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BTCUSD HTF cycle analysis Hi, I’m from Phoenix FX, and today I’ll be sharing my perspective on Bitcoin (BTC) price action based on the higher timeframes. I’ll also give you my outlook on potential trade setups for today and tomorrow. Please remember that this is not financial advice—use this information as a guide only. If you find it helpful, don’t forget to like and share it with your like-minded communities. Higher Timeframe Analysis In my view, BTC tends to follow clear bullish and bearish cycle zones. Typically, we see a pump to new all-time highs (ATH), followed by the formation of resistance and a retracement down to a key support level. Our trading approach focuses on identifying those critical support and resistance levels, with some interim trades based on shorter-term analysis—occasionally even counter-trend, depending on the day’s market bias. Over the past eight years, BTC has respected a major trend resistance line. The most recent ATH, around $112K, reconfirmed the relevance of this trendline. This makes it a valuable tool for projecting future ATH levels. Looking ahead, I expect a move towards the $115K level in the coming weeks. This would likely act as a point of resistance, at which stage we might see a reversal and a drop back down to a key support zone. Trade Setup The chart I'm referencing highlights what I would consider the first premium buy zone, identified using a 4-hour Fair Value Gap (FVG). The 50% level of this zone sits at $99,450. If this zone fails to hold, we may drop further to the secondary premium buy zone, which aligns with our higher timeframe (HTF) trend support and a weekly FVG. The 50% level of this deeper zone is around $89,150. A potential long entry at $92,550, with a stop loss around $88,000, offers an excellent risk-to-reward (RR) ratio, targeting a move up to the $115K level. Intraday Outlook For today, I see bearish price action, with potential rejection around the $104,300–$105,000 range. Go short around the $104,750 to $105,000 zone This could lead to a move down toward the lower key zones highlighted in the HTF analysis. I recommend taking partial profits (TP) at every $1,000 increment and setting your stop loss to breakeven (BE) after hitting the first target. Final Thoughts Price action analysis is always subjective, so I’d love to hear your thoughts and ideas in the comments—each one, teach one. Thanks for giving me some of your time. From the Phoenix FX team, have a great weekend!
BINANCE:BTCUSD
by PFXteam
1
BTCUSD Price action analysis on HTFHi, I’m from Phoenix FX, and today I’ll be sharing my perspective on Bitcoin (BTC) price action based on the higher timeframes. I’ll also give you my outlook on potential trade setups for today and tomorrow. Please remember that this is not financial advice—use this information as a guide only. If you find it helpful, don’t forget to like and share it with your like-minded communities. Higher Timeframe Analysis In my view, BTC tends to follow clear bullish and bearish cycle zones. Typically, we see a pump to new all-time highs (ATH), followed by the formation of resistance and a retracement down to a key support level. Our trading approach focuses on identifying those critical support and resistance levels, with some interim trades based on shorter-term analysis—occasionally even counter-trend, depending on the day’s market bias. Over the past eight years, BTC has respected a major trend resistance line. The most recent ATH, around $112K, reconfirmed the relevance of this trendline. This makes it a valuable tool for projecting future ATH levels. Looking ahead, I expect a move towards the $115K level in the coming weeks. This would likely act as a point of resistance, at which stage we might see a reversal and a drop back down to a key support zone. Trade Setup The chart I'm referencing highlights what I would consider the first premium buy zone, identified using a 4-hour Fair Value Gap (FVG). The 50% level of this zone sits at $99,450. If this zone fails to hold, we may drop further to the secondary premium buy zone, which aligns with our higher timeframe (HTF) trend support and a weekly FVG. The 50% level of this deeper zone is around $89,150. A potential long entry at $92,550, with a stop loss around $88,000, offers an excellent risk-to-reward (RR) ratio, targeting a move up to the $115K level. Intraday Outlook For today, I see bearish price action, with potential rejection around the $104,300–$105,000 range. Go short around the $104,750 to $105,000 zone This could lead to a move down toward the lower key zones highlighted in the HTF analysis. I recommend taking partial profits (TP) at every $1,000 increment and setting your stop loss to breakeven (BE) after hitting the first target. Final Thoughts Price action analysis is always subjective, so I’d love to hear your thoughts and ideas in the comments—each one, teach one. Thanks for giving me some of your time. From the Phoenix FX team, have a great weekend!
BINANCE:BTCUSD
by PFXteam
BTC/USDT – Bullish Bias with Short-Term Accumulation Signals __________________________________________________________________________________ Technical Overview – Summary Points __________________________________________________________________________________ Momentum (Risk On / Risk Off Indicator): Persistent strong buy signal across all timeframes (1D to 15min), reflecting a sustained bullish bias and tech sector outperformance. Support/Resistance Zones: Major support at 99.5–103k repeatedly tested across intraday charts; resistance cluster between 108–112k continues to act as a strong technical ceiling. Behavioral Indicator (ISPD): Neutral on HTF (1D/12H), but shows buy signal on 1H–30min with strong accumulation patterns. Flat readings on other frames indicate no panic or euphoria. Volume Profile: Normal volume across all timeframes, absence of climactic spikes or signs of local capitulation/euphoria. Behavior Summary: Bullish structure remains intact, but market is at an inflection point. Short-term accumulation visible, especially below 104k. __________________________________________________________________________________ Strategic Summary __________________________________________________________________________________ Bias: Clearly bullish, supported by strong momentum and institutional flows into Bitcoin and the tech sector. Opportunities: Tactical buy zone on retracements toward 99.5–103k. Intraday scalping possible with tight stops below 99.5k, targeting resistance zone at 108–112k. Risk Zones: Break below 99.5k could trigger high-volatility liquidation down to 91k. Multiple resistance failures under 108–112k may prompt a sharp pullback. Macro Catalysts: ETF inflows and equity risk-on backdrop boost technical signals. Lack of macro news shifts dominance to technicals and crypto narratives. Execution Plan: Accumulate near 103k on dips. Manage trades actively under resistance. Avoid chasing breakouts without confirmation. Monitor ISPD for behavioral shifts. __________________________________________________________________________________ Multi-Timeframe Analysis __________________________________________________________________________________ 1D – Macro Context - Resistance: Strong cluster between 108–112k from daily/weekly pivots. - Support: Long-term structural base down at 74–92k. - Risk On / Risk Off Indicator: Strong Buy - ISPD: Neutral – no extremes. - Volume: Normal. - Summary: Market is stretched above its macro base but retains strength; no acceleration or behavioral stress. 12H – Inflection Zone - Resistance: 104–112k cluster. - Support: Secondary pivots (240–720min). - Risk On / Risk Off Indicator: Strong Buy - ISPD: Neutral. - Volume: Normal. - Summary: At a decision zone; momentum intact, awaiting directional confirmation. 6H – Lateral Strength - Resistance: 104–112k convergence. - Support: 99.5k key. - Risk On / Risk Off Indicator: Strong Buy - ISPD: Neutral. - Volume: Normal. - Summary: Short-term consolidation inside a rising structure. 4H – Under Pressure - Resistance: 108–112k confluence. - Support: 99.5k. - Risk On / Risk Off Indicator: Strong Buy - ISPD: Neutral. - Volume: Normal. - Summary: Risk of false breakout. Tactical caution needed. 2H – Trading Range - Resistance: 104–108k. - Support: 99.5k. - Risk On / Risk Off Indicator: Strong Buy - ISPD: Neutral. - Volume: Normal. - Summary: Consider tactical entries near range base; no seller climax detected. 1H – Emerging Reversal - Resistance: 108–112k. - Support: 103k, 99.5k. - Risk On / Risk Off Indicator: Strong Buy - ISPD: Buy – signal of behavioral accumulation. - Volume: Normal. - Summary: Signs of reversal from bearish accumulation; watch for confirmation above 104k. 30min – Low-Risk Entry Setup - Resistance: 105k–108k. - Support: 103k. - Risk On / Risk Off Indicator: Strong Buy - ISPD: Buy – strong behavioral signal. - Volume: Normal. - Summary: Contrarian long setups favored; tight stop strategy under 103k. 15min – Caution on Fade - Range: 103–105k. - Risk On / Risk Off Indicator: Buy. - ISPD: Neutral. - Volume: Calm. - Summary: Market in cleansing phase; scalps possible, but avoid overconfidence due to short-term softness.
Long
by Ox_kali
HIMS 20SMA Trend Contiuation PULLBACK SETUP NYSE:HIMS – Momentum Reload at 20 SMA After Massive Run NYSE:HIMS has been one of the hottest stocks in the market, and it’s giving us a textbook trend continuation pullback setup — right into the sweet spot. 🔹 Pullback to the 20 SMA • After a huge run, NYSE:HIMS finally gave us a controlled pullback to the 20 SMA, where it based for multiple days. • Today, it remounted the 9 EMA — a key trigger in my swing strategy for momentum re-entry. 🔹 Why This Setup Works • Momentum names don’t stay down long — this was just a reset. • Even with the market shaky today, NYSE:HIMS closed strong — up 8% while the rest of the tape faded. • This setup is all about getting back into strength with low risk. My Trade Plan: 1️⃣ Entry: Took a position on today’s remount of the 9 EMA. 2️⃣ Stop: Just under the 20 SMA — tight, well-defined risk. 3️⃣ Target: First target is a move back into the previous highs — if it breaks, we trail for continuation. 🧠 This is my bread-and-butter swing entry — clean, controlled, and full of momentum potential.
NASDAQ:PLTRLong
by kunal00
Alibaba - This was just the obvious bottom!Alibaba - NYSE:BABA - will head much higher: (click chart above to see the in depth analysis👆🏻) Ever since Alibaba actually retested the previous all time low in 2022, we have been able to see the textbook creation of a rounding bottom formation. Even the recent break and retest was perfectly playing out and if Alibaba confirmes the potental breakout, a rally of +50% will most likely follow. Levels to watch: $140, $220 Keep your long term vision! Philip (BasicTrading)
NYSE:BABALong
by basictradingtv
15
Dhanuka ,1DPattern Is looking very good for Breakout , Nifty is also Supporting also all the stocks for Bullish Breakouts , This Is best time to enter in breakout stocks . Consider Only those stocks that seems Technically strong with Good Volume Breakouts and Strong close . Risk According to your capacity and aim for 40% and Risk upto 4-5% for this trade , Mainly you have to give the Room to Fluctuate the Stock , according to this flucations you have to decide your Stop loss . Take Only A+ Setups , so that your Accuracy Should Be High and Returns also High Follow for more Swing Ideas Like this
NSE:DHANUKALong
by mahesh56a
AUDJPY 240 MINS TIME FRAME - MY VIEWThe Structure looks good to us, waiting for this instrument to correct and then give us these opportunities as shown on this instrument (Price Chart). Note: Its my view only and its for educational purpose only. Only who has got knowledge about this strategy, will understand what to be done on this setup. its purely based on my technical analysis only (strategies). we don't focus on the short term moves, we look for only for Bullish or Bearish Impulsive moves on the setups after a good price action is formed as per the strategy. we never get into corrective moves. because it will test our patience and also it will be a bullish or a bearish trap. and try trade the big moves. We do not get into bullish or bearish traps. We anticipate and get into only big bullish or bearish moves (Impulsive Moves). Just ride the Bullish or Bearish Impulsive Move. Learn & Know the Complete Market Cycle. Buy Low and Sell High Concept. Buy at Cheaper Price and Sell at Expensive Price. Please keep your comments useful & respectful. Keep it simple, keep it Unique. Thanks for your support Tradelikemee Academy Saanjayy KG
Short
by Tradelikemee
Nvidia - The bullish consolidation flag!Nvidia - NASDAQ:NVDA - is still quite bullish: (click chart above to see the in depth analysis👆🏻) After Nvidia retested a major horizontal support just last month, we witnessed an extremely strong bullish reversal candle which resulted in a strong +50% rally. Considering the bullish flag consolidation, a breakout is much more likely, but not in the immediate future. Levels to watch: $150 Keep your long term vision! Philip (BasicTrading)
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by basictradingtv
24
Apple - Please look at this chart!Apple - NASDAQ:AAPL - is just wonderful: (click chart above to see the in depth analysis👆🏻) Last month, Apple created a quite strong bullish rejection wick of about +25%. It was actually no surprise at all, because market structure was perfectly pushing price higher. Following the bullish break and retest pattern, new all time highs will most likely follow. Levels to watch: $200, $300 Keep your long term vision! Philip (BasicTrading)
NASDAQ:AAPLLong
by basictradingtv
11
BTC Trap & Reverse: The Power of SFPs in ActionBTC continues to chop in a tight range near its previous all-time high. While price action may appear messy at first glance, traders using a combination of structure, Fibonacci levels, and order flow tools are spotting clean opportunities — especially through Swing Failure Patterns (SFPs). 🔍 What Just Happened? Bitcoin recently rejected from the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level — a classic reaction zone. What made this move powerful was the SFP that formed at that level. Price swept above a prior high, triggering breakout buys, only to reverse. This type of move traps late longs and offers an ideal short entry. 🧠 Educational Insight: Why SFPs Are One of the Best Setups SFPs (Swing Failure Patterns) are some of the highest-probability trades you can take for a few key reasons: 1️⃣ Liquidity-driven: They form where stop losses cluster — above highs or below lows — creating a magnet for price. 2️⃣ Clean invalidation: The wick high/low gives a natural stop-loss level, keeping risk tight. 3️⃣ Fast reaction: Once trapped traders are forced to exit, price often reverses sharply — giving you strong follow-through. 4️⃣ Confirmable with order flow: Using tools like Exocharts, you can see aggressive longs/shorts piling in just before the reversal. This adds conviction to the setup. 📏 Current Confluence: Rejection from the 0.786 Fib retracement SFP confirmed on high volume 1:1 trend-based Fib extension sits at ~$105,410 That level also lines up with the 0.666 Fib retracement Anchored VWAP around $105K Liquidity pool right at that zone too — a likely magnet 🎯 Trade Idea: Short triggered at the SFP wick, stop just above it. First target: the 1:1 extension near $105.4K. Risk-reward is excellent with high probability if price continues to unwind late longs. ✅ Key Takeaway: In ranges like this, you don’t need to guess direction — you need to react to structure. SFPs give you that edge. When paired with real-time tools like Exocharts and anchored VWAPs, these trades become sniper entries rather than coin flips. Let the market show its hand — and trade the reaction, not the prediction. 📌 Summary: This is how you avoid overtrading in chop: wait for key levels, watch how price reacts, and let trapped traders create the move. If BTC revisits the $105K region, it’s a major area to watch for reaction — or to take partials if you’re in a short. The best trades come from patience + precision. _________________________________ If you found this helpful, leave a like and comment below! Got requests for the next technical analysis? Let me know.
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by SiDec
7
UBER – Momentum Pullback to 20 SMA: Classic Continuation SetupUber is giving one of my favorite swing setups — a shallow pullback into the “bone zone” (between the 9 EMA and 20 SMA) during a hot market. 🔹 Trend Continuation Play Strong momentum stock pulling back right into the 20 SMA — not a deep retrace, just enough to reload. In hot markets, I don’t wait for deep dips — I want tight consolidations into momentum zones. 🔹 The Bone Zone Setup The shaded area between the 9 EMA and 20 SMA is where momentum stocks often base before the next leg up. Price is respecting that zone perfectly — no breakdown, just controlled digestion. 🔹 Oversold Stochastics Stochastics are in oversold territory — adds confirmation that this is a high-quality dip within a strong trend. My Trade Plan: 1️⃣ Entry: Looking to start a swing position off the 20 SMA. 2️⃣ Add: On confirmation candle back above 9 EMA with volume. 3️⃣ Stop: Below 20 SMA lows — tight risk, strong reward if trend continues. Why I Love This Setup: Market’s hot — I want to ride strength, not fade it. NYSE:UBER is a trending name with institutional accumulation. This pattern has worked again and again in strong tape.
NYSE:UBERLong
by kunal00