If it can breakout, instead of testing that take profit, we are likely to smash thru it. I guess patience pays...
The signal was created by the King Trading Momentum Strategy combines the 5 EMA crossing above the 13 EMA, RSI strength, favorable momentum as measured by ADX plus evaluating recent volume changes and even something that measures breakout momentum called Beta for some equities! ETHUSD and over 100 equities are built into this script, as well as, BTCUSD and SOLUSD with optimal backtest take profits and stop losses and can be toggled on by simply checking a box (default they are turned off). I always enable Using Bar Magnifier and On Bar Close in Properties.
Swingtrading
MSFT with Room to Run to UpsideI guess what I love about this one is the fact that right now MSFT isn't exactly getting all that much love, and this sleeper has room to run if it can get above it's 200 day SMA! This one has been open for a couple days and if we can get a VIX crush Friday tomorrow it may just be getting started!
The signal was created by the King Trading Momentum Strategy combines the 5 EMA crossing above the 13 EMA, RSI strength, favorable momentum as measured by ADX plus evaluating recent volume changes and even something that measures breakout momentum called Beta for some equities! MSFT and over 100 equities are built into this script with optimal backtest take profits and stop losses and can be toggled on by simply checking a box (default they are turned off). I always enable Using Bar Magnifier and On Bar Close in Properties.
[02/03] SPX Weekly GEX OutlookSPX shifted into a strong sideways trend after recent market whipsaws, but premarket today saw a sharp sell-off.
Now, let’s break down the GEX levels set for Friday’s weekly expiration (first weekly expiry). These are already reflected in today’s GEX data—check them on your indicator!
COMMENT: This week, we’ve started updating our seamless GEX & options indicators before the market opens . This has been a long-standing request from users—especially 0DTE traders, who will likely benefit the most.
Key GEX Levels for SPX
📍 Highest Positive Call Wall (Call Resistance): 6075
Acted as resistance last Friday, as it often does initially.
📍 Sideways Zone: 6000-6070 (Transition Zone with GAMMA flip)
Wide Transition Zone → Expect high volatility or slow drifting within this range.
Easy flow between positive and negative GEX profiles, meaning potential sharp moves in either direction.
📍 Put Support (Sum 4DTE): 5900
Very deep support—market is clearly pricing in fear of a potential future drop.
📌Below 6000, there are only negative NetGEX strikes down to 5900, which signals a lack of strong support until that level.
What This Means for the Week
📊 SPX opened (gapped down) in negative GEX territory—if buyers don’t reclaim this zone, we are in for a highly volatile week, potentially with a spiking VIX.
🚫 No reason for bullish optimism unless we break above 6070—until then, expect uncertainty and potential downside pressure.
PS: FINAL GEX ZONE COLORING SHEET
EUR/USD – Breakout or Fakeout? Key Levels to Watch!Hello again
EUR/USD has been pushing higher, testing a key resistance zone. The question is will it break through or get rejected?
📌 Here’s what I’m watching:
1.0541 is the key level price is hovering around. A clean break could push us towards 1.0644 & 1.0747.
If it fails to hold, we might see a retest of 1.0450 and 1.0427.
👀 My Take:
If price stays above 1.0541, we could see bullish continuation. But if we drop below 1.0450, then this might have just been a fakeout before heading lower.
Going Long with ADBE!ADBE after hitting take-profit, sold off during first hour of day and got stopped, only to reverse. Typically when trades start to win, they continue doing so, which is why I went long when the signal fired earlier.
The King Trading Momentum Strategy combines the 5 EMA crossing above the 13 EMA, RSI strength, favorable momentum as measured by ADX plus evaluating recent volume changes and even something that measures breakout momentum called Beta for this one! ARKK and over 100 equities are built into this script with optimal backtest take profits and stop losses and can be toggled on by simply checking a box (default they are turned off).
New Setup: TSSITSS, Inc., a dynamic player in the IT sector, recently turned profitable and now trades at 1.6% below its estimated fair value. With a $20 million credit facility secured for expanding AI-enabled technologies and added to major indices like NASDAQ Composite, TSS seems poised for growth.
TOSH/USD Long Setup: OTE + Fake Supply zone reclaimed I've spotted a great long opportunity on TOSH/USD using a combination of advanced market analysis techniques:
1️⃣ Liquidity grab below recent lows, clearing out impatient buyers.
2️⃣ Entry at the OTE zone (Optimal Trade Entry) between 61.8% and 78.6% Fibonacci retracement, a key area for strong rejections.
3️⃣ A fake supply zone has been reclaimed, signaling bullish intent.
🎯 Trade Details:
Entry: 0.0006900 (validated in the OTE zone).
Context: Liquidity sweep below support followed by a bullish re-entry.
Confirmation: Clean reclaim of the fake supply zone with momentum.
Stop Loss: Below the last swing low for proper risk management.
Take Profits:
TP1: Previous Higher High (HH). 🚀
📊 Plan:
I’m watching for strong confirmation in the OTE zone and increased volume as the fake supply zone is reclaimed. Risk management is key—position sizing is based on capital and stop-loss placement.
This is not financial advice, just my personal setup idea based on market structure. What’s your take? Let me know below! 👇"
Microsoft - This Will Lead To Trouble!Microsoft ( NASDAQ:MSFT ) shows some clear weakness:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
Back in mid 2024 Microsoft created another new all time high and in doing so also retested the major upper resistance trendline of the longer term rising channel formation. Following this bearish retest, a correction is very expected before we then see the bullish trend continuation.
Levels to watch: $350
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
GBP/JPY setting up for a swing-trade short?My core bias this year is for the Japanese yen to outperform, and for yen pairs such as GBP/JPY, EUR/JPY and AUD/JPY etc to suffer.
We are currently within a countertrend bounce against a much larger bearish move on GBP/JPY, but a doji formed just beneath a resistance cluster on Thursday to suggest the bounce is pausing, if not correcting itself.
The 1-hour chart shows that volumes were rising while prices fell from Thursday's high, and volumes were lower as they recouped some of those losses. Yet with GBP/JPY now trying to form a bearish outside candle on the 1-hour chart, perhaps a swing high has already formed.
The near-term bias is bearish while prices remain beneath 192.50, and for prices to fall to at least the 38.2% Fibonacci ratio ~190.75.
Matt Simpson, Market Analyst at City Index and Forex.com
Wait for the Swing DownThis is tempting to buy, but patience is key with swing trading to reduce risk. Coming from the world of crypto, this seems like it would take an eternity (2years). But it helps to know the direction it's headed if you did want to scalp it in smaller time frames.
Green arrow represents the safer swing trade.
Orange arrow represents same bull trend but will still end up in that buy zone anyways.
No RSI divergence yet, and MACD still mostly above 0.
PLUG power consolidation completed! Buy setupBuying now at discount levels near structural support. Expecting bullish thesis to be solidified once we recover above 1.9-2.2 levels.
Expecting fairly rapid progression to gap fill targets by 2026.
Strongly likely we see 6$ before summer 2025 & 10-12$ levels by end of yr
Planning to scale out of buy positions primarily at 10-12$ range. Will leave remainder for long term speculation for possible 14-20$ levels.
Broadcom - This Chart Is Just Splendid!Broadcom ( NASDAQ:AVGO ) is starting the rejection:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
For the past decade, Broadcom has been trading in an obvious rising channel formation, perfectly rejecting the upper resistance as well as the lower support trendline. With the recent weakness, Broadcom is now preparing for a clean rejection away from the major reversal area.
Levels to watch: $250, $150
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
Nasdaq - Starting The Final Parabolic Year!Nasdaq ( TVC:NDQ ) is perfectly following the breakout:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
Back in 2020 we already witnessed the channel break and retest, which was followed by a parabolic rally of another +50%. And in mid 2024, the Nasdaq again broke the channel trendline towards the upside, preparing the repetition of the parabolic rally which we saw four years ago.
Levels to watch: $30.000
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
Nvidia - This Will Change Everything!Nvidia ( NASDAQ:NVDA ) is creating a massive breakdown:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
For the past decade, Nvidia has been trading in a rising channel formation, perfectly following major rally and retracement cycles. But now we are starting to see some weakness on Nvidia and a break below the smaller timeframe support trendline will lead to a massive move lower.
Levels to watch: $110, $60
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
Why you should choose your trading period carefullyFirst, let's look at the four most important trading sessions. The Forex and stock market is divided into different trading sessions, which are based on the opening hours of the main financial centers:
Session Opening Hours (UTC) Major Markets:
-> Sydney session 22:00 – 07:00 Australia, New Zealand
-> Tokyo session 00:00 – 09:00 Japan, China, Singapore
-> London session 08:00 – 17:00 UK, Europe
-> New York session 1:00 p.m. – 10:00 p.m. USA, Canada
Note: Times vary slightly depending on summer or winter time.
Why are trading sessions important?
-> Volatility & Liquidity
Depending on the session, there are different market movements.
High liquidity → tight spreads and better order execution.
Low liquidity → greater slippage and wider spreads.
-> Active currencies & markets
During the Tokyo session, JPY and AUD pairs are particularly active.
During the London session, EUR and GBP pairs are the most volatile.
During the New York session, USD pairs and stock markets moved the most.
Opportunities & risks during overlapping times:
The overlaps between sessions are the most volatile times because several major markets are active at the same time.
1. London-New York Overlap (13:00 – 17:00 UTC)
→ Highest volatility
Why?
The world's two largest financial centers operate at the same time.
Opportunities:
Big price moves → good for breakout traders and scalping.
High liquidity → tight spreads, fast order execution.
Risks:
Extreme volatility → rapid price changes can trigger stop losses.
News (e.g. US jobs data) can cause sudden movements.
Practical example:
A trader is watching EUR/USD and sees strong resistance at 1.1000.
US inflation data will be released at 13:30 UTC.
If the data is better than expected → USD strengthens, EUR/USD falls.
If the data is worse → USD weakens, EUR/USD rises.
Within a few minutes the price can fluctuate by 50-100 pips.
→ Strategy: News traders rely on quick movements, while conservative traders extend stop losses or pause during this time.
2. Tokyo-London Overlap (08:00 – 09:00 UTC)
→ Medium volatility
Why?
London opens while Tokyo is still active.
Opportunities:
JPY pairs (e.g. GBP/JPY) are moving strongly.
Breakouts through the European opening.
Risks:
Sudden changes in direction as European traders often have a different market opinion than Asian ones.
Practical example:
A scalper is trading GBP/JPY in a narrow range of 185.00 – 185.20 during the Tokyo session.
At 08:00 UTC London opens with GBP/JPY breaking above 185.50.
Within 30 minutes the price rises to 186.00 as European traders buy GBP.
If you recognize the breakout early, you can quickly take 50-100 pips.
→ Strategy: Scalpers rely on quick entries and take profits before volatility subsides.
3. Sydney-Tokyo Overlap (00:00 – 07:00 UTC)
→ Low volatility
Why?
Mainly the Asian market is active.
Opportunities:
Less volatility → good for range trading.
Cheaper spreads for AUD and NZD pairs.
Risks:
Little liquidity → Slippage may occur.
Strong moves are rare, except for major news from Japan or Australia.
Practical example:
A swing trader notes that AUD/USD has been fluctuating between 0.6500 and 0.6550 for days.
During the Sydney-Tokyo session the price mostly stays in this range.
The trader places a sell limit order at 0.6550 and a buy limit order at 0.6500.
Since there is little volatility, it can be profitable with multiple small trades.
→ Strategy: Range trading is ideal because no major breakouts are expected.
Conclusion:
Each trading session has its own characteristics, opportunities and risks.
The crossovers are the most volatile times - good for day traders, but risky for inexperienced traders. Anyone who understands the market mechanisms can take targeted action at the right time. The strategies mentioned above are simply derivations from the advantages and disadvantages of the respective sessions. Of course, a well-founded strategy concept requires much more.
GBPJPY: Bearish Continuation Ahead 🇬🇧🇯🇵
GBPJPY will most likely continue trading in a bearish trend
after a confirmed bearish breakout of a key horizontal support.
The broken structure and a falling trend line compose
the contracting supply zone now.
Chances are high that a bearish movement will follow from that.
Next goal - 186.0
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