In this update we review the recent price action in the US30Yr and identify the next high probability trading strategy and price objectives to target
Bonds have edged up higher, with ZN hitting our target of 121'00. This is a strong psychological and technical level. We are seeing a bit of a divergence between the price action and the Kovach OBV so unless more momentum comes thorugh, anticipate a dip or some ranging between 120'14 and 121'00. If we dip further, 119'23 should provide support. If we are able...
The Corporate bond market got extremely oversold and it bounced without the Fed having to pivot. Essentially the market got to 2013-2018 levels, and bounced nicely at the old support. But we still don't know whether the bottom is in or now, as there are more questions that need to be answered, like: Does the market expect the Fed to reverse course soon? Does the...
TNX 10-yr yield may have peaked out as investors rotate to the safety of bonds in the 120-114 accumulation zone. TLT has completed a big M-pattern stopping at almost perfect FIBO levels. This ABC wave has already made a 300% retracement from the ATH of 173.89 made last 9Mar2020 before pandemic striked. The 132-135 zone will be some sort of neutral area for...
In this update, we review the recent price action in the US Bond market and identify the next high probability trading opportunities and price objectives to target
The US10Y Has made a likely reversal with a head and shoulders pattern currently in action, you can see in the diagram how it is potentially a market altering pattern, due to the sequence of highs and lows.
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Here is a chart of the 2yr / 5yr /10yr / & 30yr yields The BLUE LINE represents the highest yields from 2018 The WHITE LINE represents the highest yields from 20202
I know everyone is screaming about Interest Rates, but thought this would bring some renewed perspective. Here is a chart of the 10 year Bond Yield dating back to the 1980s
Sh_t Mixed remain Bonds... every flight to Safety has been utterly and systematically crushed. It will be again and again as our Bond Market losses its Pillars of which there are 4. One by one these are failing. Longer-term, the lose/lose proposition will compound. _____________________________________________________________________________ Short term, we'll...
✅US30Y is trading in a rising narrowing wedge But the price action is bearish Especially given that a strong horizontal resistance Was recently retested So I think that after the breakout The price will go further down SHORT🔥 ✅Like and subscribe to never miss a new idea!✅
Hello,Traders! US10Y has retested a strong horizontal resistance And we are already seeing a bearish reaction So I think that the move down will continue With the target being the broken falling resistance That has turned into a support level Sell! Like, comment and subscribe to boost your trading! See other ideas below too!
Look at the Correlation Matrix heatmap for stock-bond correlation. See you at 10.700 level Short every spike.
✅US10Y broke the falling resistance And now I am locally bullish biased So I think we will see the price Go up soon towards the target above LONG🚀 ✅Like and subscribe to never miss a new idea!✅
Hello,Traders! US30Y is trading in a bearish triangle Which formed after the price retested A horizontal resistance level So we are bearish biased And after the breakout a short Will be an appropriate trade to take Sell! Like, comment and subscribe to boost your trading! See other ideas below too!
10 years bond yield arrive at the top! Every moment that touch this trendline stocks decline and arrive at a bottom!
Bonds have found support and made a run for higher levels. The ten year dipped 119'23 into the 118's, finding support just above our level at 118'04. We then saw a rebound to 120'14, which we have been identifying as the next target after 119'23. It will take some momentum to break this level however, since this is a relative high from back in April. We are...
This chart displays the ratio of S&P500 against the 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF on the 1W time-frame. The green trend-line represents the Federal Funds Rate. The RSI on the pane below the chart, is illustrated on the 1M time-frame and based on the Channel Down it has been since May 2021, it resembles more the price action of late 2003/2004. Interestingly enough, it...