In this update we review the recent price action in TLT and identify the next high probability trading opportunities and price objectives to target
Looks like bonds could break up here- target approx $117 - like the look of this
fed meeting will be dovish, german bund and overall bonds will go up. Fed will be dovish till March, relaxing on interest rates
The US10Y, a major driver for Gold, is trapped inside the 4H MA50 and 4H MA200, before tomorrow's Fed Rate Decision. This shows the market uncertainty surrounding this event as investors haven't yet chosen to pick sides. That keeps 4H neutral technically (RSI = 52.167, MACD = 0.014, ADX = 27.887) and we can only trade this with careful points that will be...
The economic calendar is wild this week so I thought it would be best to do a deep fundamental dive into the USDZAR . All the attention will be on the Federal reserve tomorrow and whether or when they will pause their rate hikes. We need to look past the hype around the interest rate and the “pivot" narrative. Focus should however be on how the markets will cope...
Haven't heard much on #yields lately $TNX & 2yr #yield #TNX forming base, what are bonds saying here? 2yr not as strong Weekly shows squeeze in a direction soon for both #technology $NDX #NDX
I think once in a lifetime opportunity for gold is coming soon. Hope you guys appreciate the chart.
I received a request to update this chart. Thank you @Braeden2 The US30Y held it's wave 4 bottom in the .382% area of wave 3. The last time I posted this chart we had not yet embarked on our 5-wave pattern higher in what I'm counting as a wave 5. Today we see we have a wave 1 and 2 in place. Additionally, you'll notice how our recent wave 4 structure...
An inverse Head & Shoulders has confirmed the neckline with a price target of 127 by the end of June. Last Jan I posted this recession projection for TLT And then I projected the spike in yields on the 10Yr right before the Aug Rug Pull from Jerome Powell. Finally catching the double bottom reversal at the bottom at the lows of 91.85 Bond bears are...
The U.S. Government Bonds 10YR Yield (US10Y) is on a 3 day rebound following a hit on the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line). The 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) is the natural Resistance, but if crossed, we can expect a long-term peak at the top (Lower Highs trend-line) of the Channel Down pattern that started on the October 21 High. A closing below the 1D MA200 first,...
I'm both a bull and a bear on the 20yr treasury etf (TLT).. I created a long term buy analysis basis on the bullish cypher pattern I see forming at the conclusion of D leg. I like the yield of the 20yr treasury bond which is over 4%.. The dividend yield on the 20yr Treasury etf is 2.49% currently, and I expect it to rise. The dividend is paid monthly. I see the...
Bonds are seriously underperforming stocks and TLT has been on a downtrend since the onset of Covid lockdowns when global governments printed massive amounts of money to prop up the equity markets. In Oct 2022, TLT broke below the 2014 low and then recovered nicely. I believe allocating like 10% in treasuries will be beneficial with the outlook of 2-4 years as we...
Are #gold shorts paying attention to anything? All support is lost on #us10y, and now even closing below weekly EMA30 (shown in blue)!
With inflation pressures easing and the Fed soon to pivot from raising interest rates Bonds should catch a bid here. I like long TLT the iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF. Look for bonds to start 23 strong and outperform a slumping market.
EMLC is bumping up downward sloping resistance line. Should it breakout I'm looking to accumulate shares of EMLC - VanEck JPMorgan EM Local Currency Bond ETF. These bonds are denominated in local EM currency and should benefit from a falling dollar. I also like the 6.85% yield.
In this update we review the recent price action in TLT and identify the next high probability trading opportunities and price objectives to target
Treasury yield is the effective annual interest rate that the U.S. government pays on one of its debt obligations, expressed as a percentage. Put another way, Treasury yield is the annual return investors can expect from holding a U.S. government security with a given maturity. Treasury yields don't just affect how much the government pays to borrow and how much...
The only other time the 9EMA crossed under the 21EMA on the monthly was the 2000 Dot Com & 2008 Great Financial Crisis. (Noted with the blue + symbols & down arrows). Each time, the RSI was near 50. Each time, the ADX indicator has been lower than the preceding level (in the 20s, WEAK - NO TREND. The massive drop in monthly volume should be noted. When the...