Neutral on Regions! A couple of scenarios.🔉Sound on!🔉
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Swingtrading
SWSOLAR Getting Ready to Break its 2019's & All Time HighNSE:SWSOLAR
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| KEY HIGHLIGHTS FOR 1Q FY25
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• Unexecuted order value at ~INR 9,396 crore as of June 2024
compared to ~INR 8,084 crore as of Mar 2024
• Company has received new orders / LOI in three domestic
projects worth ~INR 1,016 crore during the quarter
• Company received two turnkey international orders from South
Africa amounting to ~USD 140 mn
• Commenced a pilot project for Solar plus BESS for Reliance
Industries at Jamnagar, Gujarat
• P&L of the company continues to improve
• Consol revenues up ~78% YoY in 1QFY25
• Gross margins at ~11%
• Second consecutive quarter of positive EBITDA, PBT and PAT
at a consolidated level
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• The company’s balance sheet continues to de-leverage
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• Total net debt of ~INR 97 crore as of Jun 2024, compared
to net debt of ~INR 116 crore in Mar 2024
• No upcoming debt repayments till 3QFY25
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Received order of 900 MW DC in 1QFY25
• Received a turnkey solar PV order from AMEA Power in South
Africa for a ~140 MW DC project
• Through this project, SWREL has achieved a key breakthrough in
the rapidly growing South African solar market.
• We have successfully executed a 90 MW DC order in South
Africa in 2016 previously, and continue to maintain O&M
operations there
• Bagged our second international order from South Africa with a
turnkey package for a 80 MW AC project from Energy Group
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Apple Inc. (AAPL) chart analysisThe stock chart for Apple (AAPL) highlights the formation of an Ascending Triangle pattern. This is a bullish continuation pattern characterized by a rising support trendline and a horizontal resistance level, as depicted by the converging red lines.
In an ascending triangle, the rising support indicates that buyers are stepping in at progressively higher levels, while the horizontal resistance suggests that sellers are capping gains at a certain price level. This pattern generally suggests accumulation, where buying pressure builds up, and it often leads to a breakout above the resistance line if enough momentum gathers.
At the moment, AAPL is approaching the resistance line but has not yet broken out. If the stock price moves above the resistance level with strong volume, it could signal a bullish breakout, leading to a new leg higher. However, if the price reverses and breaks below the support line, it could signal a bearish move, making it essential to watch the coming price action closely.
Given the upward slope of the support line, the bias remains bullish, but traders should remain cautious until a clear breakout occurs.
NVDA - Swing Trade Idea NVIDIA (NVDA) is gradually recovering after the recent sharp sell-off. We saw a structural shift with the recapture of the X-POC (Xtructure Changing Starting Point) around $102.50, where buyers stepped in, forming a high-volume node (HVN).
Following the X-POC recovery, NVDA gapped up, closing above this level and establishing a new point of control (POC) with significant volume at $105.
Today, NVDA opened strong but, as anticipated, encountered resistance just before the N-POC at $110.61. Bears took control, driving the price back down to the previous day’s POC at $105.
The key for the rest of the day is maintaining a close above $105. Ideally, closing above $107.10 (today’s POC) would strengthen the bullish case. However, if we see further declines, the critical support remains at the $102.50 X-POC.
Looking ahead, tomorrow's CPI report will likely set the tone for the FOMC meeting next Wednesday, potentially clearing the path for a return to all-time highs. For now, bulls need to break through the $110.61 N-POC and hold above it. If achieved, we could see rapid movement towards the $118 POC, with resistance expected before reaching the final target at the $126 N-POC.
Riding the Bull: My Probability-Based Approach to Trading GER30The German DAX (GER30) is showing promising signs for potential upside movement, supported by several key fundamental factors:
1. European Central Bank's accommodative stance
2. Improving economic indicators in the Eurozone
3. Strong performance of German export-oriented companies
4. Increasing investor confidence in the European market recovery
To capitalize on this bullish outlook, I'm employing a probability-based approach to enter long positions on GER30.
Take a look at these analyses to see the details behind this trade idea.
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AUDCHF: One More Breakout Setup 🇦🇺🇨🇭
I see one more important daily structure breakout.
AUCHF violated a support cluster of a wide horizontal range.
It is a clear sign of the sellers and a strong bearish signal.
I think that the price will reach at least 0.56 level soon.
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Unlocking Potential: 59.90% Probability for DOGEUSD ATH Bullish Fundamentals for Dogecoin
1. Increased mainstream adoption: More businesses and platforms are accepting Dogecoin as a form of payment, expanding its real-world use cases.
2. Growing community support: The Dogecoin community remains active and passionate, driving continued interest and development.
3. Potential technological improvements: Ongoing discussions about upgrades to Dogecoin's blockchain could enhance its functionality and appeal.
4. Positive market sentiment: As the broader crypto market shows signs of recovery, meme coins like Dogecoin often benefit from renewed investor interest.
Using Probabilities for Long Positions
I'm utilizing probabilities on my charts to get positioned into longs for DOGEUSD.
This strategy aligns well with my bullish bias on DOGEUSD, allowing me to capitalize on potential upward movements in a more calculated manner.
12M:
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Tata consumer-Bullish Swing- Right time to enter!! NSE:TATACONSUM
22.08.2024
Buy-1202
Target-1246
Stop Loss-1157
Risk Reward- 1:1
1.Breakout- Inside bar breakout
2.Trend-Consolidation after uptrend
3.KeyLevel-Breakout at Resistance turned to support & parallel support also
4.Volume- Good above average volumes
5. EMA- 21 EMA Rejection & above 50 EMA
6. RSI-Bullish indication after consolidation
7. Fibonacci- Very good rejection at 0.382 Level
EURAUD: Confirmed CHoCH & Bullish Outlook 🇪🇺 🇦🇺
I see a confirmed Change of Character on EURAUD on a daily.
Trading in a global bullish trend, the market successfully violated
a minor bearish trend, breaking a significant horizontal resistance.
The market will most likely go higher.
Next resistance - 1.669
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AUDJPY Short Setup: Leveraging Probabilities for Better TradesKey Fundamentals
China's Economic Slowdown: Australia relies heavily on trade with China. If China’s economy weakens, it can hurt Australia’s economy and the Australian Dollar.
Safe-Haven Demand: In uncertain times, investors often turn to safe-haven currencies like the Japanese Yen, which could lead to a drop in AUD/JPY.
Different Central Bank Policies: The Bank of Japan is keeping interest rates low, while the Reserve Bank of Australia may consider rate hikes. This difference can strengthen the Yen against the Australian Dollar.
Using Probabilities for Short Trades
By combining these fundamentals with a probability-based strategy, I aim to effectively trade AUD/JPY.
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On this timeframe I can get positioned into shorts based on probabilities.
AUDUSD: Bearish Reversal Confirmed 🇦🇺🇺🇸
AUDUSD formed a head and shoulders pattern on a daily time frame.
With the release of the Friday's US fundamentals,
the price dropped rapidly and violated a neckline of the pattern.
This morning, the price nicely retest the broken neckline and respected that.
We can anticipate a further bearish continuation now.
Next supports: 0.6645 / 0.657
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JP225USD: Using Probabilities to Position for a Bearish TrendThe current global economic landscape presents several factors that align with a bearish bias for the Japanese stock market, particularly the Nikkei 225 index (JP225USD):
Global Economic Slowdown: Concerns about a potential recession in major economies are weighing on investor sentiment.
Bank of Japan Policy Shift: The recent rate hike by the Bank of Japan may impact the stock market as it moves away from ultra-loose monetary policy.
Yen Strength: A stronger yen could potentially hurt Japanese exporters, affecting their profitability and stock prices.
Utilizing Probabilities for Short Positioning
I'm employing probability-based analysis on my charts to identify optimal entry points for short positions.
By combining fundamental bearish factors with probability-based technical analysis, I aim to create a robust trading strategy for shorting JP225USD.
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JMFINANCIALHi guys,
In this chart i Found a Demand Zone in JMFINANCIAL CHART for Positional entry,
Observed these Levels based on price action and Demand & Supply.
*Don't Take any trades based on this Picture.
... because this chart is for educational purpose only not for Buy or Sell Recommendation..
Thank you