GBPNZD: Important Bearish Breakout 🇬🇧🇳🇿
GBPNZD violated a key daily horizontal support and closed below that.
It opens a potential for a further decline.
Next support - 2.19
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
Swingtrading
Gold's cautious gains might be a sucker-punch for bullsWhile I suspect gold will outperform in 2025, I am suspicious of these early-year gains during low-liquidity trade. Taking market positioning into account, I assess the weekly trend structure alongside areas for bulls to seek potential shots on the daily and 4-hour timeframes.
MS
Nightly $SPX / $SPY Predictions for 1.10.2024🔮 Nightly SP:SPX / AMEX:SPY Predictions for 1.10.2024
📅 Fri Jan 10
⏰ 8:30am
💰 Average Hourly Earnings m/m: 0.3% (prev: 0.4%)
👷 Non-Farm Employment Change: 164K (prev: 227K)
📉 Unemployment Rate: 4.2% (prev: 4.2%)
⏰ 10:00am
📊 Prelim UoM Consumer Sentiment: 74.0 (prev: 74.0)
📈 Prelim UoM Inflation Expectations: 2.8%
💡 Market Insights:
📈 GAP ABOVE HPZ:
The markets are very sensitive right now with the pause. I wouldn't bet that it holds this gap for long.
📊 OPEN WITHIN EEZ:
A little more upside, and then markets will need the weekend to digest.
📉 GAP BELOW HCZ:
Everyone will eat up this drop; definitely look to position bullish here.
#trading #stock #stockmarket #today #daytrading #swingtrading #charting #investing
Downtrends Finding Support for the Next Uptrend: AMAT ExampleNASDAQ:AMAT was over-speculated in 2023 and then had a top formation that trended down starting in July 2024. This is still considered technically to be an intermediate-term trend correction. The selling started at an all-time high.
HFTs are constantly in the mix, selling down. However, the shift of sentiment has started and there are gaps up recently.
It is NOT in a buyback mode but the stock is finding support from the 2021 highs, which is strong support. This should provide the basis for the beginning of a bottom formation.
Trade Review - SAGEWhen SAGE showed up in screener there was a bullish continuation pattern on the daily timeframe and a potential overextension on the higher timeframe downtrend.
The higher timeframe is in a downtrend, have made a measured move down (volatility projection) and is extended from the mean, thus we observe for potential reversion.
The lower timeframe provides a bullish continuation setup, which allows us to enter with a more structured approach. There was a failure test entry earlier, but since this was missed we look for a more clear range expansion as a confirmation. The target is a measured move up, as this is a projection of the current volatility.
In this chart you can observe the actual expansion / breakout, since there was a noticeable contraction 2 bars prior the move could be entered quicker. The stop is located 1-2 ATR from the entry point, which allows for a 1.5 to 2 R trade.
EURCAD: Bearish Outlook Explained 🇪🇺🇨🇦
EURCAD formed 2 bearish patterns on a daily:
first, the price violated a support line of a rising parallel channel,
a neckline of a double top formation was violated then.
It indicates a strong bearish pressure on the market.
The market may reach 1.475 support soon.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
Setup: TEVATEVA : I have a swing trade setup signal. I'm looking to enter long if the stock can manage to CLOSE above the last candle high(BUY). If triggered, I will then place a stop-loss below (SL) and a price target above it(TP= Sell all or 50% & move SL to breakeven), then using the close below the 10SMA as my trailing stop loss. Last hour had higher than normal buying. **Note: The above setups will remain valid until the stock CLOSES BELOW my set stop-loss level(SL).
Setup: EXELEXEL : I have a swing trade setup signal. I'm looking to enter long if the stock can manage to CLOSE above the last candle high(BUY). If triggered, I will then place a stop-loss below (SL) and a price target above it(TP= Sell all or 50%, move SL to breakeven), then using the close below the 10SMA as my trailing stop loss. I like that the last hour candle had high volume showing interest (normally coming from 'Smart Money'). **Note: The above setups will remain valid until the stock CLOSES BELOW my set stop-loss level(SL).
Setup: ETRETR : I have a swing trade setup signal. I'm looking to enter long if the stock can manage to CLOSE above the last candle high(BUY). If triggered, I will then place a stop-loss below (SL) and a price target above it(TP= Sell all or 50%, move SL to breakeven), then using the close below the 10SMA as my trailing stop loss. **Note: The above setups will remain valid until the stock CLOSES BELOW my set stop-loss level(SL).
Stock Idea: CRMDCRMD: This not a setup, so adding it to my watchlist. I really like this because it is now over both VWAP levels (yellow lines). Good chance it may get a setup signal if it pulls back to the bottom VWAP line.
ASML Swing Trade - ShortFor my first trade of the year, I will take a stab at ASML.
The share has failed to break through an established resistance (red line), and MACD and price action suggest a bearish move. My profit target is 608, close to the next support I identified (green line). My stop will be just over the resistance line, resulting in a 2R target for this trade.
Happy New Year, fellow traders! Let's go!
New Setup: UNGUNG : I have a swing trade setup signal. I'm looking to enter long if the stock can manage to CLOSE above the last candle high(BUY). If triggered, I will then place a stop-loss below (SL) and a price target above it(TP-50%,move SL to breakeven), then using the close below the 10SMA as my trailing stop loss. **Note: The above setups will remain valid until the stock CLOSES BELOW my set stop-loss level(SL).
New Setup: TSLATSLA : I have a swing trade setup signal. I'm looking to enter long if the stock can manage to CLOSE above the last candle high(BUY). If triggered, I will then place a stop-loss below (SL) and a price target above it(TP-50%,move SL to breakeven), then using the close below the 10SMA as my trailing stop loss. **Note: The above setups will remain valid until the stock CLOSES BELOW my set stop-loss level(SL).
ZYDUS LIFE SWING BOThe stock showing a breakout with strong volumes.
For a successful breakout, we should ideally see a strong 1H candle on our chart—it’s crucial to use that timeframe.
Following the breakout, the ideal entry point would be after a consecutive candle that breaks above the breakout candle
As always, remember to do your own research before making any investment decisions!
Conquered 250 Pips, What's Next in the Wave? Swingers!Let's keep it simple, As Always!
As of today, GBP/USD has delivered a solid 250-pip move following our analysis shared on October 9th, 2024. Our forecasted move materialized as expected, with the pair continuing its upward momentum after a brief consolidation phase. For those who took the trade, congratulations on securing some solid profits!
Now, the question on everyone's mind is, what's next for GBP/USD? Let’s break down the structure and identify the potential move within the wave.
Keep an eye on price action around these levels for the next wave. A pullback to 1.2300 could offer an entry for the next rally. Stay cautious and wait for confirmation before jumping in.
Let's see how the market unfolds over the coming sessions.
-Zak
Happy Trading! 🔥
ASX futures tease bearish with a potential swing highSanta's rally put in a poor performance this year. ASX futures sold off into Christmas before the 200-day SMA and 8000 handle came before the market eked out a weak comeback into the new year. Yet price action on the daily chart suggests we could be approaching a swing high.
It appears we're in a third wave higher from 8000, yet momentum lacks the legs of the initial bounce to suggest an ABC correction could be nearing an end. The 50-day SMA has so far capped today's rally and could leave a bearish pinbar should it close the day around current levels. A multi-week bearish divergence has formed on the RSI (14) and the daily RSI (2) is approaching overbought.
The bias is to fade into moves towards the 50-day SMA and target the November low. But if appetite for risk truly sours, we could see prices break beneath the 200-day SMA and 8000 level and head for the lower trendline of the rising channel.
MS
$NKE potential bottom around $58-63- For NYSE:NKE longs, they gotta feel 10-15% more downside for potential bottom. $63 is the 200 SMA on monthly scale where it could potentially bottom.
- Ideally, NYSE:NKE has been losing market share to NYSE:ONON , deckers etc. On top of that there's zero innovation in the shoes and design. Premium price for Nike seems unjustified.
- Fair value based on multiple compression seems to be around $78-85. Therefore, buying it in 70s isn't worth holding. I believe parking money here is like betting on dead horse as of now.
- Turn around in brick and mortar business takes long time and patience as compared to SAAS business where one could see positive turn around within 1-2 quarters.
- CEO is a veteran which is a plus but investors should be cautiously optimistic.
- Buying around $58-63 provides good upside adjusted for slow rate of pace of growth and competition fears.
Bearish BTCOn the daily and weekly stochastic RSI is in the overbought zone.
Using fibonacci, on the daily, price has not finished out the fib sequence to the d extension and had less than a 38.2 pullback.
We hit a d extension on the monthly.
Still bearish on this pair at least to 77K = 38.2 up fib retracement zone with inclination toward further downside potential to 68K = 61.8 up fib retracement zone.
BTC - SHORT - Tempting but dangerous tradeBTC is facing a major resistance at 100k. I expect a drop at least in 4 hours timeframe. This is a very risky trade because shorting BTC and in a bull market is not at all advisable. Personally I think it will most likely go close to the POC (97500~) and then go up. Likewise, if the 91k is broken strongly, we will go to very low areas and it is very tempting to let it go. The weekly is still a latent possibility to go to low levels. But nothing is certain and we can easily go in any direction. I would not short BTC for a long time or with a high margin. So this trade must be constantly protected. Be careful.
TP 1: 96500 ~ 97500 (protect trade - POC)
TP 2: 93100 (support)
TP 3: 91600 (daily support)
MMTCPositional / Swing Trade opportunity in MMTC
CMP: 72.80
ENTRY: From 68-71
SL: 60
Target 1: 85
Target 2: 120
DISCLAIMER: Not Financial Advice. Only for Educational Purposes.
Invest at your own risk
Harsha engineering good swing pick?Harsha engineering from fundamental pov company is debt free and has delivered a good cagr return
Now stock is at good value looks like in mid of Jan month it will pop up with good volume
Risk traders can accumulate at cmp keeping sl at 475 almost 8% while safe trader can accumulate at 485-515
Tgt 562 598 676 720
Only for educational purposes
Ask your financial advisor and broker before buying
New Setup: LITELITE : I have a swing trade setup signal. I'm looking to enter long if the stock can manage to CLOSE above the last candle high(BUY). If triggered, I will then place a stop-loss below (SL) and a price target above it(TP-50%,move SL to breakeven), then using the close below the 10SMA as my trailing stop loss. **Note: The above setups will remain valid until the stock CLOSES BELOW my set stop-loss level(SL).
New Setup: AVPTAVPT : I have a swing trade setup signal. I'm looking to enter long if the stock can manage to CLOSE above the last candle high(BUY). If triggered, I will then place a stop-loss below (SL) and a price target above it(TP-50%,move SL to breakeven), then using the close below the 10SMA as my trailing stop loss. **Note: The above setups will remain valid until the stock CLOSES BELOW my set stop-loss level(SL).
