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Swissfranc

USDCHF Tests 0.8350: Break or Bounce?USDCHF is testing the critical 0.8350 support level amid rising safe haven demand. Yesterday’s chaos in the bond market highlighted how few places investors have to park their money. One of the most widely accepted safe haven assets is the Swiss franc, and current demand for CHF is clearly strong. But is it strong enough? There hasn't been a weekly close below 0.8350 since 2011, and this level has held firm through several sharp market moves since then. Now, this major support is being tested once again. Whether it breaks or holds, a significant swing trading opportunity could be on the horizon, especially given the heightened uncertainty surrounding the global trade environment.
by ftdsystem
1
Market Analysis: USD/CHF DivesMarket Analysis: USD/CHF Dives USD/CHF declined and is now struggling below the 0.8615 resistance. Important Takeaways for USD/CHF Analysis Today - USD/CHF declined below the 0.8675 and 0.8615 support levels. - There is a short-term bearish trend line forming with resistance near 0.8550 on the hourly chart at FXOpen. USD/CHF Technical Analysis On the hourly chart of USD/CHF at FXOpen, the pair started a fresh decline from well above the 0.8800 zone. The US Dollar dropped below the 0.8675 support to move into a negative zone against the Swiss Franc. The bears pushed the pair below the 50-hour simple moving average and 0.8615. Finally, the bulls appeared near the 0.8420 level. A low was formed near 0.8421 and the pair is now consolidating losses. On the upside, the pair could face resistance near the 0.8480 level. It is near the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 0.8674 swing high to the 0.8421 low. The next major resistance is near the 0.8550 level. There is also a short-term bearish trend line forming with resistance near 0.8550. It coincides with the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 0.8674 swing high to the 0.8421 low, above which the pair could test the 0.8615 level. If there is a clear break above the 0.8615 resistance zone, the pair could start another increase. In the stated case, it could even surpass 0.8675. On the downside, immediate support on the USD/CHF chart is 0.8420. The first major support is near the 0.8400 level. The next major support is near 0.8350. Any more losses may possibly open the doors for a move toward the 0.8220 level in the coming days. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
by FXOpen
USD/CHF Market Analysis – Potential Bullish ReversalThe USD/CHF pair is currently in a downtrend, as indicated by the overall bearish price action. However, the chart suggests a potential reversal scenario. Price is approaching a key H4 demand zone, which previously acted as strong support. If this level holds, a bullish move could be anticipated. The projected market structure indicates a possible pullback before a continuation upwards, aligning with the larger trend shift. Traders should monitor price reaction within the demand zone, as a break below could indicate further downside continuation, while a strong rejection may confirm a bullish reversal.
Long
by BeaucoupPips
4
USD/CHF Falls to Its Lowest Level in Nearly Five MonthsUSD/CHF Falls to Its Lowest Level in Nearly Five Months Today, the exchange rate of one US dollar against the Swiss franc dropped below 0.87000 francs—its lowest level since early November 2024. Since the start of 2025, the USD/CHF pair has declined by more than 4%. Why Is USD/CHF Falling Today? On one hand, the US dollar is weakening against other currencies due to Trump’s decision to implement the previously announced tariffs on international trade, as mentioned in our previous post. On the other hand, the Swiss franc is gaining strength due to its appeal as a safe-haven asset. Furthermore, this morning’s release of the Consumer Price Index (CPI) showed that inflation in Switzerland remains at zero, increasing the franc’s value at a time when tariff conflicts pose risks to the global economy. Technical Analysis of the USD/CHF Chart Since the start of 2025, the USD/CHF pair has been following a downward trajectory, highlighted by a declining channel (marked in red), with the following key points: → The median line has shifted from support to resistance, as indicated by the arrows. → The price broke through the March support level around 0.8757, accelerating the decline. → The lower boundary of the channel provided support this morning, slowing bearish momentum. It is possible that the 0.8757 level will act as resistance in April 2025. However, the future direction of USD/CHF will largely depend on news developments, particularly statements from global leaders regarding tariffs in international trade. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
by FXOpen
CHFJPY rebound on the 1D MA50 expected.The CHFJPY pair is trading within a long-term Descending Triangle and right now is pulling back to test the 1D MA50. This is almost halfway through the rebound that started on the February 28 2025 Support Zone test. All previous rallies hit at least the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level before reversing but since this time we are limited below the Lower Highs trend-line of the Descending Triangle, our Target is 172.500. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Long
by TradingShot
1
USD/CHF: Bearish Continuation Towards Key SupportUSD/CHF has maintained a strong bearish trend, forming a series of lower highs and lower lows. The chart highlights a **Deep Crab** harmonic pattern, which previously triggered a corrective move before resuming its overall downtrend. Currently, price action is trading near **0.8767**, approaching a key support zone at **0.8722** (HOP level). The recent rejection from the **H4 supply zone** around **0.8920** further confirms bearish momentum, suggesting sellers remain in control. **Key Considerations:** - A breakdown below **0.8722** could accelerate further downside, extending losses towards lower psychological levels. - A potential pullback may occur if buyers step in at support, but the overall bearish structure remains intact unless a significant reversal signal appears. **Conclusion:** USD/CHF remains under bearish pressure, with a high probability of further declines. Traders should monitor price action at support for potential continuation or reversal signals before committing to new positions.
Long
by BeaucoupPips
2
EURCHF 1D Golden Cross for one final push.The EURCHF pair has been trading within a 2.5-year Channel Down pattern and is currently on the latest Bullish Leg that is about to complete a 1D Golden Cross. The last Golden Cross was also during the previous Bullish Leg and caused an initial pull-back that was followed by the pricing of the Channel's Top on the 0.786 Fibonacci level. As a result, be ready to buy on the next 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) contact and target 0.97500 (just below the 0.786 Fib). ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Long
by TradingShot
USDCHF: Channel Down bottomed. Buy opportunity.USDCHF turned oversold on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 30.423, MACD = -0.005, ADX = 28.684), hitting the LL bottom of the Channel Down. The 4H RSI has made a Double Bottom and this is technically an ideal level to start buying the pair again. We expect a +2.60% rise like the late January bullish wave that will test the 4H MA200. The trade is long, TP = 0.89900. ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
Long
by InvestingScope
1
USD/CHF Poised for a Bullish Reversal at Key SupportThe USD/CHF pair is currently trading near a significant support level around 0.8950, with bullish signals emerging. The harmonic Bat pattern suggests a potential reversal, aligning with historical price reactions at similar levels. Additionally, the presence of green buy markers and RSI indicators approaching oversold conditions indicate possible upward momentum. If price sustains above the 0.8950 region, a bullish move towards 0.9000 and beyond could unfold, with further resistance around 0.9120. Confirmation of reversal signs, such as bullish candlestick formations and RSI divergence, will strengthen the case for a recovery.
Long
by BeaucoupPips
4
CHFJPY - Continuation to the downside?Looking at the CHF/JPY currency pair, the price action shows a clear downward trend since late January 2025, with consistently lower highs and lower lows. The recent bounce from the 166.00 area appears to be a corrective move rather than a trend reversal, suggesting a higher probability of continued downside momentum. However, traders should exercise caution as price approaches the marked blue box zone around 167.00-167.50. This area could act as a support level and potentially trigger a temporary bounce or consolidation. Still, given the overall bearish structure, any rebounds from this zone might present new opportunities for short positions, provided proper risk management is implemented.
Short
by financialflagship
EURCHF Last bearish sequence of the Channel Down.The EURCHF pair has been trading within a +2 year Channel Down pattern since the September 26 2022 Low and has lately found its price action ranging within the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) and 1D MA50 (blue trend-line). We are currently on the pattern's 2nd Bearish Leg and based on the 1D RSI's Higher Highs, we are in symmetrical terms on a High like November 17 2023. That was the price's last Lower High before the Bearish Leg bottomed on the 1.236 Fibonacci extension. As a result, we remain bearish on EURCHF, targeting 0.91000 (Fib 1.236 ext). ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Short
by TradingShot
2
USDCHF Be ready for these trades based on the 1D MA50.The USDCHF pair has been trading within a Channel Up pattern since the September 06 2024 bottom. This is inside a larger Rectangle in which the pair is consolidating for the past 1.5 year. The bottom of the Channel Up is being tested again today for the 2nd time since January 27, which was a 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) test. This is the key of the pair's trend technically in our opinion. The current level being so close to the 1D MA50, is the ideal short-term buy entry to target Resistance 1 at 0.92265 on the lowest risk. If the price breaks below the 1D MA50 however, we will quickly take the minimal loss and reverse to selling the bounce near 0.9100, as this bearish break-out took place on both previous Channel Up patterns on May 15 2024 and October 19 2023. In that case the trade will be long-term, targeting just above Support 1 at 0.84000. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
by TradingShot
1
USDCHF: Should we look for a weaker franc?!The USDCHF pair is located between the EMA200 and EMA50 on the 4-hour timeframe and is moving in its ascending channel. In case of a downward correction towards the demand zone, we will be provided with further buying positions in this pair with an appropriate risk-reward ratio. The continuation of the pair’s rise and its placement in the supply zone will provide us with a selling position. The President of the Swiss National Bank (SNB), Schlegel, stated in an interview with SRF that while the SNB does not favor negative interest rates, it also cannot completely rule them out. He emphasized that implementing such a policy would not be a decision taken lightly. In recent weeks, Schlegel has repeatedly mentioned the possibility of negative interest rates, particularly in light of Switzerland’s inflation dropping to 0.6% in December, which has raised concerns about deflation. However, he noted that temporary periods of negative inflation would not necessarily pose a problem.Additionally, Schlegel reaffirmed the SNB’s commitment to maintaining price stability over the medium term, within the 0–2% target range. Currently, market expectations indicate a 60% probability that the SNB will cut interest rates from 0.5% to 0.25% in March, with a 25% chance of rates reaching 0% by June. In the United States, GDP data for Q4 2024 showed that the economy grew at an annualized 2.3% rate—below market expectations (2.6%) and lower than the 3.1% growth seen in the previous quarter. However, a 2.5% year-over-year growth rate remains substantial and aligns with the Federal Reserve’s outlook. A key takeaway from the recent GDP report is the strong performance of U.S. consumers, who exceeded expectations with 4.2% growth in spending. According to CIBC, American consumers have shown a notable preference for durable goods, with spending in this category surging 12.1% last quarter—a figure significantly above pre-pandemic trends. However, CIBC warns that other sectors of the economy are not as strong. Business investments remain weak, and government spending has played a crucial role in supporting economic growth. Additionally, a 0.9% decline in inventories, driven by weather disruptions and labor strikes, has negatively impacted GDP growth. These factors are expected to persist into Q1 2025, as businesses stockpile inventory ahead of potential tariffs. However, when stripping out inventory effects, final sales to domestic buyers remain strong at 3.1%, which is nearly in line with the two-year average. CIBC also believes that consumer spending will remain resilient, supported by rising asset-related incomes and millennials’ enthusiasm for technology and discretionary spending. That said, trade tariffs could ultimately shave 1% off GDP growth, with their effects likely to linger for some time. Overall, CIBC concludes that while GDP growth may slow slightly under a Trump presidency, the decline is unlikely to cause major concern for the Federal Reserve. Fed Chair Jerome Powell remains more focused on rising prices, their impact on inflation expectations, and wage pressures, as the economy remains strong but inflation is not yet fully controlled. Today’s data reinforces the Fed’s data-dependent approach. Underlying growth is still around 3%, and there is no indication that consumers are scaling back spending, suggesting that they can absorb moderate price increases. As a result, Nomura now expects the Federal Reserve to keep interest rates unchanged through the end of 2025, revising its earlier forecast, which had anticipated at least one rate cut in 2025.
Long
by Ali_PSND
EURCHF: Hit the 1D MA200. Rejection imminent.EURCHF turned overbought on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 72.505, MACD = 0.003, ADX = 32.019) as it hit today the 1D MA200 for the first time since July 30th 2024. This test comes only a fraction under the top of the medium term Channel Up, so we are entering a highly probable rejection Zone. Sell and target the bottom of the Channel Up (TP = 0.943500). ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
Short
by InvestingScope
AUDCHF Having a strong rebound on the 1.5 year Support.Last time we looked at AUDCHF (October 01 2024, see chart below), we took a long-term short trade based on the multi-year Channel Down: The 0.56000 Target got hit and yet again the 1.5 year Support Zone (since August 2023) held. Sooner or later, this demand zone should break the pattern upwards and reverse the bearish trend. Until then, we can continue buying on the Support Zone and target the Lower Highs. This time that trend-line happens to be where the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) is headed at, so our Target is now 0.58000. Apart from the Support Zone, we will only buy if the price breaks above Resistance 1, which will be past a Channel Down bullish break-out also, and target the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line) and Resistance 2 at 0.61000. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Long
by TradingShot