US02Y short term bond yield has screamed higher since Powell's comments at Jackson Hole. This is bearish for stocks.
September 1 and that fall reversal may be in the air. Looking for a reversal from the falling wedge, but believe me it could easily end up as a false breakout. I'm sure many eyes are on it at this point. If we do rally from here, is it a minor rally? If so, we may set up another, larger, head and shoulders pattern. OIL is at support, Bonds are sucking and...
A Monday update with all the usual suspects. Liking SP500 for a large bounce, Weat is tasty, OIL to 104 looks good, BONDS sucking wind, GOLD, nice reversal, BTC expecting upside but maybe one more down (along with markets). In general I expect the week to be positive. Also, GEO is taking off. Good luck!
$US10Y Key Levels, Analysis and Targets Oh my goodness… 10 year bonds are breaking out on the monthly for the first time in 30 years… This is epic…. Equities are so screwed… I never thought that I would be saying that the bond market looks interesting... LOL... 🤷🏻♀️
With hidden daily bullish divergence at this support level we SHOULD see some buying start to happen. If not, the channel will break and it will look like they want to test the lows. This week's closing candle is very important. Under 111 will look ugly on a daily close, under 110 even worse.
I'm tracking the 10Y very closely. Why? Because 10Y is the driver of all equities. If 10Y DUMPS, equities and crypto go up. So, is 10Y close to topping out? I'm seeing a trendbreak and new high, so a correction is coming, that will test the low of the bigger up trend channel. stay tuned. 🤙🏽
Buy GBP/USD @ cmp of 1.1763 target 1.20-1.21 stops below 1.16 Reason: The UK-US 02year bond yield spread has jumped by 100 basis points since Aug. 8, while GBPUSD has continued to fall. In my opinion, Pound will catch up with the recent bounce in the yield spread. Besides, there is chatter than UK will have to raise interest rates above 4% to combat inflation....
Bonds have fallen further, breaking down past 119'01 into the vacuum zone below. We are still hovering above 118'04, the next level of support, but the Kovach OBV is looking pretty bearish. We are starting to see some green triangles on the KRI around 118'20, but we should have strong support at 118'04 if current levels do not hold. If we can pivot, then 119'01...
All in the video. Remember the minutes from FOMC will be released at 2pm today, so expect a whipsaw either way.
NASDAQ:TLT On the 4H Chart, TLT is sitting on minor support with major support below that. It is near to the bottom of open Bollinger Bands and is inclined to move through the basis line closer to the upper band. Significant resistance is 5 and 15% upside. I see a swing long trade with the stop loss below the major support and targets before the major...
Bonds getting a bid after US housing data showing a recession. If the breakout is real we shouldn't see 139 again. This may be beginning of the "rush to safety". Nothing confirmed as of yet. www.cnbc.com
WE REMAIN IN A BEAR MARKET, regardless of the Retracement. The 50SMA is 35 handles below the 200SMA. Bullish? Definetely not. That said, the Riggers on the Trigger will continue to bleed out every last cent prior to the next sudden and very sharp decline. For now they have the Ball, but "Inflation is at Zero" from the Admin has found new heights of...
Monthly chart looks like we are topping on the US10Y. Weekly chart tells a different story. I believe the Weekly US10Y is telling us that fed is going to have to be more hawkish with interest rates on 21st September. We will see if i am right.
Stocks, beware. When this bad boy starts moving up, stocks look less attractive.
also showing a buy off of c wave. The AD and Stoch Rsi also have bottom
The iShares iBoxx $ High Yield Corporate Bond ETF seeks to track the investment results of an index composed of U.S. dollar-denominated, high yield corporate bonds.
Bonds have edged lower, breaking through support at 119'23. We have fallen to suport at 119'01, currently hugging this level, but finding good support confirmed by two green triangles on the KRI. The Kovach OBV has slipped a little, confirming the selloff, but has since appeared to level off. If we are able to pivot here, then 119'23 and 120'14 are the next...
What do the markets care about this week? We have another CPI print on Wednesday, which is highly anticipated. We are in a period of nasty stagflation and the Fed is caught in a difficult position. They want to raise rates further, but the issue is that our cause of inflation seems to be on the supply chain side. Interest rates will do little to combat this. ...