Hi friends the daily chart of this market shows with a high probability an uptrend in the coming days with the vigilance of the change of the direction towards the opposite please subscribe to receive new analyzes
Most retail futures traders hang out in the stock indices, metals, or energy primarily. This makes sense as those markets move on a daily basis. But tonight, we'd like to make a case for looking at interest rates products, specifically the 30Y bond. As volatility picks up, the bonds haven't really kept pace and instead have stayed within defined ranges, making...
In this ‘Market Open’ there are a lot of thing I’d like to cover, and it is coming out late precisely because of that. Last week there wasn’t one although I’ve shared several ideas on Tradingview which I’d recommend you read. The reason I didn’t share them here is that they were a bit more chaotic and I was actively commending, while now I’d like to present...
looking at the chart we have marked out key levels with active Options strike prices supported with high volume and open interest. We plan to observe how price reacts at 1.3300 and 1.2500 levels prior the the expiration of these contracts. In terms of price action , Cable still maintains an upward trajectory in line with non-commercial sentiments and seasonal...
We have continued to sell off on Friday, and things were looking like price was going to confirm a lower high on the daily chart. Remember, in order to confirm a lower high swing in a new downtrend, we NEED a lower low close. Take a look at the Dow chart. We have been watching this support at 27500 for weeks now. So far we have held it. BUT take a look at the...
📌 New Zealand 10Y Bond Yield. Like, subscribe and leave your comments below! 🤝 Until next time, Ride the macro
Probability: 65% We have a Buy Signal Take Profit and Stop Loss Mentioned On The Chart in my Prediction.
T Bond yields have largely remained in a range outside the spike highs, and lows experienced earlier in the year. Given the FED's reluctance to lower rates any further despite high unemployment figures, and tight global economic activity, higher real inflation all which are undermining the Nasadq right now. Are the chickens coming home to roost? Will the FED allow...
We have a BUY signal Probability: 65% Stop loss: 139'16'0 Take profit: 139'20'0 Tp & Sl mentioned on the chart I will update the chart for more opportinuity
Description: An analysis for the week ahead. Points of Interest: Dull Participation; Poor Structure On Both Sides; Strong Names Break Trend. Technical: Broad-market equity indices ended the week lower with the S&P 500 correcting to $3,300. Recapping last week’s action, on Tuesday, alongside Brexit news, on a second attempt, the S&P 500 broke through...
10Y breaking out of parabola - rates spiking up.
New Fed policy will allow inflation to run above its 2% target. To achieve higher inflation the Fed is is expected to hold short-term rates very low for a long time. A sudden steepening of the yield curve after an inversion almost always coincides with recession. Aggressive expansion of the money supply through fiscal and Fed policy has led to concerns of...
Probability: 65% The market will keep going up and i use the Vwap line as my resistance. Big opportinuity and the market will keep going up and achieve our TakeProfit and may reach the Vwap line and cut it and keep going up. Take profit: 139'09'5 Stop loss: 139'03'5
Declining UK10 year bond prices represented by the blue line overplayed on the GBPUSD price chart suggests rising yields. We can observe in hindsight that the bond correlates inversely to its exchange rate. We have also seen a shift in net positioning of large speculators shift to positive territory. Data from CME group on forex options contracts suggests...
We might start to see longer term US bond weakness as the copper/gold ratio rebounds off the lower extreme of it's descending channel. In this example I'm using TLT, an ETF. These two have an inverse relationship and also correlate with the US dollar. Long term US bonds and the USD tend to have a positive correlation giving both a bearish outlook. This is more...
Description: An analysis for the week ahead. Points of Interest: Excess High; Poor Structure; $3,200 HVN. Technical: Broad-market equity indices ended the week lower with the S&P 500 correcting nearly 7%. Recapping last week’s action, alongside bets of an economic revival backed by prolonged central bank support, the S&P 500 established an overnight...
The cross is using the 20 and 50 exponential moving average . Every time the shorter exponential moving average crosses the longer one, this indicates a bearish signal. You can see the times this has worked in the past, in the same chart.
Emerging market bonds denominated in USD look to be taking a leg to the downside. Could this be an early signal of global liquidity drying up again? 👀 The monetary policy suggests stimulus but fiscal policy is at a stand still. Without more cooperation between politicians and parties this could become an issue sooner than later.