$TNX has held better than short term #yields but could this be changing now? - The 2yr & 1Yr are holding. - Of course, it's early in the trading day so we'll see tomorrow morning how things go. - In reference to the post last week on #yield in 2008, we need to keep an eye on TOPS in these #bond yields. It took 1 year at that time before there was a lower high. IMO...
It is only 11 days ago when we called for an immediate drop on the U.S. Government Bonds 10YR Yield (US10Y) as it was at the top of both its long-term Channel Down as well as the top of the Diverging Channel Up: The Channel Up now broke to the downside as the US10Y not only hit our 3.550% Target but closed even below the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line), with the...
Two financial institutions, Silvergate Capital and Silicon Valley Bank (SVB), collapsed early last week due to a series of ill-fated investment decisions which were exposed by global interest rate tightening. The collapses came after the institutions invested large amounts of capital in long-dated US government bonds, which were considered relatively low risk....
I’m honestly not sure what to think of this chart and it is concerning me. I was playing around with TLT and MOVE (a kind VIX for bonds) and I noticed that multiplying them together created these extended spikes that have correlated with market crashes in the past. We only have the two crashes to go buy, so this method hasn’t been tested enough to be that...
channel breakout and weekly rsi breakout on Bonds. Minimum target 140, 160 or higher if things get really ugly in the stock market.
Good Morning! We've been mostly cash when it comes to #stocks. Been defensive as we have #GOLD #SILVER #BCH #BTC (#crypto #altcoins in personal) some $VIX & some bigger VALUE names, added some more today $AMGN $VZ as examples. We've reduced the exposure as the direction seems south but anything can happen. FEAR is the word. #Dollar ripping again & bond...
In this update we review the recent price action in the TLT etf and identify the next high probability trading opportunity and price objectives to target
The U.S. Government Bonds 2 YR Yield (US02Y) is testing its 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) for the first time since May 31 2021. The 1W RSI is on the very same Lower Highs trend-line rejection that it was during the December 17 2018 1W MA50 test! Needless to say this shows that the price is on a critical point as when it broke in Dec 2018, a downtrend followed that...
Expecting a rally to about 4k to test the important MA's, then reversal. USOIL should be a similar move. Gold may peter soon out if the dollar is going to reverse. Bonds look good to continue to 140 area. good luck!
Was kind of expected to get some bounce from #Bond #Yields. The last two days, especially yesterday, was RARE in yield price action. It happens but it's rare. The buys could have been investors trying to take advantage of higher rates being that they are "expecting" the Fed Reserve to lower rates. We mentioned that most yields, when we posted, were at or close...
Good afternoon and good evening traders! I'm sharing with you a recap of my trade for today, actually we caught the 1st up trend after breaking the support line with a quite high volume, then after having the highest volume of the day on the candle I put the 2nd arrow at we added another position to finish the trade on the market with 2 contracts and a respectful...
Good that I always TRUST my Charts: US Government Bonds 10 YR Yield has dropped 'nicely' since my last post, which was 'against the stream' since when i posted it Powell was being extra-Hawkish and situation was different. News: The yield on the 2-year Treasury note fell sharply on Friday as the shutdown of Silicon Valley Bank sparked a flight to safer...
With oil breaking bullish support, it's safe to say that demand has been cratering around the world. As Jeff Snider has discussed for months now, if the supply constraints on oil aren't driving oil higher, then there must be a serious demand problem. Overheated economy? I think not. Add to that Gold up and Yields down and that means low growth + low inflation....
I noticed a large waterfall sell off of both 2year and 10year. What was reason behind such a volatile move?
The Debt Market is significantly larger than the #stockmarket so it's VERY IMPORTANT what happens there. It's way too early to see data but, JUST A HUNCH, this is most likely the #FED stepping in & buying bonds trying to calm the markets. This is not normal to see #yields cratering so much. The 1Yr is off almost 3.26% The 2Yr is off 5.01 The 10Yr is off...
One of the reasons US Treasuries, and other bonds, have been selling off is the dumping by Japanese investors. All duration #YIELDS have done well but more so the shorter term. The Inverted Yield Curve has widened over the last few months but has been significantly lately. However, today we see the 1 & 10Yr ($TNX) selling off but the 2 Yr is CRATERING!...
I multiplied SPY, DOW, Nasdaq and TLT together to get a broad picture of the state of the US market and have noticed this channel here. We are now at a critical bounce area established by the covid bottom and 08 bottom. If it doesn't hold this, then to me it would be safe to assume that this decade long trend is over and it will be reshaped into a new trend...
Good afternoon Swiss investors, today I made an analysis on the Switzerlnd 10 Year Government Bonds Yield, it shows that it's too early to put your money on the market since we're waiting for it to cross the golden point to see whether you put your money on it or no. For any more analysis on a specific market don't hesitate to ask and I'll be answering with pleasure.