If we can see tthis begin to come down from here we will see stock continue up and the dollar return down.
Alright so I've come up with a formula between different US Bond Yields resulting in an oscillator indicator - which successfully signals tops on the stock markets and the bear market after. Based on the area where that oscillator crosses the 0 value (down), we start topping until it comes back up. This period last in average around 1 year and is aligningt +/-...
US10Y has been crazy lately. It has broken an all time down-trend channel and was moving just like we would like BTC to move. But anyways... Why does this affect the market ? When confidence is high, 10-year bond prices fall and yields climb. This is because investors believe they can find higher-yielding investments elsewhere and do not believe they need to be...
EUR/USD ▶️ GBP/USD 🔼 AUD/USD ▶️ USD/CAD 🔽 XAU ▶️ WTI ▶️ As the US bond yield curve remains inverted, bond yields are fueled by the imminent interest rate decision from the Federal Reserve, the 10-year Treasury yield reached 3.514%, and the 2-year bond yield went higher to 3.934%. Although the stock market did slightly recover from yesterday’s losses, the forex...
An overview of the markets I often cover. Dollar should pull back lifting just about everything, Wheat may have to retest 800, Bonds ABC continues to 120's, Dax (germany index) looks interesting at support and may be hinting at a larger bounce in world markets. Good luck!
Bonds have continued their decline as the markets price in a potentially historic FOMC rate hike this week. Inflation data suggests that the Fed's rate hike trajectory is not really working and inflation is still soaring. On the other hand, multiple indicators suggest that we are in a recession, and the Fed will have to pivot their hawkish stance after this last...
With the 2022 recession ever coming closer, more hints that it’s nearing appear. One of those hints include this graph, which shows the 1 year bond surpassing the 4% mark, and it’s more than any other bond. For the first time in more than 15 years, the 1 year bond surpasses 4%. The yield curve has been inverted for more than 1 month, and it’s still inverted. At...
The 30:10 Treasury Bond Yield Spread is a simple Ratio difference between the 30-Year Treasury Bond Rate and the 10-YearTreasury Bond Rate. A Large exodus from high Beta/Rho correlated Assets to perceived Safe Havens. Presently the best-performing and most stable Asset of 2022 has been Cash - The US Dollar Index was 94.63 in mid-January to a high of 110.78 - a...
$TNX is NOT backing down, so far Doesn't make sense for it to stay where it was 3.46 is way low for 75bps, UNLESS... The monthly is worrisome Granted we have couple weeks left but chances of it selling off are minimal We're looking @ a trend break Let's c what #FEDs do
US02Y Well now. Just when you thought the 2 year was overcooked and looking for a retracement.....
Institutional Protection (Hedging) reached an All-Time High on the September 16th Quad Witch Expiration. This position dwarfs prior hedging Highs by 103% and is rising by an additional $8 Billion added to the hoard of Puts Friday. Not only are the positions outsized - it was 308% of 2008's Hedging....
Bonds have picked up slightly edging above 115'29. ZN had teetered about this level, breaking below it yesterday, but finding support. We did make a run for the next level at 116'20, but rejected this level, and found support again at 115'20. There is a stronger chance of a 75bps rate hike, which is pushing up yields. If we fall further, then 115'03 is the next target.
HELLO GUYS THIS MY IDEA 💡ABOUT DE10 is nice to see strong volume area.... Where is lot of contract accumulated.. I thing that the Seller from this area will be defend this SHORT position.. and when the price come back to this area, strong SELLER will be push down the market again.. DOWNTREND + Support from the past + Strong volume area is my mainly reason for...
10Y Bonds are overbought kissing 200 MA RSI OB MACD OB ----------- This is a sign the ASX could bounce as 10 years pull-back from overbought and 200 MA being resistance. If bonds reak above 200 MA it signals a continuance in market fear and scepticism. US10Y Already found broke above 200 MA and it is now a supporting moving average, bad sign ASX could follow.
ALl in the video, still bullish on the stock market, but a small sell off first would be appropriate to trap shorts. OIl looks like 92 target should come sooner rather than later. Bonds still under the channel. Wheat still looks great. Gold looks promising and the US dollar likely pulls back to help it. BTC hard to tell but I would think higher after a small sell off.
DXY: Channel identified using positive correlation as a means of confirmation. Rate changes, bond yields, and introduction of global policies on watch for price delta sensitivities. Continued regression to the mean and oscillation towards upside is current sentiment// DXY Price at time of published data: 110.249 // Bias: Neutral to Bullish
In this update we review the recent price action in the US30Yr Bond futures and identify the next high probability trading opportunities and price objectives to target
Bonds fell again, hitting our next target at 115'29. Yields are creeping up as the markets are pricing in the next rate hike, expected to be 50-75 bps . Nonfarm payrolls gave us some insight into economic conditions: unemployment rose to 3.7%, with a headline miss and downward revision. This suggests that the economy is weakening further, and we are in a...