Relative Momentum in Bond Market, different term treasuries and corporate bonds.
Due to the rising inflation, the Fed has stepped in to reign in inflation. Jerome Powell has stated numerous times he will be aggressive with rate hikes just like Paul Volcker was in the '80s. Powell and Volcker are of the same school of thought. "Inflation emerged as an economic and political challenge in the United States during the 1970s. The monetary...
Bonds have picked up, breaking through several of our upside levels. We set a target of 119'23, and that is exactly the level we've reached. We are seeing signs of resistance here from several red triangles on the KRI. The Kovach OBV has picked up however, but it is doubtful momentum will take us much further, given the market conditions. If we are able to...
T-Bond futures perfect test of monthly trendline, monthly stochastic rsi showing bull divergences, my guess is the new bond bull market has started. Also see my other post attached to this chart, for perspective on spx vs bonds
The US Government Bonds 10 YR Yield, broke last month above a historic Lower Highs trend-line that has been holding since September 1981. This chart is on the 1M (monthly) time-frame. By doing so, it also broke above the 1M MA200 (orange trend-line) for the first time in history as well. Even though it hasn't broken above the previous Lower High of November 2018,...
Trade Idea: US 10 Year Yield topping out? Reasoning: Head and shoulders top on the hourly chart Entry Level: 2.842 Take Profit Level: 2.617 Stop Loss: 2.922 Risk/Reward: 2.81:1 Disclaimer – Signal Centre. Please be reminded – you alone are responsible for your trading – both gains and losses. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading....
Hello,Traders! US30 was trading in a downtrend In a falling parallel channel But now we are seeing a bullish breakout attempt Thus, IF the breakout happens We will see a further move up Towards the resistance above Buy! Like, comment and subscribe to boost your trading! See other ideas below too!
I think we are quite close to seeing a bounce in US Bond ETF's. With the 10 year falling back under 3.0% and bond charts in general showing lots of divergency between price and indicators, i think we can get a bit of a bounce here. Also some good volume coming in on the AGG US bond etf which shows interest emerging.
Spy vs Bond ratio chart. An uptrend means that bonds are outperforming spy. Monthly bull divergences, monthly PPO about to cross bullish, Slow Stochastic over 21 for the first time in 2 years. This is a generational opportunity for bonds. Chances are good that the economy tanks mid-year and Powell and the other geniuses at the FED rethink the rate hike strategy,...
In the chart we have the SPX versus the US10Y (US 10 Year Government Bonds Yeld Rate, in the blue line). We are at a peak moment. In principle, the rate in US10Y is inverse, that is, when it goes down, more people are buying — more people leave the stock market and buy government bonds. The correlation with SPX is high in periods of extreme volatility, as shown...
Ahead of incredibly important CPI data to be released tomorrow, we are seeing yields steepen in a very dramatic fashion. In comparison to each of the last 3 inversions, this one is not even close to the past. It is important to understand that when yields steepen , it systematically leads to downside in the SPX/NASDAQ. It has been the indicator of almost...
As anticipated the bond rout continues. We saw a brief relief rally after the FOMC, as the hikes were largely priced in. However, 119'01 provided prohibitive resistance, and ZN immediately rejected it. We found brief support at 118'04, but have broken through this level, and are currently clinging onto 118'00 by a thread. The next target is the level below at...
"Three measures of Gordon's, one of Vodka, half a measure of Kina Lillet." Best not to drink and drive, ya may just run into supthin... OR... FSD could end up taking you for a Ride. Sh_t happens. Hubris and the inability to compromise... lead to lots of Blood and Broken Glass.
Bear Market signals persist. When the DOW begins to outperform on the downside, we have a clear indication of a lengthy BEAR Market. It's just beginning. Counter Trends are a normal course in prolonged Trends. The ONLY real reversal... QE: Global Central Banks began withdrawing Liquidity via RRP's since July of 2021. The contraction made a controlled...
TLT (20+ Years Treasury Bond ETF) Huge drop since January 2022. If you connect all the big lows since 2013 and draw a line you will notice that TLT is now sitting on a huge support and has starting to bounce off the 119 level (Green line). RSI weekly and daily oversold. Let's see if we can get a decent bounce. I'm long April 29 call. We can target 125,...
In this update we review the recent price action in the US30Y Bond Yield and identify the next high probability trading opportunity and price objective to target
Put together a chart to illustrate what happens when government treasury yields converge at the same amount at a market peak. They consistently roll over and tank. When yields tank, bonds go up in value. Looks like a good spot to pick up some TLT.
Gold bug's biggest complaint is ALWAYS manipulation of Gold prices... Enter: exhibit 1. This is the spread between Bonds and Gold, and it has reached maturity and should reverse from here IMHO. With yields at 3%, banks will enter the bond market en masse, hedging that position with a short on Gold. With yields finally attractive, the US DX will also...